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UK PoliGAF |OT3| - Strong and Stable Government? No. Coalition Of Chaos!

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Oh, god. If no one else is willing to say what we're all thinking, I'll do it and risk catching the perma.

Here:

HIGNFY hasn't been funny since Angus Deayton left. YUP.
 

CCS

Banned
Oh, god. If no one else is willing to say what we're all thinking, I'll do it and risk catching the perma.

Here:

HIGNFY hasn't been funny since Angus Deayton left. YUP.

Without a doubt the most disgusting thing anyone has ever said in UK Poligaf.

Get out.

:p
 

Jackpot

Banned
Oh, god. If no one else is willing to say what we're all thinking, I'll do it and risk catching the perma.

Here:

HIGNFY hasn't been funny since Angus Deayton left. YUP.

The show's become so... irrelevant. And of course not funny. But it's sadder to see them squander something of unique value.
 

Maledict

Member
HIGNFY rehabilitated and unleashed various right wing monsters on us, from Boris Johnson (he's cuddly and funny lets ignore the criminal conspiracy to assault journalists from uncovering corruption) to Nigel Farage and Rees-Mogg. The show has no bite or edge to it at all, everything is presented as fluffy and inconsequential and everyone can have a laugh.

The only time I can remember them really going for someone was Piers Morgan, which is absolutely fun to watch. But they treat politicians with kid gloves.
 

tomtom94

Member
You can't make this up.

Theresa May, UK prime minister, is planning to use a major speech in Europe this month to set out her proposals for a “no cliff-edge” Brexit transition deal, with ministers saying any interim agreement must be “as close as possible” to current relations.

While that message will resonate well with business and Brussels, Mrs May will deliver a much tougher missive to the Conservative party conference a few days later, promising Eurosceptics that her end goal is still to deliver a “clean” Brexit.
 

Uzzy

Member
The Times cartoon today. Goddamn..

methode%2Fsundaytimes%2Fprod%2Fweb%2Fbin%2F7779df92-79da-11e7-ac37-79a4ec05ba4a.jpg
 

CTLance

Member
<missing the point>
Bu bu bu Louis XIV was a pretty damn capable ruler that led France to become Europe's number one diplomatic and military power. He (and his mom) cleaned house and ousted a whole bunch of unruly nobles, centralised power under him and led France into several successful wars. He loved wars and managed to remove the constant Spanish pain in the French rear. French diplomats were pretty capable and were utilised to their full extent during, before and after wars so he could keep peace in between kicking ass for just long enough to replenish soldiers and morale. The sun king may have been a king in the end, but as far as those go he was pretty damn decent. And the quote in the cartoon is only attributed to him, nobody knows whether he really ever said that. And, and and....
...And he holds the European record of staying in power the longest, seventy-odd years IIRC.
</>

Also, May in tights. Brrr.
 
So work have given me a Twitter account and we happen to be following a guy blogging on Brexit, Simon Usherwood. Hadn't heard of him before but he talks a lot of sense. Anyway. he reckons May's mystery box announcement on 21st Sept can be narrowed down to one of three things:

1) Major policy reversal i.e. we want it soft not hard.
2) May will resign with immediate effect
3) Revoking of Article 50 until we can get our shit together.

The long and short of it though is it can't be anything good and whatever it is is going to have bad consequences.

The second article 50 is revoked Brexit is dead so won't be that one. She won't resign because she's not that sort of person, she still sees the headlines that she sailed the UK ship through Brexit choppy waters and heralded a new and prosperous country when actually her and her shitty government are just making us walk the plank instead.

A soft Brexit is the only possibility out of that lot but even then Murdoch doesn't that, David Davis doesn't want that and I don't think most in her party want it either.

She'll probably just announce something so completely irrelevant its not worth getting excited for.
 
May resigning would be a de-facto triggering of the next general election - whether that's three months or two years from now - and the Tories (and DUP) absolutely want to avoid a Corbyn government. I'd imagine everyone from Clarke to Redwood wake up screaming from nightmares involving McDonnell walking into the Treasury. So putting aside the idea that May's intervention later this month will be to resign, and ignoring the wilfully ignorant idea that she's somehow going to try and put Brexit on hold or something, my bet is that her intervention is supposed to be her last-ditch attempt to salvage her career by using herself to form a bridge between the Soft and Hard Tory Brexiteer groups.

Fundamentally her job is to steer the UK through Brexit. Brexit is why she has her job, Brexit is the running theme of her leadership.

If when she gets up on stage in her intervention the best she can offer is some bizarre two-headed approach where we will both have a fast divorce and a detailed transition, and the right wing papers rip her apart for it, I think she might well resign soon after. She's out of options then - if she is unable to unite the two wings of her party under a common plan then she has to go, and the Tories will have to find somebody else.

For what it's worth I would rather May clings on. This political crisis ends with Brexit blowing up in the faces of its creators, and that has to happen for the country to move on.
 

jelly

Member
DUP-Tory deal: Release of £1bn for Northern Ireland must be approved by Commons vote, admits Government

Parliament must approve the release of the £1bn pledged in the “cash-for-votes” deal for the Democratic Unionist Party to prop up Theresa May in power – but “no timetable has been set”.

The Government has conceded it needs the approval before handing over the money controversially promised to Northern Ireland to secure the backing of the 10 DUP MPs on key votes.

However, it said no date has been agreed for securing that go-ahead, which means the cash has not yet been released.

The twist emerged after Gina Miller, the campaigner who forced the Government to secure Parliament’s approval to start Brexit, challenged the legal basis for handing over the £1bn.

“It beggars belief that, neither at the time the Government sealed its dubious deal with the DUP in exchange for their votes in the Commons, nor at any point since, has the Government made it clear that the £1bn of taxpayers’ money for Northern Ireland could only be handed over following Parliamentary approval,” she told The Guardian.

The concession came in a reply to a legal letter from Ms Miller and the Independent Workers Union of Great Britain (IWGB).

There is little prospect of any Tory MPs rebelling in vote on delivering the £1bn, given its release is essential for the survival of their government.

Does that mean the DUP MPs get to vote for their own bribe?
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
Anyone else waiting for democracy to die with the inevitable Soubry heel turn?
 

theaface

Member
DUP-Tory deal: Release of £1bn for Northern Ireland must be approved by Commons vote, admits Government

Does that mean the DUP MPs get to vote for their own bribe?

Yup. I wonder which way it will go?

Remind me of the Lee Evans sketch when he talks about estimated utility bills. "They're making it up. Why can't I estimate it? I estimate I owe you fuck all."
 

pswii60

Member
Oh, god. If no one else is willing to say what we're all thinking, I'll do it and risk catching the perma.

Here:

HIGNFY hasn't been funny since Angus Deayton left. YUP.
Yeah was definitely better with Deayton. If anything, the rift between him and Hislop/Merton added an edge - along with his deadpan delivery. I really don't care for the rotating presenters, they need someone to keep Hislop in check with his soapboxing and Merton with his cringey dad-jokes.
 
DUP-Tory deal: Release of £1bn for Northern Ireland must be approved by Commons vote, admits Government







Does that mean the DUP MPs get to vote for their own bribe?

Well yeah, and in that sense it's exactly the same as every other bit of spending.

Btw, I know I've said it before but I'm currently in Center Parcs and, therefore, enjoying many hours of Sky News whilst my girlfriend inexplicably sleeps for four hours a day more than I do having been confronted with the spectre of exercise (in the form of swimming in a wave machine) for the first time in months, and my god Kay Burley would absolutely get it. What a total babe.
 

kmag

Member
Well yeah, and in that sense it's exactly the same as every other bit of spending.

Btw, I know I've said it before but I'm currently in Center Parcs and, therefore, enjoying many hours of Sky News whilst my girlfriend inexplicably sleeps for four hours a day more than I do having been confronted with the spectre of exercise (in the form of swimming in a wave machine) for the first time in months, and my god Kay Burley would absolutely get it. What a total babe.

I'm pretty sure she eats her mates post coitus.
 

Wvrs

Member
Theresa May seems to believe that Corbyn is the Prime Minister and she Leader of the Opposition. What a bizzare line of attack, to criticise him for not replacing her and being able to deliver on his promises.
 

theaface

Member
I'm basically graph illiterate (innumerate?) but this says wages are going down, spending is going down, and savings are going up, right?

That's how I read it. People see the shitstorm on the horizon and are starting to hide their loot under the mattress rather than spend it.

On the other point further up, Kay Burley is the most repugnant and toxic person in news broadcasting. Piers Morgan doesn't count on the basis that he has nothing to do with actual news anymore and doesn't qualify as a person.
 

tuxfool

Banned
I'm basically graph illiterate (innumerate?) but this says wages are going down, spending is going down, and savings are going up, right?

Nope. Savings is inverted, see green axis on the left.

Payroll has a very slight recovery.

Basically people are spending instead of saving, but it certainly isn't being seen by retail in real values.
 

tuxfool

Banned
So spending down, savings down, wages trending down but with a slight recovery?

Spending is up, because if you aren't saving, you're spending. However, retail isn't seeing the effects of that spending.

Though of course you also have to consider that with less payroll disbursed, you're also going to get less spending. So what is happening is that people have less money, so they don't save it, it goes straight into spending. However it isn't enough.
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
I think that's probably because the pound has gone down sharply, but UK consumers and producers haven't been able to shift to producing and purchasing more domestic goods, because we're a highly specialised economy and that takes time. So we're still buying the same amount of imported goods, but the price of them has gone up, so we're having to eat into our savings to do so given our wages have not risen.

The corroborating evidence for this would be our worsening trade balance.
 

tuxfool

Banned
I think that's probably because the pound has gone down sharply, but UK consumers and producers haven't been able to shift to producing and purchasing more domestic goods, because we're a highly specialised economy and that takes time. So we're still buying the same amount of imported goods, but the price of them has gone up, so we're having to eat into our savings to do so given our wages have not risen.

The corroborating evidence for this would be our worsening trade balance.

But if you look at the graph, you see that the effects (namely payroll and savings ratio) were there long before the Pound fell. The fall in the Sterling only magnified its effects and collapsed the returns in retail.
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
But if you look at the graph, you see that the effects (namely payroll and savings ratio) were there long before the Pound fell. The fall in the Sterling only magnified its effects and collapsed the returns in retail.

No, that's not true. Before the collapse of the pound, the economy looks quite normal. A demand-induced recession like the Great Recession is caused by everyone saving, an example of Keynes' paradox of thrift. The recovery is when everyone begins to spend again, driving up aggregate demand. As such, you would expect the savings ratio to fall during a recovery as wages pick up, and that's exactly what we see up until the start of '16. I know there is dip already from a peak in '15, but that's seasonal - it's not proper to plot payroll as a 3-month average for these sorts of conversations because the winter and spring payrolls are almost always lower than summer and autumn. If you compare season to season - e.g., spring '16 to spring '15 - you can see that payrolls are still increasing on a like-for-like basis, and accordingly the savings ratio falls as people become more confident. Up to early '16 is a more or less expected picture of a recovering economy - the only odd thing is just how slow the recovery is!

The real turning point is in summer 2016 - when the pound crashed.
 

gun_haver

Member
Just saw this headline from the guardian:
Jacob Rees-Mogg: increased use of food banks is 'rather uplifting'

I just burst out laughing. This man is a gilded rump. He keeps saying every dumb thing you would expect him to say. He's absolutely going to be the next PM, because only bad things happen right now.
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
I normally watch Question Time out of a sense of belated duty, but the presence of Will Self is an automatic signal for me that it's just not worth it this time.
 

Theonik

Member
This is a pretty common view in the Tories and I mean it makes sense from his ideological point of view. If you are a Christian that believes in charity, conventionally you might assume that state sponsored charity in the form of welfare is the Christian thing to do.

However, for many Christians, having the state involved in charity is wrong and indeed for small government tories is entirely the wrong path. Then it becomes obvious that the real answer from that perspective is that the haves are morally obligated to donate money to charity privately.

The spin there is that more foodbanks indicate an uptick in private donations which from that perspective is the way things should be. One might argue that foodbanks show the good and charitable nature of the British public and indeed the UK's social cohesion.

It's entirely the wrong way to do this from my perspective of course as I think that being in government very much gives one the power to nip the problem in the bud and wishing people suffer to fit one's moral high-ground is an awful way to govern, minding that it is in most cases the only way to govern. (there will always be an affected group in any policy)
 
This is a pretty common view in the Tories and I mean it makes sense from his ideological point of view. If you are a Christian that believes in charity, conventionally you might assume that state sponsored charity in the form of welfare is the Christian thing to do.

However, for many Christians, having the state involved in charity is wrong and indeed for small government tories is entirely the wrong path. Then it becomes obvious that the real answer from that perspective is that the haves are morally obligated to donate money to charity privately.

The spin there is that more foodbanks indicate an uptick in private donations which from that perspective is the way things should be. One might argue that foodbanks show the good and charitable nature of the British public and indeed the UK's social cohesion.

It's entirely the wrong way to do this from my perspective of course as I think that being in government very much gives one the power to nip the problem in the bud and wishing people suffer to fit one's moral high-ground is an awful way to govern, minding that it is in most cases the only way to govern. (there will always be an affected group in any policy)

Tl;dr, he focuses more on the people helping aspect than the reasoning of why they're needed.
 
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