Snah, you're stacking assumption upon assumption. I don't think that reaches the conslusion you want.
Wal*Mart may well be taking a loss-- after all, it's only one day, and it got people lining up in stores.
Also, even if Toshiba is footing the bill, why not?
The only thing that matters is the effect in the long term. If this evens out software sales, or gets HD-VD the lead, it's have been worth every penny.
Also, some people are saying this is risky because if it fails, HD-DVD has nothing left. Seems like a non-comment to me-- that's been true almost all year, and it's been the strategy that's been trumpted by the viral blogs as well. The price-cutting didn't come out of nowhwere. Of *course* if it doesn't work HD-DVD will be in trouble. But without it, that trouble would be a foregone conclusion. It's like saying that the Allies D-Day plans were risky. Yes, but with great reward if they succeed, and dead in teh water if not even attempted. He who dares, wins.
But enough of that. I sincerely hope this sales rally fizzles so we can have one format, stat-- or is so blinding successful that the studios start making HD-DVD discs by Q2. Anything else sucks.