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Microsoft FY2015 Q4: 1.4M 360+XBO Shipped

harSon

Banned
Ah - I didn't notice the Surface sales. I'm really glad it's doing well, Surface 3 definitely deserves it. By far the best device Microsoft has under its umbrella, and top tier among devices in general. If Surface 4 is a big enough jump, I'll definitely contemplate selling my Surface 3 and making the leap.
 

Sydle

Member
If my memory serves me correctly there was an XB division during the 360 domination. Old reports should confirm that.

No, it's never been its own division in a public-facing report.

You're thinking of the Interactive Entertainment & Devices division, which included Zune, Kin, Xbox, Kinect, music, video, PC games, and I think Skype was in it for a short while as well.
 

Toki767

Member
Eh, I don't think it will be too long honestly, Xbox is around 14-15 million shipped, while PS4 is looking to be around 25ish million (maybe more?), with the worldwide gap only getting bigger it probably won't be long before it is 2:1.

It probably already is 2:1 if not extremely close. Looking at US numbers always through a lot of people off when compared to worldwide numbers.
 
xbox 1 is not getting close to 80 million, and if they are its probably because microsoft burned all of its money just to keep it to 80 million with loads of price cuts and advertising, which they will not do.

Right now its selling at 10 million a year pace(not sure if its 100% accurate), and its going to slow down after its third year, theres not going to be a cod or a kinect to save them from that this time around. so more than likely its going to be at 40-55 million, if it doesn't slow down too much.
 

ZhugeEX

Banned
It probably already is 2:1 if not extremely close. Looking at US numbers always through a lot of people off when compared to worldwide numbers.

It won't be 2:1 (LTD) worldwide for a while yet.

Here are my forecasts for anyone interested.

Forecast2014REV2_zpsjmuevfai.jpg
 
I hope you guys know that the Xbox One probably doubled or very close to it's results from last year. Combined last year was 1.1m and that was when the 360 was doing alright. It's not great results, but it's better than last year.
Yeah, I think it is a good sign.
Some people expect a quick turn around in sales, but we need to face it that this will be a slow recovery....and like you said, 360 sales were likely much much higher last year. I would think that X1 accounted for at least 1.1m of the shipments if not a bit more...
 

ILoveBish

Member
Yeah, the Surface Pro 3 is a really nice piece of hardware.

I really like everything about the pro 3 other then how horrific it is when it comes to throttling, making it a door stop. Pro 2 destroys it when it comes to performance. I'll be rocking my pro 2 for a long time.
 

Xando

Member
Excellent news. 14 Million xbox ones out there :)

Excellent thread by the way and good work by the OP

Don't forget this is shipped. Sold should be a bit lower.

Seems like a decent quarter. I wonder what they'll do to increase sales in europe this fall.
 

Taker34

Banned
Looking at this it makes me think that the PS4 will trend similar to Wii while X1 will trend with ps3. It makes me feel like it could be closer to 80 million X1 sold while ps4 sells around 120 million by the end of this generation. I know 40 million gap looks bad but if X1 gets close to 80 million after the horrible launch of the X1 I would be shocked

Sorry but 80 million for the XBO is quite optimistic to say the least:
- The 360 sold about... 43 million in the U.S. Alone
- X360 did about 9 million in the UK
-> Other markets about 35 million while being a strong performing console (in mainland EU aswell)

Now the XBO Isn't really competitive outside the U.S./UK market:
Looking at last gen numbers that would make me think 40 million are realistic again in those territories, even though it could be lower since the PS-console is outselling Xbox this time.
Now the rest of the world: It's a fucking grim situation, looking at how XBO is performing there. So 20 million at the very best. That would be about 45-60 million units LTD at best.

Correct me if I'm absolutely wrong. While the PS4 could surely perform between 80-120 million depending on its price when the PS5 hits the market. Right now it almost does Wii numbers but will be realistically orient itself somewhere along the lines of PS2 sales.
 

Welfare

Member
Don't forget this is shipped. Sold should be a bit lower.

Seems like a decent quarter. I wonder what they'll do to increase sales in europe this fall.

Tomb Raider and Fifa bundles everywhere

Sorry but 80 million for the XBO is quite optimistic to say the least:
- The 360 sold about... 30 million in the U.S. Alone
- X360 did about 10 million in the UK?
-> Other markets about 40+ million while being a strong performing console (in mainland EU aswell)
360 has sold over 42 million in the US
 

truth411

Member
Are you talking shipped? Because I was talking sold-through.
I'm assuming the Xbox one is about 14 million shipped and 12.0-12.5 million sold through (I still see assassin's creed bundles). Ps4 I think is around 24-25 million sold through. It depends on how this holiday plays out, but it's only a matter of time before the PS4 is 2:1 compared to the X1 in WW sales.
 
Don't forget this is shipped. Sold should be a bit lower.

Seems like a decent quarter. I wonder what they'll do to increase sales in europe this fall.

Shipped = Sold for companies, but shipped doesnt equal sold to consumers.

I know how it works, no worries but its the most official data majority of the time companies give you.
 

ascii42

Member
Xbox One will be over 1 million easily. How much over though is anyones guess.

The Xbox One is doing worse compared to the PS3 which shipped 1.6 million by itself this quarter when you align launches. Doing better than the Xbox 360 aligned though.

The PS3's equivalent quarter would have been when the MGS4 bundle hit, right?
 
Sorry but 80 million for the XBO is quite optimistic to say the least:
- The 360 sold about... 30 million in the U.S. Alone
- X360 did about 10 million in the UK?
-> Other markets about 40+ million while being a strong performing console (in mainland EU aswell)

Now the XBO Isn't really competitive outside the U.S./UK market:
Looking at last gen numbers that would make me think 40 million are realistic again in those territories, even though it could be lower since the PS-console is outselling Xbox this time.
Now the rest of the world: It's a fucking grim situation, looking at how XBO is performing there. So 20 million at the very best. That would be about 45-60 million units LTD at best.

Correct me if I'm absolutely wrong. While the PS4 could surely perform between 80-120 million depending on its price when the PS5 hits the market. Right now it almost does Wii numbers but will be realistically orient itself somewhere along the lines of PS2 sales.

I think it'll land somewhere around 50-60 million, PS4 around 90-100 million. I don't think selling 50-60 million is grim. Unless of course your only definition of "not grim" is winning...and I assure you most people at MS don't give a crap as long as they're making money (especially if they could make more money "losing" than "winning" (say, for example, if they took major loses in hardware to get to that win)).

I know we get a bit preoccupied with our "side" winning here, but I don't think these numbers are that bad. Sure, they'd love them to be higher, and I'm certain they'd love to outsell the 360. But I don't think this is a sign that the brand is dead, or anything. We're not in Wii U territory (sorry Wii U :( )
 

Doffen

Member
They really haven't released anything as Microsoft Mobile yet. Most of the devices that have been releases were leftovers from Nokia. One device is labelled as Microsoft I think.

The new strategy looks to be fewer phones, two flagships..and ... no idea about the lower end. They've been quiet.

Here's a list of all Lumia devices released under the Microsoft brand (old-new):

Microsoft Lumia 535
Microsoft Lumia 435
Microsoft Lumia 532
Microsoft Lumia 640
Microsoft Lumia 430
Microsoft Lumia 640 XL
Microsoft Lumia 540

Now there are also different versions with LTE and dual SIM for some devices.
 

Shpeshal Nick

aka Collingwood
Not bad. Given the 360 sales now would be significantly less than last year, the One has seen a decent rise. Still kinda shocked the 360 isn't much much much cheaper now.
 

ZhugeEX

Banned
Now what's the approx. sell through?

The baseline (absolute minimum) we can work out from public sales data + tips is that a minimum of 10.5 million have been sold through to end users worldwide. Please note that this does not include sales for 9 tier 1 markets for 2014 & H1 2015, nor does it include sales for 28 tier 2 markets in 2014 & H1 2015. The bulk of that 10.5m comes from the US and UK which should account for more than 9.1 million units and Germany and France which will account for more than 0.8m.

Now of course this is just an absolute minimum. It is obvious the sold through total will be higher than 10.5m because of all the unaccounted markets.
 
It won't be 2:1 (LTD) worldwide for a while yet.

Here are my forecasts for anyone interested.

Forecast2014REV2_zpsjmuevfai.jpg

I think your Xbox number might be just a little bit generous, I don't see the Xbox One being a little over 20 million at the end of the year like your chart shows, probably closer to 17-18 million.
 

Taker34

Banned
Tomb Raider and Fifa bundles everywhere


360 has sold over 42 million in the US

Really? My bad then. Can you give me a source please?

I think it'll land somewhere around 50-60 million, PS4 around 90-100 million. I don't think selling 50-60 million is grim. Unless of course your only definition of "not grim" is winning...and I assure you most people at MS don't give a crap as long as they're making money (especially if they could make more money "losing" than "winning" (say, for example, if they took major loses in hardware to get to that win).

I know we get a bit preoccupied with our "side" winning here, but I don't think these numbers aren't that bad. Sure, they'd love them to be higher, and I'm certain they'd love to outsell the 360. But I don't think this is a sign that the brand is dead, or anything. We're not in Wii U territory (sorry Wii U :( )

I was just talking about rest of the world sales which are really weak compared to The US and UK. Because 50-60 million is surely not a bad number by any means.
 

ZhugeEX

Banned
The PS3's equivalent quarter would have been when the MGS4 bundle hit, right?

Yup. :)

Sorry but 80 million for the XBO is quite optimistic to say the least:
- The 360 sold about... 30 million in the U.S. Alone
- X360 did about 10 million in the UK?
-> Other markets about 40+ million while being a strong performing console (in mainland EU aswell)

Correct me if I'm absolutely wrong. While the PS4 could surely perform between 80-120 million depending on its price when the PS5 hits the market. Right now it almost does Wii numbers but will be realistically orient itself somewhere along the lines of PS2 sales.

43m in the USA and 9m in the UK. 35m+ in other territories.

Agree with what you say about PS4.

I think your Xbox number might be just a little bit generous, I don't see the Xbox One being a little over 20 million at the end of the year like your chart shows, probably closer to 17-18 million.

Halo 5 bro. They gonna promote the crap out of it and ship new bundles and stuff. If the XB1 doesn't hit at least 20 million this year then they should give up.
 

Nydius

Member
I think your Xbox number might be just a little bit generous, I don't see the Xbox One being a little over 20 million at the end of the year like your chart shows, probably closer to 17-18 million.

I dunno, I think 20 million shipped might be fairly close (but not 20 million sold through to consumers). After all, the XBO is getting their staple Gears/Halo/Forza releases that should boost sales a bit through the rest of the year (even with Gears being just a remaster).
 
Over 14m should be the case.
Zhuge estimated over 14 million.
ZhugeEX already wrote that he thinks 14 million +
Over 14 million
The numbers do not make that certain at all. In order for Xbox One to be over 14m shipped, the 360 would've had to ship under 4.2m in the past 15 months. It plummeted over the last couple years, so that's why folks are predicting further giant decreases. But end-of-life products typically don't dive straight to zero sales. As they reach the floor, they begin to tail off.

A shipment number just under 14m is likely for Xbox One, I think. Perhaps 13.8m or so.
 

shinnn

Member
Not bad. I remember people last year comparing the XB1 with the WiiU lol.

Curious to see how many will jump in this year with Halo and next year with Gears.
 

AgentP

Thinks mods influence posters politics. Promoted to QAnon Editor.
Now of course this is just an absolute minimum. It is obvious the sold through total will be higher than 10.5m because of all the unaccounted markets.

So say it is 13m. You have it at nearly 20m at the end of the year. That really is a big holiday season, 7m!

edit, oops.
 
Really? My bad then. Can you give me a source please?



I was just talking about rest of the world sales which are really weak compared to The US and UK. Because 50-60 million is surely not a bad number by any means.

When your previous console sold nearly 90 million..its bad, companies don't make products to sell less. Look at sony and the disaster the PS3 was for the company.
 

vin-buc

Member
These are shipped numbers for the xbox. Zhuge is estimating about 14mil for Xbox one. Are the ps4 numbers sold through numbers? If the latter is true, how do we know that the install bases are not at 2:1, or thereabout? I only ask because some posts said we shouldn't expect to see a 2:1 differential between the PS4 and Xbox One.
 

Welfare

Member
Really? My bad then. Can you give me a source please?
NPD data and leaks that equal up to that amount. There isn't a public source that said the Xbox 360 is over 42 million

Doubt that will be enough if they aren't 100€ -150€ cheaper. Sony usually has a lot of retailer Fifa bundles that get advertised on TV by Media Markt and other retailers.
A price cut should happen this year for the Xbox One in Europe, but it will probably not happen. There is Gamescom, though.

The numbers do not make that certain at all. In order for Xbox One to be over 14m shipped, the 360 would've had to ship under 4.2m in the past 15 months. It plummeted over the last couple years, so that's why folks are predicting further giant decreases. But end-of-life products typically don't dive straight to zero sales. As they reach the floor, they begin to tail off.

A shipment number just under 14m is likely for Xbox One, I think. Perhaps 13.8m or so.

The 360 has been dying very quickly due to it being out for so long, costing so much, and the PS4 and Xbox One being out. Under 14 million is not that likely.
 

ZhugeEX

Banned
So we are estimating Xbox One has 14 million

What is the estimate on X360? I know it is over 84m but not sure on the exact number?

Around ~88 million.

The numbers do not make that certain at all. In order for Xbox One to be over 14m shipped, the 360 would've had to ship under 4.2m in the past 15 months. It plummeted over the last couple years, so that's why folks are predicting further giant decreases. But end-of-life products typically don't dive straight to zero sales. As they reach the floor, they begin to tail off.

A shipment number just under 14m is likely for Xbox One, I think. Perhaps 13.8m or so.

Based on all data available it's highly unlikely that the Xbox One will be under 14 million. If anything it will be over 14 million, perhaps even around 14.5. Perhaps higher.

For now I'm just saying "Over 14 million" in order to simplify it as we don't have an exact figure. You can have a look at my graph for calculated error bars based on available data.
 
"With the release of Halo 5 this fall, Xbox One will continue to grow in fans and profitability"

^^
She said it quick, I think I captured that quote accurately. If anyone else is listening let me know :p

Also, Bing will be profitable in 2016...heh
 

ZhugeEX

Banned
"With the release of Halo 5 this fall, Xbox One will continue to grow in fans and profitability"

^^
She said it quick, I think I captured that quote accurately. If anyone else is listening let me know :p

Also, Bing will be profitable in 2016...heh

Yup. Heard that.
 
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