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[darkside31337]

Walking Dead making the top 10.

Activision laughing their way to the bank.

They should write a check to Telltale for all the poor folks who bought this game because they heard good things about that Walking Dead game.

 

[Skiesofwonder]

Honestly, I totally forgot that Gears of War: Judgement even released this month.

And to think it was one of my favorite franchises after GOW2....

 

[Bruno MB]

Unless NBA 2K13 had multiplied its sales by at least 2.5 (I don't know if it is possible), there is no way it had sold more than Gear of Wars: Judgment even if the latter bombed.

 

[UberTag]

Unless NBA 2K13 had multiplied its sales by 2 and a half (I don't know if it is possible), there is no way it had sold more than Gear of Wars: Judgment even if the latter bombed.

We'll have clarification in 18 minutes either way.

 

[Drago]

360 at 261k and at #1 spells bad news for other consoles. Oy...

At least BioShock will probably turn out at #1 in the charts, which makes me very happy. Deserves all of its sales.

Sucks that Walking Dead is in the top 10.

 

[Miles X]

FYI last month or month before they put skus out of order, so I don't think they're in order.

 

[Averon]

The same percentage off would put it under 60K

It is possible Pachter overshot the Wii U numbers again. Overshooting a 55k prediction is...well it's very, very bad for Nintendo.

 

[pieatorium]

Tomb Raider behind Gears of War: Judgment, that's surprising.

Don't the vast majority of Gears sales come in the US? Since we know Tomb Raider is 3.4ish million shipped and it did pretty well in EU Gears would have had to be an absolute extreme bomb for it not to be higher i feel.

 

[Nirolak]

Last month they weren't in order given they list Aliens before Dead Space.

 

[ViewtifulJC]

Honestly, I totally forgot that Gears of War: Judgement even released this month.

And to think it was one of my favorite franchises after GOW2....

I played Gears 3 for hundreds of hours in 2012 and I've already forgotten about Judgement

and considering it already slid out of the top 10 on XBL Activity chart(behind Skyrim and GTA4 of all things), I'm not the only one

 

[Delusibeta]

Well fuck, The Walking Dead: Survival Instinct is in the top 10. Why?

For the same reason why licenced shovelware exists: people pick it because it's got The Walking Dead on the box and don't do any research on if it's any good or not.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

6k off on 360, I'll take it.

 

[TheNatural]

Any mutltiplatform new game with a popular license is guaranteed a spot in the top 10 in slow months. It's not like it's some sort of great accomplishment.

 

[DaBoss]

I played Gears 3 for hundreds of hours in 2012 and I've already forgotten about Judgement

and considering it already slid out of the top 10 on XBL Activity chart(behind Skyrim and GTA4 of all things), I'm not the only one

It was treated like a shitty side game, and now it is selling like a shitty side game (not saying it is bad, I never played it, but that is the impression it gives). I hate how it has fallen from a great height. I really enjoyed GOW2 despite the fact 3rd-person shooters aren't my cup of tea.

For the same reason why licenced shovelware exists: people pick it because it's got The Walking Dead on the box and don't do any research on if it's any good or not.

I know, it was a rhetorical question.

 

[Delusibeta]

Incidentally, I note that Microsoft didn't include a percentage for us to work from, making the speculation on console numbers harder.

 

[The Grim Heaper]

urgh at Walking Dead in the top 10

Maybe Activision will actually give them time to try and make the game good with a sequel, though?

 

[Dunlop]

Incidentally, I note that Microsoft didn't include a percentage for us to work from, making the speculation on console numbers harder.

Sony is probably a lot closer this month

 

[darkside31337]

Incidentally, I note that Microsoft didn't include a percentage for us to work from, making the speculation on console numbers harder.

I'd imagine if it was more than PS3 + Wii U they would have said as they have in previous months but yeah its weird.

 

[Jonsoncao]

The winner of the 360 prediction sweepstakes this month is THIS guy! Congrats, Jonsoncao!

LOL

I was using

(February 360 2013)*(February 360 2012)/(March 360 2012)

then round up.

 

[velvet_nitemare]

I'd imagine if it was more than PS3 + Wii U they would have said as they have in previous months but yeah its weird.

They've still given percentages even when they held <50% of the market, so it's something else.

 

[Mpl90]

They've still given percentages even when they held <50% of the market, so it's something else.

Probably less than 40%?

 

[Delusibeta]

Sony is probably a lot closer this month

That would be a distinct possibility. Crowing that you have 47% of the market doesn't mean much if your biggest competitor has 43%.

 

[Drago]

I hope 3DS is over 200k. Given that they had 2 major releases and a Pikachu XL release that probably completely sold out, anything less would be pathetic.

 

[Bruno MB]

Last March, both systems were pretty close.

Xbox 360 - 371K (-14.3%)
PlayStation 3 - 337K (-7.7%)

 

[DaBoss]

Any reason as to why the 360 and PS3 are close during the month of March?

 

[Pranay]

Any reason as to why the 360 and PS3 are close during the month of March?

mlb

 

[UberTag]

Last March, both systems were pretty close.

Xbox 360 - 371K (-14.3%)
PlayStation 3 - 337K (-7.7%)

If Sony maintained the same difference this year, the PS3 would come in at 237K this month.

 

[velvet_nitemare]

Probably less than 40%?

I honestly have no clue. We can theorize some more tomorrow when we hopefully have all the console numbers.

 

[TheNatural]

Time for the new thread yet?

 

[darkside31337]

Any reason as to why the 360 and PS3 are close during the month of March?

Only thing I can think of are baseball fans who cave in and buy a PS3 for MLB the Show because MLB 2K is a piece of shit every year.

 

[Petrae]

Last March, both systems were pretty close.

Xbox 360 - 371K (-14.3%)
PlayStation 3 - 337K (-7.7%)

I could see a similar scenario this year with a pair of PS3 exclusives along with Tomb Raider & Bioshock Infinite on the multiplat side.

Too bad we probably won't hear specifics from SCEA.

 

[Nirolak]

Time for the new thread yet?

Once the numbers show up yes.

 

[Road]

Once the numbers show up yes.

http://www.gamesindustry.biz/articl...t-save-march-us-sales-from-10-percent-decline

 

[RukusProvider]

Once the numbers show up yes.

You on the phone with Sony and Nintendo?

 

[Nirolak]

http://www.gamesindustry.biz/articl...t-save-march-us-sales-from-10-percent-decline

Thanks.

EviLore is posting up the thread in a minute.

 

[TheNatural]

http://www.gamesindustry.biz/articl...t-save-march-us-sales-from-10-percent-decline

Luigi at #6, nice!

 

[Ryu Hayabusa]

 

[UberTag]

NPD TOP 10 PREDICTIONS

1. BioShock Infinite
2. Tomb Raider
3. Gears of War: Judgment
4. God of War: Ascension
5. Luigi's Mansion: Dark Moon
6. StarCraft II: Heart of the Swarm
7. MLB 13: The Show
8. SimCity
9. Call of Duty: Black Ops II
10. The Walking Dead: Survival Instinct

So I nailed the Top 4 exactly, discounted the strength of Black Ops II too much as it finished 5th, overestimated the PC titles unless they're being excluded for some reason (despite being called out in multi-SKU breakdowns) and should have squeezed in NBA 2K13 ahead of TWD: SI. Not too shabby, I'd say.

 

[ThreeSixty]

I'm super curious about the Wii U situation. I find its relative commercial failure fascinating given the runaway success of the Wii. Nintendo are doing everything in their power to reignite sales (the Nintendo Directs and the new game reveals and so on) so I'm curious as to whether the Wii U can recover. TBH I'm expecting the Wii U numbers to fall in the 50K to 70K range. 70K max. Several titles released last month and it didn't ignite sales so I can't see Nintendo having any kind of dramatic turnaround just yet.

I think the real test will be E3 where Nintendo will hopefully drop the system sellers (new Mario, Metroid, Zelda and so on) and then this Christmas where we'll see if the new titles have any impact. It's strange. Nintendo started pumping out titles for the 3DS (along with the swift and dramatic price cut) and that saved the console. If Nintendo do the same thing as the year goes on (drop the bombs and cut the price) do you guys feel they can repeat the same tactic and save the Wii U?

I hope we can somehow workout the accurate numbers from the data. It would be amazing if the Wii U started to climb and somehow broke 100K.

 

[Foshy]

About what was expected, right? Only surprise there is Naruto I guess.

 

[donny2112]

NeoGAF Prediction Results - March 2013

Units

1. nhlducks35 - 21,000
2. ItWasMeantToBe19 - 46,000
3. Shaanyboi - 56,000
4. Zoramon089 - 68,000
5. DrWong - 69,000
5. doicare - 69,000
7. Colonel Mustard - 73,000
8. Goldmund - 75,000
9. Jonsoncao - 80,000
10. archnemesis - 81,000
11. rayner - 83,000
12. Hammer24 - 89,000
13. Dysun - 92,000
13. pixlexic - 92,000
13. shinra-bansho - 92,000
16. confuziz - 93,000
17. Limit - 93,688
18. GAF_Agg - 94,000
19. Brakara - 97,000
19. noobie - 97,000
21. Roboleon - 98,000
22. Tratorn - 100,000
23. DaBoss - 101,000
23. digoutyoursoul - 101,000
25. donny2112 - 106,000
26. Bruno MB - 107,000
26. Drago - 107,000
28. Zero-Crescent - 111,000
29. Strike - 113,000
29. skedar897 - 113,000
31. Road - 114,000
32. dreamghost - 115,000
33. idlewild_ - 117,000
34. CouldBeWorse - 119,000
35. UberTag - 122,000
35. allan-bh - 122,000
35. metalslimer - 122,000
38. prag16 - 123,000
39. Hiro_Kunimi_80 - 125,000
39. michaelius - 125,000
41. kswiston - 128,000
42. Moral Panic - 133,000
42. gngf123 - 133,000
44. Canis lupus - 136,000
45. BlackJace - 139,000
46. Pachter - 139,500
47. Mihael Mello Keehl - 140,000
48. ohlawd - 142,000
49. Jamix012 - 143,000
49. pieatorium - 143,000
51. perfectchaos007 - 147,000
52. Dynopia - 148,000
52. airmangataosenai - 148,000
54. Jomjom - 150,000
55. jvm - 152,000
56. CorporateClown - 153,000
57. freefornow - 154,000
58. Marlowe78 - 157,000
59. HalfBaked - 158,000
59. Kiyo - 158,000
61. baekshi - 163,000
61. pitseleh - 163,000
61. sacrificengineer - 163,000
64. The Insane Dufresne - 166,000
65. Elios83 - 168,000
66. Chronos24 - 172,000
67. Syphon Filter - 173,000
68. RoKKeR - 177,000
69. Jesse2040 - 182,000
69. MoeB - 182,000
71. Madao - 198,000
72. MasterSheen - 208,000
73. Megadragon15 - 213,000
74. KidGalactus - 223,000
75. Pyscho_Mantis - 228,000
76. Gianni Merryman - 240,000
77. AOC83 - 258,000
78. kamakazi5 - 328,000
79. Thoraxes - 354,000


Points

     March 2013                      Overall 2013 Top (2/3)
01.  nhlducks35             123.03   nhlducks35             225.97
02.  Shaanyboi              110.65   ItWasMeantToBe19       217.95
03.  Zoramon089             106.32   Bruno MB               209.44
04.  ItWasMeantToBe19       106.05   archnemesis            205.10
05.  doicare                 99.23   doicare                196.24
06.  DrWong                  97.67   shinra-bansho          196.16
07.  donny2112               97.25   Goldmund               195.47
08.  Goldmund                94.76   CorporateClown         193.51
09.  Roboleon                93.99   rayner                 192.51
10.  ohlawd                  93.50   Road                   192.04
11.  Jomjom                  93.11   Jonsoncao              190.55
12.  archnemesis             92.54   donny2112              187.93
13.  prag16                  92.41   DaBoss                 187.49
14.  Jonsoncao               91.78   Drago                  186.33
15.  RoKKeR                  91.27   kswiston               185.27
16.  Dysun                   90.88   sacrificengineer       183.65
17.  rayner                  90.75   confuziz               183.05
18.  BlackJace               90.61   idlewild_              182.61
19.  Colonel Mustard         90.49   CouldBeWorse           181.45
20.  confuziz                89.73   Zero-Crescent          176.06
21.  pixlexic                89.73   Hiro_Kunimi_80         175.84
22.  shinra-bansho           89.57   allan-bh               175.12
23.  skedar897               89.15   BlackJace              174.70
24.  Limit                   88.61   jvm                    174.22
25.  Hammer24                88.07   metalslimer            173.91
26.  Brakara                 87.82   prag16                 173.41
27.  Road                    87.40   MasterSheen            173.08
28.  Strike                  87.32   DrWong                 172.78
29.  Drago                   87.17   Elios83                171.76
30.  Bruno MB                86.71   pieatorium             168.43
31.  CouldBeWorse            86.68   Dysun                  167.79
32.  allan-bh                86.36   airmangataosenai       167.77
33.  Hiro_Kunimi_80          86.33   dreamghost             166.38
34.  kswiston                86.21   skedar897              164.62
35.  Zero-Crescent           86.19   Colonel Mustard        164.07
36.  perfectchaos007         86.10   Megadragon15           163.65
37.  Canis lupus             85.79   perfectchaos007        163.19
38.  DaBoss                  85.78   Pachter                161.87
39.  michaelius              85.51   Baconsammy             159.87
40.  noobie                  85.45   michaelius             159.83
41.  digoutyoursoul          85.24   Jesse2040              159.14
42.  Tratorn                 84.65   Strike                 153.94
43.  jvm                     84.17   Hammer24               152.60
44.  gngf123                 83.63   EMT0                   152.15
45.  metalslimer             83.33   Jamix012               151.43
46.  Moral Panic             82.97   ohlawd                 150.70
47.  idlewild_               82.97   Madao                  149.91
48.  Kiyo                    82.96   UberTag                147.72
49.  baekshi                 82.82   Brakara                146.86
50.  Pachter                 82.59   Gianni Merryman        145.84

Congratulations, nhlducks35!

 

[shinra-bansho]

Way off on 3DS. Guess there's still some life in portable market.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Too optimistic about PS3, that's a larger drop from February to March than normal for it despite a fairly major exclusive in Ascension. Wonder if means anything.

 

[DaBoss]

I was way off with everything, and I thought I was being somewhat optimistic with the 3DS.

Anyways, congrats nhlducks35!

Too optimistic about PS3, that's a larger drop from February to March than normal for it despite a fairly major exclusive in Ascension. Wonder if means anything.

A spin-off game treated like shit will sell like shit. GOW:J had the same fate.

 

[Road]

Really bad this month too (although not as terribad as January).

Have to be good now until the end of the year to get back into the top 10, considering I already threw away my 2 chances at being bad. =P

 

[Strike]

Off to a really bad start this year. Hopefully I can turn it around.

 

[Drago]

#14 overall 2013 so far

Aw yiss

 

[airmangataosenai]

[360] 300K
[3DS] 220K
[PS3] 270K
[PSV] 55K
[WIU] 85K

Why do people continue to predict the 3DS beating the PS3 every month? Aside from the holiday season, it doesn't seem to ever happen.

Haha, I was way off on everything but 3DS while ironically making a mistake related to its sales. Is this the first non-holiday month since launch for it beating the PS3 besides the revision launch and price drop? Since Vita isn't counted, I guess I was about 15% off in total.

 

[jvm]

Well done, nhlducks35!

 

[Bruno MB]

Congratulations, nhlducks35!

I didn't even get the correct hardware rankings. I had never expected that 3DS would outsell PS3. Hopefully next month will be better.