CNN poll : Donald Trump now competitive in general election

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Dennis

Banned
484797712.JPG

Such devotion

Wow

Many votes

Much Nolan
 
The rest of the post you quoted addressed this. And I still consider post-1960 to be "new." When you said "this is nothing new," I thought you were going to have something to say about American politics 1788 - 1960 :p

Whoops, so you did :) . I just jumped to the quote button before reaching that part of your post.
 

Stinkles

Clothed, sober, cooperative
Reading his Wikipedia article, he was close to bankruptcy until he received his father's inheritance, self-made my ass.

You mean his first bankruptcy. And his supernatural ability to massively underperform the general New York real estate market. And his highly suspicious and creative regulatory filing to run for president,. Again, this is how you get him. Prove he's worth a fifth of what he says he is. The only presidential candidate in history to exaggerate his wealth. All of his ego is tied up in that.
 
I feel like this whole thing could be the plot of a very mean-spirited, cynical anti-american comedy that would get slammed partly because it would be regarded as an unnecessarily harsh and unrealistic portrayal of the US.

And yet, here we are.
Robocop was way ahead of its time.
 

Firestone77

Neo Member
You mean his first bankruptcy. And his supernatural ability to massively underperform the general New York real estate market. And his highly suspicious and creative regulatory filing to run for president,. Again, this is how you get him. Prove he's worth a fifth of what he says he is. The only presidential candidate in history to exaggerate his wealth. All of his ego is tied up in that.

Think he would laugh at the tactic and ridicule the petty accuser to a 5pt bump in the polls. Beautiful.
 

Jombie

Member
I think he could very well clinch the nomination, and which democrat could challenge him? A damaged, tired Hillary Clinton, I guess...
 

BokehKing

Banned
I think he could very well clinch the nomination, and which democrat could challenge him? A damaged, tired Hillary Clinton, I guess...
Do we really want Hilary though? Though I'm a Democrat, she has been caught up in a lot of shady stuff, I'm no longer going to vote for someone just to have a 'first' in the white house (ie what I did with obama) I would love a woman president, it would be great but hillary? Idk.

As far as Trump, what did he say the other day? , he wants to build up our military to the point where it won't be used because no one will want to fuck with us? I'm OK with that too
 

anaslexy

Member
I'm not a Trump fan but it sounds like he speaks the truth and doesn't sugarcoat it or cares what others think. That's a rare quality which other politicans don't have.
 

ZealousD

Makes world leading predictions like "The sun will rise tomorrow"
he wants to build up our military to the point where it won't be used because no one will want to fuck with us? I'm OK with that too

We're already at that point. We have way more nukes than anybody and anybody seriously considering a land invasion of the United States is going to get their shit pushed in. We could actually decrease the size of our military and STILL nobody would want to fuck with us.
 
As far as Trump, what did he say the other day? , he wants to build up our military to the point where it won't be used because no one will want to fuck with us? I'm OK with that too

Yeah, about that. It's kind of crazy how almost every "populist" fantasy policy he puts out, there's a clear and easy answer that shows just how detached from reality it is.

US-defense-chart.png
 
The guys is a jackass but he is saying the right things that riles up the right. Not sure how he will get any independant votes which decide the winner.

I listened to his speech at the stadium and it was just 'me me me me'. No insight or depth at all to as to how he will achieve all the things he says he will do. But the crowd loved the buzz words like 'We will take care of our vets', 'I love Israel', 'Iran bad', 'I will obama care repeal', 'America will be great again', 'Border control' ...and the crowd was going nuts. Morons.
 
The guys is a jackass but he is saying the right things that riles up the right. Not sure how he will get any independant votes which decide the winner.

I listened to his speech at the stadium and it was just 'me me me me'. No depth at all to as to how he will achieve all the things he says he will do. But the crowd loved the buzz words like 'We will take care of our vets', 'I love Israel', 'Iran bad', 'I will obama care repeal', 'America will be great again', 'Border control' ...and the crowd was going nuts. Morons.

Don't forget when asked how he would repeal something used by at least 10 million Americans right now he just says he will replace it with "something terrific."
 

Glass Joe

Member
Don't forget when asked how he would repeal something used by at least 10 million Americans right now he just says he will replace it with "something terrific."

Obamacare's personally screwed me over several times in several ways, so I'm fine with that. His vague "something terrific" will have a proper policy behind it before election time. Or at least I'm assuming that will be the case, as he said he's rolling out the policies one by one starting with the Immigration one.
 

pgtl_10

Member
Obamacare's personally screwed me over several times in several ways, so I'm fine with that. His vague "something terrific" will have a proper policy behind it before election time. Or at least I'm assuming that will be the case, as he said he's rolling out the policies one by one starting with the Immigration one.

Which is less than 50% of what US spends.
 

NeoXChaos

Member
Obamacare's personally screwed me over several times in several ways, so I'm fine with that. His vague "something terrific" will have a proper policy behind it before election time. Or at least I'm assuming that will be the case, as he said he's rolling out the policies one by one starting with the Immigration one.

you can't be serious.
 

Glass Joe

Member
you can't be serious.

It already once cost me full-time status (which has since been regained). The literal explanation is my position had to be removed because of Obamacare's rules regarding full time employees. It's also forced me to pay a large amount for coverage I can't actually use or afford, or be fined (by the time I hit a $5000 deductible, I'd be flirting with bankruptcy anyway). What's so great about it again?
 
It already once cost me full-time status (which has since been regained). The literal explanation is my position had to be removed because of Obamacare's rules regarding full time employees. It's also forced me to pay a large amount for coverage I can't actually use or afford, or be fined (by the time I hit a $5000 deductible, I'd be flirting with bankruptcy anyway). What's so great about it again?

I look at it in terms of the macro picture rather than micro. Just recently, the CBO did an analysis that actually shows the impact on the deficit would slowly rise if ACA is repealed.

50252-home-figure1.png
 
It is hilarious watching some right wing media outlets being forced to defend some of the insanity that Trump is spewing since he now has so much backing from the base. Trump has apparently pulled off a hostile take-over of the GOP.
 
It is hilarious watching some right wing media outlets being forced to defend some of the insanity that Trump is spewing since he now has so much backing from the base. Trump has apparently pulled off a hostile take-over of the GOP.

16 other candidates and not one of them can do anything to stop him. Ironically, what they really need is a guy like George W Bush or Reagan to take him down but all they have is a bunch of automatons.
 

HylianTom

Banned
It is hilarious watching some right wing media outlets being forced to defend some of the insanity that Trump is spewing since he now has so much backing from the base. Trump has apparently pulled off a hostile take-over of the GOP.

And this takeover can be largely attributed to him going directly against the advice of the 2012 post-mortem; it's fantastic for appealing to primary voters, but deadly for a general electorate. It's almost as though he read the autopsy and said, "I'm doing the exact opposite!"

I'd love to know what Reince Priebus is thinking right about now.
 

FStubbs

Member
Yeah, about that. It's kind of crazy how almost every "populist" fantasy policy he puts out, there's a clear and easy answer that shows just how detached from reality it is.

US-defense-chart.png

To be fair, how much of that figure on the right is taken up by billion dollar planes that can't fly and $5,000 pencils?
 

Alcibiades

Member
I look at it in terms of the macro picture rather than micro. Just recently, the CBO did an analysis that actually shows the impact on the deficit would slowly rise if ACA is repealed.

50252-home-figure1.png

I wonder what the effect would be of a repeal combined with some sort of universal medicare for Americans that can't afford insurance.

I think most Americans at this point support universal health care of some sort. I'd prefer to see basic care for all Americans including undocumented since in the end it is cheaper than emergency room visits.

But the actual effect of Obamacare has mostly been much more expensive health insurance with worse coverage. I understand some of that is due to pre-existing conditions issue, but it also feels like they could have included that while raising premiums minimally:

http://www.publicintegrity.org/2015...ofits-soar-they-dump-small-business-customers

Basically, record profits for insurance executives and shareholders seems to be the goal, not actually helping Americans get coverage. I wonder if it is too late for a single-payer Medicare plan at least for those below the poverty line. My guess is the insurance companies are too invested in the political process to ever be given the boot.
 
To be fair, how much of that figure on the right is taken up by billion dollar planes that can't fly and $5,000 pencils?

Probably not anywhere near enough to say our military isn't the strongest by far compared to anything the world has to offer. Then you consider that the biggest threat people see these days is ISIS and the stance makes even less sense.

ISIS is an ideological extremist group that would engage in unconventional warfare so they probably don't care if the US spent trillions a year on the military.
 

NeoXChaos

Member
And this takeover can be largely attributed to him going directly against the advice of the 2012 post-mortem; it's fantastic for appealing to primary voters, but deadly for a general electorate. It's almost as though he read the autopsy and said, "I'm doing the exact opposite!"

I'd love to know what Reince Priebus is thinking right about now.

images
 
To be fair, how much of that figure on the right is taken up by billion dollar planes that can't fly and $5,000 pencils?

We can almost certainly ask about that regarding the left figure also. I highly doubt Russia's military is as efficient as ours (or France or plenty of the others).
 

Rebel Leader

THE POWER OF BUTTERSCOTCH BOTTOMS
It is hilarious watching some right wing media outlets being forced to defend some of the insanity that Trump is spewing since he now has so much backing from the base. Trump has apparently pulled off a hostile take-over of the GOP.

Dr. Frankenstein = GOP
Monster = Trump


They allowed this to happen. Crating the monster we know as trump.
 

Ecotic

Member
It's so fascinating how differently Trump is perceived being extremely rich than Mitt Romney was. Trump just oddly connects because he lives large in the crass way that your average rural American redneck would if they won $500 million in the lottery.

Romney lived rich in the old New England style; staid and old fashioned with fancy mansions off the coast, car elevators, "retreats" with the grandkids. Trump has casinos, tacky cologne brands called 'success', a jumbo jet, and a gimmicky cable show that features a megalomaniac putting people out of work.
 

Ether_Snake

安安安安安安安安安安安安安安安
It's so fascinating how differently Trump is perceived being extremely rich than Mitt Romney was. Trump just oddly connects because he lives large in the crass way that your average rural American redneck would if they won $500 million in the lottery.

Romney lived rich in the old New England style; staid and old fashioned with fancy mansions off the coast, car elevators, "retreats" with the grandkids. Trump has casinos, tacky cologne brands called 'success', a jumbo jet, and a gimmicky cable show that features a megalomaniac putting people out of work.

But I think it makes perfect sense; he feels like someone who is a regular person with a lot of money, not some sort of elitist. The idea that he's so rich he has no reason to run but because he feels he can do a better job than the others, it makes sense. To me it's a bit like if Buffett ran for president. For Trump, it seems being rich is just a game, not something important, and I think that comes through. For Romney, being rich seemed to put him above the people. And I think the other candidates are just untrustworthy in the eyes of most because they're not super rich, so they are probably in this to get rich.
 
And this takeover can be largely attributed to him going directly against the advice of the 2012 post-mortem; it's fantastic for appealing to primary voters, but deadly for a general electorate. It's almost as though he read the autopsy and said, "I'm doing the exact opposite!"

I'd love to know what Reince Priebus is thinking right about now.

This is a fantastic observation. The one suggestion from that post mortem was "don't alienate minorities with harsh anti-immigrant policies" . . . And Trump has made immigration his centerpiece policy.

And he is dragging the rest of field to follow him into unelectable in the general election territory.
 

User1608

Banned
I still can't get over the fact this caricature is the current frontrunner of the party. Maybe we do indeed live in a multiverse...
 

HylianTom

Banned
This is a fantastic observation. The one suggestion from that post mortem was "don't alienate minorities with harsh anti-immigrant policies" . . . And Trump has made immigration his centerpiece policy.

And he is dragging the rest of field to follow him into unelectable in the general election territory.

When George Will is making sense, it stands-out in my mind.

Trump’s immigration plan could spell doom for the GOP

It has come to this: The GOP, formerly the party of Lincoln and ostensibly the party of liberty and limited government, is being defined by clamors for a mass roundup and deportation of millions of human beings. To will an end is to will the means for the end, so the Republican clamors are also for the requisite expansion of government’s size and coercive powers.

Most of Donald Trump’s normally loquacious rivals are swaggeringly eager to confront Vladimir Putin but are too invertebrate — Lindsey Graham is an honorable exception — to voice robust disgust with Trump and the spirit of, the police measures necessary for and the cruelties that would accompany his policy. The policy is: “They’ve got to go.”

...

Today’s big government finds running Amtrak too large a challenge, and Trump’s roundup would be about 94 times larger than the wartime internment of 117,000 persons of Japanese descent. But Trump wants America to think big. The big costs, in decades and dollars (hundreds of billions), of Trump’s project could be reduced if, say, the targets were required to sew yellow patches on their clothing to advertise their coming expulsion. There is precedent.

...

If, after November 2016, there are autopsies of Republican presidential hopes, political coroners will stress the immigration-related rhetoric of August 2015. And of October 1884.

Then, the Republican presidential nominee, former senator James G. Blaine, returning home to Maine in the campaign’s closing days, attended a New York rally on his behalf, where a prominent Protestant clergyman said Democrats were a party of “rum, Romanism and rebellion.” Catholics, many of them immigrants, noticed. Blaine lost New York, and with it the presidency, by 1,200 votes out of more than 1 million cast.

He's seeing the same thing we're seeing. I kinda like it when this comes from unexpected sources; it reassures me that I'm not stuck in my bubble of liberal perspectives.

And WOW at that Holocaust reference.

Meanwhile, the reactions over at FreeRepublic are very predictable..
 
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