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April 2014 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes May 12th

A

Aquamarine

Member
For PS4 / XBO predictions, I'm using last-gen precedent:

d9nN2CH.png


For the rest, I'm predicting downward adjustments from last month.


[360] 86K
[3DS] 107K
[PS3] 53K
[PS4] 259K
[WIU] 56K
[XB1] 172K
 
A

aspiegamer

Member
[PS4] 284k
[XB1] 147k
[3DS] 107k
[360] 78k
[PS3] 52k
[WIU] 45k

Thoughts: 4 week sample vs 5 last month. XB1 super deals and Titanfall bump are generally done. Extremely slow month on software. More notable releases start coming in May. Anticipation of possible revisions on stuff at E3 slows sales. Much groaning for how absolutely terrible the numbers look overall.
 
T

theprodigy

Member
[PS4] 250K
[XB1] 150K
[3DS] 80K
[360] 60K
[WIU] 40K
[PS3] 35K

bonus:
[WII] 15k
[PSV] 10k

edit: Nintendo's fiscal report releases in 41 hours, correct?
 
S

SwiftDeath

Member
plop said:
I think word of mouth for Titanfall is going to push Xbone above PS4 this month. Let's say 220k to 195k.
Click to expand...

That seems fairly unlikely all things considered. Are you aware that while the TF bundle was generally discounted to $450 for the last 2 or so weeks of March, the price has gone back up to $499 pretty much everywhere?

I expect both the PS4 and the XB1 to drop significantly but I expect the XB1 to drop more so relatively
 
D

Delusibeta

Banned
I didn't realise I won last month outright (in terms of points, at least). Pity I got tripped up with the PS3 getting beaten by the WiiU, otherwise I would have gotten close to the theoretical maximum.

Anyway, predictshuns:

[360] 90k
[3DS] 130k
[PS3] 40k
[PS4] 270k
[WIU] 50k
[XB1] 200k
 
T

Tsundere

Banned
[360] 140K
[3DS] 175K
[PS3] 96K
[PS4] 379K
[WIU] 68K
[XB1] 295K

Boost for PS4 due to late-month inFamous:SS in March as well as handful of superior multi-plats.

Decline of XB1 sales due to Titanfall stagnating and 360 Titanfall purchases, which boosts 360 for the month.
 
M

Michael F. Assbender

Banned
coldfoot said:
I think you got the wrong month, for which you'd still be wrong :)
Click to expand...

No no, I'm saying that I think TitanFall will gain some steam from positive word of mouth a month after release.

But who am I kidding? PS4 will probably win again (unless you're Arthur Gies, in which case, PS4 has already lost and Kaz Harai is blowing dudes for pocket change on the Tokyo subway).
 
B

bebop242

Member
plop said:
No no, I'm saying that I think TitanFall will gain some steam from positive word of mouth a month after release.

But who am I kidding? PS4 will probably win again (unless you're Arthur Gies, in which case, PS4 has already lost and Kaz Harai is blowing dudes for pocket change on the Tokyo subway).
Click to expand...

Oh you were serious? I thought you were just begging for an avatar quote.
 
Mikey Jr.

Mikey Jr.

Member
plop said:
No no, I'm saying that I think TitanFall will gain some steam from positive word of mouth a month after release.

But who am I kidding? PS4 will probably win again (unless you're Arthur Gies, in which case, PS4 has already lost and Kaz Harai is blowing dudes for pocket change on the Tokyo subway).
Click to expand...

Dunno, I think TF might be really front loaded.

If anything, 360 might get a decent boost from the Xbox 360 release of TF.

Kinda feel like any boost the XB1 got from TF happened in March.
 
S

SwiftDeath

Member
Another prediction for April NPD.

MS will state "Titanfall" 5 times in their official PR response regardless of outcomes. Real reason 360 version was delayed #confirmed

Seriously mentioned 3 times in January's NPD results, 5 times in February's NPD results and 4 times in March's NPD results PR

I don't see much of anything else MS could talk about game-wise during April besides the 360 SKU being released. May should be interesting as I highly suspect Watch Doggies to sell better on PS4

Edit: Wait when does Kinect Sports Rivals come out?
 
T

theprodigy

Member
SwiftDeath said:
Another prediction for April NPD.

MS will state "Titanfall" 5 times in their official PR response regardless of outcomes. Real reason 360 version was delayed #confirmed

Seriously mentioned 3 times in January's NPD results, 5 times in February's NPD results and 4 times in March's NPD results PR

I don't see much of anything else MS could talk about game-wise during April besides the 360 SKU being released. May should be interesting as I highly suspect Watch Doggies to sell better on PS4
Click to expand...

what's in May, Watch Dogs, Mario Kart 8, is that MLB game out that month?
 
Chobel

Chobel

Member
SwiftDeath said:
Another prediction for April NPD.

MS will state "Titanfall" 5 times in their official PR response regardless of outcomes. Real reason 360 version was delayed #confirmed

Seriously mentioned 3 times in January's NPD results, 5 times in February's NPD results and 4 times in March's NPD results PR
Click to expand...

Heck I think they will even mention it in their E3, upcoming DLC + some statistics (Sales, hours played...)

SwiftDeath said:
Edit: Wait when does Kinect Sports Rivals come out?
Click to expand...

You mean did, because it was released in April 8th (or maybe 11th).
 
S

SwiftDeath

Member
theprodigy said:
what's in May, Watch Dogs, Mario Kart 8, is that MLB game out that month?
Click to expand...

Well assuming this is accurate

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=805326&highlight=release

There is Wolfenstein and Watch Dogs for both PS4 and XB1

MLB, Bound by Flame, and Transistor for only the PS4 of next gen

Wii U looks to have Mario Kart 8, Abyss, Stick it to the Man, Chubbins, Velocity Stream, and Armillo if this is to be trusted http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Wii_U_software

Everything but Mario Kart 8 for Wii U is indie digital I think. Transistor is as well I believe

Chobel said:
Heck I think they will even mention it in their E3, upcoming DLC + some statistics (Sales, hours played...)
Click to expand...

lol yes I fear we will be hearing about TF for quite some time. I guess EA's earnings report should shed some light on it

Chobel said:
You mean did, because it was released in April 8th (or maybe 11th).
Click to expand...

Ah ok way out of the loop on that one
 
S

S¡mon

Banned
SwiftDeath said:
Another prediction for April NPD.

MS will state "Titanfall" 5 times in their official PR response regardless of outcomes. Real reason 360 version was delayed #confirmed

Seriously mentioned 3 times in January's NPD results, 5 times in February's NPD results and 4 times in March's NPD results PR

I don't see much of anything else MS could talk about game-wise during April besides the 360 SKU being released. May should be interesting as I highly suspect Watch Doggies to sell better on PS4

Edit: Wait when does Kinect Sports Rivals come out?
Click to expand...

They'll probably mention the new Call of Duty. ;)
 
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