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[Askherserenity]

I have family that lives in St. Thomas 6 months out of the year. They are not there now but have many friends who are.

We go every two years and last year we rode horses on the beach. The guy that cares for the horses is staying in their barn during the storm. Hope he will be okay.

Really really hope he stays safe along with the horses and doggies.

Poor babies :[

 

[Gordon Shumway]

Subscribing for latest updates from projections.

Orange County GAF here. Pretty worried. :|

That place still flood easy?

 

[MartyStu]

Village Square > Monroe.

On that note, and not to wish misery on anyone but I hope this things hang east, I can't take another after Hermine and it was weak sauce.

My dude, club pub on Ocala.

 

[sinkfla87]

Whoa whoa, Lionel. There's nothing wrong with wanting to keep these delicious subs in the Publix eye.

I'm going to try to hit Walmart in the morning. I hope there are some lanterns and flashlights still there. Would also like some battery powered fans as it is going to be hot as fuck.

 

[Suikoguy]

Whoa whoa, Lionel. There's nothing wrong with wanting to keep these delicious subs in the Publix eye.

I'm going to try to hit Walmart in the morning. I hope there are some lanterns and flashlights still there. Would also like some battery powered fans as it is going to be hot as fuck.

Sure as fuck not going to Walmart for their deli.

 

[Gordon Shumway]

Sure as fuck not going to Walmart for their deli.

Like some animal..😕

 

[MartyStu]

Anybody in Tally been to the Apalachee Walmart? How are they doing on stock?

 

[statham]

is this safer then staying in the bathroom? during a tornado? trying to get what ifs if I can't vacate.

park both cars in the garage, chain both cars together, stay in car in event a tornado happens?
any down sides?

 

[weekev]

is this safer then staying in the bathroom? during a tornado? trying to get what ifs if I can't vacate.

park both cars in the garage, chain both cars together, stay in car in event a tornado happens?
any down sides?

How prone is your garage to flooding? Or your town in general?

 

[fluffydelusions]

So yeah watch Jose I guess

https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/905291223027638272

 

[Gordon Shumway]

is this safer then staying in the bathroom? during a tornado? trying to get what ifs if I can't vacate.

park both cars in the garage, chain both cars together, stay in car in event a tornado happens?
any down sides?

It all depends on your home, man. Terrible story. I helped my (old) pastor's son move into his beautiful two story house in Cutler Ridge two weeks before Hurricane Andrew. His wife and mother in law had to pull him into the closet he had just told them to run into after a wooden beam smashed his head.

Somehow, it was the only space that survived the storm..their house was literally gone..

 

[Blizzard]

So yeah watch Jose I guess

https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/905291223027638272

From the other thread:

Does this meterologist have a good track record of hurricane path prediction?

I see they have a Ph.D. in meteorology and provide "free ex parte opinions".

 

[caffeware]

[tweet]https://twitter.com/seotimes/status/905270831974158337[/tweet]

 

[OverdriveOtaku]

[tweet]https://twitter.com/seotimes/status/905270831974158337[/tweet]

Damn, and Irma isn't even there yet...

 

[Lionel Mandrake]

I just can't believe some levity isn't allowed here.

You realize that's a gif from The Office and not some sort of decree?

 

[statham]

How prone is your garage to flooding? Or your town in general?

No floods yet or even close. 6 years in this house

Im worried about a direct tornado hit, and if my plan is doable.

 

[Sunster]

if you live in Pinellas you're in for a hell of a time finding water and flash lights

 

[Gordon Shumway]

[tweet]https://twitter.com/seotimes/status/905270831974158337[/tweet]

Eh..Who is this MAGA person? Just asking..

 

[____]

I live in South Florida, specifally Broward County, not near the coast. Not sure what to do yet, I could drive up north-west or ride it out.

My mom lives in Pembroke Pines and just got impact windows on the entire house. She’s (we’re) getting the fuck outta the state when I get off work tomorrow.

 

[mordecaii83]

Latest Euro now agreeing with GFS and showing it going up the east coast of FL.

 

[Blizzard]

Latest Euro now agreeing with GFS and showing it going up the east coast of FL.

Link?

 

[mordecaii83]

Link?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/ana..._mslp&runtime=2017090600&fh=144&xpos=0&ypos=0

 

[caffeware]

Cam from St. Barts


Wonder how long that palm tree is going to hold.

 

[Rebel Leader]

Wow

 

[Blizzard]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/ana..._mslp&runtime=2017090600&fh=144&xpos=0&ypos=0

Thanks, that looks really similar to Matthew actually.

 

[Joe]

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/905314188880486400

Important change thru 96-hr forecast from reliable ECMWF model. No longer Cuban land interaction & turn to N before 80°W longitude.

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/905315642928222208

New ECMWF 00z solution is much faster -- Category 5 off Miami by early Sunday. Could confirm trend east in forecast track (+HWRF, GFS)

 

[MartyStu]

Now this thing is just trolling.

 

[Poltergust]

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/905314188880486400



https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/905315642928222208

Please please please continue shifting northeast. I would like the worst of what we get to be the western side of the storm, which is the weaker side.

 

[Arcia]

Why do people respect the GFS? I saw some other people talking about how the "usually reliable GFS" was way off, and I thought it was kind of funny because it's usually not as accurate as the Euro.

This is just from my experience watching these models during Harvey, but the GFS was usually one of the models that was the 'worst case scenario' and predicted rainfall totals that seemed ridiculous at the time while other models were more lenient. But Harvey was a weird hurricane and then we pretty much got the worst case scenario... Of course, this is a different storm so it might not be as accurate for this one and these conditions.

 

[hodayathink]

I just realized this is probably going to hit St. Thomas really hard tonight. I was just there 3 months ago, and I feel like a Cat 5 would just rip that place apart.

 

[womfalcs3]

It wants to go up the urethra I see.

 

[bobbytkc]

It wants to go up the urethra I see.

That's one way to put it.... Looks like it is gonna hurt.

 

[Ponn]

is this safer then staying in the bathroom? during a tornado? trying to get what ifs if I can't vacate.

park both cars in the garage, chain both cars together, stay in car in event a tornado happens?
any down sides?

Eat a shitload of Publix chicken first to weigh yourself and the car down.

 

[Slayven]

Are forecasts just consolidating? cause every time i check on this after a nap, FL looks like it will get hit harder and harder

 

[seanoff]

Cam from St. Barts


Wonder how long that palm tree is going to hold.

From hard experience. If that Palm tree goes, everything else will look like ground zero nuclear weapon site.

palm trees are incredibly hardy, esp when it comes to surviving wind.

https://www.google.com.au/search?q=...UIESgB&biw=1024&bih=653#imgrc=HUO4yQJOfEPahM:

If you look about a third of the way across from the right there is a palm tree that is ok.

That power pole laying flat is made of 1/2 inch steel plate for the outside parts of the i and about 2 inch steel on the inside cross member.

 

[Pesmerga00]

I need to let off some steam. Forgive my ranting.

I will agree that Publix Fried Chicken/ Subs, are god tier.

But them and Albertsons fucked over my Dad. He worked as a manager in the meat department for 25+ years. The store he was currently working at was getting torn-down/rebuilt. Them offering him a job meant he was ineligible for severance pay. The ultimatum he was given was that, he would take a 20% pay cut, and have to drive an extra 30 miles to the new store, or be unemployed. He took the job at Publix, because we couldn't be without insurance (my mom was in the hospital at the time).

Again, sorry for the off topic rant.

 

[Machina]

There are people dying right this moment and you idiots are arguing over food?

 

[Blizzard]

There are people dying right this moment and you idiots are arguing over food?

Who's arguing? It's more like, I'm sitting in the path of a potential cat 5 hurricane hit, and humor about a local grocery store helps me deal with it.

I understand that other people got hit by the hurricane before me, and I sympathize with them and do not mean any offense to them.

 

[sinkfla87]

There are people dying right this moment and you idiots are arguing over food?

I've been hit by several major hurricanes as I'm a lifelong Florida resident. A little levity over Publix subs is a coping mechanism for those of us who are actually in the path of Irma. We're trying to have a little fun before if worst case scenario, we won't have much to laugh about for quite a while afterwards. Don't wanna participate then don't but don't judge actual past and potentially future victims for enjoying a distraction while we nervously anticipate our fate.

Albertsons story.

Damn, exact same thing actually happened to my sister. They really fucked a lot of people and their families over.

 

[neurosisxeno]

You realize that's a gif from The Office and not some sort of decree?

Hey man, c'mon...

That GIF's from Silicon Valley.

 

[GregLombardi]

Trends are good for Florida. But 50-100 miles may make all the difference and that is a very unfortunate truth at this stage of the game since it makes successful planning incredibly difficult. Just have to hope it stays east of the coast.

 

[caffeware]

Cam from St. Barts


Cam on last minutes?

Its crazy! Now!

 

[methane47]

So I'm here in St Maarten... TS winds have been going for an hour or two.

Waiting patiently for the brunt of this monster

 

[maquiladora]

Track has shifted east, but not as far east as the models shifted, just in case there is a shift back westward.

 

[Development]

So I'm here in St Maarten... TS winds have been going for an hour or two.

Waiting patiently for the brunt of this monster

Stay safe man!

 

[Machina]

Apparently there has been zero contact from anyone in Barbuda for 3 hours. Internet, shortwave radio, morse code, nothing.

 

[Agent_Carnage]

Apparently there has been zero contact from anyone in Barbuda for 3 hours. Internet, shortwave radio, morse code, nothing.

My god. I hope there people still alive there.

 

[Blizzard]

Apparently there has been zero contact from anyone in Barbuda for 3 hours. Internet, shortwave radio, morse code, nothing.

Source? How are various radio signals affected by hurricane conditions?

 

[2MF]

Here's the important tidbit you need to read (rather than just the image):

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT1+shtml/060854.shtml

The forecast has become more uncertain after 72 h due to
large eastward shifts by the ECMWF, Canadian, and HWRF models
related to forecasts of the mid- to upper-level trough over the
southeastern United States. The bulk of the guidance now calls for
Irma to turn northward between 78W-80W, moving near or over the
Florida east coast or the northwestern Bahamas. The official
forecast has also been shifted eastward, but out of respect for the
previous forecast and the possibility the guidance may shift back
to the west, it lies to the left of the bulk of the guidance. The
forecast now calls for landfall in south Florida between 96-120 h.
Users are reminded to not focus on the exact forecast track,
especially at the longer ranges, since the average NHC track errors
are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.

 

[Machina]

Source? How are various radio signals affected by hurricane conditions?

https://twitter.com/wpbf_stephanie/status/905358044216905728

No one has heard from anyone on #Barbuda since #Irma made landfall. Only 1,600 people live there. Sunrise there is at 5:54am