Super Tuesday 2016 |OT| The Final Incursion is a double Incursion (Mar 5-15 contests)
- Thread starter B-Dubs
- Start date
- Status
Poker Face
Member
wow this is crazy close.
SolarPowered
Member
It would be great and funny if he wins Michigan because it would basically make him Anti-Mondale. Lord knows how much poligaf and establishment democrats talk about him being too far left and how we'd end up with a blowout if Bernie reaches the GE. This might be proof of his viability after all.
Bernie pls
Yep, I'm not going to get ahead of myself.
Oh please
Each state he wins gives me hope for the future. If his ideas and honesty can gain traction in a super old Jewish male package then there is a lot of hope for the future. If Bernie 2.0 is an intelligent, attractive and likable fifty to sixty year old person then they've got a real shot come 2024.
SlimySnake
Flashless at the Golden Globes
no need to look back half a year ago, just a couple of weeks ago he was trailing hillary by what? 20 points?
I am hillary supporter but this is impressive.
MysticDistance
Banned
Crazy how close this is...
vicissitudes
Banned
Predictit Michigan has been a rollercoaster.
Well that's a new one
This. She has cleaned up Mississippi by a way larger amount. Yeah the raw amount of delegates is less but it cancels out any win here.
psynergylover
Member
Hillary just pulled out Mika.....(heroes reference)
Please walk me through this-
What is the math needed to proclaim that 'she is in real trouble'.
Lol.
No need for damage control. Even if Hillary loses, she has won the nomination.
58%
BennyBlanco
aka IMurRIVAL69
Hillary is very boring. Low energy.
I wouldn't call that a nail-biter. Maybe if there were 90+% votes.
This thread is moving too fast...so I can't go back...But did one of you guys really say Bernie could win every state to follow by double digit leads and not catch up to Hillary in delegates? Ummm... What?
If you're taking superdelegates into consideration on that, you really need to learn how they've historically functioned.
Wow @ that drop. 5% to 1%!
If you're taking superdelegates into consideration on that, you really need to learn how they've historically functioned.
Wow @ that drop. 5% to 1%!
I mean, make no mistake, this is a big, big night for Bernie. Gaining 20 points overnight is a huge deal, even if in the end he was 25 points behind. Everybody should still be asking themselves what went wrong with the polls and whether Bernie has more in this race than we expected.
At the same time, he's perilously close to the delegate line in Mississippi, which is information that looks a lot like business as usual.
At the same time, he's perilously close to the delegate line in Mississippi, which is information that looks a lot like business as usual.
And the suburbs of Wayne are probably finished, given how much the margin has increased for Clinton over the past few hours. My guess is that her margin there increases as more of Detroit comes in.
SlimySnake
Flashless at the Golden Globes
Even if he wins they will split the delegates. Michigan is not a winner take all state.
Yep. this is extremely interesting. I highly doubt people made up their mind in two days after the two debates/town hall. this is going to give people pause and make the Ohio and Florida primaries so much more interesting.
at least the republican polls were accurate.
Yeah, it's a huge night for Bernie, though it makes you wonder if the race was at the margins the polls believed them to be this past week.
CrocMother
Banned
Bernie's got that Arab American vote on lockdown according to 538
It may seem that way, but he really doesn't have a path to the nomination... So while interesting, it's ultimately useless.
Resident_UA
Member
It actually looks like Bernie might take this... Unexpected...
Prodigal Son
Member
He also does well with Native Americans from what I hear.
OrangeGrayBlue
Member
I really don't think Hillary can close this gap of 12,000 after the big jump that brought her back from 24,000. We'll see though. Looks like Bernie still has a handful of rural counties to be counted too.
Connor Kilpatrick ‎@ckilpatrick
US city w/ largest ArabAmerican pop is Dearborn: 64/36 for Bernie. Arab-Americans for the socialist Jewish dude! http://www.cityofdearborn.org/images/DbnResults/EL45.pdf
lol thats very cool
US city w/ largest ArabAmerican pop is Dearborn: 64/36 for Bernie. Arab-Americans for the socialist Jewish dude! http://www.cityofdearborn.org/images/DbnResults/EL45.pdf
lol thats very cool
WHY VOTE FOR BERNIE AT ALL?
I see why they called it for Hillary though.
If she keeps up the 60% in Wayne, she will end up ahead by 20-30,000 votes overall, or something similar. She would have to fall closer to 54% or something, and that doesn't seem too likely?
It just depends on exactly how much of central Detroit has reported.
If she keeps up the 60% in Wayne, she will end up ahead by 20-30,000 votes overall, or something similar. She would have to fall closer to 54% or something, and that doesn't seem too likely?
It just depends on exactly how much of central Detroit has reported.
Ya, didn't expect that.
Only 50% of Wayne County has reported, most of which is Detroit - so it's unlikely.
Given this potential major upset, is that really guaranteed? What if he has a mass of this kind of similar up swing elsewhere?
Detroit still hasn't come in from the looks of it. A little over half of Wayne County still hasn't reported and judging by the state's total I'm guessing that Detroit is still not reporting.
SolarPowered
Member
You should have been on GAF when Iowa held it's caucus. We practically covered all of Rocky 1.
None of the states on the dnc side are winner take all. But we have a LOT of states to do, and the BIGGEST states with the most delegates to go. The biggest we've had so far is Texas. Clinton isn't that far ahead, at all, in pledged delegates. It's certainly not outside of reach. She's in the lead currently, yes, but her best states are soon to be behind her.
- Status