Super Tuesday 2016 |OT| The Final Incursion is a double Incursion (Mar 5-15 contests)

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Well they better start liking her, because she's the only chance we have for the GE. Sanders will never be able to get independents with his crazy super liberal policies.

Personality > ideology for most voters, independents especially. This is why Trump trumps his GOP competition.
 
The Dems need the white house more than the GOP does. If Bernie Sanders seems to be the only one capable of stopping the Trump train, the party will do what's right.
That has norhing to do with my point... Plus, Bernie has not been exposed to a sustained negative campaign yet. You do realize that no President in modern times has come close to winning trying to raise taxes massively as a platform.
 
Delegate totals - according to NYTimes.

Clinton - 753
Sanders - 541

So yes it's a very difficult uphill battle, where he needs to run up the numbers in a similar fashion to those caucus Northern States where he was able to beat her by a bigger margin. The good news for Sanders is this is a yuge fundraising boost, yuge organizational boost, a change in narrative and a show of momentum. People called me out a long time ago about my posts but this election is different. From here on Bernie has an organizational advantage in most contests. He already has offices in places like Washington with more paid staffers in the State. He has volunteers across the US that self organize, with a big portion actually writing free apps for his campaign. His advantage has always been this - and it has always been hand-waved. Back in the summer when I pointed out the Internet has changed electoral politics - now that advantage is actually finally playing into his hands.
yup, hes still losing.
 
Ted wins Idaho!

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Hilary wins the night.

I still have to give Bernie credit here though, even as a Hillary supporter. If I woke up tomorrow and someone told me that Bernie had won MI, I'd have called bullshit - that lead she had in polls was nigh insurmountable.

If only I had tossed a bunch of cash into the prediction markets...
 
The biggest problem I have with Sanders is he is promising the moon to a generation that equates likes on Facebook to true activism and change. I'm all for the party moving further left, but when I talk to his supporters they think that in this political climate they'll have a $15+ minimum wage by the end of 2017, free college that summer and we'll flip Washington on its head. It's naive to a fault.

But I can alreday tell that I'm gonna get raked over the coals for being a party pooper, so I'll make my exit.

He isnt promising anything other than pledging to keep fighting for these things with our help. He's fighting to make it part of the standard Democratic party platform again instead of the third way platform.
 
I will be very very very surprised if Hilary doesn't easily win Illinois. She has ties to the state and is very popular within the traditional blue state.

Should current polls be trusted (LOL!), it'd be a massive upset--not Michigan-sized upset, but still--for any of those three states to fall in Bernie's favor.

No pressure, pollsters.
 
I still have to give Bernie credit here though, even as a Hillary supporter. If I woke up tomorrow and someone told me that Bernie had won MI, I'd have called bullshit - that lead she had in polls was nigh insurmountable.

If only I had tossed a bunch of cash into the prediction markets...

Somewhere in a pub in Manchester there is a bookie crying because he is paying out big bucks to a drunk over this race.
 
Sanders's analysis and presentation does not demonstrate an understanding of this issue. That's why his supporters are predominantly white and frequently male -- because his flavor of progressiveness is non-intersectional and centered on the class-based issues that trouble white America.

To be fair, Hillary isn't entirely intersectional herself when she wants to uphold rather than transition away from capitalism. An egalitarian society cannot be built without replacing capitalism with socialism - it must be one of the primary planks of an intersectional analysis.
 
Delegate totals - according to NYTimes.

Clinton - 753
Sanders - 541

So yes it's a very difficult uphill battle, where he needs to run up the numbers in a similar fashion to those caucus Northern States where he was able to beat her by a bigger margin. The good news for Sanders is this is a yuge fundraising boost, yuge organizational boost, a change in narrative and a show of momentum. People called me out a long time ago about my posts but this election is different. From here on Bernie has an organizational advantage in most contests. He already has offices in places like Washington with more paid staffers in the State. He has volunteers across the US that self organize, with a big portion actually writing free apps for his campaign. His advantage has always been this - and it has always been hand-waved. Back in the summer when I pointed out the Internet has changed electoral politics - now that advantage is actually finally playing into his hands.
Clinton has double the lead in both pledged and super than Obama had at the same point in time.....and the Internet existed in 2008 too. All Bernie can accomplish now is help fashion the overall democratic platform.
 
Yeah I keep seeing people count states, but that doesn't matter as much as delegates. Even when bernie won 3 out of 4 the other day, the one he lost was big enough that the delegates shifted in Hilarys favor.

Well the good news is that Bernie won't get crushed anymore. The problem is that even if he keeps winning like he did tonight it won't make up the gap. But if the voters keep him close than he should stay in
 
It's not particularly complicated. It's been discussed multiple times on this board. Sanders offers a societal analysis which reduces all social issues to economic issues. This is just flat wrong in America, where racial issues dominate economic issues. To the degree that America is backwards in implementing and maintaining social programs, it has deliberately failed to do so to make sure people of color did not benefit. To the degree that America has succeeded in implementing social programs, it has done so in ways that ensured that people of color did not benefit.

Sanders's analysis and presentation does not demonstrate an understanding of this issue. That's why his supporters are predominantly white and frequently male -- because his flavor of progressiveness is non-intersectional and centered on the class-based issues that trouble white America.



No, they didn't? Did you like just fail to read? Go back and check out the exit polls on this issue.



I'm very far left. I'm just also a person of color.

TBH i think his more important analysis is less economic issues (thats his 2nd issue) its that the whole political system is heavily influenced by money which is why we have big problems in a ton of fields. He does talk about institutional racism and honestly I think he is just a crappy speaker because he gives hints of the truth that there is more than wall street but i think its back to corrupt campaign/election system which taints everything.
 
Bernie should stay in the race despite how insurmountable the 200-delegate lead may seem. After all, we all remember Bobby Kennedy was assassinated in June in California.

Are you really going there dude? That's not even funny.

And for the record, a scenario like that would almost guarantee the opposite party winning the nomination, hands down.
 
To be fair, Hillary isn't exactly intersectional herself when she wants to uphold rather than transition away from capitalism. An egalitarian society cannot be built without replacing capitalism with socialism - it must be one of the primary planks of an intersectional analysis.

I don't think we're going to get to socialism through a revolutionary act, I think we're going to get there via the Scandinavian route, with increasing layers of protection and empowerment for workers through social programs until they're immune to the lash of hunger.

That will basically keep looking like capitalism until it stops being capitalism, and it can be built right on top of the existing system.
 
The biggest problem I have with Sanders is he is promising the moon to a generation that equates likes on Facebook to true activism and change. I'm all for the party moving further left, but when I talk to his supporters they think that in this political climate they'll have a $15+ minimum wage by the end of 2017, free college that summer and we'll flip Washington on its head. It's naive to a fault.

But I can alreday tell that I'm gonna get raked over the coals for being a party pooper, so I'll make my exit.

Same thing happened in Obama 2008. I think voters fell for it then but, outside of youth, probably don't trust antiestablishment rhetoric that much anymore. President has a lot of power but not with deadlocked congress.
 
Bernie should stay in the race despite how insurmountable the 200-delegate lead may seem. After all, we all remember Bobby Kennedy was assassinated in June in California.

Removed comment since context on this was explained.

Apologize for any confusion.
 
lol Rachel Maddow with the ultimate solution to Marco Rubio's post-election unemployment problem:

"He should run in Puerto Rico!"

lol.gif


I didn't think there would be a bigger loser out of this whole circus than Jeb, but Rubio's coming close, fast.
 
Assuming Clinton does eventually win, she will still have these problems in the general.
Does it not make sense to put Sanders on the ticket as VP? I'm sure this is controversial but it seems like Sanders is a better choice than someone like Castro, which everyone thinks is an inevitability, to address the weaknesses of a Clinton campaign.
At the federal level, the Democrats have a severe lack of youth. As a result of this, they need to get more names out there that the public can get to know, and more people that could run a campaign in 2020 or 2024.
 
Bernie should stay in the race despite how insurmountable the 200-delegate lead may seem. After all, we all remember Bobby Kennedy was assassinated in June in California.

Post of the night right here. Every time I see someone quote it without understanding the context I smile.
 
Same thing happened in Obama 2008. I think voters fell for it then but, outside of youth, probably don't trust antiestablishment rhetoric that much anymore. President has a lot of power but not with deadlocked congress.

I truly think that's why a lot of Obama voters are actually supporting her this time lol. They saw what shit he had to put up with and know that Bernie isn't getting shit done.
 
This is what happens when the people decide. How many people have, in previous elections, said "eh, I'm not gonna vote, all the politicians are the same" or "eh, it's a waste of time, voting won't change anything".

Bernie is telling us that if we stand up as a collective, we can accomplish great things.

I'm very happy and proud of what he's accomplished, but it's important to remember that it's not about him. It's about us.

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Well the good news is that Bernie won't get crushed anymore. The problem is that even if he keeps winning like he did tonight it won't make up the gap. But if the voters keep him close than he should stay in

If he stays in -- to what end? I haven't looked up the rules in a while but I thought it was just decided by a majority of delegates.
 
Yeah I keep seeing people count states, but that doesn't matter as much as delegates. Even when bernie won 3 out of 4 the other day, the one he lost was big enough that the delegates shifted in Hilarys favor.

It keeps growing. If NC goes the way of SC, that's like 78~ Delegates for her to 28~ for Sanders.

Similar results in Florida equal 154~ for her, 56~ for Bernie

Then you look at states like Ohio where he stands a chance, but again it won't be a huge win, so he'll hardly make out with any huge deleagte advantage.

15th will be a bloodbath.
 
I'm very far left. I'm just also a person of color.

And Bernie has been fighting for minority rights since he was a teenager. His emphasis on income inequality and economic strife is not confirmation of a misunderstanding of deeper racial issues, rather it is him prioritising something that scientifically and factually negatively impacts countless social factors for all people, in all areas, not just minorities, but something that happens to be detrimental to minorities especially, as a result of socio economics and things related.

I refer back to this post of mine just yesterday.

nib95 said:
So much this. He's put all his eggs in the income inequality basket for so long that his responses outside of that wheelhouse tend to come off pretty bad.

I don't think that's it at all, I think he just realises how intrinsic income equality is to so many countless social factors, and puts a certain degree of priority on it (with good reason). Whilst this research is out of date (and is actually worse off today since such a large portion of the rich essentially continuously got vastly wealthier post economic crash, and with the income inequality gap presently being the highest it's been in the US since the 1920's), I think it's still highly poignant.


Richard Wilkinson: How economic inequality harms societies
 
Are you really going there dude? That's not even funny.

And for the record, a scenario like that would almost guarantee the opposite party winning the nomination, hands down.

Easy there turbo. It was a quote bash on Hilary from her 08 bid.

On a lighter note... Yes she has the delegates. But Bernies message is getting out there and that is what truly matters. I hope when he does finally step out that we as Sanders supporters are just as active during midterms.
 
It's not particularly complicated. It's been discussed multiple times on this board. Sanders offers a societal analysis which reduces all social issues to economic issues. This is just flat wrong in America, where racial issues dominate economic issues. To the degree that America is backwards in implementing and maintaining social programs, it has deliberately failed to do so to make sure people of color did not benefit. To the degree that America has succeeded in implementing social programs, it has done so in ways that ensured that people of color did not benefit.

Sanders's analysis and presentation does not demonstrate an understanding of this issue. That's why his supporters are predominantly white and frequently male -- because his flavor of progressiveness is non-intersectional and centered on the class-based issues that trouble white America.

No, they didn't? Did you like just fail to read? Go back and check out the exit polls on this issue.

I'm very far left. I'm just also a person of color.

Mostly BS here.

Does he not talk about mass incarceration and criminal justice and policing in every single speech and debate How does Hillary show a better understanding??

Sanders wins young women by a landslide and apparently tied with Hillary with young black voters in michigan.

I know you have been following this election so this characterization seems so dishonest to me. His campaign started on income inequality, but it's like 6 months later now.

Also, no, you are not very left. That is demonstrably false. Based on your other posts you have made it clear that you are a relatively well off individual with cushy job that likes the status quo. You are pretty centrist.
 
You gotta be kidding. The lefty media is definitely pro-Hillary. Just look at the pieces in the daily beast and huffpo the past few weeks. Even tonight on NPR, they were quick to couch the Bernie win as "but he has little chance of winning because delegates".

You think NPR is spinning reality? Look, Bernie being behind by 200 delegates before supers, and only winning the states he wins by a few %? That's it man, it's over.

I've said this before, but it's only possible for him to win the nom like it's possible for the Browns to win the Superbowl. Technically possible, but you have to actually win a lot to get there
 
At the federal level, the Democrats have a severe lack of youth. As a result of this, they need to get more names out there that the public can get to know, and more people that could run a campaign in 2020 or 2024.

while there's a host of reasons why you wouldn't want Bernie as your VP running mate, that's very far down the list.

Young stars come from state-level elections. Governors, Senators, Representatives. Always have, always will.
 
This is what happens when the people decide. How many people have, in previous elections, said "eh, I'm not gonna vote, all the politicians are the same" or "eh, it's a waste of time, voting won't change anything".

Bernie is telling us that if we stand up as a collective, we can accomplish great things.

I'm very happy and proud of what he's accomplished, but it's important to remember that it's not about him. It's about us.

Except that voter turnout has not gone up for the democrats in this primary.
 
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