Wkd BO 06•29-07•01•12 - Seth MacFarlane successfully cracks box office... be afraid

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OMG
 
Dammit, I was hoping Ted would bomb. We are going to get a stream of MacFarlane movies now. :(
 
Dammit, I was hoping Ted would bomb. We are going to get a stream of MacFarlane movies now. :(

So what? If you don't like them then you don't have to go see them. I thought Ted was kinda funny, even if a lot of it was rather crude.
 
Funny thing was that GI Joe was supposed to be released this Friday. Considering the rapid ascension of Channing Tatum this year, thing must be getting edited much different in that movie now.

Wait, are you saying that (spoilers based on trailer)
they are re-editing the movie so that Channing Tatum doesn't die in the beginning? If so, I will be incredibly pissed.
 
Wait, are you saying that (spoilers based on trailer)
they are re-editing the movie so that Channing Tatum doesn't die in the beginning? If so, I will be incredibly pissed.
You better start your angry blogging now.

Per Wiki:
Deadline stated that the real reason for the delay was to reshoot scenes to strengthen Tatum's character's relationship with Johnson's, reportedly the most popular aspect in test screenings, and—more importantly—change the plot to avoid Tatum's character's death early in the film, as Tatum has become a star with the successful The Vow and 21 Jump Street.
 
Snow White didn't bomb. Its' actually got some fairly decent legs going for it. It's not going to hit their $600 million mark, but that was a ridiculous benchmark to begin with.

It's going to be a money loser overall as will Battleship, which is a huge bomb.
 
Snow White didn't bomb. Its' actually got some fairly decent legs going for it. It's not going to hit their $600 million mark, but that was a ridiculous benchmark to begin with.

They were clearly hoping to capture Alice's box office business with the theme and look of the film.
 
I've given up all hope of this happening. One of the best movies of the year relegated to a limited release. downright depressing. :(

at least it will do well on BR/DVD.

Moonrise Kingdom is already in 854 theatres and was the #8 movie this weekend on the wide release charts. It will likely continue to expand as well since it seems to be following the Midnight in Paris indie-break-out pattern.

Never in my life did I think I'd want to watch a film about male strippers but I'm hearing good things. I might have to check it out when its out on bluray/dvd.

Same here. I'm not sure how I'd explain seeing it in the theatre though, given that all the lines for the film that I saw on Friday were close to 100% female and the marketing seems exclusively aimed at them.
 
Saw Ted friday night, funniest movie I have seen in a while. I'm not a fan of family guy, and was a little hesitant to check out it out... but loved it.

Ted will have legs this summer, good word of mouth will have this movie above 150 million when all is said and done.
 
Magic Mike was ridiculous on Friday at my location.

Thank you Magic Mike, thank you for bringing in the fucking smoking hot babes to go watch you.
 
Moonrise Kingdom is already in 854 theatres and was the #8 movie this weekend on the wide release charts. It will likely continue to expand as well since it seems to be following the Midnight in Paris indie-break-out pattern.

And technically, it already is in wide release, just not in the "on over 3000 screens" sense of the term.

I was pretty amazed that it opened up in two local theaters around here this past weekend. Quite a very good film, too.
 
Doesn't mean it bombed either. It's in line with pretty much what everyone had expected and will probably recoup its costs on home video since it's close to breaking even worldwide.

No it´s not. Universal expected to make $600 million. SW made $335 million so far. That´s little bit more than half of their expectations. It did not live up to the studio´s expectation = a bomb.
 
Where are the 600 million in expectations for Snow White coming from?

Seems kinda hard to believe and can't find anything easily searching.
 
For the Seth MacFarlane haters - Ted was actually pretty good. Predictable story line but had some really good laughs the whole way through. Well worth the ticket price.
 
No it´s not. Universal expected to make $600 million. SW made $335 million so far. That´s little bit more than half of their expectations. It did not live up to the studio´s expectation = a bomb.

Just like Fox was expecting $30 million opening and low takes for Prometheus? Studios talk a lot before the film comes out, but everyone was predicting around $3-400 million totals before the film came out. Even Busty was saying $400 million. And there's a big difference between failing to live up to studio expectations and being a bomb. Battleship and John Carter are bombs. A movie falling $50-60 million short of EXPECTATIONS is hardly a bomb, especially when it will appear to break even at the box office. That's like saying MiB3 is a bomb when it didn't hit $800 million or whatever total Sony thought it could do.
 
Yeah, this film about a drunken teddy bear is nothing like that comic with the drunken teddy bear. It's all just ripping off Pinocchio.

Really, that's what you're going with?

One of his shows has an alcoholic talking dog, the other has a talking fish and an alcoholic alien. His movie has a talking alcoholic teddy bear. Big stretch. He must have stolen the idea from some webcomic I've never heard of.

EDIT: So we're clear, I fucking hate Family Guy and have no interest in this movie, so this isn't some fan boy defending their hero.
 
I would not be shocked if this insane heatwave had anything to do with a huge weekend. Plenty of my friends went to see movies this weekend just to escape their houses with broken or struggling AC's.
 
I would not be shocked if this insane heatwave had anything to do with a huge weekend. Plenty of my friends went to see movies this weekend just to escape their houses with broken or struggling AC's.

Yeah, I had a couple friends bring their kids to the theaters as well for something to do that didn't involve being outside.
 
Prometheus WW total is at $285M

There is now way that Fox or anyone else can spin that as anything other than a disappointment, R rated sci-fi/horror or not.

Not sure that's true. Warner Bros paid $7 million for the US distribution rights. I don't believe there's any budget figures actually floating around.

I believe that Magic Mike cost something like $5m to actually produce and Soderburgh and Tatum actually paid for a lot of it themselves.

Between the international sales money and WB's NA acquisition everybody got paid which pleases me immensely.

So many bombs for Universal.

Ironically TED wasn't even made by Universal. It was made by a company called Media Rights Capital (who are also producing and financing Elysium) who made the film and then Universal simply bought the whole thing lock, stock and barrel off them.

It's best to take anything Busty says with a grain of salt.

Oh come on mang. Is this because I schooled you in that nonsense Spiderman/Avengers 'cross over' thread a few weeks ago?

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=38798320&postcount=231

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=38804887&postcount=237

I particularly enjoyed your comment in that thread about an Avengers sequel featuring Spider-man toppling Avatar's box office record.

It was $400 million not $600 million.
It was $400 million according to Busty.

Yup. Though I have no contact with anyone at the studio or the production which can verify that figure I stand by what I said. $400m WW gross for a film of that size is solid but it isn't great.

And even $400m wouldn't represent a break even figure for the studio including P&A costs. So while they could crawl into profit with home video etc it still doesn't bode well for what was supposed to a franchise starter.

Sorry, but Busty's opinion on what Universal should consider a home run is not Universal's expectations for the movie or the baseline level for what should be a bomb or not.

Don't blame me..., blame MATHEMATICS!!!!

A budget of $175m plus a worldwide P&A (prints and advertising) cost of at least $100m represents an investment of $275m. So even a WW gross of $400m (with roughly $200m going to the studio) would still result in a loss of $75m.

In time the studio can crawl into profit given when the ancillary markets are taken into account but how long will that take and it wouldn't exactly inspire confidence in a sequel.

This is all very sketchy I grant you (50/50 for the theatrical split is a 'thumbnail' figure) but it is none the less representative of the sort of figures that are associated with big summer movies like this.

Espeically when Universal's owners Comcast talked about how 'unfortunate' it was that Five Year Engagement lost (a projected/rumoured) $50-60m+ on it's theatrical run.

This year we have an unfortunate large miss in Battleship and The Five-Year Engagement

http://www.deadline.com/2012/06/com...edoed-by-battleship-and-five-year-engagement/

Do Comcast seem like the kind of cats that would be prepared to take a $75m loss on the chin and keep on trucking with a Snow White sequel regardless?!
 
Snow White didn't bomb. Its' actually got some fairly decent legs going for it. It's not going to hit their $600 million mark, but that was a ridiculous benchmark to begin with.

They wanted $600m for THAT?! What the hell were they thinking?!!

EDIT: Ah, I see $400m now, slightly more sane =/
 
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