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April 2014 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes May 12th

A

Abdiel

Member
Seeing the lack of Vita predictions makes me a sad Seraph. (Not that I don't understand why... Just a shame. I hope the 2000 model will make a splash. That BL2 bundle is a really good deal! 200 for the system, 8gb card, and new game?)

Anyway, it's a 4 week month, and while PS4 sales have remained steady (at least at Best Buy), I still expect it to have sold less than the previous month. But it looks like everyone's predictions thus far have fallen in line with that.

X1... Mm... It's slowed down. Losing the sales on price, people keep trying to find someone still having deals on it if they want one, so they can price match, but otherwise, there's definitely a drop in velocity.

I'll be interested to see exactly how much of a drop we have... And if Beast Souls turns out to be a real thing, I'll be *really* interested to see how the hype pans out from that Beast of a thread on here for sales post E3.
 
S

SwiftDeath

Member
Aquamarine said:
The last NPD thread lasted a whopping nine days (4/17 - 4/26), so I'm optimistic about this one as well. :)
Click to expand...

I'm optimistic that it will last longer than average April NPD threads but think it will suffer a MOM decrease due to the larger titles of TF and Infamous launching last month combined with the general belief that MS would win the month due to the TF bundle and price cuts compared to the relatively quiet release schedule of April :p
 
L

lightning2k3

Member
SwiftDeath said:
I'm optimistic that it will last longer than average April NPD threads but think it will suffer a MOM decrease due to the larger titles of TF and Infamous launching last month combined with the general belief that MS would win the month due to the TF bundle and price cuts compared to the relatively quiet release schedule of April :p
Click to expand...
The only way April will be crazier than March is if either MS somehow beats Sony or if MS sales really drop through the floor. Otherwise it'll just play into people's expectations.
 
S

SwiftDeath

Member
lightning2k3 said:
The only way April will be crazier than March is if either MS somehow beats Sony or if MS sales really drop through the floor. Otherwise it'll just play into people's expectations.
Click to expand...

Pretty much although I could see MS sales really decrease strongly and doubt it would cause too much commotion
 
L

lightning2k3

Member
SwiftDeath said:
Pretty much although I could see MS sales really decrease strongly and doubt it would cause too much commotion
Click to expand...

It will somewhat be expected to see Microsoft's sales tank this month due to the price unofficially going back up to 500 from 450, plus the conclusion of all the titanfall hype from last month. However, I think that a significant drop, lets say 100k, would still be shocking enough to surprise people who aren't usually thinking about the sales numbers but will pop in once a month to see how their console(s) are doing.
 
S

SwiftDeath

Member
lightning2k3 said:
It will somewhat be expected to see Microsoft's sales tank this month due to the price unofficially going back up to 500 from 450, plus the conclusion of all the titanfall hype from last month. However, I think that a significant drop, lets say 100k, would still be shocking enough to surprise people who aren't usually thinking about the sales numbers but will pop in once a month to see how their console(s) are doing.
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Hmm that's probably a fair assessment. I would say if XB1 fails to sell 200K or greater than we'll have meltdowns [which is basically what you're saying too]
 
B

Bgamer90

Banned
[PS4] 270K
[XB1] 210K
[WIU] 65K
[3DS] 125K
[360] 90K
[PS3] 56K

My prediction for Xbox One and PS4 is pretty much "100K less than March NPD".
 
S

SwiftDeath

Member
I'm curious if before we get to E3 the PS4 will be half a million units ahead of the XB1 in the US

Difference is 381k between them at present so if PS4 outsells XB1 by 60k on average for both April and May it would come to pass

Honestly MS's unwillingness to continue the unofficial pricedrop to $450 until E3 boggles my mind :\
 
K

kyser73

Member
So I went from 1st to 143rd last month and was out by 321K, so time to up my game a bit.

[360] 95K
[3DS] 100K
[PS3] 55K
[PS4] 260K
[WIU] 50K
[XB1] 135K

I've marked XB1 down more than some following the return to MSRP - the TF 'bump' never happened, and that was with aggressive bundling and discounting so putting the thing back up to $499 isn't going to help.
 
D

donny2112

Member
SwiftDeath said:
Honestly MS's unwillingness to continue the unofficial pricedrop to $450 until E3 boggles my mind :\
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Would make the $100 Kinect-less SKU at E3 less impactful, if the $50 psuedo-pricecut was allowed to continue. April and May are such down months that it's not worth putting in a lot of effort to get those higher probably.
 
S

SwiftDeath

Member
donny2112 said:
Would make the $100 Kinect-less SKU at E3 less impactful, if the $50 psuedo-pricecut was allowed to continue. April and May are such down months that it's not worth putting in a lot of effort to get those higher probably.
Click to expand...

Huh that's a very logical take on things. MS sacrifices any small gains in April and May when they're bound to be down quite significantly anyways to further increase the value of the drop to $399
 
S

SwiftDeath

Member
beast786 said:
I expect xb1 to win April after great word of mouth and marketing
Click to expand...

Good to hear. I worry for Sony's sake if or when you eventually predict them leading in NPD

Probably means the whole division is to be spun off :p

I assume you're joking though I guess can't be sure
 
B

BlackBuzzard

Banned
beast786 said:
I expect xb1 to win April after great word of mouth and marketing
Click to expand...

310282243_640.jpg


Have you seen Titanfall!
 
M

michaelius

Banned
This seem like it will be really boring month.

Predictions are heavily one sided and nothing big happened whole month to turn usual fortunes.
 
T

Ty4on

Member
[360] 90K
[3DS] 100K
[PS3] 55K
[PS4] 250K
[WIU] 45K
[XB1] 150K

Fairly big drop for Nintendo because they seemed to have a big bump in March 2013.
 
F

FiggyCal

Banned
[360] 70K
[3DS] 108K
[PS3] 50K
[PS4] 230K
[WIU] 48K
[XB1] 120K

Huge drop for the Xbox One. Let's all promise to not panic when it happens.
 
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