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Canadian dollar could fall to 75 cents on weak oil prices, experts say

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Syriel

Member
I know oil companies are suffering in the US but why aren't we getting hit as hard economically yet? Do we just keep all of our oil in country instead of exporting?

America is a net importer of oil.

Production in the US is also not at the max.
 

LakeEarth

Member
Buying a ps4 at launch is the first time being an early adopter was a smart decision. Price went up by $60 later and could go higher now.
I bought a PS4 about a week before the price increase happened because I saw it coming. And because I wanted it of course, but beating the price hike did put me over the edge.
 

SMattera

Member
It's pretty simple: Canada's economy is, was and probably always will be (at least for the forseeable future) dependent on the exportation of natural resources.

With natural resource prices near all-time highs the last few years, Canada had it great. Now that they're coming down, Canada is in trouble.
 
Massive overdevelopment of the tarsands for one. Now that oils falling all of that is going to fall apart, and so many jobs will be lost in Alberta.

The housing market's another big problem. It never crashed like the US did. Big Canadian cities have massively overpriced homes waiting to fall in value. This and the low interest rates have contributed to huge consumer debt levels -- totally unsustainable. The central bank is trying to prop it up but IMO hopefully it will fail so some of us can actually afford to buy homes, but that's going to cause a lot of problems for anyone that currently owns a home.

I'm also worried about another tech bubble popping. There's been a lot of investment in really flimsy startups, and it's really starting to remind me of 2000. If that happens my industry is going to be in a lot of trouble.

the silver lining might be harper would be gone
 

B-Dex

Member
Is a low dollar necessarily a bad thing for the economy?

Technically a low loonie is fantastic for our economy. But shitty for our citizens cause prices go way up.

We already pay more for most things compared to our neighbours down south so this will just compound on that. Ie. 79.99 games etc.
 

Dazzler

Member
My company takes in all of its cash in USD and pays staff in CAD, owner is probably mopping up tears of laughter with 50 dollar bills with this news
 

Ventara

Member
Shit, this really sucks. To think that my entire bank account will only be worth 75% of what it was, or that I'm only earning 75% of what I did really puts things in perspective. Fuck! I should've invested! It's probably too late now. I can only hope it makes a comeback.
 

ohlawd

Member
yo 30% off 79.99 is like 56 bucks

pubs will probably just do 20 bucks off so 59

we're back where we started
 

jwhit28

Member
Shit, this really sucks. To think that my entire bank account will only be worth 75% of what it was, or that I'm only earning 75% of what I did really puts things in perspective. Fuck! I should've invested! It's probably too late now. I can only hope it makes a comeback.

It hasn't dropped 25% yet
 
It's pretty simple: Canada's economy is, was and probably always will be (at least for the forseeable future) dependent on the exportation of natural resources.

With natural resource prices near all-time highs the last few years, Canada had it great. Now that they're coming down, Canada is in trouble.

Not to mention people are starting to get tired of Assassin's Creed...
 
the silver lining might be harper would be gone

Maybe. He was going to campaign hard on "balanced budget" and that's definitely out the window now. But our massive suburbs seem to love him for some reason. Maybe they spend too much time in their fatmobiles listening to conservative biased talk radio.
 

TheOMan

Tagged as I see fit
Very much so, he was constantly warned about propping up the oil industry. It's dangerous betting everything on an oil economy.

People have short memories unfortunately, and the other parties are terrible at reminding people. Let's hope they capitalize on this.
 
Back in the late 90's or early 2000's the CDN was about 60 cents on the dollar. Glad we're back to the good old days. Time to take a trip to Canada!
 

LakeEarth

Member
I had $60 American in a drawer from my Vegas trip, score!

Coming back from Vegas with money, yes I realize I did it wrong.
 
Getting paid in CAD :'3

I've been working here for four years now. Pricing up here is an absolute joke. Don't even think about eating out on a regular basis like we were all accustomed to. Taxes are also really high. I, for one, can't wait to find a job back home.

That being said, it's a beautiful country. If you're into sports it's a little upsetting that most people only care about hockey. For example, I'm the one who always sets up the Super Bowl parties with my Canadian friends among other events because of the lack of interest. The people are usually great. No one ever jaywalks either which I found odd. Speed limits are slower than USA too I've noticed.

Good luck! Where are you moving to in Canada?
 

EvilMario

Will QA for food.
I've been working here for four years now. Pricing up here is an absolute joke. Don't even think about eating out on a regular basis like we were all accustomed to. Taxes are also really high. I, for one, can't wait to find a job back home.

That being said, it's a beautiful country. If you're into sports it's a little upsetting that most people only care about hockey. For example, I'm the one who always sets up the Super Bowl parties with my Canadian friends among other events because of the lack of interest. The people are usually great. No one ever jaywalks either which I found odd. Speed limits are slower than USA too I've noticed.

Good luck! Where are you moving to in Canada?

So, you're telling me you're definitely not in Toronto.
 

BorkBork

The Legend of BorkBork: BorkBorkity Borking
Alberta focused, but relevant to Canada:

Alberta's Crazy Oil Bender Is Over - Now stuck with a crude hangover, it could've been like wise and sober Norway.

Norway, like Canada, was scaling up its petroleum industry in the early 1970s. It endured the same cyclical rides in resource pricing, and negotiated terms with many of the same foreign companies.

Yet Norway now has over $1 trillion socked away in its sovereign wealth fund, a dedicated repository of all petroleum revenues. Even if oil was worth nothing tomorrow, the country would still have no public debt, fully funded social programs that we can only dream of, and a very large nest egg to transition to a new economy.

Alberta and Norway obviously have very different ideological bents, and 40 years ago you could have a spirited argument on which worldview would come out on top. But such esoteric speculation is no longer necessary given the hard facts in full view on their respective balance sheets.

The laissez-faire approach to resource management in Alberta has been a fiscal disaster compared to what might have been. In 2012, the province collected a mere $4.04 in royalties per barrel of oil equivalent. That same year, the Norwegian taxpayer raked in $46.29 on their petroleum production -- more than 10 times as much. How did they achieve such vastly better results? By embracing a profitable public involvement and oversight in their resource economy that would be abhorrent to the Fraser Institute worldview that has taken root in Alberta.

While it is true that Norway's Brent crude is worth much more than the low-grade bitumen currently wrung out of the oilsands, Alberta has also produced enormous amounts of conventional crude since oil was discovered in the Turner Valley southwest of Calgary 100 years ago.

Ignoring the oilsands altogether, Alberta has produced 18 per cent more conventional crude and natural gas than has Norway, and the province didn't have to venture hundreds of kilometres into the North Sea to get it.
 

this has a big impact on equalization payments.

People not familiar with it: basically Have provinces pay into the Federal in Equalization while Have-Not Provinces receive Equalization Payments from the Government.

Alberta (being the biggest earner) now having trouble means that there will be less Equalization money for the Have-Not provinces
 
notice Harper shifting attention towards anti-terrorism, aerial missions in Iraq to change the subject away from domestic issues like the economy

Looks like it's working >_<

Projection%2BFront.png
 

thefro

Member
I know oil companies are suffering in the US but why aren't we getting hit as hard economically yet? Do we just keep all of our oil in country instead of exporting?

Our economy is much more diverse, so cheap gas is more of a benefit than the oil companies losing money.
 
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