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Wkd Box Office 01•01-03•16 - Hate flows through BO as TFA eyes all-time DOM record

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kswiston

Member
Wait a min:

The Force Awakens
Fury Road
And since Creed is technically a sequel to Rocky IV (ugh) I'll allow it.

Haha. I haven't seen Creed, but Fury Road is missing 45 minutes of nostalgic call backs to the Road Warrior and is clearly set not long after the other films, so it doesn't count.

I did forget Vacation though (as did everyone).
 
Wait a min:

The Force Awakens
Fury Road
And since Creed is technically a sequel to Rocky IV (ugh) I'll allow it.

Fury Road is more like after road warrior, or before or whatever. The series doesn't really care about canon which is great

Creed's definitely the better handling of a 20 years later thing than Star Wars or jurassic world Tho (not that Star Wars is bad or anything, but abrams would catch coogler's fade)
 
Hey, it's hard to suggest that this is a bad path to go down when two of the best movies of 2015 are direct sequels to films made in 1985

I remember when Scorsese made a sequel to The Hustler and people thought that was so fuckin' weird.

When Ghostbusters blows the fuck up next year, all bets are off.
 

rjinaz

Member
Hey, it's hard to suggest that this is a bad path to go down when two of the best movies of 2015 are direct sequels to films made in 1985

I remember when Scorsese made a sequel to The Hustler and people thought that was so fuckin' weird.

I know a lot of people don't like it, but I'm just fine with it, as long as they are decent movies.
 

-griffy-

Banned
Wait a min:

The Force Awakens
Fury Road
And since Creed is technically a sequel to Rocky IV (ugh) I'll allow it.

Throw in Ash vs. Evil Dead on the TV side. That's 4/4 as far as I'm concerned. Jurassic Park 3 didn't come out that long ago (
fuck it came out damn near 15 years ago
) so I'm striking Jurassic World from the record.
 
Throw in Ash vs. Evil Dead on the TV side. That's 4/4 as far as I'm concerned. Jurassic Park 3 didn't come out that long ago (
fuck it came out damn near 15 years ago
) so I'm striking Jurassic World from the record.

I still haven't seen it! I need to, definitely.
 
Stop, elf

I'll die on this hill!

But yeah, considering the quality of the reboots/continuations this year, let's keep that train going. The batting average is real, real good. Especially if it's from WB, oddly enough. They seem to be able to bring the original people in the most.
 

Ridley327

Member
Is ghostbusters going with the years later angle or is it a straight reboot?

I think it's supposed to be a straight reboot, with nothing to tie it to the originals.

I'm actually a lot more comfortable with that, since tying it to the original films would make it a lot harder for the new characters to stand on their own two feet when you're comparing them to the original crew that would still be running around.
 
They can't backdoor an alternate timeline into Ghostbusters in a chickenshit appeal to fans that were going to show up regardless. All the old actors are playing new roles.

They're starting over.

Is Bill Murray going to show up in the Spock role, because if so I'll probably just leave

I heard his cameo is closer to Walter Peck than Peter Venkman.
 

kswiston

Member
Fury Road was treated like Bond. Same origin, different actor, timeline doesn't matter. I don't even think watching the previous films does all that much to enhance your viewing experience.
 

kswiston

Member
It's still another entry in a film series that was dead for 30 years.

I was specifically talking about films in the Jurassic World, The Force Awakens, Superman Returns, Indy 4, Terminator Genisys, etc mold.

If you want to get liberal with your definition of 20-30 years later, you can start throwing in things like 21 Jump Street, but that wasn't really going for the same vibe as the films above.
 
I don't think it's that fine a difference, really.

I saw someone about a month ago at one of the trades try to coin that "nostalgia sequel" term and thought it was about the dumbest shit. Of course a sequel is going to trade on nostalgia if it can, even if that nostalgia is relatively young/new. It's the whole point of a sequel, period - to play on your fond memories and familiarity of a thing you've already enjoyed once.

When an industry has pivoted towards the power of branding that strongly, for that long, exploiting said brand doesn't need a new name like "nostalgia sequel" or "rebootquel" (Faraci came up with that dumb shit last week, I think) - if anything, that sort of reach is less about accurately describing a trend, and more about making sure you brand said trend.

21 Jump Street wouldn't count because it wasn't a movie series ever.
 

kswiston

Member
I don't think it's that fine a difference, really.

I saw someone about a month ago at one of the trades try to coin that "nostalgia sequel" term and thought it was about the dumbest shit. Of course a sequel is going to trade on nostalgia if it can, even if that nostalgia is relatively young/new. It's the whole point of a sequel, period - to play on your fond memories and familiarity of a thing you've already enjoyed once.

When an industry has pivoted towards the power of branding that strongly, for that long, exploiting said brand doesn't need a new name like "nostalgia sequel" or "rebootquel" (Faraci came up with that dumb shit last week, I think) - if anything, that sort of reach is less about accurately describing a trend, and more about making sure you brand said trend.

21 Jump Street wouldn't count because it wasn't a movie series ever.

I don't think I agree. Take the Matrix example we were talking about last page. I think that a direct sequel starring some of the original cast set 20 years later would have a very different draw than a straight up reboot/re-imagining.

People can take or leave reboots based on their quality. Your old story stays finished and the reboot is something separate. Going the direct sequel route (especially with the same cast) decades later at least presents the promise of seeing how the universe/characters you liked evolved over the past couple of decades.
 

duckroll

Member
Gotta ask - what's your basis for thinking this? All evidence and interviews say otherwise (that it's a pure reboot, no continuity with the original films).

Cynicism mostly. I have no faith that a studio will do a reboot that has the entire original cast in cameos and not be tempted to do some stupid nudge nudge wink wink fan pandering crap.
 
I don't think I agree. Take the Matrix example we were talking about last page. I think that a direct sequel starring some of the original cast set 20 years later would have a very different draw than a straight up reboot/re-imagining.

Maybe. But I also don't see as to where a sequel set years later needs any other name but "sequel." There's nothing particularly unique about it, and as your previous examples (and mine) show, it's not like this is even all that new a practice.

It's more about branding than anything, and the attempts to give this "phenomenon" (that's been going on since there's been sequels) a "special" (fucking "rebootquel" ugh) name is just more branding, just from the people covering the films as opposed to the people making them.
 

kswiston

Member
Maybe. But I also don't see as to where a sequel set years later needs any other name but "sequel." There's nothing particularly unique about it, and as your previous examples (and mine) show, it's not like this is even all that new a practice.

It's more about branding than anything, and the attempts to give this "phenomenon" (that's been going on since there's been sequels) a special name is just more branding, just from the people covering the films as opposed to the people making them.

I suppose so. I just like sequels that try to do something different rather than act as remixes of the most popular entries in the series. With this year's successes, it's looking like the remix path is the safer bet for bringing back a series/framchise. Hence, I expect them to be more common going forward.

This sort of stuff happens in comics all of the time, and I tend not to like it. Was the Dark Phoenix Saga a landmark X-Men Story? Yes. Do we need to have it being the defining trait of Jean Grey stories for the rest of eternity? No, but x-writers will do that anyhow.

If the future Star Wars films start to shed some of that Original Trilogy baggage and try for a more varied feel, that won't be so bad. The Force Awakens was a good enough series refresher, but I don't really want the next two to be quite as heavy on the OT fan service.
 

Branduil

Member
So, this Monday will basically be TFA's first non-Holiday weekday. Avatar did $8mil on this date, a 53% drop from it's Sunday number. Sherlock Holmes did $3mil, a 60% drop from Sunday. Assuming TFA's Sunday actual is more like $21mil, that would lead to an expectation of $8-$10mil on Monday. I'm assuming any number bigger than Avatar's would be a new record.
 

kswiston

Member
So, this Monday will basically be TFA's first non-Holiday weekday. Avatar did $8mil on this date, a 53% drop from it's Sunday number. Sherlock Holmes did $3mil, a 60% drop from Sunday. Assuming TFA's Sunday actual is more like $21mil, that would lead to an expectation of $8-$10mil on Monday. I'm assuming any number bigger than Avatar's would be a new record.

I was thinking $9M earlier. Avatar has had better drops recently, but $21M would give TFA an extra $4M to work with on that drop.

Tuesday's are stronger now than when Avatar was out, so TFA will probably win that as well. Maybe not Wednesday, but it's hard to tell. $9M. $9M, $7M, $7M would be $32M for the weekdays. I'm guessing that will be within $3-4M of what we end up getting. I am starting to think that I was being too harsh on TFA's coming week as well. I still don't think $50M is happening on a post-holiday weekend that was just over $90M, but we could get $46-47M. IMAX is still holding strong.

Figure $75-80M for the week. $85M if weekdays are really strong, and the weekend does hit $50M.
 

Lothars

Member
I think it's supposed to be a straight reboot, with nothing to tie it to the originals.

I'm actually a lot more comfortable with that, since tying it to the original films would make it a lot harder for the new characters to stand on their own two feet when you're comparing them to the original crew that would still be running around.
I think it's a completely shitty thing for them to do and I feel it hurts the movie than anything. It should be related in some way to the originals and not a reboot.
 

firelogic

Member
The problem with a Matrix revival/reboot/remake/rewhatever is that we're talking about a R-rated franchise. I don't think WB would revive it as a new R-rated blockbuster. The risk is too great. That puts it in the same playing field of Die Hard and Terminator - PG-13 sequels/reboots/revivals/rewhatevers of a traditionally R-rated franchise. Not a lot of great success there...

The Matrix didn't need to be R. It's PG-13 tops. It doesn't have any swearing minus a few "shits" here and there. No f-bombs as far as I remember. No gruesome violence. No nudity..well maybe when he comes out of the tank...but you could definitely PG-13 it and not miss anything.
 

Branduil

Member
I was thinking $9M earlier. Avatar has had better drops recently, but $21M would give TFA an extra $4M to work with on that drop.

Tuesday's are stronger now than when Avatar was out, so TFA will probably win that as well. Maybe not Wednesday, but it's hard to tell. $9M. $9M, $7M, $7M would be $32M for the weekdays. I'm guessing that will be within $3-4M of what we end up getting. I am starting to think that I was being too harsh on TFA's coming week as well. I still don't think $50M is happening on a post-holiday weekend that was just over $90M, but we could get $46-47M. IMAX is still holding strong.

Figure $75-80M for the week. $85M if weekdays are really strong, and the weekend does hit $50M.

Avatar did $50.3 million next weekend so it's probably TFA's last chance for a weekend record.
 

JeTmAn81

Member
The Matrix didn't need to be R. It's PG-13 tops. It doesn't have any swearing minus a few "shits" here and there. No f-bombs as far as I remember. No gruesome violence. No nudity..well maybe when he comes out of the tank...but you could definitely PG-13 it and not miss anything.

Yeah, I'm not even sure why The Matrix was R. Violence, i guess. It would probably be PG-13 today.
 

Branduil

Member
Also, from this point forward, Jurassic World made about $150 million. Avatar made... $400 million LOL. TFA is gonna need to split that difference if it wants to reach a billion.

Yep TFA won´t surpass Titanic.

Domestically? It already did. Worldwide, it still has a very good chance. If US+China amounts to 1.2 billion then TFA will almost certainly pass it.
 

Measley

Junior Member
I think TFA will pass Titanic WW, but its not going to reach Avatar (unfortunately).

Really crazy how Avatar made so much money when it was such a dumb film.

At least we can rest easy with the domestic record and let the rest of the world deal with having Avatar being #1.
 
I strongly believe that the Hateful 8 could have made 20-25 million if the movie was not that long. Jesus, i hate sitting through movies that are much longer than 2 hours.

Also, from this point forward, Jurassic World made about $150 million. Avatar made... $400 million LOL. TFA is gonna need to split that difference if it wants to reach a billion.



Domestically? It already did. Worldwide, it still has a very good chance. If US+China amounts to 1.2 billion then TFA will almost certainly pass it.

I am talking WW. Domestic numbers don´t matter much to me.
 
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