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Monitoring the situation in Iran

Where did you get this info from?

Russia's been deploying Shahed's in Ukraine since 2025 at least, they refer to it as the Geran-2. Its been mentioned in numerous reports from that conflict.

You're overestimating the pressure.

Its definitely slackened since Trump relaxed the sanctions, but the improvement in Russian fortunes is only versus when they were in place. Also with allies like Venezuela and Cuba being isolated, increasing outlier regions of the Soviet states being increasing culturally Chinese, Putin's not in the position of absolute control he once was.
 
The flood of millions of Muslims in Europe has normalised supporting terrorism.

Muslims in the middle east are against terrorism and Iran. Yet western Muslims publically support and make excuses for terrorism. All they care about is that Iran is against Israel because they are obsessed with getting Jews out of the holy land and Palestine.

We are now at a point where the Muslims in the west and their white left wing looney allies who have to support brown people no matter what. Constantly have selective empathy (they ignore all other wars and genocides) and are now in a position to dictate votes. Causing main stream parties to appease them.

Europe is fully cooked. 2050 Muslims will be 15% 2070 30%.
Hamas: "This is just too much indiscriminate terrorism, guys, rein it in"



Europeans: "Yes! Retaliate on everyone! Random civilians are legitimate military targets! That will teach the Great Satan across the ocean!"
 
Does anyone actually think that if Iran acquired nukes that they would ever actually use them? Of course more of these in the world is a bad thing but using them is just asking to be wiped off the planet.

Yes. The Islamist government of Iran is absolutely psychotic. They would eventually use one on Israel, the US, or any one of the multiple Arabic nations that don't like them.
 
Does anyone actually think that if Iran acquired nukes that they would ever actually use them? Of course more of these in the world is a bad thing but using them is just asking to be wiped off the planet.

Dude they are the hardcore Shia muslims with their own version of hadiths saying to kill sunnis is a divine command. No one on the rational muslim countries wants them to have nukes much less the west.
 
Dude they are the hardcore Shia muslims with their own version of hadiths saying to kill sunnis is a divine command. No one on the rational muslim countries wants them to have nukes much less the west.
I don't know man, they seem like reasonable people. Im sure if we just ask them nicely to not nuke us, they'll leave us alone /s
 
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A lot of people don't realize this but europeans news is 24/7 shitting on usa and trump.
Even hard line right wingers have issues publicly supporting anything this administration does, it's that unpopular because of extreme conditioning. It's NK style of press masquerading as democratic and plural.
Extreme conditioning NK style of press? Don't be absurd.
 
Hamas: "This is just too much indiscriminate terrorism, guys, rein it in"



Europeans: "Yes! Retaliate on everyone! Random civilians are legitimate military targets! That will teach the Great Satan across the ocean!"

Also Euorpeans: "And put the people who disagree with that in jail for discrimination!"
 
Why didn't they surrender to the Western Allies then? Russia has never had air superiority without which any war becomes a protracted one. But even that does not rule out the possibility of a guerrilla war if there is an occupation (Iraq, Afghanistan). It all depends entirely on motivation, which is demonstrated not by shouting "Allahu Akbar", but by concrete actions. It remains to be seen whether Khamenei's supporters will be willing to die for their leader (if there is a ground operation and an occupation).

But they did? Germans were surrendering in masses on western front. Some of them were fighting Russians and waiting until Americans arrive to surrender to them.

They were afraid of Russians, and for a good reason. What they did in Ukraine and Russia to civilians and soldiers was 100x worse than anything they have done in France (France in general avoided the worst of this war, looks like the white flag worked!). So Russians were taking revenge... And I don't blame them.

I'm talking about Wermacht and SS here, ignoring jew/gay/gypsy/slavic (.etc) extermination in camps.

When it comes to Iran, I believe there are enough die hard regime cocksuckers and religious fundamentalists that this war can't be fully won without ground invasion...
 
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Also Euorpeans: "And put the people who disagree with that in jail for discrimination!"
Pretty much,

ePiXYkFJNWNyUF8F.png
 
Already posted?


5 tankers damaged in SA after a missiles attack.

Reuters reported too but referred to WSJ, without conformation.

Considering that it's already under repair (probably on site), It's probably not severe damage, but it's something to keep an eye out.

Nobody kicks ass workout tanker gas.
May be related to earlier successful Iranian strikes on THAAD radar systems (presumably assisted by Russian intelligence/targeting info).


 
Russia's been deploying Shahed's in Ukraine since 2025 at least, they refer to it as the Geran-2. Its been mentioned in numerous reports from that conflict.
I asked about your source because your information is several years out of date. Geran-2 was in use by 2022 and localized by 2023.

but the improvement in Russian fortunes is only versus when they were in place
Yes, but that was clearly enough. On the other hand, the sanctions have been lifted for only a month and if this all ends quickly (which is unlikely), it won't have much of an impact.

lso with allies like Venezuela and Cuba being isolated, increasing outlier regions of the Soviet states being increasing culturally Chinese, Putin's not in the position of absolute control he once was.
If you're talking about world politics, he never really had any control to begin with. It must have been a real blow to lose Venezuela and Cuba, but he's still got Europe by the balls (Orbán & FicO).

But they did? Germans were surrendering in masses on western front.
It's still not a capitulation. The war ended with the capture of Berlin. And even after that it took another dozen years to undo the brainwashing.

When it comes to Iran, I believe there are enough die hard regime cocksuckers and religious fundamentalists that this war can't be fully won without ground invasion...
Yes, but the real question is how many of them there are. And how many adequate Iranians are willing to stand up to them in the fight for a secular state. But looking at the Iranian leadership, I don't get the impression that there will be any serious resistance on the ground in the event of a ground operation. There's just too much loud, empty rhetoric.
 
Pretty much,

ePiXYkFJNWNyUF8F.png
At least they did not make Al Soaimi president.

There is also quite a lot missing here, like the other defendants in Soaimi's trial who were sentenced to 18 and 13 years in jail and how Melia was released after only 10 months. Soaimi's sentence should have been more but he was also 15 years old at the time of the crimes.
 
I asked about your source because your information is several years out of date. Geran-2 was in use by 2022 and localized by 2023.

I don't much care for Wikipedia even as a secondary source, but the page on the HESA Shahed has numerous citations relating to its deployment by Russian forces.

The bottom line is basically that although Russia locally produces variant drones, the widespread usage of basically a Iranian design in a major operation is significant.
 
At least they did not make Al Soaimi president.

There is also quite a lot missing here, like the other defendants in Soaimi's trial who were sentenced to 18 and 13 years in jail and how Melia was released after only 10 months. Soaimi's sentence should have been more but he was also 15 years old at the time of the crimes.
They should all have been deported immediately but unfortunately the EU regulations literally make it impossible because LOL EU

inb4 "but UK isn't in the EU anymore" well yes but they adopted the exact same rules before leaving and never changed them and never will
 
At least they did not make Al Soaimi president.

There is also quite a lot missing here, like the other defendants in Soaimi's trial who were sentenced to 18 and 13 years in jail and how Melia was released after only 10 months. Soaimi's sentence should have been more but he was also 15 years old at the time of the crimes.

But the BBC did pick some of the rapists to glaze over in a story about the plight of the Syrian refugee. How unfortunate that they just happened to pick a bunch of rapists out of all the choices.


BBC analysis at the time said that "in Syrian culture, this type of accusation is so damaging to their reputation, that even though Omar Badreddin has been cleared, they fear the stigma of it will stick."

BBC also implied that that his underage accuser was motivated by xenophobia. In the piece Badreddin said that, "I felt she didn't want foreigners in this country and that is why she made up the whole story."

So bad in his culture that even after being cleared, went on to do it anyway.
 
Sadly in the last few months we've lost a lot of the prominent gaming side posters in political threads.

I agree with @Gonzito that a thread ban would have been preferable over a blanket site ban.
This thread makes me sad. I refuse to engage with it because politics aren't what I'm here for, but apparently a lot of people can't. Some people who I think are otherwise really good posters getting banned here :cry:

So +1 to suggestion for thread ban instead of site ban.
 
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But the BBC did pick some of the rapists to glaze over in a story about the plight of the Syrian refugee. How unfortunate that they just happened to pick a bunch of rapists out of all the choices.




So bad in his culture that even after being cleared, went on to do it anyway.


People think I'm hyperbolizing about european media, I am really not. They are actively undermining our countries and hiding information from the public. And the next step is the internet, we're already seeing a level of unprecedented censoring that not even twitter can escape, shit as innocuous as this:

 

Anti-government protesters attacked a Communist Party office in northern Cuba early on Saturday (March 14), a state-run newspaper reported, in a rare outburst of public dissent triggered by worsening blackouts that have been exacerbated by a U.S. oil blockade. Videos on social media showed a large fire and people throwing rocks through the windows of a building as voices shouted "liberty" in the background.

Revolting Founding Father GIF
 
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The bottom line is basically that although Russia locally produces variant drones, the widespread usage of basically a Iranian design in a major operation is significant.
That goes without saying, but I was commenting on the claim that Iran is a key supplier to Russia. It's not, and Iran is not taking part in the drone race.
 
I still dont get this narrative that it was just trump being a silly boy.

The IRGC have been an active enemy of the US for 40 odd years, they were actively breaking treaties for years and years trying to get nuclear enriched materials to create a nuclear bomb.

They've funded proxy wars, funded terrorist organizations, were a part of the 9/11 attacks...

Whether Donald trump or Wingo the flim flam was in charge of the US, this was always going to happen

Iran have never, nor will they ever come to the negotiating table, and as they themselves chant, openly. They wish death to the west and especially America.

There was never a scenario in alternate history where this war doesnt take place.

These enemies go back long before Donald Trump was ever even thinking of taking a leap into politics.
The timing, coming right after Maduro, feels like he got a little arrogant and ahead of himself.

Like I said, it sucks, but the best it seems one can hope for is relative stability in the middle east, very far from perfection, it sucks to have Iran run their mouths for decades, but as usually seems to be the case, all efforts to "fix" things in the middle east make it go out of the frying pan and into the fire, how much of the decades of "we want a nuke" or "death to america" talk was kabuki theater to slowly keep the status quo going and seem just dangerous enough for anyone not to go a little too far to full blown war, which is now out the window.

If this was inevitable, that doesn't change the fact it may severely screw up our world.
 

"And I can say that the Strait is not closed, but it is only closed to American, Israeli, you know, ships and tankers, and not to others."

Kharg ultimatum did the trick potentially.
There is talk of some shipping getting through while spamming messages about how they are Chinese. But what is going on there still seems very chaotic and nobody could reasonably expect Iran to enforce any consistent policy other than not attacking anything (and that seems unlikely due to their decentralized command designed to survive decapitation strikes). So it still really comes down to how much the crews value their lives and if they can get insurance.
 
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