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Media Create Sales: Nov 30-Dec 6, 2009
- Thread starter Chris1964
- Start date
BlazingDarkness
Member
LTD? sure it will pass 1.5 mil, but they're shipping around 1 million for release.u_neek said:
My predictions;
[PS3] Final Fantasy XIII (Square-Enix) - 1st day - 880K
[PS3] Final Fantasy XIII (Square-Enix) - 1st week - 1.15K
[WII] New Super Mario Bros Wii (Nintendo) - 3rd week - 200k
PS3 Hardware - 160k
WII Hardware - 145k
BlazingDarkness
Member
The hellllarcha said:
didn't know adbots were roaming GAF?
Sony is already doomed, we just want to know if the last home console to resist to the portable will join the ps3.Bebpo said:
At home tough my ps3 is more alive than ever since september. Sooo many good games.
I don't see the FF13 driving that many consoles. I predict about 100-110K max ps3
Wii will probably sell more due to the time of year and NSMB
We will see
Paracelsus
Member
schuelma, honest question: how much do you think PS3 and Wii would sell if they had no software at all in December?
onken said:
Not just NSMB Wii- Graces, SW3, and Pikachu. The hypothetical was NOTHING released in December. But yes..I believe NSMB Wii is going to have a very very large impact at least during the holidays.
Edit- and I might lower my Wii prediction a tad. Looks a bit high..maybe to 165K-170K.
thestopsign
Member
The real effect of NSMBW is that it brings the console back into the public's eye, people will see the advertisements along with the other games coming out for the system and want to buy it for the holidays.
Chuck Norris
Banned
PS3 has been consistently ahead of the Wii up until NSMB Wii. What makes you think Wii would pull ahead if they had nothing in December?schuelma said:
jeremy1456
Junior Member
Chuck Norris said:
That had almost everything to do with the slim and price drop.
The effect does wear off after a while.
Chuck Norris
Banned
Wii sold consistently well all year round before this year. It's not tracking consistently to begin with, right?schuelma said:
Where has it worn off?Jeremy1456 said:
Has there been a week yet with disappointing PS3 sales?
Byakuya769
Member
After ps3 got beat out by 360 in november's npd, I think I'm done trying to predict how the ps3 will do compared to its competition.
Chuck Norris said:
Nintendo does better during holidays because Nintendo has the lions' share of the under 13 market. Kids don't have the disposable income that their teenage and adult counterparts do, and typically have to wait for birthdays and holidays to get larger items like a gaming system.
Same reason why the Wii and DS will see 100%+ increases in the US from November to December, while PS3 and 360 will increase in the 50-75% range.
Chris,
I ran across some dusty, old MC top 30 data on IGN. For instance: http://psx.ign.com/articles/082/082137p1.html
I haven't checked for how long it was being updated, though. Also, some weeks are missing (or I couldn't find them at a first glance). Not sure how useful it would be for your database.
I ran across some dusty, old MC top 30 data on IGN. For instance: http://psx.ign.com/articles/082/082137p1.html
I haven't checked for how long it was being updated, though. Also, some weeks are missing (or I couldn't find them at a first glance). Not sure how useful it would be for your database.
kpop100 said:
Again, though I have the Wii a bit ahead for that week, I don't think its a lock or anything- but I generally think they are going to be close. Why don't you think that is possible? Do you see PS3 doing 200K+?
Bel Marduk
Banned
Reggie said the average age of Wii owners is 29:
http://www.qj.net/qjnet/wii/average-age-of-wii-owners-is-29-says-fils-aime.html
Now I know America=/=Japan but I don't see why this figure would be drastically different.
http://www.qj.net/qjnet/wii/average-age-of-wii-owners-is-29-says-fils-aime.html
Now I know America=/=Japan but I don't see why this figure would be drastically different.
thestopsign
Member
If you guys really want a reference to why we think Wii sales will see an increase, just look at the last 20 years of hardware data, you'll get the general gist of things pretty fast. Even during the tepid Gamecube and N64 days the hardware picked up more than systems from other manufacturers did.
Bel Marduk
Banned
idlewild_ said:
But now you're just pulling ratios and such. For every 3 kids there's one really old person. But that's not necessarily true. For all we know it could be more 20 year olds in the face of younger kids and it'd average out to 29, with fewer older people. Or older teens with tastes of 20 year olds and older people and it equals 29. We just don't know. With the Wii, it's for 'everyone.' Same goes for the DS. I'd say because of that that people of all ages buy the Wii and not just one or two main groups (in this case, really young kids and really old people) compared to the HD consoles which house mainly teens and adults looking at the type of games they sell compared to the Wii where it can sell games for younger kids fine, games for older gamers fine, games that appeal to both old and young like Mario, etc. With the HD consoles you're mainly thinking about Uncharted, Gears, Halo, Assassin's Creed, CoD, etc. and not something like Viva Pinata or LBP.
Here's why I think there is a decent, if not good possibility for the Wii to outsell PS3 during FFXIII's week:
1. Every day of the week counts. The Wii should be undergoing its typical week-over-week expansion as the days go on.
2. The weekend: Nintendo always does well during weekends, so the huge mountain of PS3 on 12/17 may not be able to overcome the Wii's everyday momentum.
3. If FFXIII experiences shortages, then PS3 sales will suffer too.
4. Do not underestimate NSMB Wii's long term selling power. Seriously. Despite its explosive opening, the game is nowhere near its saturation selling point.
It's just as possible for the PS3 to sell more than the Wii this week, but I don't believe it would be a landslide, and I would not bet on the PS3 winning the 2009 YTD war because FFXIII should wear out sooner than NSMB Wii.
1. Every day of the week counts. The Wii should be undergoing its typical week-over-week expansion as the days go on.
2. The weekend: Nintendo always does well during weekends, so the huge mountain of PS3 on 12/17 may not be able to overcome the Wii's everyday momentum.
3. If FFXIII experiences shortages, then PS3 sales will suffer too.
4. Do not underestimate NSMB Wii's long term selling power. Seriously. Despite its explosive opening, the game is nowhere near its saturation selling point.
It's just as possible for the PS3 to sell more than the Wii this week, but I don't believe it would be a landslide, and I would not bet on the PS3 winning the 2009 YTD war because FFXIII should wear out sooner than NSMB Wii.
Bel Marduk
Banned
If Wii outsells PS3 FF XIII week...there will be blood :lol . Maybe. But it would be interesting.
Segata Sanshiro
Member
So many asses that need kicking it's not even funny.
Don't even know where to start so indeed I'm not even going to bother today.
Don't even know where to start so indeed I'm not even going to bother today.
Bel Marduk said:
The thing is this is a lot of fun for us but in the long term this doesn't really mean anything for either system unless they maintain momentum into 2010. Nintendo could sell 700K this December and if weekly sales are crawling under 25K in January then long term NSMB Wii and the price cut didn't do any good.
Bel Marduk
Banned
schuelma said:
I agree. There doesn't seem to be anything too major next year for the PS3 and Wii except Versus...in December 2010 maybe? Wonder what Sony and Nintendo will do. I wonder if Nintendo will try to push Reginliev. And if they pressure SE into revealing DQ X?
Bel Marduk
Banned
schuelma said:
Ah, yeah, GT5 should be big. Not really seeing Yakuza push too much HW though, but good SW. I wonder if End of Eternity will do anything? But January and Feb seem a bit bare.