The Justice Departments own statistics show that of 87 ballot-fraud convictions obtained since the department launched its voter integrity initiative in 2002, 17 were for noncitizen voting and another six were for multiple voting. Most of the cases involved vote-buying schemes hatched by local politicians in Kentucky, West Virginia and elsewhere.
So, with 122 million votes cast in the 2004 elections, and about 83 million cast last November, what are the statistical chances that some votes are fraudulent? You do the math.
And what about all the sensational claims? They are sensational claims.
Take the 2004 Washington state gubernatorial election, which appears to figure in the dismissal of former U.S. Attorney John McKay. When the skintight race flipped to Democrat Christine Gregoire after a recount, Republicans cried foul. But after six months of legal investigation and a two-week trial, a county court judge rejected every Republican claim. Though he said there were improper votes cast, the judge also declared hed found no evidence of fraud. The Republicans didnt appeal.
In Ohio, some Republicans after the 2004 presidential election circulated stories of dead voters and those who showed up to vote several timesthey even conjured up the image of voters who supposedly were bused in from West Virginia during the 1960 election. But a study by the states League of Women Voters and a group representing the homeless found that of the 9 million votes cast in Ohio in 2002 and 2004, a total of four were deemed ineligible or fraudulent by the Board of Elections or local prosecutors. The odds are greater to win the lottery or get struck by lightning than someone casting an ineligible vote in Ohio, the report concluded.
In Connecticut, state officials became alarmed when the Republican National Committee claimed that 54 residents had voted twicein Connecticut as well as in another statein the 2000 election. But a probe by the secretary of state discovered that most hadnt voted in Connecticut at all, while some had voted in Connecticut but not in the other state. Four had birth dates different from those supplied by the RNC. In New Jersey, Missouri, Michigan and elsewhere, hot claims of fraud have likewise turned out to be hot air, according to an examination of the cases by Barnard College scholar Lorraine C. Minnite.