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Wkd Box Office 12•18-20•15 - Force Awakens does good... gOOOood, opens w/ $248m

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V

vinnygambini

Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
The newbies aren't getting gross participation but profit participation.

Gross participation is when you made it aka Tom Cruise, Harison Ford tier.
 
D

duckroll

Member
kswiston said:
Given the fact that they are nobodies and Ford settled for 0.5% (in addition to his close to $25M paycheck), I would be shocked if they are sharing more than 0.5% between them.

Still, 0.25% is going to end up being at least $5M, so that wouldn't be too bad. Even 0.1% will end up being over $2M.
Click to expand...

This is also only for the first film. Unlike Ford and Abrams, they have two more movies to make bank on. Honestly, the more important thing for them is to ensure that they have a career outside of Star Wars after the films. Getting breakout roles as new leads in a Star Wars trilogy and making millions of dollars is great, but hopefully they can take advantage of that and make it even more in the future.
 
S

Syf

Banned
lol Jurassic World took 15 days to reach $450M and that's the current record. TFA will get there in 9, possibly 8 days.
 
C

Cheebo

Banned
Kagari said:
Nostlagia? I really don't get it and I've been a fan of Star Wars for a long time!
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It is a OT remix/rehash but it is probably the most purely fun pop family blockbuster I can think of since Jurassic Park in 1993. Perfect mix of humor, action, hero's journey, likable leads...and so on.

It checks every box. A fun movie for all ages with crazy likable leads and great action?

Being the Star Wars brand is not all it is. That alone does not explain the downright incredible word of mouth we are seeing here.
 
S

Sulik2

Member
So I'm thinking, is it possible we see SW hit 200 million for a second weekend with the big Christmas day bump on Friday? Say 80 65 55 this weekend? I know it sounds ludicrous to say aloud but the numbers is doing are unprecedented at this point. 80 on Friday is a fifty percent drop from last Friday with a holiday that doesn't seem impossible.
 
C

CrichtonKicks

Member
Cheebo said:
The Force Awakens SECOND weekend might actually be bigger than any 2016 films opening weekend depending how BvS opens.
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I wouldn't take that bet- Civil War will likely open in the upper 100s.

Sulik2 said:
So I'm thinking, is it possible we see SW hit 200 million for a second weekend with the big Christmas day bump on Friday? Say 80 65 55 this weekend? I know it sounds ludicrous to say aloud but the numbers is doing are unprecedented at this point. 80 on Friday is a fifty percent drop from last Friday with a holiday that doesn't seem improbable.
Click to expand...


80 is crazy for Friday- Christmas box office doesn't really heat up until afternoon/evening. If you look at the numbers posted for Avatar (which is tracking TFA closely in terms of holds), a 38mm Wednesday would translate to a 54M Friday. However I think it will do better than that because there are already a bunch of presales for Friday but not 25M better.
 
B

Branduil

Member
Sulik2 said:
So I'm thinking, is it possible we see SW hit 200 million for a second weekend with the big Christmas day bump on Friday? Say 80 65 55 this weekend? I know it sounds ludicrous to say aloud but the numbers is doing are unprecedented at this point. 80 on Friday is a fifty percent drop from last Friday with a holiday that doesn't seem impossible.
Click to expand...

It didn't make over 100 on Friday proper, that includes Thursday night.
 
C

Cheebo

Banned
duckroll said:
What about Rogue One?
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In all honestly a trailer for that ends with Darth Vader walking into frame and the booming James Earl Jones voice coming out of his mask will cause people to lose their minds. Han Solo at the end of the TFA trailer style.

Rogue One is minimum doing 300 mil domestically I would think, yeah?

perfectchaos007 said:
Is Rth the Michael Pachter of the film industry?
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That is a completely nonsensical comparison.
 
K

kswiston

Member
Bobby Roberts said:
K-Swiss.

K-SWISS.

...are we getting 160+ this weekend?

What the hell is going on here.
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If Wednesday is $37-39M, we might be, ya.

Lets go with $27M for Thursday (-31%) and take slightly worse increases/drops than Avatar going forward this weekend to match what we have seen so far.

Thursday - $27M

Friday - $55M (+104%)
Saturday - $63M (+15%) <- I think a strong Friday due to presales will depress the Saturday bump a bit.
Sunday - $52M (-17%)

That would be $170M for the second weekend.


Keep in mind that we don't have a ton of comparisons to work with, so that could end up being too high (or hell, even a bit too low).


Same drops (with a bit of rounding) from a $37M Wednesday:

Thursday - $25.6M

Friday - $52M
Saturday - $60M
Sunday - $49.5M

That would be $161.5M for the second weekend.

Basically, a difference of $1M either on Wednesday could mean a difference of ~$5M over the weekend.
 
C

CrichtonKicks

Member
perfectchaos007 said:
Is Rth the Michael Pachter of the film industry?
Click to expand...

No, not like that. Studios get box office reports throughout the day. They can make reasonable projects about the rest of the day based off of them. Same way that studios can project the weekend grosses very accurately on Sunday mornings.

Rth is just an insider who probably has access to internal studio numbers.
 
D

Dead

well not really...yet
I'm hoping the movie actually does not make more than $750 Mil

Just so Disney can decide to make a special edition and release it to push it to $780-800 and we can get an extended cut heh
 
K

KHarvey16

Member
Dead said:
I'm hoping the movie actually does not make more than $750 Mil

Just so Disney can decide to make a special edition and release it to push it to $780-800 and we can get an extended cut heh
Click to expand...

Lol, do you think they're gonna sit back and go "you know, I think we've made enough money here...no need."
 
D

duckroll

Member
Dead said:
I'm hoping the movie actually does not make more than $750 Mil

Just so Disney can decide to make a special edition and release it to push it to $780-800 and we can get an extended cut heh
Click to expand...

I think they'll do one regardless. It makes sense to me that they would return Ep7 to cinemas just before Ep8 opens, with something "extra". Either an exclusive preview or extended scenes. It's like how everyone is using HD Remasters bundled with demos of new games to sell more shit.
 
B

Bobby Roberts

Banned
TheKaeptain said:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SQsd7y5YbZw
Click to expand...

giphy.gif
 
B

Branduil

Member
If this weekend is more than $160 million then I have to think that $1 billion domestic is in play. At that pace the film would pass Avatar by the 3rd of January.
 
C

Charles Foster Kane

Rosebud
So many people in that box office thread going crazy about a potential 1b at the domestic BO.

Also, those people in the box office forum have a strange fetish for those reaction faces. A select few in particular.
 
M

Mrbob

Member
37 million for wed is insane.


Parents want to see the movie this weekend so I'm booking 4 tickets for Saturday right now. Every showing is already around 50 percent sold and we are on Wed. Crazy.

Dead said:
fuck him, hope Ridley and Boyega are getting a nice cut as they had a gross participation too IIRC
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Fuck the director? OK....

Not sure why people are so concerned over what Ridley and Boyega mak for TFA. They will get their contracts restructured for the sequels and get paid tens of millions.
 
K

kswiston

Member
For the hell of it, lets go high on everything and say $393M going into the weekend and $175M for the second weekend. That would be $568M as of Sunday. Next week would have to average $21M a day from Mon to Thurs for The Force Awakens to top Jurassic World as the top film of 2015 before the year actually finishes.
 
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