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[winjer]

 

[Bojji]

I guess "destroying civilization" part was about us, not Iran.

 

[Mr Reasonable]

 

[adamsapple]

Whelp .. hopefully there's no retroactive price increase, or cancellation bullshit, for my upcoming international family trip.

It's fuel right now but from what I've heard, it's gonna start affecting food supplies soon too.

Hopefully this shit is sorted out asap.

 

[DenchDeckard]

I guess "destroying civilization" part was about us, not Iran.

 

[Mr Reasonable]

from what I've heard, it's gonna start affecting food supplies soon too.

I expect whatever shortages may or may not be coming will be exacerbated by people being nervous and starting to buy extra.

 

[adamsapple]

I expect whatever shortages may or may not be coming will be exacerbated by people being nervous and starting to buy extra.

Fair enough, panic buying was most definitely a thing back in 2020 as well.

 

[winjer]

I expect whatever shortages may or may not be coming will be exacerbated by people being nervous and starting to buy extra.

But that is why it's important to have stable, coherent governments.

 

[vaibhavpisal]

In that sense, yes, but in the sense of dismantling the IRGC so that secular authority can be strengthened - no.

Isnt there news of instability in govt ?

This is off the table if thats the case.

 

[Mr Reasonable]

Fair enough, panic buying was most definitely a thing back in 2020 as well.

Not a criticism when I say that in case it sounded like it. But I think people will start asking questions about supply soon enough and if governments don't get ahead of it with reassuring messaging we could find people starting to think about adding a few hundred more toilet rolls to their shopping trolleys as per the pandemic, as you say.

I'm off to plant some vegetable seeds.

 

[ThatStupidLion]

I always enjoy this guys takes and depth & breadth of knowledge on the subjects he discusses. Do we know how accurate his takes are? Have people looked back at his prior stuff and compared them against what eventually took place?

 

[Mr Reasonable]

But that is why it's important to have stable, coherent governments.

100%. I expect Donald Trump to reassure the world by telling everyone on Truth Social that they shouldn't worry about shortages because the white house has a yuge food store and he'll get through things just fine.

 

[winjer]

I always enjoy this guys takes and depth & breadth of knowledge on the subjects he discusses. Do we know how accurate his takes are? Have people looked back at his prior stuff and compared them against what eventually took place?

His structural analysis are good. He has a good view of how the world works, the dependencies, trade, etc.
The thing he fails often is population. He has been saying that several countries, especially China, are going to collapse due to low birth rates.
The low birth rates is correct, but the part about collapse is just overly dramatic.

 

[IDKFA]

Starting to see the effects now. Weee.

Lufthansa axes 20,000 ‘unprofitable’ flights to save jet fuel

Airline says jet fuel costs have doubled since the start of the Iran conflict.

www.politico.eu

That's just one airline and 20K flights. Unless this shit is resolved soon, more airlines will follow.

Looks like I'll be getting the train from London to Italy this year. Either that or change plans and get the boat from Portsmouth to Bilbao.

Also, funny comment I saw on BBC.

In the most ironic of twists, Trump has probably done more to support the move to net zero than any other world leader.

 

[kpopSuperstar]

Just ground civilian flight, people can stay in their fucking countries. Ground them forever for all I care.

 

[Critical Hit]

Isnt there news of instability in govt ?

From what I've seen, the IRGC is the cause of this instability.

 

[Madflavor]

Just ground civilian flight, people can stay in their fucking countries. Ground them forever for all I care.

I was gonna fly my wife and kid from Boston to Philly for a vacation in the summer. $1700 for 3 seats on a 90 minute flight. Fucking outrageous.

Round trip train tickets were $500. Much rather do that even if it takes longer.

 

[Three]

Is the current admin getting this fake news from someone or do they just confidently assert bullshit claims all by themselves and expect it to turn into reality?

They create the fake news to shift markets and make personal wealth for Trump and his son-in-law.

 

[Vlodril]

That's just one airline and 20K flights. Unless this shit is resolved soon, more airlines will follow.

Looks like I'll be getting the train from London to Italy this year. Either that or change plans and get the boat from Portsmouth to Bilbao.

Also, funny comment I saw on BBC.

In the most ironic of twists, Trump has probably done more to support the move to net zero than any other world leader.

I wonder if they will refund the money for the tickets.

 

[moogman]

I wonder if they will refund the money for the tickets.

They have to as the flights are all EU based.

 

[Unknown Soldier]

 

[Bojji]

Finally some good news from that region.

Edit: It's hard to know what is real anymore

Trump says Iran won’t execute 8 women after he demanded their release

President Trump announced Wednesday that Iran will no longer execute eight women after he pleaded Tuesday for their freedom — calling it “very good news” in a social media post.

nypost.com

 

[Trilobit]

At least jet fuel won't melt steel beams in the near future.

 

[StueyDuck]

Finally some good news from that region.

Edit: It's hard to know what is real anymore

Trump says Iran won’t execute 8 women after he demanded their release

President Trump announced Wednesday that Iran will no longer execute eight women after he pleaded Tuesday for their freedom — calling it “very good news” in a social media post.

nypost.com

Yeah im not gonna believe the IRGC judiciary...

Good on the US to shine a light on this and put pressure on the IRGC to do the somewhat right thing

Edit: Apparently this is funny to some users , well im glad the 8 women get to live

 

[Unknown Soldier]

 

[Unknown Soldier]

Since Internet is still turned off in Iran, there is no way to verify this. Might be awesome if true, there's more ways than just using guns to revolt against a despotic regime which is currently being economically strangled by a naval blockade

 

[violence]

 

[FullMetalx117]

Would be hilarious if it was Vivek ramaswamy, he's in the gang

 

[Hero of Spielberg]

the should have been suspicious when they were told to pay in gift cards.

 

[Atomicfear]

I always enjoy this guys takes and depth & breadth of knowledge on the subjects he discusses. Do we know how accurate his takes are? Have people looked back at his prior stuff and compared them against what eventually took place?

I'm one of his premium subscribers. He's pretty smart but not 100%. He leans a little on the sensational side, seeing a lot of worst case scenarios that don't exactly play out that way.

 

[IlGialloMondadori]

More shakeups
Pentagon says navy secretary is leaving, marking another top leader's departure

 

[DenchDeckard]

More shakeups
Pentagon says navy secretary is leaving, marking another top leader's departure

All part of the plan!

 

[Sybrix]

I wonder at what point this ends with a deal that is pretty much the same as the Obama 2015 agreement?

 

[IlGialloMondadori]

I wonder at what point this ends with a deal that is pretty much the same as the Obama 2015 agreement?

The chessmasters at work.

 

[Forsete]

Un-fucking believable.

 

[Baemono]

Wow even Indians get scammed by Indians

 

[StabbyStabStabStabStab]

Wow even Indians get scammed by Indians

Its from a parody account, so not sure if its actually true (I have my doubts anyway...)

 

[BlackTron]

Jokes on you, I already started stashing extra canned food. So in the dystopian future, I'll either survive a month longer than you, or be overrun by looters on day one. See you space cowboy!

 

[IlGialloMondadori]

Un-fucking believable.

Wow even Indians get scammed by Indians

the should have been suspicious when they were told to pay in gift cards.

Just in case people don't know, this is not real, and is a parody account.

 

[winjer]

Here is the current list of what each air company is doing, due to the fuel shortages.
It's a very long list, already with plenty of cancelled flights or price increases.

All the airlines cancelling flights and adding extra charges amid jet fuel crisis

Jet fuel costs have rocketed amid a global shortage caused by conflict in the Middle East

www.independent.co.uk

 

[Baemono]

Just in case people don't know, this is not real, and is a parody account.

Thanks, I went all in

 

[IlGialloMondadori]

Thanks, I went all in

 

[Wildebeest]

6 months to reopen the strait, starting when they feel like it, which could be over a year away, who knows. Everything is fine, all according to plan. I hope you guys feel ready to pay for the modest lifestyles of the UAE elite, on taxpayers money, in the mean time.

 

[Unknown Soldier]

 

[AJUMP23]

The most Indian thing ever.

 

[AJUMP23]

Not Iran but just an aside to say we have all read about this before.

 

[StueyDuck]

Not Iran but just an aside to say we have all read about this before.

 

[moogman]

Here is the current list of what each air company is doing, due to the fuel shortages.
It's a very long list, already with plenty of cancelled flights or price increases.

All the airlines cancelling flights and adding extra charges amid jet fuel crisis

Jet fuel costs have rocketed amid a global shortage caused by conflict in the Middle East

www.independent.co.uk

Interesting that none of the UAE based airlines are affected yet.

 

[adamsapple]

 

[ChuckeRearmed]

New York Times on Iranian officials: Mojtaba Khamenei has authorized Revolutionary Guard generals to make decisions due to the difficulty of communicating with him #BreakingNews

Senior Advisor to Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to The New York Times: IRGC Generals Are Making Decisions on Behalf of Mojtaba Khamenei #Breaking_News

Basically admittingthat IRGC has no legitimacy at this point and only the continuation of the war allows them to maintain power because "the leader told us to act as we see fit but he cannot be reached anymore so believe us".