TMZ isn't usually wrong about things like this, are they?
This situation is too odd.
TMZ is usually very accurate with their reportings, they have spies fucking everywhere. They break stories like this all the fucking time, they must pay people really well. However thats not to say they haven't ever been wrong but in most cases its spot on.
Just check out:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TMZ_(website)#Notable_coverage
For some of their first reportings