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[anonymous_abc]

Labour should be doing better than this given the Tory performance

That is quite the goal post shift from two months ago.

 

[Empty]

need to see more seats. imo the regional swings in this election will be hugely divergent.

 

[AHA-Lambda]

BAH GOD, MAY MAY NOT EVEN MAKE IT TO SUMMERSLAM

 

[gngf123]

Why are people not believing the exit poll? Im not from UK so I don't understand.

Both Sunderland and Newcastle went Labour as expected, but had significantly more Conservative votes than they thought. This could be a bad sign in closer constituencies.

 

[Ghost]

Houghton & Sunderland South:
Lab: 59.6% (+4.4)
Con: 29.6% (+11.2)
UKIP: 5.7% (-15.8)
LDem: 2.2% (+0.1)
Grn: 1.7% (-1.1)
Ind: 1.2% (+1.2)


Exit poll predicted 65% for Labour, looking a lot like the exit poll is wrong, fuck sake.

 

[operon]

We need a few battleground seats to see the trends better

 

[Psychotext]

Why are people not believing the exit poll? Im not from UK so I don't understand.

There will be massive regional variance. It's a good indicator, but it'll all come down to individual seats.

 

[DJKhaled]

Fuck, the exit poll is off again, shy Tories strike again...

Meh. Labour still gained votes in both seats.

 

[CelticKnight]

So in 2 safe Labour seats the Tories have increased their share of the votes?

This exit poll looks like it's flawed... sadly.

 

[Jezbollah]

Houghton & Sunderland South:

Lab: 59.6% (+4.4)
Con: 29.6% (+11.2)
UKIP: 5.7% (-15.8)
LDem: 2.2% (+0.1)
Grn: 1.7% (-1.1)
Ind: 1.2% (+1.2)

 

[Plasma]

As much as I hate May and want to see her gone as PM I really worry about who they're going to replace her with.

 

[Meadows]

People saying this is bad for labour, but are you not underestimating how the UKIP vote has folded into Tory?

There was always going to be gains in that respect?

If the exit poll was true it should have swung 8% from Tory to Labour not 2.1%

 

[Audioboxer]

The SNP losses in Scotland are scaring me. Someone reassure me.

The SNP is dead. Call for help.

They'll either lose to Labour, this thread cheers. Lose to Lib Dems, Huw cheers. Lose to the Tories, Audioboxer drowns himself.

 

[Par Score]

These early results are worrying, but them being so far off the exit poll could be for many reasons.

 

[Herr Schwarz]

As much as I hate May and want to see her gone as PM I really worry about who they're going to replace her with.

Who gives a fuck, it'll be the next production line eton wankface. They're all the same strain of shit at the end of the day.

 

[milanbaros]

Looks like Exit poll is off. Tories have done well in first two seats.

 

[Frankfurter]

Is BBCs election coverage a good one? Currently watching it, mostly in the background

 

[Oriel]

I've a vague knowledge of UK politics but how does the Northern Irish Parliment fit in? Sky mentioned something but then said nada

NI Assembly doesn't figure at all. Northern Ireland sends 18 MP's to London but with SF not taking their seats the effective number is lower. Hence why the 326 for a working majority in the Commons is actually less, usually 323-324.

 

[Dazzler]

DUP could form an unofficial coalition with the Tories if they'd enough MPs. They'd basically agree to vote along their lines and support a minority government.



Nor will they ever.

as an Irish person, rightfully so

 

[Stead Fast]

Drink No. 3!!!

 

[weekev]

Thanks for this detailed post!

One question I'd like to ask is why would May need to resign? Won't she retain her seat in parliament or does she not have one? If she resigns, she will have no role in government whatsoever?

She would resign as PM but likely stay as MP. Her gamble to grow the Tory majority and therefore easily move Brexit legislation through parliament will have failed and she will shrink her majority creating carnage and chaos during Brexit negotiations.

 

[DjRalford]

As much as I hate May and want to see her gone as PM I really worry about who they're going to replace her with.

 

[oti]

lol

 

[J4g3r]

As much as I hate May and want to see her gone as PM I really worry about who they're going to replace her with.

 

[Tregard]

I've a vague knowledge of UK politics but how does the Northern Irish Parliment fit in? Sky mentioned something but then said nada

NI makes up 18 seats, none of which will be the major parties (instead of Labour and Conservative, NI votes DUP, Sinn Fein, SDLP, Alliance etc.), which are essentially free agents to bump a hung parliament over the finish line.

The DUP are absolutely abhorrent however, and Sinn Fein never take their seats and Westminster

 

[Hazzuh]

Looks like the exit poll may be bullshit :

 

[KingSnake]

Constituencies don't see uniform swings. Comparing the exit poll to non-marginal seats is silly. The Conservatives still have reasonable odds to get a majority, but this is not evidence of that.

Yep.

 

[Graphics Horse]

Exit poll looks a bit duff.

 

[Filthy Casual]

exit poll is wrong,

Spoiler

Labour gonna win even more seats. #Believe

 

[Izuna]

 

[Plasma]

Exactly.

 

[Rktk]

Is BBCs election coverage a good one? Currently watching it, mostly in the background

It's the best you'll have, Sky is on YouTube, why not both?

 

[AHA-Lambda]

The SNP is dead. Call for help.

They'll either lose to Labour, this thread cheers. Lose to Lib Dems, Huw cheers. Lose to the Tories, Audioboxer drowns himself.

 

[JonnyDBrit]

Houghton & Sunderland South:

Lab: 59.6% (+4.4)
Con: 29.6% (+11.2)
UKIP: 5.7% (-15.8)
LDem: 2.2% (+0.1)
Grn: 1.7% (-1.1)
Ind: 1.2% (+1.2)

Now I sorta see what the worry is. In Labour safe seats those gains by the Tories can be absorbed, but in more narrow cases, it might make the difference.

 

[Charles Brandon]

How?

big swing to the tories

 

[milanbaros]

Exit poll is a duff.

 

[Deleted member 231381]

need to see more seats. imo the regional swings in this election will be hugely divergent.

Agreed. The exit poll will rarely match individual constituencies, I think. We're watching British politics re-align in a way not seen since the late '70s.

 

[Juicy Bob]

Ughhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh this is awful

 

[gngf123]

As much as I hate May and want to see her gone as PM I really worry about who they're going to replace her with.

Amber Rudd, Phillip Hammond, or Andrea Leadsom probably.

Not good news.

 

[whyamihere]

Constituencies don't see uniform swings. Comparing the exit poll to non-marginal seats is silly. The Conservatives still have reasonable odds to get a majority, but this is not evidence of that.

This, but I'd be careful. Sort of hard to tell from seats that aren't targeted marginals.

 

[Visualante2]

Shout out to all the UKIP protest voters.

 

[SomedayTheFire]

The SNP is dead. Call for help.

They'll either lose to Labour, this thread cheers. Lose to Lib Dems, Huw cheers. Lose to the Tories, Audioboxer drowns himself.

This isn't reassuring at all!

 

[sammex]

But Ba got the ball! the ball is number ten, the PM post. The league doesn't even come into it!

Eh, it's pretty sloppy.

No you're right, I'm just still in major denial that it ever happened and can't equate the pain from that with my current mood.

 

[Beefy]

The SNP is dead. Call for help.

They'll either lose to Labour, this thread cheers. Lose to Lib Dems, Huw cheers. Lose to the Tories, Audioboxer drowns himself.

Damn

 

[Oriel]

Huh?

They're doing better.

Not doing AS WELL as predicted. Labour is growing, but not as much as had been predicted in the exit poll.....according to Beeb pollsters anyway. Still early days so we'll have to wait and see.

 

[AHA-Lambda]

so am i best going to bed now and looking over the debris in the morning then?

 

[offshore]

 

[giant_frying_pan]

Christ, these Scotland results worry me. I really hope the Tories haven't succeeded up here.

They may indeed have out-bred the pandas at long last.

But for the general betterment of the good folk down south...not necessarily a bad thing.

 

[Linkstrikesback]

Not a Brit so no clue about this. Con wining means faster brexit? Or I have it all wrong? Sorry.

Cons winning with a majority means staying on the track of potentially the most disastrously bad Brexit, following Mays insane "no deal is better than a bad deal" mantra and the cons continuous antagonising of the EU.

 

[nOoblet16]

After this election UKIP will be a truly independent party, cause they won't have to answer to anyone or commit to anything.