Wkd Box Office 05•01-03•15 - The age of Marvel continues...

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That's probably why they chose Seoul and added "Asian doctor character" in Age of Ultron this time around, so that it's slightly less flimsy.

But where are the latinos in Marvel? lol

They should greenlight Avengers Academy as a TV series and then introduce characters like White Tiger, Arana, Reptil, Victor Mancha and the newest Power Man.
 
It may sound crazy but I think Cap 3 has a shot at AoU numbers. The hype for that movie feels massive and if they tease Spidey during the marketing its gonna be a big deal.

I mean Cap vs Iron Man + Spidey + being the sequel to the well loved Winter Soldier = big cash imo
 
It may sound crazy but I think Cap 3 has a shot at AoU numbers. The hype for that movie feels massive and if they tease Spidey during the marketing its gonna be a big deal.

I mean Cap vs Iron Man + Spidey + being the sequel to the well loved Winter Soldier = big cash imo

It will essentially feel like an avengers movie
 
It may sound crazy but I think Cap 3 has a shot at AoU numbers. The hype for that movie feels massive and if they tease Spidey during the marketing its gonna be a big deal.

I mean Cap vs Iron Man + Spidey + being the sequel to the well loved Winter Soldier = big cash imo

The marketing will be insane. All the "Who will you fight for?" posters, Spider-Man, same directors as Winter Soldier. It's definitely going to be huge. Very likely to be a $1B film.
 
I think they can pull off a billion worldwide again.


Seriously, if Star Wars doesnt blow-up overseas we have a possibility of Furious 7 being the #1 movie worldwide of 2015. Who would have predicted that just a few months ago?

The problem with Star Wars is that we don't know its impact in foreign territories like Asian market or Latin America ...
Will it be more or less powerful than a comic book movie ?
 
It will essentially feel like an avengers movie

In many ways Civil War is Avengers 2 part 2. They're just showing the other side of the coin. While AoU is the
techie high concept type of movie focused on Tony, Civil War will be the political thriller type of movie focused on Cap.
 
I think Cap 3 will do less than Iron Man 3
Certainly more than every other non avengers/iron 3 film though
probably somewhere in the OG spidey trilogy numbers

As for Ultron getting a worse drop than Spidey 3 is fucking dire
saturday of course will have a much better hold but its still further disappointment
 
I think Cap 3 will do less than Iron Man 3
Certainly more than every other non avengers/iron 3 film though
probably somewhere in the OG spidey trilogy numbers

Are you talking about Domestic take or worldwide? Because Cap 2 wasn't that much lower than Spider-man 2 worldwide.
 
I think Cap 3 will do less than Iron Man 3
Certainly more than every other non avengers/iron 3 film though
probably somewhere in the OG spidey trilogy numbers

As for Ultron getting a worse drop than Spidey 3 is fucking dire
saturday of course will have a much better hold but its still further disappointment
I think it's going to do very well since Iron Man is apparently a big part of it. If it was just a straight sequel, then I think you'd have been right. But Iron Man is extremely popular, and Iron Man 3 showed that. Now, if you add the fact that Spider-Man is going to play some kind of role, then I think it stands a very good chance of passing Iron Man 3 numbers as it stands. I think it will anyway.

It's not really Captain America 3. It's Captain America, with Iron Man in a significant role, and a bunch of other superheroes, including Spider-Man's introduction to the MCU. That last part is also important because it's the one factor that makes it very interesting. We don't really know how big of a role he has, or whether it's just a cameo (or I don't but I don't exactly keep up with the news). I honestly thought BvS was going to comfortably be the highest grossing movie next year, but since this is basically Avengers 3, and with Spider-Man, it makes it a little more difficult to call. I still think BvS will do better, but I think they're both going to fall in a similar range. Spider-Man's recent movies may not have shown any growth, but he's still a huge attraction, and his introduction into the MCU should garner some major attention. Depending on how they market his involvement, it can be significant.

Folks shouldn't really sleep on Iron Man either. That move, I think, ensures this movie grosses beyond a billion. Between a billion and Iron Man 3 numbers, there isn't a huge difference with the way certain international markets have grown. Iron Man 3 was an Iron Man movie after all, and Iron Man is in this. I don't think a billion is in doubt now thanks to him. It's simply a case of how far Spider-Man could possibly take them beyond that Iron Man factor.

This movie feels like it could be a bigger deal than Avengers 2 to me, especially if Spider-Man ends up being a notable part of the marketing campaign. Iron Man is there, and apparently half of the other jobbers in the team are too. When they start plastering Iron Man, and Spider-Man everywhere, it's not going to really matter if the movie is called Captain America 3 or whatever. I'm expecting numbers similar to Avengers. I can't see how it doesn't, at least, fall in that range. $1-2-1.5 billion should be happening in my eyes. It feels like a pretty safe call even without really looking into it that much.
 
Are you talking about Domestic take or worldwide? Because Cap 2 wasn't that much lower than Spider-man 2 worldwide.

I think it's going to do very well since Iron Man is apparently a big part of it. If it was just a straight sequel, then I think you'd have been right. But Iron Man is extremely popular, and Iron Man 3 showed that. Now, if you add the fact that Spider-Man is going to play some kind of role, then I think it stands a very good chance of passing Iron Man 3 numbers as it stands. I think it will anyway.

It's not really Captain America 3. It's Captain America, with Iron Man in a significant role, and a bunch of other superheroes, including Spider-Man's introduction to the MCU. That last part is also important because it's the one factor that makes it very interesting. We don't really know how big of a role he has, or whether it's just a cameo (or I don't but I don't exactly keep up with the news). I honestly thought BvS was going to comfortably be the highest grossing movie next year, but since this is basically Avengers 3, and with Spider-Man, it makes it a little more difficult to call. I still think BvS will do better, but I think they're both going to fall in a similar range. Spider-Man's recent movies may not have shown any growth, but he's still a huge attraction, and his introduction into the MCU should garner some major attention. Depending on how they market his involvement, it can be significant.

Folks shouldn't really sleep on Iron Man either. That move, I think, ensures this movie grosses beyond a billion. Between a billion and Iron Man 3 numbers, there isn't a huge difference with the way certain international markets have grown. Iron Man 3 was an Iron Man movie after all, and Iron Man is in this. I don't think a billion is in doubt now thanks to him. It's simply a case of how far Spider-Man could possibly take them beyond that Iron Man factor.

This movie feels like it could be a bigger deal than Avengers 2 to me, especially if Spider-Man ends up being a notable part of the marketing campaign. Iron Man is there, and apparently half of the other jobbers in the team are too. When they start plastering Iron Man, and Spider-Man everywhere, it's not going to really matter if the movie is called Captain America 3 or whatever. I'm expecting numbers similar to Avengers. I can't see how it doesn't, at least, fall in that range. $1-2-1.5 billion should be happening in my eyes. It feels like a pretty safe call even without really looking into it that much.

My bad, I should have clarified that I was talking domestic numbers (ie about 100M growth domestic).
Definitely agree that it will have a big jump overseas and that $1B should be the low target for the movie
I'm not going to bank too much on Spidey though, given that we dont really know how much he will be used (or do we and Ive just missed that announcement)
I agree that if he is integral and they market it with him as a focus then the skys the limit
 
The marketing will be insane. All the "Who will you fight for?" posters, Spider-Man, same directors as Winter Soldier. It's definitely going to be huge. Very likely to be a $1B film.

Once small problem there for Marvel will be that Batman v Superman will essentially be employing the same marketing, just like 2 months earlier than Cap 3. In fact the movie will be out 2months before Cap3 so it can feel like "been there done that" sort of deal for cap3. No matter how popular Cap and Ironman are they are gonna get drowned out by freaking Batman fighting Superman.

Regarding the directors or the writing team returning for Civil War, I don't really think the average person who goes to see Marvel movies will care. I don't know of anyone who can name one of the Marvel directors except maybe Whedon.
 
Just realised that Deadline is predicting a weekend drop of 74%, which is just a little worse than Fifty Shades of Grey
 
Just realised that Deadline is predicting a weekend drop of 74%, which is just a little worse than Fifty Shades of Grey
If that turns out to be true, this will be a huge disappointment. Not a bomb by any means but huge underperformance nonetheless.
 
Yeah, also need to note that is steep because last Friday's numbers had 27M in (Thursday) previews.

Yeah. 50 Shades of Grey dropped by over 70% every day of that second weekend, including over 75% on the second Saturday.

Early estimates are putting AoU's Saturday drop at 40% over last weekend's Saturday. The Sunday drop will be higher (since last Saturday was deflated), but I would imagine that AoU's second weekend drop will end up being in the typical high 50s low 60s range.
 
Once small problem there for Marvel will be that Batman v Superman will essentially be employing the same marketing, just like 2 months earlier than Cap 3. In fact the movie will be out 2months before Cap3 so it can feel like "been there done that" sort of deal for cap3. No matter how popular Cap and Ironman are they are gonna get drowned out by freaking Batman fighting Superman.

Regarding the directors or the writing team returning for Civil War, I don't really think the average person who goes to see Marvel movies will care. I don't know of anyone who can name one of the Marvel directors except maybe Whedon.

If it's good.
 
Just realised that Deadline is predicting a weekend drop of 74%, which is just a little worse than Fifty Shades of Grey

Eh, don't really care how much AoU makes, nothing's stopping the Marvel train. The lower this thing drops the better for Mad Max next week. That film deserves all the eyes it can get.
 
Weekend estimate for Age of Ultron is $77.2M. Domestic total is $313M. Worldwide total is $875M

Furius 7 is now at $1.466B. Chinese run continues to drive most of the gross at this point. Since that run ends tomorrow, it will be a long crawl to 1.5B.
 
If it's good.

Even if it is, that's hardly a guarantee. Superman is not a big box office draw, not in its current form. And given this is a new reimagining of Batman, I'm not sure how much of the Nolan goodwill will carry over.

If that holds and doesn't swing down into the $75m territory, it will be the #2 second weekend behind the first Avengers.

Even if it drops a bit more, it is pretty safe to say it will land in the top 5.

Man, Shrek 2 was a box office juggernaut.
 
Even if it is, that's hardly a guarantee. Superman is not a big box office draw, not in its current form. And given this is a new reimagining of Batman, I'm not sure how much of the Nolan goodwill will carry over.

BvS is going to pull in a ton of money no matter what. I just don't see it being such a huge number that it actually hurts Civil War like some think it will. Both are going to make bank.
 
BvS is going to pull in a ton of money no matter what. I just don't see it being such a huge number that it actually hurts Civil War like some think it will. Both are going to make bank.

Aren't they 5-6 weeks apart? BvS will pretty much be done its run by the time Civil War hits.
 
BvS is going to pull in a ton of money no matter what. I just don't see it being such a huge number that it actually hurts Civil War like some think it will. Both are going to make bank.

There's a reason why BvS was moved out of Civil War's path. WB doesn't want to have anything to do with that monster.
 
DC/WB were smart as hell for dipping out on releasing so close to Cap 3. It's pretty clear they did it because they got wind that Marvel was stacking the deck with Civil War, but just did it way before that got announced.

Get dat money, everybody!
 
Even if it is, that's hardly a guarantee. Superman is not a big box office draw, not in its current form. And given this is a new reimagining of Batman, I'm not sure how much of the Nolan goodwill will carry over.

People love Batman. Superman may not be a massive draw but he's a pop culture icon. My impression is that Batman's inclusion has made people forget any ill will Man of Steel might have created. Superman is pretty much just see a cool opponent for people to see in a Batman film.
 
In an early rollout, the Pitch Perfect 2 is singing a happy tune Down Under where it has a weekend estimate of $8.8M. Australia was the top overseas market for 2012’s Pitch Perfect with the a cappella-themed comedy earning more than $13M there. Pitch Perfect 2 is currently outpacing it by more than 300%. In Oz, the $7.6M weekend is the 4th biggest debut frame of 2015, behind blockbusters Ultron, Furious 7 and Fifty Shades Of Grey. It has 60% market share and is performing 348% above the original. In NZ, the starter session was worth an estimated $1.2M, good for the 3rd biggest opening weekend of the year behind F7 and Ultron. North America opens next weekend along with 27 international territories including the UK, Germany, Russia and Philippines.

Ultron did 68,3M overseas this weekend, bringing its total to 562M with China opening tuesday
 
BvS is going to pull in a ton of money no matter what. I just don't see it being such a huge number that it actually hurts Civil War like some think it will. Both are going to make bank.

I think the point wasn't how well BvS will do at the box office...

But think the ole White House Down vs Olympus has Fallen discussion

Does having two similar premises hurt the 2nd movie... doubt it since both huge brands.
 
Eh, don't really care how much AoU makes, nothing's stopping the Marvel train. The lower this thing drops the better for Mad Max next week. That film deserves all the eyes it can get.
I think this a good thing in the long run.

It'll make Marvel a bit more cautious and hopefully they break up their formulas
 
Yup now the drop is hovering around 60% which is right in line with Iron Man 3 and other Marvel films. Still the second best second weekend ever bru's.
 
Why?

If we were comparing Schindler's List and White Chicks, maybe I'd be glad that one did better than the other but F7 and AoU?

Probably because the general expectation is that AoU should have annihilated F7 at the worldwide box office. The fact that it's so close is a testament to the current brand power of F7, which ain't nothing to scoff at. Even if the quality of the film leaves a bit to be desired. These are fun summer action romps at the end of the day, so personally, I don't mind either doing the business that they are.
 
Probably because the general expectation is that AoU should have annihilated F7 at the worldwide box office. The fact that it's so close is a testament to the current brand power of F7, which ain't nothing to scoff at. Even if the quality of the film leaves a bit to be desired. These are fun summer action romps at the end of the day, so personally, I don't mind either doing the business that they are.

I agree, but saying F7 performing well is cool is different from saying you're glad AoU didn't catch it.
 
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