I'm not talking about the next election or even the next two elections. I'm speaking more long-term. Decades. If you look at the breakdown of political preferences of Millennials right now you'll find that Gary Johnson is disproportionately popular amongst younger voters. Everybody remembers how the internet went apeshit over Ron Paul a few years back.
Social conservatism as we currently know it (basically evangelicals) is going to be further and further marginalized as time goes on. Religious identification is dropping. Social conservatism won't go away but it'll be more like the backlash you're seeing against progressives that you're seeing on the internet right now (think Gamergate) which is a type of social conservatism that is popular amongst libertarians.
I hope that Donald Trump and all republicans during this election cycle and in future elections are asked how old they think this planet is. It's such a benign question, and yet they squirm when asked this, almost as if they've been asked whether or not they support Israel. They love to pander to their religious base until the light is shined upon them and people take a closer look at what their theocratic wetdream entails.
The question is how smoothly this transition will end up being. The religious right of the 1970's was born from Jerry Falwell over contesting school desegregation, which probably in turn has historical roots with the dixiecrats migration to the republican party during the 1960's. So they've basically come full circle in where they now find themselves in 2016.
And can somebody explain how Jeb!, Kasich, and Rubio are moderate, establishment types when they too have pandered to the same fetid base that Trump and Cruz have in this election cycle?