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Stock-Age: Stocks, Options and Dividends oh my!

vpance

Member
Still waiting for a lower low on SP. 1700s and then new highs would fool many I think. But the danger of a continued sell off from here is very real so must keep puts on. All it takes is one big gap down over the weekend to trap traders and miss the sell off.
 

gatti-man

Member
Watch CSCO and buy the dip if it happens. They start their stock buyback on Tuesday so it could bump again then. Up 10% on the week. Very happy. If UNIS goes up I might just start to break dance in my own home.
 

Ether_Snake

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Amazing that DDD isn't down since the year started. They posted better than expected preliminary results today, was up 14% at one point. Maybe in 50 years I'll be back in the black on this one:)

edit: Nikkei down another 5%. If 2000-2016 is any indication, the Nikkei never plunged this much without going to down to 7000-9000, so it may have another 40% at least to drop.

I call Nikkei at 9000 within a year. Currently at 14k.
 

gatti-man

Member
$UNIS is just fantastic for me so far.

$IMMR looks bullish as fuck.

$qiwi trended up from 52week low. Got out and made a decent profit there.

Markets are down but I'm still up baby :)
 
My finance stock (INGA) up 5% again. Let's see if it can stick this time and go up again, or we're heading down more. If so, crazy dividend levels coming (7% yesterday when I bought).
 

gatti-man

Member
Anyone rolling the dice with SUNE or UNIS? I got out of UNIS today and took profit. Their merger deadline with AMGEN is Monday. What happened last time is they extended the deadline and their stock tanked to .8 a share and slowly rose to 1.08 the closer the deadline came. SUNE has a lawsuit being heard against it Tuesday. If the case gets dismissed SUNE would rocket to a $4-6 share basically immediately. SUNE is also a good long with large projects in the future as long as they avoid BK.

I like SCSO to top out at $26-27 Tuesday.
 

Ether_Snake

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Anyone can tell me why long term bonds like BLV etf move in a somewhat inverted relation to the DOW/S&P? I might have asked that before, still don't get it.
 
Anyone can tell me why long term bonds like BLV etf move in a somewhat inverted relation to the DOW/S&P? I might have asked that before, still don't get it.
I think it's because when stock goes down, people look for safer investments, pushing the prices of bonds up due to more demand. Long term bonds are pretty safe mostly. When the stock market goes up, investing there is less risky so you can put your money to better use on it, so the value of bonds go down due to less demand.
 

gatti-man

Member
If anyone day trades UNIS is a good stock to ride the wave on. Has a pending deal with Amgen. The price should ramp up to 1.1-1.15 by next week deadline. Easy profits.
 

Ether_Snake

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I think it's because when stock goes down, people look for safer investments, pushing the prices of bonds up due to more demand. Long term bonds are pretty safe mostly. When the stock market goes up, investing there is less risky so you can put your money to better use on it, so the value of bonds go down due to less demand.

Yeah that was what I was told in another thread. Thanjs

SCTY killing shorts today.
 

vpance

Member
Semiconductors doing good.

NVDA beats, up to 29.5 AA. Too bad I avoided it due to don't play into earnings rule. Heh.
 

gatti-man

Member
CHUY is most likely beating earnings released Tuesday AH. Get in now for an easy 8-10% maybe more.

If you're looking for a gold stock GSS has more up side than most of the others afaik. I still don't think it's time personally.
 
My broker doesn't have much of the American stocks outside of highly traded ones :( Might be for the best and prevent me from taking stupid risks.

Anybody here in European stock?

Got a little more of DAI. See how it goes. Looking at getting a bit more SIE also. If those German stocks go back up towards the level of late last year I'll be making some pretty nice profits. And the companies I'm in seem to be healthy enough and turning good profits.

Oil is going up (RDSA for me), but still need 10% to get in the green. Should have bought when it was in the € 18s. Back to 21 now. But had no leftover money in my account then.
 

massoluk

Banned
Today's market rally today is so good it's kinda of scary. Hopefully it doesn't crash hard tomorrow from overshooting. I've become so pessimistic.

Not sure if I should cash out today on some of my picks. Just made a lot of gain from PSX, and SCTY decided to be contrary and be one of the red among these rises. Putting a stop limit sell on every single one of them before I go to sleep today.
 

gatti-man

Member
CHUY up 9% so far. I've already made 12% today and maybe another 10-15% tomorrow. Making good money with all this volatility in the market. Love it.
 

Ether_Snake

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Wow DDD SSYS SCTY PBR VJET have been doing amazing over the past three days. Daily double digit gains everywhere. Probably means they'll crash hard soon since I own those.
 

alejob

Member
It's the time of year when the Fed puts the banks through it's "stress tests".

It will pretty interesting to see what comes of this. The last few years you have seen them doing ok, Last year the only one that failed was BoA. Now this is pretty interesting. You have seen the banks set aside extra capital to handle potential bad loans(Oil/energy). This time around you would think BoA learned from it's dumb mistake. They were not allowed to raise dividends and had to cancel it's stock buy back program last year because of an accounting mistake. The banks had a good year in 2015. They reported pretty good earnings the last quarter.

The major set backs have been the loans and their investment divisions but those should be recovering. I'm really tempted to buy BoA. If they pass the stress tests they should be able to increase their dividend payout and buy back some stock. Maybe a good bump comes out of this?

Should've bought SCTY at 17 :p


So it looks like I might be jumping the gun a little. This year it seems to be a little later than usual.

Bank holding companies participating in CCAR are required to submit their capital plans and stress testing results to the Federal Reserve on or before April 5, 2016. The Federal Reserve will announce the results of its supervisory stress tests by June 30, 2016, with the exact date to be announced later.
 

Ether_Snake

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Couldn't the fact that banks need to hold reserves more than in pre-2008 partially explain the reduced inflationary effect of low interest rates? I would assume that essentially the fed has been handing over money to banks as a form of pre-bailout, and banks are expected to report having "held" on said money through the stress test, so that if shit hits the fan the banks will already have the bailout money.

So banks are supposed to lend more thanks to low rates, but they have to hold a large percentage of that money. Or maybe it's insignificant.
 
Does anyone have a good reference guide of stocks to look into? Not necessarily just Fortune 500 but I'd like to get more involved with tracking certain smaller and mid size stocks within certain industries but a lot of the time I don't even know what companies are out there. Anyone have recommendations?
 

Moertel

Member
Does anyone have a good reference guide of stocks to look into? Not necessarily just Fortune 500 but I'd like to get more involved with tracking certain smaller and mid size stocks within certain industries but a lot of the time I don't even know what companies are out there. Anyone have recommendations?

If you are just looking for a list of companies, you could work through some indices (Russel Mid Cap/Russel Small Cap, or industry specific indices.). The Finviz screener works great too. You could filter by industry/sector and market cap, for instance.
 

alejob

Member
Does anyone have a good reference guide of stocks to look into? Not necessarily just Fortune 500 but I'd like to get more involved with tracking certain smaller and mid size stocks within certain industries but a lot of the time I don't even know what companies are out there. Anyone have recommendations?

You can look at the IBD 50.

VRX taking a beating today.
 

Husker86

Member
I'm struggling on deciding whether to pull out of my Biotech ETF or not. Started off amazing when I first got in, but now I'm down a decent chunk.
 
Any Canadians worried about the housing market this year? I don't expect a crash, but a long, drawn-out correction as interest rates start to rise. I'm worried that will put a big squeeze on banks like RBC and TD that have leveraged heavily on mortgages. I know Canada has more regulations, CMHC, and less sub-prime loans. But we're actually worse than the US in 2008 when it comes to metrics like: debt-to-income ratio, home ownership ratio, and captial:leverage ratios of the big banks. We are far more indebted than the US ever was. The home buying is going to slow to a crawl, so will development and lending. I'm not bearish on the Canadian economy as a whole, but I'm worried about the big banks like TD and RBC in particular.
 

Ether_Snake

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Yeah it's long overdue, difficult to time. All mortages that have a down payment of less than 20% are insured by the CMHC, so that in itself is a huge risk passed from the banks to the government. So it's really the Canadian government that is at risk first.

I can see things going down and the government selling off CMHC at firesale prices.
 

Melon Husk

Member
Shorts say the short case remains obvious, but today's got that bullish tingle.

edit:
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2100 or bust.

Came across this lonely comment while reading the papers http://www.wsj.com/articles/adp-rep...rch-payrolls-matching-expectations-1459341578
John Boebinger
4 minutes ago

This report seems to confirm the view of domestic growth and global stagnation. Small and medium businesses added 161,000 jobs while large companies (which are more likely to be multinationals) only added 39,000 jobs. 42,000 were in financial and professional services, and another 42,000 in transportation, most of that is domestically oriented.

The weakness in manufacturing reflects the weakness abroad. If only the rest of the globe could start to grow as well

Which I thought was worth sharing.

edit 2: IWM 120 or bust.
 

Melon Husk

Member
The bots are dueling again next week on the SPY. 208 is key. 7 year trend vs 1 year trend...

We might have an epic rally in September if it's headed towards the 7 year.
 

noquarter

Member
Anybody have suggestions on light reading to get my mind set on investing again?

Going to be reading The Intelligent Investor and probably reread One Up On Wall Street, but would like something else. Not looking for stock picks or anything right now, just want to get my head back in the game and probably stick to value stocks, but am interested in anything to expand my knowledge base.

For the next while I probably won't have good access to the internet, so would prefer anything that is available in hard copy. Wouldn't mind reading about some types of technical investing, so anything that goes into that style a little more would be great. Appreciate any suggestions.
 

noquarter

Member
Thanks for the suggestions, will probably pick up the first one next week and give it a read, the chapter on Amazon send alright and it looks to be a little different then what I've been reading.
 
whats the best site for big headlines and all financial news?

it used to be marketwatch for me before the redesign. now i genuinely feel lost for info without it.
cnbc was a backup site but doesn't really offer offer pure company news, and instead adds a bunch of lifestyle and other nonsense into their headline lists.
 
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