Dissapointed Sanders supporter checking in: I think Clinton's victory in Nevada pretty much seals her nomination.
Fair points, but the idea from Hillary supporters that Bernie has insane ideas that will never get passed but Hillary is a pragmatic person that will get nearly everything she wants past because she just *can* is silly. Truth is, 2018 is just as important.
I can't agree with this more. We've essentially had a broken government since 2010 when the Republicans took over the House. Because the House and Senate write the laws, there really isn't a realistic way for a Democratic president to get his or her proposals enacted into law. As is going to be dramatically illustrated within the next couple of months, Democratic presidents even are going to have trouble getting their nominees for important government positions nominated (cough - Supreme Court).
The importance of this fact extends far beyond this primary.
At this stage you also need independent voters. I highly doubt independents would turn out for Bernie in 2020. Personally I just think it's too soon. Not saying a Hillary would be a sure bet.
But dems will not get another Obama for a long time. He's a once in a generation type candidate.
Going by Sander's dominance among younger voters, if the Iowa and Nevada caucuses were held in 2020, Sanders would have won. As for the general election, Sanders beats all of the Republicans by larger margins than Hillary Clinton. I know people love to dismiss these polls, but considering the vast majority of people in the polls indicate they have heard of Sanders and pretty much every media description indicates he is a "self-described democratic socialist", I don't think they can just be discarded.
The supposed "unpopularity" of Sanders policies comes from Nixon/Reagan era messaging that played on the racism and nationalism (fear of communism) of white voters. That cohort represents a smaller and smaller portion of the electorate every year.
At the very least, I would hope by the late 2020's or early 2030's (which would be about the end of the Hillary Clinton administration if she makes it through two terms), there wouldn't be any questions regarding the acceptability of Sander's policies to the broader electorate.
yep.
The entrance polling was wrong. I pretty sure earlier in the thread someone posted even MSNBC said the entrance polls were wrong. Hillary won the areas where Hispanics live.
The truth is probably somewhere in between. We will know more in the coming days. At the very least, Sanders must have won at least a significant portion of Hispanic voters, if not a majority. That's far more than people were saying he would win at the beginning of this primary.
Realistically, now that the Democratic primary is pretty much over, this line of rhetoric needs to die for all of our sakes. Hillary Clinton is going to need the votes of both her own and Sanders supporters to win in 2016 and 2020. Fomenting divisions among the Democratic base helps nobody.
And if, like me, you are a disappointed Sanders supporter, for God's sake please vote for Clinton in November. Clinton losing would not only cause a lot suffering for people Sander's policies were supposed to help, but Clinton losing would also push the enactment of those policies even further away. I know that seems somewhat counter-intuitive, but its true. All Clinton losing would do is convince the Democratic establishment that they need to be even more conservative.