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[jerry113]

So if it's a toss-up between Osoff and Handel in 6/20, Osoff has an advantage there right?

edit: Oh, I see. Not necessarily.

 

[RPGCrazied]

Just to clarify, if Ossoff gets 50%+1 he wins the seat, but if he doesn't it goes to a runoff in June?

Yeah, but then its much harder. Its only 1 Republican then and they can all rally around it. His best shot was tonight.

 

[TheCochese]

I told you this a month ago.

 

[Chococat]

I would be more than fine with a June run off. Though there are those twostolen voting machines out in the wild.

 

[wumster3000]

I think he's done.

I'm terrified of 2018.

This attitude has to stop.

Do you think Trump signed the America first bill today by coincidence? He did it to have a direct effect on this race. Dems will not flip them all. That's nonsense.

 

[ratcliffja]

So if it's a toss-up between Osoff and Handel in 6/20, Osoff has an advantage there right?

All the Republicans would vote for Handel so no. Almost no chance.

 

[plagiarize]

So if it's a toss-up between Osoff and Handel in 6/20, Osoff has an advantage there right?

edit: Oh, I see. Not necessarily.

Right, not necessarily. It depends on how close to 50% he is, and if there's more than enough democratic and independent votes out there should all the republicans unify behind Handel.

 

[balladofwindfishes]

All the Republicans would vote for Handel so no. Almost no chance.

By "almost no chance" you mean "a toss up that could go either way"

 

[BitStyle]

I just wanted Trump to go full caps ballistic like a less-inhibited-than-average 5-year-old

I love it when that happens

Dude is good enough at finding Ls regardless.

Regardless, I'm sure the democrat vote will be impressive considering the district's normal alignment.

 

[Chumly]

Runoff.... at 50.7

 

[mcfrank]

Yikes, big drop.

 

[numble]

40% precincts reporting, Ossoff at 50.76%

 

[TheCochese]

By "almost no chance" you mean "a toss up that could go either way"

Saying it would be a tossup completely ignores the demographics here.

People may not like Trump, but there's still going to be a contestant with an R behind their name.

Not sure why people keep saying this, if he gets 49% of the vote he only needs to gain 1% more of the vote. The others Dems alone account for that. Whoever wins on the republican side needs to gain all their opponents votes in order to have a chance, and there is no guarantee that will be the case. Asking a single candidate to win 50% or more in a jungle primary was already asking for too much, its crazy talk to believe this was his best shot.

I live here. It was his best shot.

 

[Ac30]

40% precincts reporting, Ossoff at 50.76%

Isn't Cobb where he's expected to do badly?

 

[rjinaz]

Ok safe to tune out now. I kind of enjoyed the ride though. See you all back here in June. Vote your Ossoff!

 

[Herr Schwarz]

There's still a chance but he's gottah get those numbers back up. Da fuq are the democrats

 

[Allard]

Yeah, but then its much harder. Its only 1 Republican then and they can all rally around it. His best shot was tonight.

Not sure why people keep saying this, if he gets 49% of the vote he only needs to gain 1% more of the vote. The others Dems alone account for that. Whoever wins on the republican side needs to gain all their opponents votes in order to have a chance, and there is no guarantee that will be the case. Asking a single candidate to win 50% or more in a jungle primary was already asking for too much, its crazy talk to believe this was his best shot.

 

[TheAbsolution]

Most of Cobb just came in. down to 50.8%

 

[Slater]

There's still a chance but he's gottah get those numbers back up. Da fuq are the democrats

"There's still a chance" people are almost as annoying as the doom sayers

 

[OrangeGrayBlue]

Big drop was due to a lot of Cobb coming in, there's still a good chunk from the other counties yet to be reported.

 

[Ac30]

"There's still a chance" people are almost as annoying as the doom sayers

Remember election night?

Good times

I'm still scarred

DeKalb is already over 50% counted, it's donzo folks, but we're off to a good start for June.

 

[Boke1879]

Don't know what was expected otherwise.

 

[StopMakingSense]

Yeah Cobb just dumped a whole bunch of votes b

 

[Dead Prince]

There's still a chance but he's gottah get those numbers back up. Da fuq are the democrats

"hes going to win/he's not going to win. my vote won't matter"

 

[Wet Bloodfart]

There's still a chance but he's gottah get those numbers back up. Da fuq are the democrats

Sounds like they showed up. It's a huuuuuge GOP district remember?

 

[poppedcollar69]

"There's still a chance" people are almost as annoying as the doom sayers

so if you're annoyed by both, don't click on the thread maybe

 

[Herr Schwarz]

"There's still a chance" people are almost as annoying as the doom sayers

There is though! If he gets any kind of upward movement from this point then he's got a chance. If he's still the same at 50% (reporting) then yeah, game over.

 

[BitStyle]

Which of the 3 counties has the highest population? Cobb?

edit: Seems to be Fulton

 

[kess]

73% Cobb reporting.

 

[jerry113]

Whoever wins on the republican side needs to gain all their opponents votes in order to have a chance, and there is no guarantee that will be the case.

Republicans always fall in line; Democrats have to fall in love.

 

[OrangeGrayBlue]

Looking more and more like the other dem candidates might actually spoil this. Hilarious.

 

[Chumly]

Not sure why people keep saying this, if he gets 49% of the vote he only needs to gain 1% more of the vote. The others Dems alone account for that. Whoever wins on the republican side needs to gain all their opponents votes in order to have a chance, and there is no guarantee that will be the case. Asking a single candidate to win 50% or more in a jungle primary was already asking for too much, its crazy talk to believe this was his best shot.

There is a reason why people are saying it. Prerunoff elections always have a lower turnout. 1 dem verses 1 republican is likely to be a negative. Republicans would be more motivated to come out to vote against him. Again it's not impossible but there is a lot of work to be done

 

[Ogodei]

Looking more and more like the other dem candidates might actually spoil this. Hilarious.

That's good news, though. If Total D > Total R, then the runoff should presumably be a win (although that obviously ignores turnout changes, which will be huge).

 

[BronsonLee]

Everyone serving hard times now

THANKS COBB COUNTY

 

[wandering]

Not sure why people keep saying this, if he gets 49% of the vote he only needs to gain 1% more of the vote. The others Dems alone account for that. Whoever wins on the republican side needs to gain all their opponents votes in order to have a chance, and there is no guarantee that will be the case. Asking a single candidate to win 50% or more in a jungle primary was already asking for too much, its crazy talk to believe this was his best shot.

Republicans always fall in line. You saw it in 2016.

 

[RPGCrazied]

Runoffs are stupid. Its not our fault Republicans had 17 people running. There should have been only 1 election.

 

[jerry113]

That's good news, though. If Total D > Total R, then the runoff should presumably be a win (although that obviously ignores turnout changes, which will be huge).

Osoff would need to ramp up his campaign until the runoff: he would need to keep the Democrats in his district excited while convincing some of those Republican voters to switch over to him between now and June.

 

[Ac30]

Did I have a seizure or did he just recover a half percentage point

 

[wandering]

Oh hey, he actually went up. 51 now

 

[numble]

Ossoff moved up +0.2 with 6% more reporting.

 

[StopMakingSense]

Did I have a seizure or did he just recover a half percentage point

Chunk of DeKalb came in.

 

[LuffyZoro]

Fulton County, which is more blue, only has 16% of precincts reporting.

 

[BitStyle]

Did I have a seizure or did he just recover a half percentage point

Seemed like there was a jump in DeKalb reporting

 

[Boke1879]

Osoff would need to ramp up his campaign until the runoff: he would need to keep the Democrats in his district excited while convincing some of those Republican voters to switch over to him between now and June.

I mean this going to a runoff will get more attention. For both sides. It's a coin toss. More money gets put into and all that jazz.

I don't view it as a negative. It's just an election.

 

[Chumly]

Did I have a seizure or did he just recover a half percentage point

Dekalb brought him back up. That country is 94% done

 

[numble]

Runoffs are stupid. Its not our fault Republicans had 17 people running. There should have been only 1 election.

This is a jungle primary and not the actual election. They forego an election if there is a clear favorite in the primary.

 

[StopMakingSense]

Runoffs are stupid. Its not our fault Republicans had 17 people running. There should have been only 1 election.

It's a primary. It's not that hard to understand.

 

[Swass]

Cobb county is killing him...

 

[TheCochese]

Fulton County, which is more blue, only has 16% of precincts reporting.

More blue than what? You're talking maybe two percent compared to Cobb's sixth.

Most of the Democratic vote in Fulton comes from mid and south.

 

[jerry113]

I mean this going to a runoff will get more attention. For both sides. It's a coin toss. More money gets put into and all that jazz.

I don't view it as a negative. It's just an election.

It'll be interesting to see if the closeness of this race encourages some Democrats or Independents - who otherwise stayed at home tonight because they thought, and for good reason (in a district that hasn't seen a non-Republican candidate win for 40 years) that there would be no hope anyway - to actually come out and vote in June.