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PoliGAF 2017 |OT2| Well, maybe McMaster isn't a traitor.

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BlastProcessing

Member
cartoon_soldier said:
He couldn't handle the Trump-Russia thing
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Couldn't handle Trump full stop. The Russia stuff wasn't necessarily in his jurisdiction. He could slide by saying that other committees were already looking into it. The ever growing mountain of Trump business entanglements and general fuckery is something that he would have a much harder time ignoring.

Stuff like this: China Defends Trademark Grants For Ivanka Trump Products.

There is also the fact that he can't hold a Town Hall meeting without getting booed off the stage. If you can't hold town halls, you can't run for re-election. You can argue that few politician's fortunes were more affected by Trump's surprise win than Chafetez. He was et up for 4 sweet years of attacking Clinton and instead got to be a lightning rod and serial apologizer for Trump. No one wants that job.
 
D

Dan

No longer boycotting the Wolfenstein franchise
WaPo: Trump’s treasury secretary: The tax cut ‘will pay for itself’
The Trump administration plans to rely on controversial assumptions about economic growth to offset steep cuts to business and individual tax rates, a chief architect of the plan said Thursday.

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said the economic growth that would result from the proposed tax cuts would be so extreme – close to $2 trillion over 10 years – that it would come close to recouping all of the lost revenue from the dramatic rate reductions. Some other new revenue would come from eliminating certain tax breaks, although he would not specify which ones.

“The plan will pay for itself with growth,” Mnuchin said at an event hosted by the Institute of International Finance.

Assuming economic growth based on changes to the tax code is known as “dynamic scoring,” and many conservatives embrace its use when arguing for lower rates. But estimating the future economic impact of tax cuts is very difficult to do, as it requires policy makers to rely on economic forecasts that are often imprecise.

And even if the White House has rosy estimates about the economic impact of the tax cuts, the administration could run into trouble as any plan moves through Congress. That’s because Congress relies on tax analyses performed by the Congressional Budget Office and the Joint Committee on Taxation, which tend to have a more restrained view on the macroeconomic effect of tax cuts.

“We have some evidence about how big these effects can be,” said Donald Marron, a former CBO official who is director of economic policy initiatives at the Urban Institute. “They are not zero, but they are modest.”
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Even if Trump’s tax proposal would bring in $2 trillion in new revenue over the first 10 years based on economic growth — something many liberal economists would contest — it offset the lost revenue that experts projected would occur from big rate cuts. The Tax Policy Center, working with the University of Pennsylvania, estimated that Trump’s proposed tax cuts would reduce revenue by $6.2 trillion over 10 years. The researchers said Trump's proposed plan would initially lead to more economic growth but the resulting growth in government debt — driven by falling revenue levels - would eventually hurt economic growth.
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The conservative-leaning Tax Foundation had a rosier outlook, but also predicted the plan would increase the deficit despite the benefits of a stronger economy. The foundation projected the Trump tax plan would lead to a loss of revenue of $2.6 trillion to $3.9 trillion after accounting for increased economic growth.
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Keep trying. The nth time is sure to be the one that works!
 
B

Box of Kittens

Banned
Republicans targeting Massachusetts for the Senate would be like the Democrats targeting Tennessee. Nearly every other seat up this cycle is in more favorable terrain. Baker's popularity doesn't really concern me either, as the dynamics of the races are very different. Massachusetts has generally been very willing to elect Republican governors, partly as a check on Democratic supermajorities in the legislature. National leanings tend to matter a lot more for the Senate, especially when voters are going to want their Senator to act as a check on Trump. Scott Brown managed to win a special election in 2010 against a weak opponent when Democrats were unpopular in general. Prior to that you have to go all the way back to Edward Brooke, who was unseated in 1978, to find a Republican Senator from Massachusetts.
 
B

Bonen no Max'd

Banned
Box of Kittens said:
Republicans targeting Massachusetts for the Senate would be like the Democrats targeting Tennessee. Nearly every other seat up this cycle is in more favorable terrain. Baker's popularity doesn't really concern me either, as the dynamics of the races are very different. Massachusetts has generally been very willing to elect Republican governors, partly as a check on Democratic supermajorities in the legislature. National leanings tend to matter a lot more for the Senate, especially when voters are going to want their Senator to act as a check on Trump. Scott Brown managed to win a special election in 2010 against a weak opponent when Democrats were unpopular in general. Prior to that you have to go all the way back to Edward Brooke, who was unseated in 1978, to find a Republican Senator from Massachusetts.
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Yeah it feels like by the point we lose Warren's seat we've also lost a dozen Senate seats and dozens of House seats.
 
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jtb

Banned
McMullin should totally take Chaffetz's seat. Wonder if he'd be up for running for it now, or if he thinks that would be squandering his political capital to go back into government so quickly.
 
A

Aaron Strife

Banned
The only reason the GOP would want to contest Massachusetts is because they view Warren specifically as a threat. If it were like, John Kerry they wouldn't bother.

Not that they'll win anyway.
 
J

jtb

Banned
Has Tennessee drifted redder since 2006? I'm going to guess that the answer is an unequivocal "yes", but it's still surprises me that it was one of the major contested Senate seats during that wave.
 
S

Stinkles

Clothed, sober, cooperative
Tamanon said:
Results are still a bit in the air, but no, Lasso came in second after the runoff. They're contesting the election but I don't think it'll go anywhere.
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I thought both parties had expressed a desire for stronger contacts with the US. They have an easy out too, give Assange up to Sweden instead of the US.
 
S

StopMakingSense

Member
jtb said:
Has Tennessee drifted redder since 2006? I'm going to guess that the answer is an unequivocal "yes", but it's still surprises me that it was one of the major contested Senate seats during that wave.
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Tennessee, and Kentucky for that matter, are both having some big growth in their major cities. I know several Californians who have moved out there for work. (Nashville and Chattanooga, specifically) so there could be opportunities there going firward.
 
M

Makai

Member
C9z97-yUwAEBEWR.jpg:large
 
A

AntraxSuicide

Banned
Dubbedinenglish said:
They have one but it's a POS, travels with a bunch of tugs. Also can't launch their attack aircraft fully loaded. More of a large missile frigate with a runway (and silos in the flight deck).
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They're supposedly building another one, but who knows how that's going. They have no power projection at all. Hell, I bet half of their silos (at least) are full of rain water.
 
B

BlastProcessing

Member
Top national security official to leave Justice Department

This seems really bad.

WASHINGTON (AP) — The official leading the Justice Department's investigation into whether President Donald Trump's campaign had ties to Russia's meddling in the 2016 election is leaving her position next month.

Acting Assistant Attorney General Mary B. McCord told the staff of the department's national security division this week she is leaving to pursue other opportunities.

Her departure leaves a major vacancy at a time when several key positions within the department remain unfilled. Attorney General Jeff Sessions' picks for deputy and associate attorney general — the No. 2 and No. 3 officials at the Justice Department — await Senate confirmation, and the Trump administration has not announced other top political appointees. A month after Sessions sought the resignations of the nation's U.S. attorneys, their replacements are not yet in place.

A longtime federal prosecutor, McCord had been acting as head of the national security division since October. The unit oversees cases involving terrorism, espionage, cybercrime and other national security threats. She joined that unit in 2014 after working in the U.S. Attorney's office for the District of Columbia for 20 years.

In her memo, McCord did not reveal what she plans to do next, aside from spending time with her family.
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This seems really, really bad.
 
B

BoogieWoogie

Banned
Here's the thing.

Let's say that hypothetically speaking the FBI and the CIA bring a rock solid case to the attention of the Justice Department that Trump and his cronies were in collusion with Russia.

The Justice Department says "Oh well we don't have anyone to review that."

What do you think happens? The IC takes their ball and goes home or do they take extreme measures?
 
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