Place your bets: Batman v Superman vs Civil War vs Rogue One

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I'm just wondering what exactly you mean. The prior films - TDK trilogy? Or just Man of Steel? And how does it run counter to BvS's marketing?

I brought up the Raid 2 because it's a prime example of a film the enlarged the world of the first - which was a claustrophobic action flick. Its only shared thread between the two was the protagonist. The Raid 2 is not only a good action film, it's an amazing crime thriller.

Raid 2 introduced an anti-hero, an antagonist, three sub villains, three crime families, a foil, the mentor, a few red herrings, and hell of a lot more in 150 minutes. Time and time again, people look to the Marvel method, of creating "agency" as you will, but as good movies prove - every year - it's just not true.

I'd say both TDK trilogy and Man of Steel, yes. Anecdote's the singular of data and all...I've heard BvS mentioned by friends, colleagues, and friends of friends...and every single time, the question is: why is Batman fighting Superman again? I understand why that's going to be completely dismissed here, but I think there's something to that. It's generating interest and conversation, no doubt. But in case my point was lost earlier in the shuffle, neither of those things necessarily translate into performance at the box office.

I think I understand the Raid 2 comparison you make, but I'd counter that such a thing is easier to accomplish when you're not dealing with established characters. Playing with expectations can be fun, but toy with the formula too much and you risk damaging the IP. To give some credit, I think Warner remedied that in the last trailer. But then they said fuck it and tossed WW into the mix, making the whole thing reek like the formulaic, me too, cash-grab that it is.

I think they'll suffer some as a result. Others don't. That's the fun in this nonsense.
 
No idea about Rogue One, but Batman v Superman will expose the MCU for the rinky-dink operation it is.

A portion of GAF will be flustered by this, but ultimately give in after Suicide Squad release, which will end up the most liked here.

?

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can't give Snyder the benefit of the doubt man
 
Which film will be the highest grossing at the box office?

Which film will receive the highest critical acclaim?

If they were all released on the same day, which would you go see first?

Which film will be the best received by GAF?

1) Civil War

2) Civil War

3) Rogue One

4) Civil War

I'm a huge Star Wars fan, but I think the hype building behind Civil War plus all the Marvel characters appearing will have a much wider appeal then Rogue One. Finding the Death Star plans is very cool, but not sure it will have as wide an appeal.
 
to folks saying Civil War will be most liked on GAF. Age of Ultron is not very well liked here yeah?
People aren't saying it because it's Marvel necessarily but the Russo Brothers are darlings of ComicMovieGaf.

Anyway, my predictions:

Highest Gross: Batman VS Superman but it'll be very close.
Acclaim: Civil War. I would say Rogue One but with all the spoilers and comments we've got surrounding Civil War I assume it'll be beloved.
Which would I see: Civil War. It'd probably be the biggest spoilerific one. We've seen so much of BVS thanks to that awful, awful trailer and Rogue One ends with them stealing the Death Star plans. Sorry if that's a spoiler, I've actually seen it's sequel already!
GAF: Toss-up between Rogue One and Civil War. Probably Rogue One.
 
Highest Gross: Rogue One. Becase it's Starwars nostalgia extravaganza with Darth Vader, CGI Carrie Fisher and all in between.

Acclaim: Civil War. Marvel has the formula nailed down, and the Russos are the only ones of their directors so far that just get the characters as larger than life symbols, and not toys. It's gonna be great.

Which would I see: BvS. It's going to be visually arresting, and will have very interesting mature themes going on. Hope it delivers.

GAF: Surprisingly, I'd think BvS will gather the most goodwill here on GAF. CW could fall under the weight of their expectations while BvS is kind of the underdog going on here, and I think it will surprise a lot of people with its themes. If it fails to deliver on promises, then Civil War. Rogue One doesn't inspire me with confidence due to the cookie cutter screencrwiter and super mediocre director.
 
considering how much i enjoyed cap 2 (except for the dreaded third act problem all these movies been running into lately) i wish i was more hyped for civil war.

after age of ultron the prospect of seeing a bunch of freaking avengers on screen again so soon really cuts down the hype for me. would have preferred if just iron man, black panther and spiderman made the appearance (ross as well of course, hurt rocks). but that would then likely undercut the whole CIVIL WAR angle.

hawkeye, witch and vision can go kick rocks tbh. especially scarlet witch. those accents...yikes.
 
considering how much i enjoyed cap 2 (except for the dreaded third act problem all these movies been running into lately) i wish i was more hyped for civil war.

after age of ultron the prospect of seeing a bunch of freaking avengers on screen again so soon really cuts down the hype for me. would have preferred if just iron man, black panther and spiderman made the appearance (ross as well of course, hurt rocks). but that would then likely undercut the whole CIVIL WAR angle.

What do you hate so much about that third act exactly? You always mention it but I've never seen you actually elaborate on why it's so bad.
 
What do you hate so much about that third act exactly? You always mention it but I've never seen you actually elaborate on why it's so bad.

captain vs. bucky was a faaar more interesting feud. it didn't even need the big explosive finale (that ultimately got it that big worldwide gross no doubt, it seems like international audiences require this).

i'd have preferred it if they just had a faceoff rather than go the helicarrier giant cgi battle route. the action scenes peaked with that street fight for me.

and to top it off if you look at the run of avengers -> man of steel -> cap 2 - > guardians - > avengers 2 it's starting to all blend together for me. it's getting to be kinda boring now.

i don't got all the answers!!! (lol) so i dunno how exactly they could fix cap 2 considering how much that hydra crap was a part of the storyline, but a smaller and more choreographed climax would have been nice. something like cap vs GSP but longer considering he's facing bucky.
 
captain vs. bucky was a faaar more interesting feud. it didn't even need the big explosive finale (that ultimately got it that big worldwide gross no doubt, it seems like international audiences require this).

i'd have preferred it if they just had a faceoff rather than go the helicarrier giant cgi battle route. the action scenes peaked with that street fight for me.

and to top it off if you look at the run of avengers -> man of steel -> cap 2 - > guardians - > avengers 2 it's starting to all blend together for me. it's getting to be kinda boring now.

I'm with you 100% there. I'm tired of the CG crazy explosion-fest third acts
 
captain vs. bucky was a faaar more interesting feud. it didn't even need the big explosive finale (that ultimately got it that big worldwide gross no doubt, it seems like international audiences require this).

i'd have preferred it if they just had a faceoff rather than go the helicarrier giant cgi battle route. the action scenes peaked with that street fight for me.

and to top it off if you look at the run of avengers -> man of steel -> cap 2 - > guardians - > avengers 2 it's starting to all blend together for me. it's getting to be kinda boring now.

So it's not so much that you found it to be poorly executed on a technical level and more that you felt the set piece was boring? I don't agree but that makes more sense.
 
So it's not so much that you found it to be poorly executed on a technical level and more that you felt the set piece was boring? I don't agree but that makes more sense.

I'd have to agree with him. I LOVE Winter Soldier. Love it to death but I would have preferred it stuck to a more personal confrontation without the "millions will die by some super science sniper ships".
 
The Mad Max comparison is interesting for me since I'm one of the dozen or so people on the planet that thought one of its few obvious flaws was the action feeling repetitive by the end of the movie. That was in large part a result of the plot having them turn around and go back exactly the way they came. I've rewatched the film several times and I always get a bit fatigued right around the moment the finale starts.
 
black panther better body some heroes though. if they want the movie fans to see him as a stronger, smarter batman then i hope he gives them some work.

looking forward to russos's action scenes with him and spiderman most definitely. the stuff they did with black widow and the grappling hook was tight in cap 2. it was very batman-esque for me and was how i envisioned batman's movements should be.

edit: mad max is as loud as any of these films no doubt. with plenty of effects work to supplement it, but that's the big exception rather than just another example. the way it's filmed and the stuntwork involved, so good.
 
This is the 2016 version of Malyse's Age of Ultron vs The Force Awakens thread. I'm going to ask generally the same questions from the last thread with one added question.


Which film will be the highest grossing at the box office?

Which film will receive the highest critical acclaim?

If they were all released on the same day, which would you go see first?

Which film will be the best received by GAF?

1. Rogue One, Batman v Superman, Civil War
2. Rogue One, Civil War, Batman v Superman
3. Rogue One, Civil War, Batman v Superman
4. Civil War, Rogue One, Batman v Superman

More detailed box office predictions...

OW:

Batman v Superman - 181M
Civil War - 166M
Rogue One - 147M

DOM:

Rogue One - 513M
Batman v Superman - 479M
Civil War - 414M


WW:

Batman v Superman - 1.386B
Rogue One - 1.263B
Civil War - 1.226B

Also, if we're talking about megablockbusters, this thread is sorely missing Finding Dory. Don't think it'll beat the bigger ones, but definitely could beat Civil War.
 
fantastic beasts and finding dory are both being ignored. i feel like they could at least be as big as the comic book movies this year if not bigger. especially beasts with the international take.
 
Well, now you're hurt my feelings. I thought we were discussing BO performance and critical reception, not acting like jackasses and making comments that add nothing to the conversation.

Now that I know you were genuinely looking forward to a Catwoman appearance, though, I think I'm going to make a wish on a star tonight that it's Julie Newmar in the role, wearing Halle Berry's suit from the movie. No CG.

We'll see who's boohooing soon enough.



So is the basis for comparison that Batman is in both? Because otherwise, i think that's one of the more odd comparisons I've heard. I'll ignore your "too many" reference since you answer your own questions there, really, but do I think a production can be hampered by tossing in a bunch of unnecessary shit?

Yes. Yes I do.

My point was that there are plenty of times that good art can totally be full of references and that being "full of references" has never been the reason a story has been bad. Stories fail when there are larger structural or character issues. Who's to even say that Barbara's appearance would be unnecessary? We don't know the larger context for it because we haven't seen the film.

It's fiction, none of it is "necessary" until the story-tellers make it so. There's nothing "necessary" about a story in which a man dresses up as a Bat to fight crime.
 
fantastic beasts and finding dory are both being ignored. i feel like they could at least be as big as the comic book movies this year if not bigger. especially beasts with the international take.

Beasts is basically Redmayne cashing in on all of his critical rep

It's hilarious thinking that the dude who started off as a freaking mute in Pillars of the Earth turned into The Danish Girl and then into MR. SCAMANDER
 
I remember thinking who is this fish looking dork in black death. Dude was phenomenal in theory of everything tho. Was eh about the movie but that was definitely hawkings doppelganger

Deserves his success after seeing that
 
fantastic beasts and finding dory are both being ignored. i feel like they could at least be as big as the comic book movies this year if not bigger. especially beasts with the international take.

Beasts will do very well, but I expect to see it somewhere in 4th or 5th place for the year, WW. It's not a true HP sequel, and it's a few years removed from the last film. I think, if it's good, Beasts 2 will absolutely be massive.
 
This is the 2016 version of Malyse's Age of Ultron vs The Force Awakens thread. I'm going to ask generally the same questions from the last thread with one added question.


Which film will be the highest grossing at the box office?

Which film will receive the highest critical acclaim?

If they were all released on the same day, which would you go see first?

Which film will be the best received by GAF?

1- Rogue One
2- Rogue One... this is the hardest one for me as my head says Civil War, but my heart says Rogue One.
3- Rogue One
4- Rogue One
 
Rogue One has zero hype because 99% of people do not know it exists yet.
Thinking on the big 'event' films of yesteryear - Jurassic Park revival, Star Wars revival, MCU team-up, Avatar 3d hype ... - I see Batman and Superman on screen together as rivaling those.
We just had a repeated event with the Avengers that faltered a tad, and that May schedule is jampacked. In spite of Disney's attempt to detach episode numbers from the titles of the movies, people will know that this is not a completely vital story to view. Vader or whoever being in it could tap into the nostalgic fuel that powered Force Awakens but Force Awakens progressed that nostalgia while Rogue One is completely based it in it - which could alienate some audiences.

Critical reception is all filmmaker based. The Russos had a great hit, but can they deliver again? Marvel certainly trusts them to. We haven't heard a peep out of Gareth Edward's production - rather that's good or bad is a huge question (especially with rumors of Christopher McQuarrie's cleanup efforts). I feel that Zack Snyder is waiting to make his masterpiece but never put together the right team - can BvS finally end his search?

To answer:
1) BvS > SW > CW
2) CW > BvS > SW
3) BvS
4) CW
 
Alright, I'm ready to stake it

Highest Grossing: Batman V. Superman
- All said and done, it's Star Wars, but Rogue One is in an unknown territory as a spinoff*. Civil War may have a lot of avengers, but this is first time Batman and Superman are together

Highest Critical Acclaim: Captain America Civil War
-Russo Bros. has better track records than the teams behind other two.

Best Received by GAF: Captain America Civil War
-See above. GAF will receive the films the same as any audience.

*Will not be really surpised if Rogue One is the highest grossing though, tough call.

If they were all released on the same day, which would you go see first?
-Batman v Superman - Because it's DC trinity together ever in the theater.
 
Yeah, I could see that happening. MCU was at it's hottest right after Avengers came out. I do think there's a small bit of truth to the MCU fatigue idea.

Iron Man 3 made that money coming off of Avengers not because of its quality. Civil War is coming off of Ant-Man. ;P

Iron Man 3 is far and away the most successful solo Marvel film, and that's largely because it came right after The Avengers, when MCU hype was at an all-time high.

Civil War will do well, very well, but I think it won't reach Iron Man 3 numbers.

You guys are crazy. Civil War is shitting on Iron Man 3.

If MCU hype was at an all time high after Avengers 1, explain how Age of Ultron made $1.4 billion?

Civil War is basically the real Avengers 2.

Lol. Come on dude; Spider-Man showing up as a side-character in a packed superhero film is not going to propel it to Avengers numbers. It's still a Captain America film first and foremost, and the kind of numbers you're suggesting would be double the box office performance of The Winter Soldier.

It absolutely will and the fact that it's still a "Captain America" film isn't really a negative. Iron Man, the character who has starred in 3 billion dollar movies in a row, has been all over the marketing since the very beginning. The fact that other superheroes will be in the film is well established. This Captain America film is coming off of what is generally accepted as one of the greatest comic book movies of all time (Winter Soldier). And yes, Spider-Man showing up as a "side-character" is going to be huge for this film. It's fucking SPIDER-MAN.

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He's kind of a big deal.
 
My point was that there are plenty of times that good art can totally be full of references and that being "full of references" has never been the reason a story has been bad. Stories fail when there are larger structural or character issues. Who's to even say that Barbara's appearance would be unnecessary? We don't know the larger context for it because we haven't seen the film.

It's fiction, none of it is "necessary" until the story-tellers make it so. There's nothing "necessary" about a story in which a man dresses up as a Bat to fight crime.

Weird to me the lengths some will go to defend the "on first blush" shit marketing this movie has received. I can't speak to the movie, and I'm betting neither can you. So now we've expanded from my criticism of the crazy ass manner in which they've shit out character and plot elements in the trailers to discussing the necessity of superhero films?

Non sequitur tripe.
 
You guys are crazy. Civil War is shitting on Iron Man 3.

If MCU hype was at an all time high after Avengers 1, explain how Age of Ultron made $1.4 billion?

Civil War is basically the real Avengers 2.



It absolutely will and the fact that it's still a "Captain America" film isn't really a negative. Iron Man, the character who has starred in 3 billion dollar movies in a row, has been all over the marketing since the very beginning. The fact that other superheroes will be in the film is well established. This Captain America film is coming off of what is generally accepted as one of the greatest comic book movies of all time (Winter Soldier). And yes, Spider-Man showing up as a "side-character" is going to be huge for this film. It's fucking SPIDER-MAN.

LwuvbXn.jpg


He's kind of a big deal.

Reposting what I posted in another thread about this graph, just seconds ago:

This graph is pretty misleading.

Of course there would've been a lot of Spider-Man merch in 2014 compared to Batman, Superman, or the Avengers. It's the only brand represented in that graph that had a new film out in 2014. If anything, it makes Batman look impressive given that Batman merch sold just as much as Spider-Man domestically, when it was 2 years removed from the release of a Batman movie in either direction.

Also,

IM3 made 1.2 Billion because it was a related film that was released immediately after The Avengers.

AOU made 1.4 Billion because it was the direct sequel to the Avengers, and fell slightly short of projections because it's WoM and reviews were weaker than the first film, that's something that could affect Civil War.

I'm not even disagreeing that it'll be huge. I think it'll cross a billion, I think it'll just stay closer to 1 billion, than 1.5.
 
Reposting what I posted in another thread about this graph, just seconds ago:



Also,

IM3 made 1.2 Billion because it was a related film that was released immediately after The Avengers.

AOU made 1.4 Billion because it was the direct sequel to the Avengers, and fell slightly short of projections because it's WoM and reviews were weaker than the first film, that's something that could affect Civil War.

I'm not even disagreeing that it'll be huge. I think it'll cross a billion, I think it'll just stay closer to 1 billion, than 1.5.

I was like this conversation feels familiar!
We just did it last week!
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=1190735&page=4
 
I didn't forget Dory or Fantastic Beasts. I decided to choose the three films which are most likely going to be the biggest here on GAF in 2016.
 
I didn't forget Dory or Fantastic Beasts. I decided to choose the three films which are most likely going to be the biggest here on GAF in 2016.

I think you've likely picked out the top 3 grossers of 2016. I see Dory and Fantastic Beasts hanging out somewhere between 4th-6th place for the year.
 
I am going to go with Rogue One overall domestic. I think that BvS versus Civil War is a bit of a toss up. I think that BvS will open higher though.
 
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