James Sawyer Ford
Member
i can see a situation next year at this time where the best-selling console is also around 150k. that might even be the 360 again if it gets a price drop. if the systems are $500, it'll be more like how the ps3 took off.
that's not to say they won't eventually say a lot, just that it'll be growing slowly.
That could happen but it wouldn't be a disaster in my view.
Right now the only sales are coming from the PS3 and 360 for the most part. Even if PS3 and 360 continue to sell roughly the same or slightly lower next year (thanks to price cuts), and PS4/720 sell roughly the same or slightly above their predecessors, that would represent total industry growth. And hopefully Nintendo gets its act together and does better as well.
My point is that the industry is not doomed, I think there's a lot of pent up demand for truly new gen consoles even at $500. And if there's not massive demand, it will gradually get better as the price comes down (as you said).
If the new consoles were doing those kinds of numbers, people will call them dead on arrival.
PS3 did MUCH worse at one point, selling only like 65K at its lowest NPD (I believe)....and it turned it around.