Microsoft / Activision Deal Approval Watch |OT| (MS/ABK close)

Do you believe the deal will be approved?


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Two IGN lads tweeted this about 10 minutes apart. When people checked those "journalists" hadn't an Xbox achievement in two weeks. Is this paid shilling or reporting?

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Can't spell ignorant without ign.
 
The year is 2050.

You turn your TV on and you want to play the latest Madden. I guarantee you, it won't be on a console as we know it today.

It'll either be on a streaming stick or directly on the tv played through cloud gaming.

The question then becomes who owns the stick or who owns the app from your TV and who paid for it to be on the TV?

Does Samsung pay EA for an EA app that runs on Tizen? Does EA pay Samsung? Does EA put out their own streaming device that allows you to play all of their games? Are these games paid for individually or through a subscription? Can EA maintain a subscription on their own or do they need to buy several companies to warrant that?

That's the future we're going towards.

You're going to see 4-8 companies control everything in gaming and these console manufacturers know that. They have a set amount of time where they can raise as much revenue as they can so that they can buy as many companies as they can.

Microsoft has deep pockets. Sony is all in on video gaming they're now trying to use cross media to deepen their pockets. Nintendo lives in its own world. Tencent is coming. Amazon, Google, and Apple want a taste.

Companies like Embracer group are buying just to sell. They're literally a holding company.

Sony's own dominance has caused it to be late to the real dance, which is MTX and Gaas, because the real dance is about revenue and acquisition.

And you can't forget Valve and Epic who are major players.

The industry will be unrecognizable in 10 years.
 
That's not going to happen. When one AAA or "AAAA" flop or canceled project that took 6-8 years bankrupts your company...

I don't think Activision is in any danger of going bankrupt but if your point is about the smaller studios then that flop would have been your company's mistake or failed product and you file for bankruptcy. Being propped by a single company who might cut your studio/department is no different I would argue. Consumers didn't choose the product you bet everything on, that's your mistake as a company and as a product. It's better than consumers being controlled though.
 
Microsoft said they'll spend 70 billion dollars because ultimately the Xbox brand isn't that important and neither is the PlayStation brand.

In a future where the box you play on is irrelevant, because maybe you don't play on a box at all, the importance goes to content and content creation. The brands and IPs you own, control, and can market.

Microsoft would love to have GamePass on every device just like Netflix is on every device.

Apple TV+ is on every device and Apple isn't overly concerned about the Apple TV devices they make. They could stop making it right now. What did they do in the latest version of the Apple TV 4K? You can buy it for 130, but ultimately, they're going to put out a lower end cheaper streaming stick to compete directly with Roku and Amazon. Ultimately, they want everyone on tvOS because they don't want to pay Roku or Amazon any sort of carriage fees for including Apple TV+ and they want the reverse.

EA wants the same thing. They want EA Play Pro to be the future of their company. Take2, Nintendo, and Sony are the biggest companies holding out on this.
 
I don't think Activision is in any danger of going bankrupt but if your point is about the smaller studios then that flop would have been your company's mistake or failed product and you file for bankruptcy. Being propped by a single company who might cut your studio/department is no different I would argue. Consumers didn't choose the product you bet everything on, that's your mistake as a company and as a product. It's better than consumers being controlled though.

I wasn't talking about Activision. Activision is large enough on their own to sustain a bump in the road.

Making games is hard, especially new IP, to sum that up by saying it's your own fault, is a bit myopic.

Gamers want originality, but that comes with risks. Gamers also want sequels and bigger and bigger games. It's a rat race.

To mitigate the risks involved with the demands of consumers, you're going to see consolidation and that consolidation is likely to turn into subscription services or hybrid services.
 
Jim Ryan went public to expose Phil Spencer's lie after Phil released a false public statement regarding Sony. Until Phil involved Sony, Jim didn't use the public forum.
If that's the case then where is the lie, and could you quote the "false public statement" that was made?
This was in response to Phil Spencer's public statements that Sony and Microsoft held talks and that COD will remain available on PlayStation. Jim gave his statement to inform the public that Phil was lying about Microsoft and Sony's private discussion.
Again, you're outright claiming that Phil lied. In this instance, you're stating that Phil lied about Microsoft and Sony's private discussion. Where's the lie exactly?



read the subheading, "following calls with Sony." Phil involved Sony in a public statement. Sony responded back in public. Jim didn't initiate this.

From what you've provided here... Not only is there no lie, but not even a misrepresentation of events that happened. Breaking it down and we see that Phil stated via twitter...

• that "he'd had calls with leaders at Sony." Which is true and confirmed by Ryan.

• Phil said that the main purpose of the calls was to inform Sony that it was "MS's intent to honor the current Act/Sony agreements that were in place once the acquisition was finalized". This is also not a lie, as it speaks specifically about intent as well as what MS would do upon the deal being complete. Neither Ryan, nor anyone else has proven that Phil was lying about what their intentions were. And even if Phil were lying, not a soul on earth would be able to prove as much until after the acquisition was complete, and their actions differed from what Phil claimed they would.

• Phil also stated in that tweet that during those calls, he expressed MS's "desire to keep CoD on Playstation consoles".
Again, it's difficult to prove someone's lying about such things as their desires because of the subjective nature of such things. But even if we disregard that altogether, we have the multiple instances of MS offering to agree to a deal with Sony to ensure CoD stays on PS.

You've repeatedly claimed Phil was lying. Either provide the quote of Phil lying or just admit that you are.
 
Big tech across the board is going to have a challenge waiting for them. DOJ is already looking to break Google up.
But that doesn't mean they can't buy them.
MS has Xbox and Sony has playstation. Either of them would gain advantage over the other one.

Outsiders like Amazon, etc have no advantage and would be a welcome addition as a 3rd competitor (if that is what they want to call them).

Google though will be little hard for them. FTC is under their arse.
 
But that doesn't mean they can't buy them.
MS has Xbox and Sony has playstation. Either of them would gain advantage over the other one.

Outsiders like Amazon, etc have no advantage and would be a welcome addition as a 3rd competitor (if that is what they want to call them).

Google though will be little hard for them. FTC is under their arse.

DOJ trying to break up Google means Google is going to have a harder time buying anything than anyone else. Come on man, that's just obvious.
 
What's interesting here is that Tassi is usually pro-Microsoft.

I read his article and it still seemed pro-MS. Example:

I believe Microsoft, and I think Sony is acting in bad faith. But that's not the issue, as I am not a regulator, and they have proven far more skeptical of all this, and have embraced most of Sony's arguments thus far. Microsoft remains confident the deal will close.

He might just be coming to the realization that there are some powerful forces against this deal.

Sony's influence on this deal is definitely going to come to light once this goes to court...at this point, I can't really predict what is going to happen, but I think "messy" won't even begin to describe the fallout for both MS and Sony.
 
I really think if this deal gets blocked
It will be the end of big publishers acquisitions imo of course
Only for Sony and MS.
Others can still buy the big companies.
Big tech across the board is going to have a challenge waiting for them. DOJ is already looking to break Google up.

I think this ignores order of magnitude.

Big difference between Microsoft buying Activision for 70 billion and say Sony buying TakeTwo for 25 billion. I also think you're going to see some mergers as well. Japan already went through much of this. Ubi Soft is desparate for help, maybe they reach out to Konami lol or more realistically see if warner discovery will buy them.

The government is looking to break up big tech, but gaming isn't that big yet.
 
Sounds like bias on your part honestly. Most of the media are Sony shills, that's why they don't stand out. Xbox shills stand out because they are the outliers.
Boy, that victim complex just never dies, huh? "They're all out to get Xbox, it's not fair."

Two IGN lads tweeted this about 10 minutes apart. When people checked those "journalists" hadn't an Xbox achievement in two weeks. Is this paid shilling or reporting?

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Good grief. Could they at least make it look like MS didn't just send them the ad and they posted it verbatim.
 
I think this ignores order of magnitude.

Big difference between Microsoft buying Activision for 70 billion and say Sony buying TakeTwo for 25 billion. I also think you're going to see some mergers as well. Japan already went through much of this. Ubi Soft is desparate for help, maybe they reach out to Konami lol or more realistically see if warner discovery will buy them.

The government is looking to break up big tech, but gaming isn't that big yet.

Sony isn't big tech. I'm talking about Microsoft, Google, Apple and Amazon.
 
Sony isn't big tech. I'm talking about Microsoft, Google, Apple and Amazon.
Feynoob suggest this would block sony from buying publishers, which I don't think is the case.

I think they'd be blocked from buying Activision most likely, but I think they could buy Taketwo without too much difficulty.
 
Feynoob suggest this would block sony from buying publishers, which I don't think is the case.

I think they'd be blocked from buying Activision most likely, but I think they could buy Taketwo without too much difficulty.

Sony would be an interesting case since it isn't "big tech" but is also a leader in the market. I agree that it would depend on the size/impact of the acquisition.
 
Sony would be an interesting case since it isn't "big tech" but is also a leader in the market. I agree that it would depend on the size/impact of the acquisition.

The reality is Sony couldn't afford to buy Activision, it would have needed to be a merger with a stock swap. I think regulators probably would have allowed that, simply due to the size of the companies.

Microsoft's size and overall position is what gives regulators pause.

If Sony wanted to merge with Nintendo. It would go through.

If regulators allow Microsoft to buy Activision, likely they wouldn't allow them to buy any other major publishers in the industry after the fact., but most others are relatively small. Most are under 10B.
 
Feynoob suggest this would block sony from buying publishers, which I don't think is the case.

I think they'd be blocked from buying Activision most likely, but I think they could buy Taketwo without too much difficulty.
Take 2 would be difficult, due to GTA IP. Same with Activision COD. Same with other big pubs.
 
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I wasn't talking about Activision. Activision is large enough on their own to sustain a bump in the road.

Making games is hard, especially new IP, to sum that up by saying it's your own fault, is a bit myopic.

Gamers want originality, but that comes with risks. Gamers also want sequels and bigger and bigger games. It's a rat race.

To mitigate the risks involved with the demands of consumers, you're going to see consolidation and that consolidation is likely to turn into subscription services or hybrid services.
The crux of your argument though seems to be saftey from failed products with financial scale. I think that idea works with publishers already and doesn't need platform consolidation. Especially consolidation of those large independent publishers who have that ability already.

When we have this consolidation it doesn't even guarantee studio or job safety anyway, it just moves that responsibility to the single company who owns them instead. How many times have we heard of studio closures or layoffs at Sony (Evolution, Japan Studio downsizing) and MS (lionhead, Press Play, 343 downsizing)? It's no different.

It's the same with publishers like EA too having the ability to have a failed product financially and still getting rid of that studio anyway. To the point where it has become a meme for EA. A studio not performing well or a product failing would have the same effect anywhere regardless of the parent company.
 
Take 2 would be difficult, due to GTA IP. Same with Activision COD. Same with other big pubs.

GTA generally comes out once a generation, with the last generation not even getting a new GTA. I don't think it has the same resonance as CoD as a result.

Take2 is a much smaller company as a result.
The crux of your argument though seems to be saftey from failed products with financial scale. I think that idea works with publishers already and doesn't need platform consolidation. Especially consolidation of those large independent publishers who have that ability already.

When we have this consolidation it doesn't even guarantee studio or job safety anyway, it just moves that responsibility to the single company who owns them instead. How many times have we heard of studio closures or layoffs at Sony (Evolution, Japan Studio downsizing) and MS (lionhead, Press Play, 343 downsizing)? It's no different.

It's the same with publishers like EA too having the ability to have a failed product financially and still getting rid of that studio anyway. To the point where it has become a meme for EA. A studio not performing well or a product failing would have the same effect anywhere regardless of the parent company.
Maybe today, but as games shift from AAA to AAAA they begin to pose risks even for publishers.

Ubi Soft is one of the largest publishers in the industry and they're on the verge of collapse.

EA's ability to absorb loses on franchises is also diminishing.

The difference is the manufacturers have the revenue from their storefronts to help fuel their first party development.

Publishers will merge together to the point where they can sustain losses, but also probably negotiate better terms on royalties with storefront holders.
 
GTA generally comes out once a generation, with the last generation not even getting a new GTA. I don't think it has the same resonance as CoD as a result.

Take2 is a much smaller company as a result.
Tell that to the FTC.
Take 2, Activision, EA and Ubisoft are off the limit for these 2 companies, if this deal fails.
 
Had MS not bought them 3 subsets would have got them. I'm pretty sure that had Sony bought Bethesda you would see games in development like Starfield and Redfall still come to PC and xbox.
That's just plain wrong. Sony was buying timed exclusivity of Bethesda games left and right. It was rumored they were in talks to buy timed exclusivity of Starfield before Microsoft announced they were acquiring them.

The 1 example of a studio Playstation has acquired staying multi-platform is Bungie, and I can almost guarantee that is because that's what Bungie wanted, not Sony. Bungie is the exception, not the rule.

Starfield would have been Playstation exclusive had Sony bought Bethesda, I doubt there would even be a day and date PC release.
 
That's just plain wrong. Sony was buying timed exclusivity of Bethesda games left and right. It was rumored they were in talks to buy timed exclusivity of Starfield before Microsoft announced they were acquiring them.

The 1 example of a studio Playstation has acquired staying multi-platform is Bungie, and I can almost guarantee that is because that's what Bungie wanted, not Sony. Bungie is the exception, not the rule.

Starfield would have been Playstation exclusive had Sony bought Bethesda, I doubt there would even be a day and date PC release.
I think timed exclusivity is different to not releasing ever and cutting multiplatform development in an acquisition. Especially for something that was already in development. The publisher/studio would want that in their asking price to recoup development cost.

Bungie isn't the sole example either but it's the most recent example of the very few acquisitions sony have done where they bought a publisher with IPs.
The only other time Sony bought a big multiplatform publisher GPolice, Wipeout, Destruction Derby still released on systems like N64, Saturn and PC. It's not the exception, it's just because publisher and big studio acquisitions with multiplatform games in the pipeline are rare from Sony.
 
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Bungie said staying on all platforms was mandatory if they were to be acquired. This is nit sony doing this out of kindness.
Suggesting that sony would have kept bethesda games multiplat is just laughable. This is playstation we are talking about. They havent done anything else but using and abusing their weight in the industry.
If anyone should be blocked from doing anymore acquisitions its sony not ms.
 
Bungie said staying on all platforms was mandatory if they were to be acquired. This is nit sony doing this out of kindness.
Suggesting that sony would have kept bethesda games multiplat is just laughable. This is playstation we are talking about. They havent done anything else but using and abusing their weight in the industry.
If anyone should be blocked from doing anymore acquisitions its sony not ms.

In Bungie's case, it makes sense.

It's really hard to have a successful GaaS and have it exclusive. I think Microsoft is running into that issue now with Halo.
 
I think timed exclusivity is different to not releasing ever and cutting multiplatform development in an acquisition. Especially for something that was already in development. The publisher/studio would want that in their asking price to recoup development cost.

Bungie isn't the sole example either but it's the most recent example of the very few acquisitions sony have done where they bought a publisher with IPs.
The only other time Sony bought a big multiplatform publisher GPolice, Wipeout, Destruction Derby still released on systems like N64, Saturn and PC. It's not the exception it's just because publisher and big studio acquisitions with multiplatform games in the pipeline are rare from Sony.
I think it would really boil down to if the game was announced and if it was, were the platforms announced? Starfield was announced but no platforms were mentioned, this gives Microsoft deniability of cutting multiplatform development. Something everyone can see through, but I doubt Sony wouldn't do the same if they were the ones acquiring Bethesda.
 
In Bungie's case, it makes sense.

It's really hard to have a successful GaaS and have it exclusive. I think Microsoft is running into that issue now with Halo.
I think Halo would have been successful had they actually had content AND an armour system that made sense and wasn't designed to grab as much money from players as possible.

If they released with forge, added community maps into the rotation every couple of months, had fun playlists, and didn't make each season 6 months... Halo would be doing fine.

I'm certain most if not all 10 GaaS games Sony is developing won't be coming to Xbox outside of Bungie.
 
In Bungie's case, it makes sense.

It's really hard to have a successful GaaS and have it exclusive. I think Microsoft is running into that issue now with Halo.
I agree that gaas should probably be multiplat. However Its not the only problem halo has imo. Its horribly old fashioned. There is no loot, no interesting stuff to grind for or anything.
I played the campaign and it played very well but yeh empty hallway after hallway with just a couple of weapon racks in them and nothing else. Its just too boring if you ask me.
 
I think Halo would have been successful had they actually had content AND an armour system that made sense and wasn't designed to grab as much money from players as possible.

If they released with forge, added community maps into the rotation every couple of months, had fun playlists, and didn't make each season 6 months... Halo would be doing fine.

I'm certain most if not all 10 GaaS games Sony is developing won't be coming to Xbox outside of Bungie.

You're probably right on the last point. But Destiny is pretty massive and maybe they needed to still operate in a fully multiplatform world to justify employing 1000 people just to work on it, whereas some of Sony's home grown GaaS don't need to be as big as Destiny and can forego an Xbox version.

But Sony comes in from the position of the biggest console, and releasing it on PC too means they cover a huge part of the market. Xbox being in third means they are at a larger disadvantage by being exclusive
 
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The guys who hopes the deal doesn't get through and withdraw from the console market are the same clowns who cheered for Sony upping game prices because they would gladly pay extra for quality.

Which still is the minority in here, so be careful with generalising.
Those people are stupid, but far from the majority.

His post was literally 100 percent the opposite of what you made out of it.

Yet you manage to show your concern about your beloved company.

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^^ When The_Mike finally looks at a mirror and realizes...
 
Bungie said staying on all platforms was mandatory if they were to be acquired. This is nit sony doing this out of kindness.
Suggesting that sony would have kept bethesda games multiplat is just laughable. This is playstation we are talking about. They havent done anything else but using and abusing their weight in the industry.
If anyone should be blocked from doing anymore acquisitions its sony not ms.
Of course it's not from "kindness". Companies are not your friends. It's always financial, which makes the publisher accepting that sunk cost less likely unless Sony pays for it through the acquisition price being inflated. If Sony pays for it they are more likely to recoup it through that multiplatform release because they have a lot less money to burn than MS who can afford to pay for that sunk cost of development.

I think it would really boil down to if the game was announced and if it was, were the platforms announced? Starfield was announced but no platforms were mentioned, this gives Microsoft deniability of cutting multiplatform development. Something everyone can see through, but I doubt Sony wouldn't do the same if they were the ones acquiring Bethesda.
I think they would just not purchase it personally but if they wanted Bethesda for other reasons they would be less likely to cut release on the competing platform for financial reasons.
 
You're probably right on the last point. But Destiny is pretty massive and maybe they needed to still operate in a fully multiplatform world to justify employing 1000 people just to work on it, whereas some of Sony's home grown GaaS don't need to be as big as Destiny and can forego an Xbox version.

But Sony comes in from the position of the biggest console, and releasing it on PC too means they cover a huge part of the market. Xbox being in third means they are at a larger disadvantage by being exclusive
I honestly think Bungie just craves their independence (while simultaneously looking for a daddy to keep them financially secure). They broke off from Microsoft and shopped themselves around and ended up with Activision with an unprecedented agreement that they would get to keep their IP. Then they broke off from Activision and maintained independence before shopping themselves around with the clause that they would basically be independent. It wouldn't surprise me if down the road Bungie splits from Sony lol.
 
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