Well, "official" news is starting to seep through as Sony apparently released
info today at some sort of show in Japan. Contrary to what has been said
earlier, I do not believe this Sega/Sony battle will be a tie. If what we
are told is true, it will be total domination. One of those two companies is
going to get absolutely slammed. The only question now is "who?".
On the Sony side... The mistranslation the other day about PSX2 costing
840 bucks has been corrected. While surfing the game sites today, I saw
$400. This sounds pretty realistic to me. But, I sincerely wonder how much
cheaper they can make this system. If it is even remotely as powerful as
they say, how could it possibly be cheaper? No doubt, the games are probably
going to be graphically intense. And, backwards compatibility doesn't hurt
either. But.. some of Sony's statements bug me. No, not the cocky statement
slamming Nintendo and Sega. Namely those about taking Intel and the
comparisons toward PC's. Exactly what market is Sony looking to battle? Is
this system going to be a gaming console, or a 3DO? If they are looking to
go after the PC market, as they seem to be, it wouldn't surprise me to see a
high price tag. Also, if they want to compete with PC's, they will have to
constantly release upgrades. And we all KNOW how well the gaming industry
reacts to those!
If Sony concentrates on games, and can bring the price
down, this could be a juggernaut of NES proportions.
On the Sega side... Sega's biggest strong point is that it will get to the
market first. PSX2 doesn't come out until late 2000. I guarantee you that
the mainstream (the so-called non-hardcore) gamers won't find out about it
until August or September 2000. Up until then, the most powerful system in
their eyes will be Dreamcast. Remember, in order to win the console wars, a
company needs to win over the "mainstream". You know, those people who think
crap like "Beyond the Beyond" and "Tomb Raider 4: Rehash" are great games? A
lot of these people will be picked up if there are a few good sports games at
launch. Sega seems to be doing things right be releasing a great Sonic game
right off the bad, which already puts this system ahead of Saturn. The price
is already half of what Saturn's was at launch and apparently half of PSX2's.
On the downside, its pretty obvious that DC will be outmuscled by PSX2. Not
to mention that Sega's name still makes some people cringe. But, how many
people can resist the first arcade perfect "VS" game to be released in the
US? I don't know well how well Shen Mu will sell with the mainstream US
gamers, but Powerstone and Dead or Alive 2 both will sell systems.
To close, I think what it all comes down to is:
1) PSX2's price. A great many people WILL buy a PSX2 for $400, but there
is no way it will break into the mass market. A 12 year old kid can save
money for his paper route, or beg his mom and dad for a 200 dollar system,
but for 400, they won't even try. It will have a Neo Geo or NEC-FX type fan
base. The owners will be considered fanatical, but the system won't be too
profitable for 3rd party companies.
2) How efficiently Sega deals with their US launch, and how well they use
the extra time they have. A year is a long time in the gaming world. If
they portray it as the "cool" system, it will be. But, if they have
commercials throwing PSX2's off of buildings, well...
I guess we'll end up
playing Virtua Fighter 5 on PSX3.