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PoliGAF 2016 |OT| Ask us about our performance with Latinos in Nevada

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HylianTom

Banned
I know Killer Mike isn't part of Bernie's campaign exactly, but it got me thinking. Assuming Hillary is the nominee, do you guys think any of her potential opponents are disciplined enough to not do something alienating and horribly sexist when campaigning against her? I assume Trump and Cruz will get ugly from the start, and it will be something so obvious that Hillary's campaign won't have to address it because the news media and general public will latch onto it without their help.

There were shit tons of racial dog-whistles along the way in 2008 and 2012 that we paid attention to, but I think were ignored by the majority of Americans. I think it'll be different this time around. For one, Trump lacks the subtlety of his predecessors, and two, there are a lot more women out there to offend than there are minorities.

The difference between pissing-off black voters versus pissing-off female voters:
Black voters are approximately 13% of the electorate, and they are already overwhelmingly loyal to Democrats. A racially-tinged incident won't really result in the GOP losing that much ground among that segment of the electorate.

Female voters are approximately 52% of the electorate. They lean Democrat, but they're a very elastic voting group. A sexist incident could really hurt, even if the overall needle only moves a point or two.

And the GOP's base encourages toxic behavior.
 
Justice D-Money.

Maine’s Tea Party Guv Goes Rogue: Let Obama Nominate Scalia's Successor!

Maine Gov. Paul LePage (R) broke with Republican Party leadership on Thursday, insisting that President Barack Obama should be allowed to fill the Supreme Court seat left open by Justice Antonin Scalia’s death.

"I'm a big constitutionalist," LePage told the Maine Sun Journal. "If it's in the Constitution, I think it means something."

These remarks are surprising coming from a tea party governor known for calling for the return of the guillotine and reportedly saying the President “hates white people."
 

Iolo

Member
Sanders economist Gerald Friedman is voting for Clinton

He likes Sanders. And he has written, in consultation with the Sanders campaign, an analysis that projects Sanders’ ambitious domestic agenda would raise economic growth to as high as 5.3 percent per year, yielding sustained income gains for the middle class.

But Friedman, an economist at the University of Massachusetts-Amherst, says he’ll vote for Hillary Clinton in the Democratic presidential primary.

“I support Clinton,” he said in an interview on Thursday. “I donate $10 a month to Clinton. I remember the woman who said, women’s rights are human rights. I think she did a great job as secretary of state. I agree with Bernie on economic issues, but there are other issues.”
How long until he's thrown under the bus
 

kirblar

Member
Do evangelicals even consider Catholics Christians? I believe Coulter has brought that line of attack up before.
Evangelicals say "I'm Christian" when asked about their religion.

Everyone else says "I'm Catholic/Presbyterian/etc." - it's coded language.
 
Okay Fox News just spoke positively of Hillary Clinton because they're starting to fear Bernie (paraphrasing): "At least Hillary believes in capitalism and had a job, Bernie is a socialist who lived in a shack and didn't get a paycheck until he was 40".

What is this reality.
 

danm999

Member
Okay Fox News just spoke positively of Hillary Clinton because they're starting to fear Bernie (paraphrasing): "At least Hillary believes in capitalism and had a job, Bernie is a socialist who lived in a shack and didn't get a paycheck until he was 40".

What is this reality.

Someone went off script.
 

Y2Kev

TLG Fan Caretaker Est. 2009
We need Clyburn to join and turn South Carolina into a big fat mistake for Bernie. Come on Clyburn. CAST ULTIMA ALREADY JESUS CHRIST
 
Evangelicals aren't actually a monolithic block.

Yeah, obviously evangelicals and Catholics don't have a great history but I don't think the 'not Christian' thing has been big for decades. I was raised Southern Baptist and attended Catholic mass with friends some times. Going to one of the charismatic churches would have been a much bigger problem.
 

AlphaDump

Gold Member
CbhKENmUsAAWMMe.jpg

Uh.. this is a very bad look for several reasons...


and retweeting NRO unironically? yikes
 

Iolo

Member
I saw this, debated making a thread, and decided it wasn't worth it.

It's funny as shit though.

I agree there is no need to thread it, even though it's a bigger story IMO than random state representative ABC switches to Sanders.

The "single-issue" argument was what caught my eye. Even a socialist economist thinks Bernie is too focused on Wall Street.
 

NeoXChaos

Member
I agree there is no need to thread it, even though it's a bigger story IMO than random state representative ABC switches to Sanders.

The "single-issue" argument was what caught my eye. Even a socialist economist thinks Bernie is too focused on Wall Street.

too late
 

Teggy

Member
like John Lewis in a matter of seconds. Expect Clyburn next week to join them

Clyburn was on Here and Now this afternoon, I really liked his answers to their questions. My favorite though was his answer to the question, "why does South Carolina hate Barack Obama so much?" He used much more delicate language, but he basically said, "because they're racist, and I wish they would just admit it already."
 
John Kasich gives long hug to crying supporter. "We don't have enough people that sit down and cry with that young man."

http://cs.pn/1Ks6sdK

Most compassionate candidate award. This is also the guy who is the only one on the right that talks about incarceration rates and drug rehab.
 
Less than 1 in every 20 polls. And my point being it's a rare occurrence. Also, what date range did you calculate your standard deviation over?

5% is 1 in 20 polls. What date range does it matter? If his mean is around 35 and he ended up with 26, that's not abnormal. It's a pretty typical outlier given the MoEs...
 

Y2Kev

TLG Fan Caretaker Est. 2009
John Kasich gives long hug to crying supporter. "We don't have enough people that sit down and cry with that young man."

http://cs.pn/1Ks6sdK

Most compassionate candidate award. This is also the guy who is the only one on the right that talks about incarceration rates and drug rehab.

There's also like seven people there to watch him!
 

Teggy

Member
5% is 1 in 20 polls. What date range does it matter? If his mean is around 35 and he ended up with 26, that's not abnormal. It's a pretty typical outlier given the MoEs...

The date range matters because the mean/SD is different if your sample is polls from the past 5 months vs. the past month. Limiting to polls from the past month where the race has matured would make a lot more sense here.
 
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