I still think it will happen but doesn't quite make sense yet given the state of things. They need to get a few items cleaned up; namely improvements in Win 10 tablet mode, a better selection of universal apps, some maturing of Continuum, etc.If a mini Surface ever gets release I'll buy it instantly.
Based on some hints from MS, musings from journalists, and my own thoughts ... I see the following happening over the next 1-2 years:
- Lumia continues to exist as it is now. At some point they may change its name given the eventual license completion, but regardless there will continue to be an ARM-based phone line that runs phone and Universal apps. As more and more universal apps hit, its usage of Continuum will get more interesting, but overall this will still continue to be a more traditional phone offering from MS.
- Either next or the following year we will see a new phone line (either a single phone or a regular and XL) completely overseen by Panay. This will finally be the Surface Phone people have wanted. What will separate it from Lumia (beyond build quality and some sort of metal body) will be an Intel chipset.
I forget the name of it, but MS is offering a new capability to the MS app store whereby developers can package traditional Win32 applications into a special executable available for download. They are essentially a VM in that their installation and execution is completely siloed. It removes the issue of dll's going all over the place and the registry getting hosed up. The application sees everything as normal, but it doesn't dirty up the main system and uninstalling it actually removes everything completely.
And this is where the important difference shows its face. Those applications will be runnable on this phone when in Continuum mode (though not directly on the phone for obvious reasons). For the user they get a true PC in phone form, but without all the typical issues associated with Win32 applications potentially messing up the system or other applications. And obviously this will run Phone and Universal apps as well
- At this point everything is ready for the introduction of a Surface Mini. It would essentially be a bigger version of the Surface Phone. ~8" screen, a bit beefier Intel SoC, and larger battery.
Panay mentioned that he had wanted to have pen support for the Lumia 950 XL, but it didn't work out. As another form of differentiation, I suspect Surface Phone (or at least the XL version of it exists) will get a pen instead of Lumias. Similarly I would expect the Surface Mini to get this same pen, as that was always the main point of it versus standard tablets.
