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United States Election: Nov 6, 2012 |OT| - Barack Obama Re-elected

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hokahey

Member
I don't.

Not a single one.

Every single person I've known that has gone on unemployment has only done so for a couple months or so until they get a job. Same for disability, basically. I literally know no one that has abused a hand out program.

Look, thats great, and I'm not trying to be a dick. But it's well established how abused welfare programs are. Not that they dont also do wonderful things for needy people. I just dont believe bureaucratic institutions should run them with forcibly taken money.
 

Movement

Member
This may be a bit off-topic, but I've been curious about it. I was only 10 during the 2000 election, so I had bigger things to worry about than presidential elections.

What exactly went on in Florida? Is it pretty much accepted now that Gore rightfully should've won but the GOP in charge down there 'recounted' until Bush won?
 
1.) Have charity donation rates increased in proportion to the tax decreases of the past several decades?

2.) Citation? You can't just say "rife with abuse" without actual studies to back it up. Not "I know a couple people who abuse the system"

They've changed in proportion to tax-deductibility status! Does that count!
 
I'll be glad to see Akin, Mourdock and those other stone-age fucks crash and burn tomorrow too, polls are looking ugly for them right now.
 

The Technomancer

card-carrying scientician
Look, thats great, and I'm not trying to be a dick. But it's well established how abused welfare programs are. Not that they dont also do wonderful things for needy people. I just dont believe bureaucratic institutions should run them with forcibly taken money.

Citation? Because most studies I've read say the exact opposite
 

Gotchaye

Member
The implication from the creationist insult was "youre stupid."

No, the point was to offer an example of people who reveal themselves to have no idea what they're talking about by acting like it's obvious that some obviously untrue thing X is a logical consequence of widespread belief Y, as if nobody who believed Y would have noticed. Creationists sometimes think they have these knock-down arguments against evolution that don't even need to be elaborated on, such as "if evolution is true, how are there still monkeys?", as if the rest of us just haven't noticed that there are still monkeys, and that, once we have become aware of monkeys, we'll instantly see that the theory of evolution is inconsistent with their existence. How are you not doing pretty much exactly the same kind of thing?
 

HylianTom

Banned
Hm. If Washington had three eyes when he became President, do y'all think we'd have more three-eyed presidents and politicians today? Or do you think two-eyed leaders would've come back more into style?
 
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Deleted member 17706

Unconfirmed Member
Look, thats great, and I'm not trying to be a dick. But it's well established how abused welfare programs are. Not that they dont also do wonderful things for needy people. I just dont believe bureaucratic institutions should run them with forcibly taken money.

But you also recognize that they do wonderful things for needy people. Surely it's worth it for a few to abuse a system that otherwise saves people's well-being.

And the money isn't forcibly taken. Taxes are decided by society. You don't have to be a part of society if you don't want to.
 

thcsquad

Member
I suppose I have a less pessimistic view on society.

2 points:

1. If you were given more of your own money back, and were aware of charities now more in need due to defunded federal programs, would you not donate more? Would we as a society not take more responsibility knowing there was no magic program there to fix it? Would it not be extra beneficial to have the choice to allow the most effective charities receive your money?

2. We all know someone that abuses a particular "hand out" program. If you dont, Im.shocked. I know countless, from unemployment to disability. If nothing else, most honest people agree these programs are ripe with abuse.

No abuse + increased charitable giving = a better solution and more productive society.

What would make private charities any less ripe for abuse than public programs? Why does the lack of government involvement make them magic?
 
Yeah, charities! Those never get abused or exploited. They're like impervious or something. I dunno, I read a book about it.
It wouldn't even matter because the donations would never be enough unless people donated the amount...that they'd be giving up to taxes anyway. Also, people abusing the system would only be a problem if there was any evidence of it being significantly widespread. (It's not.) I really hope no one proposes using anecdotal evidence over statistical data.
 

RDreamer

Member
Look, thats great, and I'm not trying to be a dick. But it's well established how abused welfare programs are. Not that they dont also do wonderful things for needy people. I just dont believe bureaucratic institutions should run them with forcibly taken money.

Would you like to back that up with some evidence?


Also, seriously, stop with the forcibly taken money crap. Again, if you want to have an ethical discussion on the entire foundation for society go make a thread. In this thread we've already decided it's ethical. Sorry.
 

hokahey

Member
To answer multiple posts, there are many, many charities that are well established and respected that survive because they get the most donations as trusted institutions. You know, kind of like how the free market works.

And if anyone needs me to google search welfare fraud/abuse for them then we're probably not going to ever get anywhere.
 

VALIS

Member
Why are there two main election/political threads right now? Can we merge all the talk into one for the next couple days?
 

Ecotic

Member
This may be a bit off-topic, but I've been curious about it. I was only 10 during the 2000 election, so I had bigger things to worry about than presidential elections.

What exactly went on in Florida? Is it pretty much accepted now that Gore rightfully should've won but the GOP in charge down there 'recounted' until Bush won?
Gore got screwed over with poorly designed ballots that caused people to miscast their votes, and a recount that was stopped by the Supreme Court. Bush got screwed over by networks calling the State before the polls were fully closed.

Who won Florida, and who should have won Florida, are both questions we'll never truly know. It really just depends upon how you define the question.
 

pigeon

Banned
Is there a thread about the election somewhere around here? Somehow I wandered into the inane libertarian arguments OT.
 

HylianTom

Banned
I wonder.. if Obama were a hot dog and he got hungry.. would he eat himself?

Same question goes for Romney.

I know I would. And I'd wash myself down with a cool Budweiser.

Is there a thread about the election somewhere around here? Somehow I wandered into the inane libertarian arguments OT.
bingo.gif
 
To answer multiple posts, there are many, many charities that are well established and respected that survive because they get the most donations as trusted institutions. You know, kind of like how the free market works.

And if anyone needs me to google search welfare fraud/abuse for them then we're probably not going to ever get anywhere.
You aren't very good at this debating stuff are you?
 
To answer multiple posts, there are many, many charities that are well established and respected that survive because they get the most donations as trusted institutions. You know, kind of like how the free market works.

And if anyone needs me to google search welfare fraud/abuse for them then we're probably not going to ever get anywhere.
Bring up a statistical statement without proper evidence, when called to proof it (As the onus is on you) you back away.

Typical internet debate tactics.
 
Gore got screwed over with poorly designed ballots that caused people to miscast their votes, and a recount that was stopped by the Supreme Court. Bush got screwed over by networks calling the State before the polls were fully closed.

Who won Florida, and who should have won Florida, are both questions we'll never truly know. It really just depends upon how you define the question.

It's a fact that Gore won Florida but he conceded.
 

The Technomancer

card-carrying scientician
To answer multiple posts, there are many, many charities that are well established and respected that survive because they get the most donations as trusted institutions. You know, kind of like how the free market works.

That's not the point. We used to have much higher taxes. Now we don't. Your hypothesis is that if taxes go down, charitable donation will increase proportionately. This isn't a hypothetical, as we have history to examine. So is that accurate or not? Has it?
 
Would you like to back that up with some evidence?


Also, seriously, stop with the forcibly taken money crap. Again, if you want to have an ethical discussion on the entire foundation for society go make a thread. In this thread we've already decided it's ethical. Sorry.

It's statements like the bolded that make conservative-GAF posters defer from posting anything, because from your statement I'm reading "we've decided this for you, you're wrong."
 
And if anyone needs me to google search welfare fraud/abuse for them then we're probably not going to ever get anywhere.
Where's the evidence backing up your argument, though? People aren't going to agree with your argument if there's no proof of it (and proof of the opposite).
 
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Deleted member 17706

Unconfirmed Member
Well at least I do what I can to offer my opinions and reasons for them.instead of just snide remarks that contribute nothing.

But your reasons aren't backed up by any concrete data that you're able to share with us.

No amount of *wink* *wink* "come on guys, you know what I'm talking about." statements are going to change that.
 

DarkFlow

Banned
Lol I'm watching hannity right now on Fox News and he just had on dick Morris. Dick here said Romney is going to win with 325 EV. Even hannity said he was crazy.
 

Gotchaye

Member
It's statements like the bolded that make conservative-GAF posters defer from posting anything, because from your statement I'm reading "we've decided this for you, you're wrong."

If by "conservative-GAF" you mean "taxation is theft-GAF". I'm from Oklahoma and even I think that's pretty out there.
 
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Deleted member 17706

Unconfirmed Member
To answer multiple posts, there are many, many charities that are well established and respected that survive because they get the most donations as trusted institutions. You know, kind of like how the free market works.

And if anyone needs me to google search welfare fraud/abuse for them then we're probably not going to ever get anywhere.

That's great that those charities exist. Do you really think that if taxes didn't exist, more and more charities would spring up across the nation and be of a sufficient number as to cover everyone who runs into trouble? Do you think all of them would be just as efficient and lacking in corruption as the next?
 
Well at least I do what I can to offer my opinions and reasons for them.instead of just snide remarks that contribute nothing.
You're the one that whined about having to to present data to back up your very few assertions. Unless you sought a debate purely about one's feelings.
 
Over the weekend This American Life did a really great episode called "Red State Blue State" about the increased polarization of American politics. If you have an hour to kill I'd really recommend listening to it.

http://www.thisamericanlife.org/radio-archives/episode/478/red-state-blue-state#play

I think it's a perfect cap to me following this political election season and ending with me casting my ballot tomorrow.

I wanted to quote this so it shows up again - it's an excellent program.
 

hokahey

Member
That's not the point. We used to have much higher taxes. Now we don't. Your hypothesis is that if taxes go down, charitable donation will increase proportionately. This isn't a hypothetical, as we have history to examine. So is that accurate or not? Has it?

I will apologize to everyone for a lack of links etc. to support my posts as I'm on my phone. Stopped in to browse and felt compelled to post, and now I'm trying to reply to rebuttals as I am not "trolling" as some stated.

I've studied this exact point before and was able to find support for what I'm saying.

Let me see what I can find and I'll be back.
 

Flo_Evans

Member
This may be a bit off-topic, but I've been curious about it. I was only 10 during the 2000 election, so I had bigger things to worry about than presidential elections.

What exactly went on in Florida? Is it pretty much accepted now that Gore rightfully should've won but the GOP in charge down there 'recounted' until Bush won?

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1000771/

Excellent "docudrama" about the legal battle. Bush "won" but it was so close it triggered an automatic recount. The recount had Gore ahead. Lots of lawyering, obstruction and debate over how to "count".

Fascinating and depressing.
 

RDreamer

Member
It's statements like the bolded that make conservative-GAF posters defer from posting anything, because from your statement I'm reading "we've decided this for you, you're wrong."

I'm talking about in this country. It is constitutional to tax people to provide services for fuck's sake. That is not a question. That means somewhere along the line we decided, in this society that it is ethical. This is a thread about the United States Elections, not a general libertarian or societal ethics thread. If we were in a general thread about the entire foundation of society, then sure have at that argument.

So, yes, he's wrong in this instance, because we're not going to suddenly as a fucking society decide oh welp, the entire foundation on which we exist is completely unethical. My bad. Let's burn the constitution and do whatever, I guess.
 

Cyan

Banned
To answer multiple posts, there are many, many charities that are well established and respected that survive because they get the most donations as trusted institutions. You know, kind of like how the free market works.
Nothing wrong with charities, there are some excellent ones. But the free market optimizes for the charities that are best at marketing and picking appealing causes, not the actual most effective ones.

Edit:
I will apologize to everyone for a lack of links etc. to support my posts as I'm on my phone.

All right, complaint rescinded. For now.
 

hokahey

Member
But your reasons aren't backed up by any concrete data that you're able to share with us.

No amount of *wink* *wink* "come on guys, you know what I'm talking about." statements are going to change that.

I'm.on my phone. Not trying to avoid posting supporting data. Hard to research and post this way. I apologize, I know its annoying.
 

Krowley

Member
This may be a bit off-topic, but I've been curious about it. I was only 10 during the 2000 election, so I had bigger things to worry about than presidential elections.

What exactly went on in Florida? Is it pretty much accepted now that Gore rightfully should've won but the GOP in charge down there 'recounted' until Bush won?

My memory of the thing was that it was such a mess, I was happy to see Gore concede at the time. When you're talking about a difference of a few 100 votes in a state as populous as Florida, what you're really dealing with is a tie, because it is impossible to know who really won, and no matter how many times they recounted, it would never be definitive.

That being said, there was a lot of GOP funny business that year in florida, especially in terms of the way they designed the ballots to confuse people.

According to wikipedia
The election was noteworthy for a controversy over the awarding of Florida's 25 electoral votes, the subsequent recount process in that state, and the unusual event of the winning candidate having received fewer popular votes than the runner-up.[2] This marked only the fourth election in U.S. History in which the eventual winner failed to win a plurality of the popular vote (after the elections of 1824, 1876, and 1888). Later research showed that by the standards requested by the Gore campaign in their contest brief or by the partial statewide recount set by the Florida Supreme Court, Bush would have likely won the recount anyway.[3] However, the same research indicates that had the statewide recount included all uncounted votes (overvotes as well as undervotes), Gore would have won the election.[3][4][5]

That's the way I remember it. In the end I think Bush got more actual votes in florida, but I think GOP cheating may have been responsible for that.
 

Zaptruder

Banned
Look, thats great, and I'm not trying to be a dick. But it's well established how abused welfare programs are. Not that they dont also do wonderful things for needy people. I just dont believe bureaucratic institutions should run them with forcibly taken money.

Taxation is the cost of doing business in a country.

You don't OWN all your pre-taxation income. It only passes through your hand for the sake of expediency (otherwise they'd have to hold all the money before passing to you your actual earnings minus the cost of doing business in the country).

A country provides you with services seen and unseen, and it does so at a progressive rate. Most of all, a nation provides you with socio-economic stability, so that you can actually get stuff done.

If you're not happy with that, then take your business elsewhere, and stop using the services that your nation provides.

In the meantime, it's the nation's collective prerogative of who they want to charge and how. Progressive system + welfare has shown to be a socio-economic winner for the most part.
 

Piecake

Member
I wanted to quote this so it shows up again - it's an excellent program.

I love their shows on our healthcare system and the 2008 economic collapse. Those were really well done. Will check out this episode tomorrow

Since I've been tasked with proving people sometimes abuse welfare programs:

http://www.bostonherald.com/news/po...s_tough_on_welfare_abuse/srvc=home&position=2

Youre doing it wrong. Anecdotal evidence doesnt convince anyone since we already know abuse happens, I/we just think its statistically insignificant
 

pigeon

Banned
nunst046.gif

NEVADA

Polls close: 10 pm ET

Pundits say:
nyt said:
Nevada led the nation in population growth for the past two decades, more than doubling in size to 2.7 million, from 1.2 million in 1990. Fueling that growth has been Democratic-leaning demographic groups: Hispanics, Asians and African-Americans. While Nevada’s non-Hispanic white population grew by 12 percent from 2000 to 2010, African-Americans grew by 58 percent, Asians by 116 percent and Hispanics by 82 percent.

Non-Hispanic whites are still a majority in Nevada, but barely, comprising 54 percent of the state. Hispanics are 27 percent, African-Americans are almost 9 percent, and Asians are about 8 percent.

The state’s booming population has also made Nevada more urban, as the growth has been focused primarily in and around Las Vegas and Reno. Nevada is now the third most urban state in terms of population, according to the 2010 census.

http://www.tnr.com/article/109309/nevada-2012

tnr said:
Despite one of the worst economies in the country and a large Mormon population, Nevada was always an uphill climb for Romney. Minorities constituted a larger share of the Nevada electorate than any other battleground state, enabling Obama to win the state by 12 points in 2008.

Declining Democratic registration offered hope to Republicans in the summer, but Democrats trounced Republicans in the last two months of Nevada’s voter registration war. Today, Democrats hold a 90,000 vote registration advantage, just short of the 100,000 vote advantage they held four years ago. In Las Vegas’ Clark County, home to 70 percent of the state’s electorate, Democrats now outnumber Republicans by 128,000 votes—even more than in 2008.

http://www.tnr.com/blog/electionate/109272/romneys-hopes-fade-in-nevada

Early voting: Nevada's early vote made up 72.4% of the 2008 electorate, up from 67.4%. Party ID info for the entire state isn't readily available, but we can get a pretty good idea of what's going on just by looking at Las Vegas's Clark County, since the rest of Nevada is bone-strewn wasteland in which only the buzzards thrive. In Clark, the Democratic party ID advantage is seven points less than 2008, a year in which he won by 12.

Voter ID: Nevada doesn't currently have a voter ID law, although they contemplated one in 2011.

Polls say: 538 gives Obama a 94% chance to win Nevada with a 4.7 point margin. Obama is about twice as likely to win Nebraska's second district as Romney is to win Nevada. RealClearPolitics gives the polling average as a decidedly more equivocal 2.8 lead.

Watch for: Anybody still watching. Nevada's going to be called as soon as the polls close unless Romney has an exceptionally good night. The question, really, is whether we'll still be paying attention by then, or whether an earlier state will have tipped us off already to an Obama victory.

nevada-quarter.jpg
 
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