Looking more and more likely that Obama will pick up a net of +2 delegates from what was estimated from the caucuses in Tejas on March 4th. As long as he finishes with 58.96% or more of the state delegates, he'll do it. With 56.60% of delegates allocated, he's looking good. Here are some of the outstanding counties with large numbers of delegates to allocate and how the early numbers looked on March 4th per CNN (caucus numbers, natch):
Bexar County- 363 delegates outstanding. CNN had it going to Clinton 57-43, but the one slice of the county that has reported so far Obama actually won by a slim margin. Don't know what to think about that one.
Cameron Co.- only 80 delegates, but CNN's Mar 4 numbers had Clinton winning 77-23. If Obama doesn't get 15%, he gets no delegates!
Collin Co.- 180 delegates, Obama leading 66-34 from the Mar 4 numbers.
El Paso Co.- 182 delegates, Clinton winning 75-25 from the Mar 4 numbers.
Harris Co.- I think this is Houston. (someone from TX could clarify) Anyway, there are 2 conventions yet to report that have a total of 342 delegates between them. Obama won 66-34 per CNN, with the conventions that have reported roughly following that.
Jefferson Co.- 102 delegates, Obama 70-30 per CNN.
Tarrant Co.- 563 delegates, Obama 61-39 per CNN.
Edit: Ok, El Paso came in huge for Clinton and another part of Bexar favored her, too. The good news is that there are 2744 delegates left to be allocated, and 1187 of them in areas that are pretty sure to overwhelmingly favor Obama.
