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OT | Dutch General Election 2017 | Exit Poll: Major underperformance for Wilders

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Yep. I agree. Also, technically this will likely end up as the second european election since trump's victory that tampered that narrative but the mainstream media didn't care about the first election that tampered that narrative.

Austria's President? Or am I missing some election?
 

Theorry

Member
That doesn't really make sense, PVV can only get into a coalition with the VVD, all other options are ideologically not possible. Making either big just heightens the chance of a PVV coalition. Yeah if VVD becomes the biggest they might choose another direction than PVV, but you'd have to rely on people like Halbe Zijlstra to keep their promise pinky swear. And actually only Rutte ever said that he wouldn't be in a coalition with Wilders, so if he steps down it's free game for the VVD.

I think the only strategic vote would be to vote neither. Or better, D66, they're similar to VVD and would never get into a coalition with PVV.

I dont want PVV to become the biggest.
 
I'm voting Groen Links and hoping many of you will as well since climate change is pretty much the only issue that should really matter to anyone. Besides, many other problems like immigration and income inequality are related to climate change in one way or another.

I probably gonna to vote VVD as a strategy vote against the PVV. Even i dont agree on everything with VVD. Never done that before.

Don't do this, it's not necessary.
 

Soph

Member
I probably gonna to vote VVD as a strategy vote against the PVV. Even i dont agree on everything with VVD. Never done that before.

Don't ever vote strategically, vote for who you believe represents your viewpoints the best. You don't need to vote between a giant douche and a turd sandwich, this is not America.
 

Veidt

Blasphemer who refuses to accept bagged milk as his personal savior
I dont want PVV to become the biggest.
Strategic voting isn't necessary. The system works, because it is possible for coalitions to be formed. In fact it is this very thing that has helped us avoid the hell Americans or Brits face when they vote. Vote for whatever party is good for you. Or vote for a party closer to your values in a general sense.
 

YourMaster

Member
A shout out to all the voters here to not be lazy and blindly vote for the person at the top of the list. Do your due diligence and decide which person on the list you think is best. Because honestly by the end of the day the competence of the members of parliament decides at least as much as the ideology.
And don't worry, if he/she does not get a seat, your vote did not go to waste but will still go to the party.

I dont want PVV to become the biggest.

Being the biggest doesn't matter much. They can decide who to talk with first, but there's no mandate to have the biggest party in the coalition. This is one of those cases where the system is fine but the people are dumb. Look at last election where most people voted on PvdA or VVD mostly against their will to make the other one not the biggest, making both parties almost double in size and almost nobody was happy with the outcome. If you don't want far right/left to go into power, vote far left/right not center right/left. Best still vote the party you like the most.
 

Nokterian

Member
Voted pirateparty because we need change in our democracy,for our privacy,for our digital human rights.

Yeah you can vote on me also! Lijst 20 Piratenpartij number 30!
 

Kabouter

Member

Being the biggest doesn't matter much.
They can decide who to talk with first, but there's no mandate to have the biggest party in the coalition. This is one of those cases where the system is fine but the people are dumb. Look at last election where most people voted on PvdA or VVD mostly against their will to make the other one not the biggest, making both parties almost double in size and almost nobody was happy with the outcome. If you don't want far right/left to go into power, vote far left/right not center right/left. Best still vote the party you like the most.

I disagree. If the PVV is the biggest, and they are (obviously) unable to form a coalition, it gives Wilders a much better position to cry about how everyone else is ganging up on him, and to place himself in the victim role he loves so much. That said, still didn't vote strategically.
 

mo60

Member
I disagree. If the PVV is the biggest, and they are (obviously) unable to form a coalition, it gives Wilders a much better position to cry about how everyone else is ganging up on him, and to place himself in the victim role he loves so much. That said, still didn't vote strategically.

Yep. I don't think it's likely we have to worry about that at all at the moment. If the race was a bit closer I would think it would be a bit more justifiable to vote for the VVD to block the PVV so we don't have wilders complaining about having no role in the coalition if the PVV ended up getting the most seats.Since it's likely the PVV will end up somewhere between 2nd and 5th later today once the votes are counted but not finalized I think it's better for people to vote for the party that fits them most.
 

Aiii

So not worth it
Yep. I don't think it's likely we have to worry about that at all at the moment. If the race was a bit closer I would think it would be a bit more justifiable to vote for the VVD to block the PVV so we don't have wilders complaining about having no role in the coalition if the PVV ended up getting the most seats.Since it's likely the PVV will end up somewhere between 2nd and 5th later today once the votes are counted but not finalized I think it's better for people to vote for the party that fits them most.

Even then, the VVD has already proven in the past that cooperation with PVV is an option for them, as long as they get to govern. Strategically voting for VVD to block PVV is the least logical thing in my book, unless you strategically vote for Jan Roos.
 

spekkeh

Banned
Also don't see why I would need or want change in my democratic rights, I have the right to vote in elections, the system works well, I don't see why I need change there.
As a pretty much lifelong D66 voter I agree. Referenda and their proposed district system are a mistake. They're nothing but trash.
 

Caayn

Member
I'm voting Groen Links and hoping many of you will as well since climate change is pretty much the only issue that should really matter to anyone. Besides, many other problems like immigration and income inequality are related to climate change in one way or another.
If that's your stance why did you pick GL over PvdD? Honest question.
 

lord quas

Member
Also, I have no idea why Thierry Baudet suddenly became a thing. I shiver at the thought of FvD having any kind of influence on... whatsoever, actually :/
 

Chuckie

Member

Lol I had to read that sentence a couple of times too. Basically he says:

If you don't want far right in power, vote far left, not center right
If you don't want far left in power, vote far right, not center left

In this case: If you don't want PVV in power, vote GL/SP not VVD


At least I think that is what was meant :p
 

Antagon

Member
I'm voting Groen Links and hoping many of you will as well since climate change is pretty much the only issue that should really matter to anyone. Besides, many other problems like immigration and income inequality are related to climate change in one way or another.

Don't do this, it's not necessary.

It's definitely a very important issue. There's a couple of parties that are very much on the right track regarding climate though, so that alone is not enough for GL to get my vote.

As a D66 voter I agree with the other posters here on referenda though. Most issues are far too complicated to be able to cast a simple 'yes' or 'no' on, so I'm against them. Funny that Thierry Baudet who is such a big proponent of referenda also showed all the issues they have with that Ukraine fuckery.
 

mo60

Member
Even then, the VVD has already proven in the past that cooperation with PVV is an option for them, as long as they get to govern. Strategically voting for VVD to block PVV is the least logical thing in my book, unless you strategically vote for Jan Roos.

Didn't rutte get burned the last time PVV joined a coaliton with them? Rutte really doesn't need PVV this time, but I do agree that the VVD may change their mind about a coalition with the PVV.
 
If that's your stance why did you pick GL over PvdD? Honest question.

In calculations made by CPB and based on passed motions, Groen Links is consistently the most vocal and radical party in fighting Climate Change.

https://decorrespondent.nl/6353/dit...ring-serieus-tegengaan/1895115426732-be6e8ec4

Yup, this is what I based my decision on mostly. I also couldn't really get over how poorly named PvdD is. That may be unfair, but I think it limits their potential. Also, Klaver seems to have some momentum going.

It's definitely a very important issue. There's a couple of parties that are very much on the right track regarding climate though, so that alone is not enough for GL to get my vote.

As a D66 voter I agree with the other posters here on referenda though. Most issues are far too complicated to be able to cast a simple 'yes' or 'no' on, so I'm against them. Funny that Thierry Baudet who is such a big proponent of referenda also showed all the issues they have with that Ukraine fuckery.

Yeah, that's definitely true. Referendas are mostly bullshit.
 
Keep in mind in these polls, conservative voters are rarely as open as liberal ones. No this isn't Brexit or Trump but even if you look at elections in Israel and India. Hardliners and conservatives were underrepresented in polls and came out stronger when the polls actually happened. I think people just don't want to say they'll vote for Geert or his party as much as Rutte. But interesting to see that the polls have shown him dropping. I guess people want stablity and actual policy instead of bluster.
Trump and Brexit are almost completely different things though. If comparing party politics the UK equivalent would be UKIP who got a lot of buzz, a lot of rattle and then only got one MP and Farage didn't even win his own constituency.

Wilders is like Farage and the Netherlands is like England in the respect of their may be support polling for more conservative policies on immigrants or what have you but ultimately nobody wants to actually vote for a cunt like Farage or Wilders (American did though, I admit).

Or at least I hope so. Good luck today guys.
 

Aiii

So not worth it
Didn't rutte get burned the last time PVV joined a coaliton with them? Rutte really doesn't need PVV this time, but I do agree that the VVD may change their mind about a coalition with the PVV.

The VVD isn't that trustworthy with campaign promises given their past, just saying.

And I disagree that the VVD doesn't need the PVV. The VVD has more in common with the PVV than most, probably any, of the center and left-wing parties. If people make the VVD too big and give them too much sway over the coalition process, the left wing parties will bow out of negotiations and the VVD will have either no choice but to talk to the PVV (which will give them the perfect excuse) or give up on trying to form a coalition altogether, which they will not want to do.

Strategic voting for the VVD only ends in terrible options for all concerned, and we're finally getting rid of the last mess of strategic voting, so let's try and avoid that this time.D
 

Pusherman

Member
God, I hope the left pulls through this election and we end up with a progressive (center-)left government. Seems pretty unlikely tho.
 
Voting groenlinks. Came out on my stemwijzer and found the debats very strong. Hope we dont wake up tommorow realising we made a mistake. Without a doubt is this my most stressfull election
 

Steeven

Member
Also, I have no idea why Thierry Baudet suddenly became a thing. I shiver at the thought of FvD having any kind of influence on... whatsoever, actually :/

I think the same about Groenlinks as a whole, and Pechtold as a person. Blegh. I kinda like the D66 program but that man needs to go before I would consider voting for that party.
 

YourMaster

Member
I disagree. If the PVV is the biggest, and they are (obviously) unable to form a coalition, it gives Wilders a much better position to cry about how everyone else is ganging up on him, and to place himself in the victim role he loves so much. That said, still didn't vote strategically.

And this is exactly the way it matters - which is not much in my book - having Wilders become the largest party will give him a talking point. This matters a whole lot less than actually voting a party in power you don't support.

I think people should vote for what they believe in, but if they want to vote strategically they vote for the extreme parties, not the center parties. Last election people cared about voted PvdA against their better judgement to keep the VVD out of power, or VVD to keep the PvdA out of power, but having to large center parties will form a coalition with them both in. If SP got the votes the PvdA did now it would have looked a lot different.
Of course, if you want a centrist government you'd do fine to vote D66, CDA, VVD or PvdA, but that will always leave the option over that you'll have a center-left of center-right government.
 
Gonna vote for Groenlinks in a few moments.

Climate is the number one issue we need to worry about right now.

Also, I hope the PVV gets maximum of 20 seats or even less.

Rutte III: VVD - CDA - D66 - GroenLinks
A nice balance of left and right.

Voting GroenLinks myself.

This is the most realistic option. (Even tho I prefer a left coalition).
 

Aiii

So not worth it
Pechtold is one of the best politicians we have. He is fair, he is honest in what he says and he is not afraid of compromise to achieve progression (something I'm very glad he was able to get across against Buma yesterday, btw). He is one of the few people I truly believe in when it comes to getting things done. Someone that likes to think in solutions, rather than obstacles.
 

burnfout

Member
Voted D66 this morning. Voted for Stientje though, would like to see more women in higher politicial positions. Nothing against Pechtold.
 

mo60

Member
Here's hoping the PVV drops a bit further and helps to deflate My Little Pony's chances in France.

My Little Pony's chances of the french election were already starting to deflate because of trump and his administrations shenanigans. The PVV doing worse then expected would make it less likely for her to use the dutch election as a talking point while camapigning.
 

JDB

Banned
I've never really been too interested in voting, but I voted D66 today.
les go


edit: Is there a good liveblog anywhere that I can follow throughout the day?
 

mo60

Member
Gonna vote for Groenlinks in a few moments.

Climate is the number one issue we need to worry about right now.

Also, I hope the PVV gets maximum of 20 seats or even less.



This is the most realistic option. (Even tho I prefer a left coalition).

I want the PVV to get exactly 15 seats to see wilders reaction.to not winning any seats.
 

YourMaster

Member
Pechtold is one of the best politicians we have. He is fair, he is honest in what he says and he is not afraid of compromise to achieve progression (something I'm very glad he was able to get across against Buma yesterday, btw). He is one of the few people I truly believe in when it comes to getting things done. Someone that likes to think in solutions, rather than obstacles.

I always hear a man completely detached from reality.
And I find it so weird to see people talking like it was a good thing that Pechtold supported Rutte II the way he did. Rutte and co hardly ever managed to form an effective law and did more harm than good, and Pechtold accepted it for peanuts. He should have either blocked the lot or used his bargaining power to push changes to the laws to make them any good.

Is there a good liveblog anywhere that I can follow throughout the day?

I believe the exit polls will only come at 20 hours when voting stops. Otherwise it would effect the outcome.
 

Steeven

Member
Care to elaborate?

Regarding Groenlinks: I care about climate change, I care about green energy, and I like them for repeatedly addressing the issues, but I don't care for their economic program, and especially their plans that target all people that drive cars. People have to get to work, you know. I would rather have them introducing smart policies. For example, I am a consultant, and I have to drive 3 hours a day for a job that I can do at home, but for some reason my presence is needed. So instead of punishing those who have no choice but to drive a car, try to promote new policies that will lead people to leave their car at home, like promote companies that offer more flexible hours. That's just one example. Thinking people can use public transportation is a utopia as well. My wife experiences train rides every week and its just awful. It is no serious alternative now, and will be even worse when people have to leave their cars at home. Other than that, I dislike Klaver. Those rolled up sleeves, really?

Regarding Pechtold, I just think he is an arrogant piece of shit.
 

Funky Papa

FUNK-Y-PPA-4
My Little Pony's chances of the french election were already starting to deflate because of trump and his administrations shenanigans. The PVV doing worse then expected would make it less likely for her to use the dutch election as a talking point while camapigning.

Yeah, that's what I'm counting on. The European far right went crazy after the Brexit vote, but Trump's idiocy is sparking some second thoughts among certain people. That and Russian meddling. The PVV underperforming would hurt MLP's chances even more, and maybe even sunk the AfD further
HOHE ENERGIE
.
 

SxP

Member
Also, I have no idea why Thierry Baudet suddenly became a thing. I shiver at the thought of FvD having any kind of influence on... whatsoever, actually :/

I similarly baffled. Here at my work there's suddenly a ton of people who switched to FvD. And even listening to them explain it, I still don't understand. Often from people who hate the populism of Wilders. But FvD is just a slight different kind of populism.

Going to vote GroenLinks myself this evening. Hopefully the tide of right-wing politics can be mitigated a little bit today, but it seems that's a pipe dream.
 
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