Wkd Box Office 04•01-03•16 - BvS has 'worse legs than Barbara Gordon' -- Sibersk Esto

Status
Not open for further replies.
Independence Day is such an unknown quantity for me. Personally, I think it looks like garbage from what has been shown so far, but I thought the same thing regarding Jurassic World last year.

ID4 2 retains more of the original cast than Jurassic World did. The first film was the second biggest film of all time worldwide (and 6th biggest domestic) back in 1996. And that was before Will Smith was considered an A-lister.

If the film taps into the same nostalgia wave as Jurassic World and The Force Awakens, it could be huge.
 
I just realised I think I'm going to be quoted in a crow thread given I've been saying for months that BvS would outgross Civil War, but we're suddenly in a scenario where the opposite might be true.
 
Independence Day is such an unknown quantity for me. Personally, I think it looks like garbage from what has been shown so far, but I thought the same thing regarding Jurassic World last year.

ID4 2 retains more of the original cast than Jurassic World did. The first film was the second biggest film of all time worldwide (and 6th biggest domestic) back in 1996. And that was before Will Smith was considered an A-lister.

If the film taps into the same nostalgia wave as Jurassic World and The Force Awakens, it could be huge.
My gut feeling is ID4 2 is another Jurassic World. Going to be big.
 
Jungle Book already released on some countries. BvS will be dropping like a rock worldwide.

I think this week is mostly the Slavic countries South Asia, Australia, and India for the Jungle Book. BvS still goes mostly unchallenged in Europe and Latin America, where it is doing most of its business.
 
I just realised I think I'm going to be quoted in a crow thread given I've been saying for months that BvS would outgross Civil War, but we're suddenly in a scenario where the opposite might be true.

Civil War will absolutely out-gross BvS. It's got RDJ and Spider-Man in it, it's gonna make Iron Man 3 money at least.
 
I'll be willing to eat crow if I'm wrong but I think ID4 2 will be huge. Maybe not as big as Jurassic World but still $1b+.

The biggest question about Independence Day is whether it will do big business internationally. Pretty sure it does gangbusters domestically, but I don't know if the concept resonates with international audiences (something Jurassic World didn't have to worry about).
 
The biggest question about Independence Day is whether it will do big business internationally. Pretty sure it does gangbusters domestically, but I don't know if the concept resonates with international audiences (something Jurassic World didn't have to worry about).

Independence Day made over $500M overseas 20 years ago.
 
Its either gonna be this year's John Carter or this year's Jurassic World.

There is no in-between for that film.

Could be another Mad Max. Or Pacific Rim. No bomb, but not a huge success story either.

Completely depends on the quality of the movie. If it's good, wom can carry it. There is a market for good fantasy movies and The Hobbit didn't really cater to those sufficiently.
 
Call me crazy, but I actually think Civil War has a chance of being Marvel's highest-grossing film to date.

Just a chance, mind you. IM3 numbers are more likely.
 
I dunno, by the same token we can say that TF4 exploded in China because a good chunk of the movie was shot there and they had a famous Chinese actress in a large supporting role. Will TF5 have that?

I guess I rescind my statement since you seem to feel rather strongly about my speculation?
 
Call me crazy, but I actually think Civil War has a chance of being Marvel's highest-grossing film to date.

Just a chance, mind you. IM3 numbers are more likely.

This is lowkey kinda like an Avengers movie - but with Spider-Man, so yeah: I expect this to drop big ass numbers
 
Call me crazy, but I actually think Civil War has a chance of being Marvel's highest-grossing film to date.

Just a chance, mind you. IM3 numbers are more likely.
I think it can be second to the original Avengers. You just can't top that novelty again even if they suddenly got the Fox properties back.
 
This is lowkey kinda like an Avengers movie - but with Spider-Man, so yeah: I expect this to drop big ass numbers

Maybe it's just me, but it's definitely feeling lowkey. I feel like I haven't seen a ton of commercials for it quite yet, which surprises me.
 
Maybe it's just me, but it's definitely feeling lowkey. I feel like I haven't seen a ton of commercials for it quite yet, which surprises me.

BvS had the spotlight till now

Now it's Civil War's turn, this is when the mass audience is gonna find out that the new Captain America movie has all these Avengers in it plus Spider-Man


Jimmy Kimmel has like all Marvel guests on all next week practically.

You're gonna see Team Cap and Team Iron Man doing all the press rounds on morning shows and late night etc.
 
As someone who still hasn't watched all movies in the MCU, what do you mean? The way they use the current characters they can use or they don't use the characters they could be using?

The latter. The number of films and shows they can produce is finite. Combine that with the focus on the most popular characters first and some great characters just don't get a shot.
 
BvS had the spotlight till now

Now it's Civil War's turn, this is when the mass audience is gonna find out that the new Captain America movie has all these Avengers in it plus Spider-Man


Jimmy Kimmel has like all Marvel guests on all next week practically.

You're gonna see Team Cap and Team Iron Man doing all the press rounds on morning shows and late night etc.

All those "Tell me, do you bleed? You will." BvS ads about to be replaced with a shit ton of "Hey everyone" Spidey+Cap+Iron Man ads.

We are less than a month away! It's going to get crazy real soon.
 
Warcraft looks like it has bust written all over it

Nah, it won't bust. I'm not seeing it making a billion just yet, but it'll make a fair amount of money.

Someone compared it to Pacific Rim earlier? I think that's a decent analogy (although I bet it does better than that film)
 
Nah, it won't bust. I'm not seeing it making a billion just yet, but it'll make a fair amount of money.

Someone compared it to Pacific Rim earlier? I think that's a decent analogy (although I bet it does better than that film)
It will do pretty decent overseas, no one gives a shit about Warcraft in America though anymore. This would be like releasing a Everquest movie 5-6 years ago.
 
Yeah, the Warcraft bubble seems to have burst awhile ago, so it'll have to float on general spectacle and word of mouth here in the US. So hopefully Jones cooked up an engaging fantasy flick, so far as that goes.
 
I feel like the marketing focuses way too much on the orcs. The marketing has felt like its 50/50 humans/orcs but it should really be like 75/25. The orc stuff might be really cool but it's hard to market and I think it'll look super weird to anyone unfamiliar with the IP.
 
I feel like the marketing focuses way too much on the orcs. The marketing has felt like its 50/50 humans/orcs but it should really be like 75/25. The orc stuff might be really cool but it's hard to market and I think it'll look super weird to anyone unfamiliar with the IP.

I wish there was more marketing for the film...
Not a single good trailer doesn't promise much, or maybe they are just trying to keep everything under wraps.
The "bad" orcs winning
 
Plus people are so touchy/antsy when it comes to "I SPOTTED CG THEREFORE IT IS SHITTY" that laying it on that thick might be putting people at arms length already.

"I CAN TELL THATS NOT REAL HAR HAR" is a stupid reaction, but it's hard to say it's not a common one.
 
Warcraft is going to suffer because of the long production time, but I think it'll find a cult audience on home media.

Actually, if I could, I'd stick a fiver on there being an Amazon/Hulu Warcraft video series in a few years.
 
I wish there was more marketing for the film...
Not a single good trailer doesn't promise much, or maybe they are just trying to keep everything under wraps.
The "bad" orcs winning

Probably. They just released a ton of new posters but Medivh doesn't have one. They are definitely keeping the story/twists under wraps... unfortunately, that's also the most interesting part of the story.
 
Nah, it won't bust. I'm not seeing it making a billion just yet, but it'll make a fair amount of money.

Someone compared it to Pacific Rim earlier? I think that's a decent analogy (although I bet it does better than that film)

It's the only summer movie I'm shorting on HSX this year. It just looks like it has zero appeal, and I'm the genius who called the GotG appeal from the very first announcement.
 
The latter. The number of films and shows they can produce is finite. Combine that with the focus on the most popular characters first and some great characters just don't get a shot.

I don't know, I mean you probably know a lot more characters they own that would be awesome, but to me they brought GoTG, antman, winter soldier and are bringing black panther, inhumans, captain marvel and dr strange to prominence. I can honestly say I had never heard of any of the above two years ago. I don't know about Marvel handling DC characters either, but I can't shit on Marvel for the way they handled their properties after the Disney acquisition with organic growth on the movies (from 1 movie to 3 movies/year) and tv front (from 0 to various different shows), including reviving Daredevil, Punisher, and Elektra, and that was no easy feat.
 
I hope Jungle Book flops. It looks like pure garbage. Ughh. Worse than Tarzan even.

Give Andy Serkins the benefit of the doubt; he was involved in Planet of the Apes.

I think he could do great.

Edit: Origins or the Disney one?
 
$2.9M Wed for BvS is more or less what was expected.


So, Zootopia will pass Age of Ultron this weekend to become Disney's biggest film in China using local currency. The RMB is down a bit from a year ago, so I am not sure if Zootopia will edge out AoU's USD total, but it will be close. Civil War could end up beating both in a few weeks though.

Zootopia also became the second biggest film ever in Russia using admissions (Avatar is still way ahead of everything). Russia's exchange rate is down the tubes though, so it's not even close in USD.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom