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Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 ended in the Southern Indian Ocean

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Ether_Snake

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What would happen if the airplane was landed to be used as a weapon later?

Let's say it takes off to aim at the US at night, and tried to follow the path of another known airplane. Eventually someone will have to contact both airplanes if both are visible on the radars, in which case both planes would say they are the same one. If suspicion arises, fighter jets would be dispatched, and only then could they look at the plane to try and identify them through their markings, unless said markings have been redone to match the real plane. You are left with trying to look through the windows to see if people are on board, what else could be done to determine which is the real plane?
 
It's not true that nothing has been confirmed. We know for a fact now that both the Transponder and Communications were cut deliberately, right when the plane flew in-between Malaysian and Chinese airspace.

The plane then turned back and set a new course, and proceeded to follow that for another 7 hours before all trace was lost.

Everything else is speculation.

No, none of what you stated is 100% known as fact. It's still just speculation. The fact that those were DELIBERATELY cut, and that the plane turned back, are both just assumptions.
 
What would happen if the airplane was landed to be used as a weapon later?

Let's say it takes off to aim at the US at night, and tried to follow the path of another known airplane. Eventually someone will have to contact both airplanes if both are visible on the radars, in which case both planes would say they are the same one. If suspicion arises, fighter jets would be dispatched, and only then could they look at the plane to try and identify them through their markings, unless said markings have been redone to match the real plane. You are left with trying to look through the windows to see if people are on board, what else could be done to determine which is the real plane?

You been watching too many movies.
 

Ovid

Member
That it's not mechanical failure

transponder and comms were deliberately turned off.

A series of events occurred that resulted in the comms being turned off and a change in directions.
Screams hijack bro.

Also, if you haven't noticed, this thread is a thread of speculation.

No, none of what you stated is 100% known as fact. It's still just speculation. The fact that those were DELIBERATELY cut, and that the plane turned back, are both just assumptions.
What are you talking about?
 
What would happen if the airplane was landed to be used as a weapon later?

Let's say it takes off to aim at the US at night, and tried to follow the path of another known airplane. Eventually someone will have to contact both airplanes if both are visible on the radars, in which case both planes would say they are the same one. If suspicion arises, fighter jets would be dispatched, and only then could they look at the plane to try and identify them through their markings, unless said markings have been redone to match the real plane. You are left with trying to look through the windows to see if people are on board, what else could be done to determine which is the real plane?

What if they kept the people.
 
What would happen if the airplane was landed to be used as a weapon later?

Let's say it takes off to aim at the US at night, and tried to follow the path of another known airplane. Eventually someone will have to contact both airplanes if both are visible on the radars, in which case both planes would say they are the same one. If suspicion arises, fighter jets would be dispatched, and only then could they look at the plane to try and identify them through their markings, unless said markings have been redone to match the real plane. You are left with trying to look through the windows to see if people are on board, what else could be done to determine which is the real plane?

That's.. umm...wow. No. You don't fly a 777 across the planet to take aim at the US. We're still in the real world here, not an over the top hollywood movie, which still wouldn't go there.
 

Ether_Snake

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What if they kept the people.

That doesn't make sense, they could easily tell the flight attendants to do something like walk around and such. I think there's a limit to being able to keep hundreds of people on board + a fake crew.

edit: Also maybe the people on board the flight managed to take out the pilot, but were then left with no way to communicate or pilot the plane.

That's.. umm...wow. No. You don't fly a 777 across the planet to take aim at the US. We're still in the real world here, not an over the top hollywood movie, which still wouldn't go there.

Why wouldn't terrorists do that? They have trouble in secure airports, so they steal a plane elsewhere.
 
Screams hijack bro.

Also, if you haven't noticed, this thread is a thread of speculation.


What are you talking about?

What am I talking about? Do you know the meaning of "confirmed"? How the hell can you confirm intention/deliberation at this point? The assumption that it was deliberate might be a logical one that stems from the timing, but it is in no way, shape, or form "confirmed".
 

GlamFM

Banned
I'm not saying it's aliens but...

ufo-plane.jpg
 

SmokeMaxX

Member
Screams hijack bro.

Also, if you haven't noticed, this thread is a thread of speculation.

What are you talking about?
I'm pretty sure that there's not confirmation that anything was deliberately cut, only that it's most likely that things were deliberately cut. I'm in the camp that thinks they were deliberately cut, but I'm not going to say that it's fact until it's proven to be true.
Deliberate actions WERE taken, however, and that's in regards to the plane's movements.
 
Why wouldn't terrorists do that? They have trouble in secure airports, so they steal a plane elsewhere.

So they steal a plane from literally the other side of the world? You don't think they'd try for something just a BIT closer, if the plan is to attack the US with it? Come on, grow up.
 

EatChildren

Currently polling second in Australia's federal election (first in the Gold Coast), this feral may one day be your Bogan King.
Right, the only confirmed information is that:

- Transponder(s) were disengaged as the aircraft crossed over from Malaysia to Chinese(?) airspace. This is where the craft originally disappeared. It is now believed that these systems were shut down manually and deliberately, not by accident or mechanical failure.
- Aircraft turned around from its original flight path, back through Malaysia, over upper Indonesian islands, and turned again on a northernish trajectory towards mainland ~India. This was confirmed by radar. Essentially the aircraft was still in flight when it was reported mission (when this thread was made). The altered flight path had to have been deliberate movement by whoever was flying.

What we don't know
- If the transponder(s) were turned off manually for sure, even if it seems likely.
- Who turned off the transponder(s).
- Who was flying the aircraft.
- Its intended destination, if it had any.
- If it's since been landed or cashed.

So while hijacking is certainly a possibility, moreso now than the very first report of its disappearance, it cannot be "confirmed" regardless of likelihood as such data does not exist.
 
If the plane was hijacked by terrorists and succesfully landed, to be used later on, wouldn't they have to refuel? Depending on how far they've flown, lets say they were in the air for another 4 hours before they landed, surely the plane can't have much fuel left?
 

Ovid

Member
What am I talking about? Do you know the meaning of "confirmed"? How the hell can you confirm intention/deliberation at this point? The assumption that it was deliberate might be a logical one that stems from the timing, but it is in no way, shape, or form "confirmed".
The Maylasian PM said it was deliberately turned off. How is that not 100% fact? They would've have the highest ranking official go to a press conference and put that information out there if it wasn't true.
 
Not saying I support any hypothesis, but to answer your question, why do suicide bombers detonate in places that'd probably kill a few of their fellow ethnic race/religion/etc?

Usually because it's related to the struggle in some way e.g. Al-Qaeda bombing other Muslims because they believe Muslim countries are supporting Western troops. Or Lakshar-e-Taiba (sp?) bombing Shias because they are seen as Ayatollah-friendly. I can't tell what Malaysia has to do with Xinjiang. Only way it's possible is if the pilot was sympathetic to their cause, which seems pretty unlikely.
 

Pandaman

Everything is moe to me
Why wouldn't terrorists do that? They have trouble in secure airports, so they steal a plane elsewhere.
well there'd be no real way to get it to the states. it's a bad plan for a group of people who would otherwise have to be very good at planning.
 

Ether_Snake

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well there'd be no real way to get it to the states. it's a bad plan for a group of people who would otherwise have to be very good at planning.

Err that's assuming it's heading for the states, could be anywhere else really.
 

Ovid

Member
Right, the only confirmed information is that:

- Transponder(s) were disengaged as the aircraft crossed over from Malaysia to Chinese(?) airspace. This is where the craft originally disappeared. It is now believed that these systems were shut down manually and deliberately, not by accident or mechanical failure.
- Aircraft turned around from its original flight path, back through Malaysia, over upper Indonesian islands, and turned again on a northernish trajectory towards mainland ~India. This was confirmed by radar. Essentially the aircraft was still in flight when it was reported mission (when this thread was made). The altered flight path had to have been deliberate movement by whoever was flying.

What we don't know
- If the transponder(s) were turned off manually for sure, even if it seems likely.
- Who turned off the transponder(s).
- Who was flying the aircraft.
- Its intended destination, if it had any.
- If it's since been landed or cashed.

So while hijacking is certainly a possibility, moreso now than the very first report of its disappearance, it cannot be "confirmed" regardless of likelihood as such data does not exist.
Two transponders. One on the flight deck and the other one down below.
 

SmokeMaxX

Member
What would happen if the airplane was landed to be used as a weapon later?

Let's say it takes off to aim at the US at night, and tried to follow the path of another known airplane. Eventually someone will have to contact both airplanes if both are visible on the radars, in which case both planes would say they are the same one. If suspicion arises, fighter jets would be dispatched, and only then could they look at the plane to try and identify them through their markings, unless said markings have been redone to match the real plane. You are left with trying to look through the windows to see if people are on board, what else could be done to determine which is the real plane?
I addressed this a few pages ago in a few posts, but I'll post the gist of it here:

Everything below this point is a copy and paste of a previous post I made:

How so? If the plane has a transponder, they can give the receiving airport whatever information they want. The only thing I'm not sure about is the flight number.
That's not true.

http://macsblog.com/2011/06/your-not-so-secret-id-number/
Did you know that your airplane has a distinctive identification number that is not your N number? And depending on what type of transponder you have, that special number may be broadcast automatically without you even knowing it.

The special identification number is assigned to every registered airplane. The number is sometimes called the ICAO (International Civil Aviation Organization) number, or can be labeled the Mode S number. The reason it is called the ICAO identification is because unlike the registration (N number) it is unique for the world, not just a single country.

PPRUNE discussed this a while back:
Starts at http://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/535538-malaysian-airlines-mh370-contact-lost-140.html and goes for a few pages after that:
It has a code you can enter for that flight, but also a code in the background unique to the airframe. It is - in computer terms - a MAC address and is used like that for data communications in the background.
MODE S and ADSB transmit as part of the extended squitter the airframes unique ICAO 24bit address.

It is hard coded and cannot be changed.

[Fake-Edit: I posted another quote a few pages back that says that the Mode S code is transmitted via the transponders and you can't change it so ATC would be able to figure out which plane is legit pretty fast]
 

zeemumu

Member
I can't keep up with the news and conspiracies in this thread.

Exactly what has been determined as fact? If this was a hijacking, did anyone openly take responsibility for the hijack? Were demands made?

The plane's gone and contact was cut off manually. That's about it.

Why wouldn't terrorists do that? They have trouble in secure airports, so they steal a plane elsewhere.

There wasn't enough fuel to make it that far. If they wanted to do that, they would've hijacked a plane that's heading somewhere close to the US and not directly for it, then hijacked the plane halfway there.
 

Guileless

Temp Banned for Remedial Purposes
The most high value target in the area would be the F1 race in Melbourne that starts in about 12 hours.
 

Ether_Snake

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I addressed this a few pages ago in a few posts, but I'll post the gist of it here:

Everything below this point is a copy and paste of a previous post I made:


That's not true.

http://macsblog.com/2011/06/your-not-so-secret-id-number/


PPRUNE discussed this a while back:
Starts at http://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/535538-malaysian-airlines-mh370-contact-lost-140.html and goes for a few pages after that:



[Fake-Edit: I posted another quote a few pages back that says that the Mode S code is transmitted via the transponders and you can't change it so ATC would be able to figure out which plane is legit pretty fast]

So I guess it wouldn't be difficult to know the plane is pretending to be another plane.

I think right now the most likely scenario is that the hijacker(s) turned off the communications system, possibly in a way that makes them impossible to be turned back on, then the staff and people on board figured the plane was hijacked and managed to take control back, but had no way of communicating anymore or even knowing where they were. That would possibly explain the erratic flight path. Why would you fly back southwest, then northwest?
 

"But based on what is already known about the flight’s trajectory, investigators are strongly favoring the southern corridor as the likely flight path, the person said. “The U.S. Navy would not be heading toward Kazakhstan,” the person said."

Rather curious why they think this, since the last known radar detection had the plane going north of west headed for the Andamans. If it's just based on assuming military radar would spot the jet, I do not believe that completely overrides the last known direction, and the likelyhood that a person able to pilot the plane would want to head towards land.
 
The transponders and communication were deliberately cut, that much is certain. Who did it? Why did they do it? We don't know, but it's not a case of malfunction, the loss of contact was through manual intervention, we don't know the cause behind it but it does make the search a hell of a lot more difficult.
The worries of it being used to ride a nuke into the US are absurd, however.
 

crozier

Member
That's not true.

Didn't we literally have this entire discussion a few pages back?

How does the FAA use the Mode S code over the course of a typical flight? Is it simply used to differentiate planes that are flying closely together? Do they run the code against some database to verify a plane's identity? Is it not used at all?
 

Kuroyume

Banned
Do they give pilots psychological evaluations every year? Not saying they were responsible but it got me thinking how so many lives can be on the hands of 2 people. Even crazier is the idea that they can't find it. Yeah earth is huge and all but with all the radar and the plane being huge...
 
You should see some of the racing rigs that professional race car drivers have at home.

Those are all off-the-shelf Saitek and CH Product flight sim gear. Not unusual in-and-of itself, especially for a pilot.

Apparently he was a flight sim consultant too, so checked out lots of software. Kinda like a game reviewer.
 

Linkhero1

Member
Just woke up and so much information. I don't know what's confirmed and what's not confirmed. Where's Falk when you need him :(

Why would they kill fellow Muslim Malaysians?

If it's an extremist group then they don't care.

Edit:

Right, the only confirmed information is that:

- Transponder(s) were disengaged as the aircraft crossed over from Malaysia to Chinese(?) airspace. This is where the craft originally disappeared. It is now believed that these systems were shut down manually and deliberately, not by accident or mechanical failure.
- Aircraft turned around from its original flight path, back through Malaysia, over upper Indonesian islands, and turned again on a northernish trajectory towards mainland ~India. This was confirmed by radar. Essentially the aircraft was still in flight when it was reported mission (when this thread was made). The altered flight path had to have been deliberate movement by whoever was flying.

What we don't know
- If the transponder(s) were turned off manually for sure, even if it seems likely.
- Who turned off the transponder(s).
- Who was flying the aircraft.
- Its intended destination, if it had any.
- If it's since been landed or cashed.

So while hijacking is certainly a possibility, moreso now than the very first report of its disappearance, it cannot be "confirmed" regardless of likelihood as such data does not exist.

Totally missed your post. Thanks for the quick update. There's so many questions and I don't think any of them will be answered until the plane is found.
 
Right, the only confirmed information is that:

- Transponder(s) were disengaged as the aircraft crossed over from Malaysia to Chinese(?) airspace. This is where the craft originally disappeared. It is now believed that these systems were shut down manually and deliberately, not by accident or mechanical failure.
- Aircraft turned around from its original flight path, back through Malaysia, over upper Indonesian islands, and turned again on a northernish trajectory towards mainland ~India. This was confirmed by radar. Essentially the aircraft was still in flight when it was reported mission (when this thread was made). The altered flight path had to have been deliberate movement by whoever was flying.

What we don't know
- If the transponder(s) were turned off manually for sure, even if it seems likely.
- Who turned off the transponder(s).
- Who was flying the aircraft.
- Its intended destination, if it had any.
- If it's since been landed or cashed.

So while hijacking is certainly a possibility, moreso now than the very first report of its disappearance, it cannot be "confirmed" regardless of likelihood as such data does not exist.

So if these has been the confirmed facts, how is it that we haven't heard from any families of those who were on board that flight and if they tried to make contact with their families? Idk about you guys, but if I was on a hijacked plane I'd be frantically calling family to speak to someone, anyone about what's going on and give up my cell phone signal to track me.
 

Ovid

Member

Ovid

Member
So if these has been the confirmed facts, how is it that we haven't heard from any families of those who were on board that flight and if they tried to make contact with their families? Idk about you guys, but if I was on a hijacked plane I'd be frantically calling family to speak to someone, anyone about what's going on and give up my cell phone signal to track me.
Too high and far out to sea for mobile communication.
 

Aesius

Member
I don't know why people are immediately dismissing some theories because they're "too complicated".

I'd say that hijacking the plane in the manner it was apparently achieved was complicated enough. Wouldn't surprise me if there's an elaborate terrorist plot going on.
 

Linkhero1

Member
So if these has been the confirmed facts, how is it that we haven't heard from any families of those who were on board that flight and if they tried to make contact with their families? Idk about you guys, but if I was on a hijacked plane I'd be frantically calling family to speak to someone, anyone about what's going on and give up my cell phone signal to track me.

There are two(three) things you have to take into consideration.

1) At the altitude they're flying it's more than likely that none of the phones have a signal.
2) If they did land somewhere and did not crash, it's more than likely that none of the phones have a signal.
3) Other crazy scenarios where the plane flew at an altitude much higher than 35000 ft knocking out all passengers for the hijackers to take all mobile devices on the passengers.


Thank you.
 
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