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Canadian General Election (OT) - #elxn42: October 19, 2015

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Jesus Nova Scotia has a smaller population than just the Greater Vancouver area but has 4 more Senators than BC.

That's pathetic.

That's cause at confederation NS had a relatively large share of Canada's population. Given how confederation and the last 150 years of being in Canada has totally fucked over NS, I don't think it's the worst thing that they get a bit more representation in our national useless legislature.
 
T-t-t-triple post.


Did they ever stop airing ads about Justin?

I don't think so, but even then; unless they already had a new ad ready, whats the chances they could get one made and put on the air with enough time left over to actually disseminate and have any effect?

Usually these ads are made weeks ahead of time and an ad that runs for a day or two wont be all too effective, especially since the parties are starting to switch up their current ads to hit the "Get out and Vote so we can win" message
 
151003_0n8ji_callingbull-tshirt-traverse_sn635.jpg


La photo a été prise le vendredi 2 octobre, lors d'un événement public au Manitoba lors duquel la récente gagnante d'origine autochtone du concours de Madame Univers voulait inciter les jeunes à aller voter.

Mme Callingbull a déjà appelé à plusieurs reprises les Canadiens en général et les Autochtones en particulier à voter contre Stephen Harper, ces dernières semaines. « Croyez-vous vraiment que j'étais pour rester là et faire la belle? Certainement pas », avait-elle écrit sur les réseaux sociaux.

Madame Univers n'a pas perdu du temps. Elle a notamment critiqué les actions du gouvernement conservateur concernant le dossier des femmes autochtones disparues et assassinées.

source: Radio-Canada

Translation: Ashley Callingbull does not much care for Harper.
 

GSG Flash

Nobody ruins my family vacation but me...and maybe the boy!
she is both Miss Canada and Miss Universe for people who don't know.

And I agree with her

Mrs* not Miss

I think "fuck Harper" is a bit crude of a slogan that doesn't resonate with certain demographics (families). I prefer "Stop Harper" myself.

I do hope she gets more First Nations people to vote.
 
When I was 17 I walked into a Conservative rally in Sarnia (when Stockwell Day was running) with a shirt that said "Guns don't kill people / Pro Lifers with Guns Kill People"

I stood there for a bit while nobody noticed me, felt silly and left. I'd like to think that day would have gone very differently indeed had I been Mrs. Universe.
 

maharg

idspispopd
While Gutter would be write, it would be for the wrong reasons. He was expecting a surge for the Liberals rather than a drop in the NDP based on xenophobic Quebeckers.

Yep. The annoying thing to all this to me, though, is the fact that people seem to think this is a good shift for a 'strategic' push to remove Haprer when it's really anything but if the liberal rise is largely confined to Ontario. The Quebec collapse of the NDP is the *worst possible thing* to happen to the chances of Harper not taking control of the next legislature. It means the re-rise of the Bloc on vote splits and that could easily mean Lib+NDP don't have enough to credibly oust Harper as PM. Especially since in Ontario the Liberals face a much stronger fight against the CPC and the Liberals probably won't pick up all that much out west.

Also we could conceivably end up in a situation where the Liberals place second in popular vote and still wind up third in seats. Can't wait to see what gutter (and JT) thinks of PR if that happens.
 

ModBot

Not a mod, just a bot.
We deleted several posts in this thread related to the user Iph. Over the last few months, Iph has derailed a number of threads, mostly related to Canadian politics, with allegations of sexual assault and child sex slavery in the Canadian government, military, medical establishment, and private entities. Typically the posts consist of random personal photos she has taken, including photos of herself, call-outs of Bill C-51, claims she is leaving the country, pictures of identification cards, and pictures of knives. Sometimes she links to her Facebook. She has posted her entire name and address as part of this process. She has also linked to her Facebook account, where she has posted on a variety of media outlets similar types of allegations. Dozens of users and several moderators have let her know that the things she's saying don't make sense, to seek help, and that she can't post potentially defamatory things here, especially not in the form of cryptic riddles. She's been told that if she wants to share her story, she should be literal, direct, and clear about the thing she's saying.

We do not normally comment about removing posts, but because of the nature of the content it seemed worth it to clarify why we acted to remove the posts: 1) because of legal liability surrounding those sorts of allegations; 2) in keeping with our rules against posting personal information, to protect those whose information were posted; 3) to prevent derailing threads, many of which are only tangentially related to the claims in her story.
 

Morrigan Stark

Arrogant Smirk
I'm hoping Canadians aren't that stupid.
Actually most aren't, but there has to be strategic voting.
I'm having an argument about strategic voting on another forum. Guy said it "feels like selling out". I can see the point of view, but feelings don't see as important as urgent issues and it seems to me that it's far more important to get rid of the CPC in power right now than considering one's feelings. Meh.
 

Fuzzy

I would bang a hot farmer!
I'm having an argument about strategic voting on another forum. Guy said it "feels like selling out". I can see the point of view, but feelings don't see as important as urgent issues and it seems to me that it's far more important to get rid of the CPC in power right now than considering one's feelings. Meh.
You just have to think of it as pretending to vote in another riding while someone in that riding pretends to vote in yours. :p
 

MutFox

Banned
I'm having an argument about strategic voting on another forum. Guy said it "feels like selling out". I can see the point of view, but feelings don't see as important as urgent issues and it seems to me that it's far more important to get rid of the CPC in power right now than considering one's feelings. Meh.

Vote with your brain, not your heart.
It's just to get Harper out, that's what the majority wants.
 
Because elections are costly and the long campaigning is tedious?

So at what cost does democracy become more acceptable? If we cut their costs by 30% are they cheap enough to impose on people one or two extra times? 50%?

Is it likely that the CPC starts hammering attack ads aimed squarely at Justin and the Liberals again. They mostly have attack ads that include both the NDP and the Liberals now.

1) Just in case you didn't know, you can respond to multiple people in a single post by clicking on that little + sign next to "Quote".

2) The problem with suddenly refocusing on the Liberals is that "Just Not Ready" is proving to be less effective than the Conservatives had hoped. It worked when Trudeau wasn't on TV regularly to rebut the charges, but much less so as people have seen him and grown more comfortable with him. They could try and come up with an entirely new line of attack, but with a little over two weeks to go that would be difficult. Their whole campaign is built around "Proven Leadership" vs "Just Not Ready", so shifting the attack ads to reflect a new message would be no small thing.

Wells has an interesting article about the Trudeau vs Harper dynamic (pretty much ignoring Mulcair, which probably tells you where coverage is going to go for the next two weeks):

(O)ne of the biggest surprises of this autumn is that Trudeau has managed a modest comeback. The poll aggregator ThreeHundredandEight.com found the Liberals and Conservatives tied in public support in the campaign’s eighth week, with the NDP mired in third. The three parties are still so close in support that none can pop champagne corks yet. But Trudeau’s resurgence has been fuelled, at least in part, by his energetic performance in the proliferation of televised debates his Conservative and NDP foes conspired to foist on him, in a bid to trip up this youngest and least experienced of the national party leaders. The electoral gods do not always look kindly on smug assumptions. Mulcair, in particular, silver-tongued and once supremely confident, will be glad when the debates are finally behind him.

(Note: that's one of six mentions Mulcair gets in the article. Three of the others are aligning him with Harper, one mentions that Trudeau and Mulcair have the same position on C-24, and the last one says any of the three could still be PM.)

In 2004, I wrote in this magazine that members of the newly united Conservative Party of Canada should choose Stephen Harper as their leader because, among his other qualities, he was unapologetic, and the new party would need more than a little cheek as it faced its challenges. Harper has made it as far as he has since then because he has met his share of opponents who are easily abashed, who step back from a confrontation, whereas Harper does not step back. I imagine Ignatieff was his favourite. Three or four times, the former Liberal leader made as if to bring an end to the Parliament in which he was Opposition leader, the better to bring the wrath of the voters down upon Harper’s head. Each time, Harper growled at him and Ignatieff postponed the reckoning. By the end of it, he was unconsciously reciting Conservative attack ads against him and saying things like, “Do I look like I’ve been steamrolled?” in public, when that was precisely how he looked.

This summer and fall, Harper has been beset by unapologetic people. Rachel Notley, the new premier of the province he represents in Parliament, is one of them; Kathleen Wynne, the premier of the province where he has spent most of this campaign, is another. He calls their management disastrous and they fire back. But the most disturbing, surely, is Trudeau, because Harper has been whacking away at him for two years, with millions of dollars of advertising money, yet Trudeau is still there. Worse: He keeps doing the very things Harper finds outrageous about him.

The year (Trudeau) spent in the polling doldrums succeeded only in acclimating Liberals to the possibility he might not win. Which means he will probably be granted more than one chance to try. Assuming, of course, he needs more than one. Harper’s last campaign has been dedicated to keeping Trudeau down; at that, at least, Harper has already failed.
 

anaron

Member
As a Burnaby resident, will it be safe for me to vote NDP or should I be voting liberal in my riding?

I'm definitely far more for NDP but I want to make sure it goes towards whoever has the better chance of getting Harper out.
 
As a Burnaby resident, will it be safe for me to vote NDP or should I be voting liberal in my riding?

I'm definitely far more for NDP but I want to make sure it goes towards whoever has the better chance of getting Harper out.

Depends on which riding in Burnaby you're in. All three of them lean NDP, and two have NDP incumbents. To the extent it can be trusted, 308 has all three going NDP.
 

Tiktaalik

Member
As a Burnaby resident, will it be safe for me to vote NDP or should I be voting liberal in my riding?

I'm definitely far more for NDP but I want to make sure it goes towards whoever has the better chance of getting Harper out.

Burnaby has been solidly NDP since the 90s and you should definitely vote NDP here. In these ridings the Conservatives are second place and the Liberals third. The Liberal Party has traditionally been a minor player in this area of Vancouver, getting single digits of support.

You can look at the history of these ridings, with votes redistributed to reflect the new ridings on the elections Canada webpage. http://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?section=res&dir=cir/trans2013&document=p48&lang=e#tab6bc

Burnaby North has been solidly NDP since the 90s, however in this election the riding has changed and it has been tacked onto the far east part of North Van, which is a Conservative area. If one redistributed the 2011 votes of North Van and North Burnaby into this new riding, the Conservatives would have won. This means that this riding is very much in play and if you live in this riding it's particularly important that you get out and vote. It could very easily go Conservative if the more left leaning Burnaby side of the riding doesn't show up.
 

Morrigan Stark

Arrogant Smirk
I didn't watch the French debate because my French listening skills aren't that good, but this news story caught my attention:

Justin Trudeau calls Gilles Duceppe 'my love' in French debate, tongue slip goes viral
On the other hand, the Bloc Québécois leader mistakes banker Mark Carney for dead actor Art Carney
9AxZwsk.jpg
Hahaha that choice of pics is just too perfect. xD

(Sorry, watched the thing in French so I have no idea about an English transcript.)

I'll ship it.
lol

What Duceppe thinks of that:
9AxZwsk.jpg
 
Hahaha that choice of pics is just too perfect. xD

(Sorry, watched the thing in French so I have no idea about an English transcript.)
lol

What Duceppe thinks of that:
9AxZwsk.jpg

[dead]

...the only question now is who's the sub, who's the dom, and where does Mulcair fit into all of this
 

Windam

Scaley member
I don't know how true this is since I saw it in the comment section of the above CBC article, but Jesus Christ. Our government needs to have looked into helping our First Nations peoples a long fucking time ago.

MacLean's is reporting that since the election writ has been dropped 60 days ago, amoung Aboriginal Canadians, 1425 have dropped out of school, 45 infants have died before their first birthday, 1074 children were sexually assulted, 6265 women have been sexually assaulted, 33,534 were violently victimized and 11 commited suicide.

Edit: Yup, Maclean's reported it on September 30th. Jesus Christ. What a fucking shame.
 

Zekes!

Member
A significant part of my classes for my degree (Child and Youth Care) have dealt with the issues faced by Indigenous communities. Shit is infuriating and it's a tragedy so many of us are ignorant to their history and what they continue to suffer through.
 

SRG01

Member
Moreover, it hardly gets any coverage on the media, so most of us are completely in the dark. Good grief.

I think it's also a collective blind eye from a large portion of the Canadian population. I've met a lot of people that, while being pleasant most of the time, have disgusting and vile opinions about aboriginal people.
 

anaron

Member
thanks for the info, folks!

I was aware we've been pretty strongly NDP for a long while, (and I have always voted that way) but I wanted to make absolute sure that for whatever reason, it wouldn't be a potentially dangerous decision for this election if it meant somehow ensuring Harper getting the boot.

thankfully, it looks like my party and vote will still be the safe decision. :p
 

mo60

Member
The Star has put together their election aggregator, and it shows predictions on a riding-by-riding basis. Say, how's that whole "Trudeau might lose his own riding" thing looking?



So...much less likely.

Outremont, though, that looks like a close race. Say, who's the MP for Outremont?

Take the results from outremont with a grain of salt in this poll. 308 puts Mulcair 15 percent ahead of the Liberal candidate if I recall. I don't know if any riding polls have been done on that riding, but I just don't think it's realistic that mulcair is one point ahead of the liberal candidate.Quebec has to collapse very severely for the NDP for mulcair to be in danger and that looks very unlikely now.
 

Walpurgis

Banned
I don't know how true this is since I saw it in the comment section of the above CBC article, but Jesus Christ. Our government needs to have looked into helping our First Nations peoples a long fucking time ago.



Edit: Yup, Maclean's reported it on September 30th. Jesus Christ. What a fucking shame.
Good god. Those numbers are ridiculous. This should be a major election issue.
I think it's also a collective blind eye from a large portion of the Canadian population. I've met a lot of people that, while being pleasant most of the time, have disgusting and vile opinions about aboriginal people.
Winnipeg is especially horrible. My dad thinks that all Aboriginal people are criminals or drug abusers.
The Star has put together their election aggregator, and it shows predictions on a riding-by-riding basis. Say, how's that whole "Trudeau might lose his own riding" thing looking?



So...much less likely.

Outremont, though, that looks like a close race. Say, who's the MP for Outremont?
You're feeling giddy, aren't you? :p
 

Annubis

Member
Winnipeg is especially horrible. My dad thinks that all Aboriginal people are criminals or drug abusers.

To be fair, aboriginals (not all, but the isolated ones mostly) have a lot of substance abuse issues.
My cousin went as a social worker in the top North of Quebec and she saw some horrible shit there.

(ex: people beating/hurting their kid and then getting high on the prescription given for the kid)
 

UberTag

Member
Loving that we have so many riding-specific aggregators in play now.

My riding is clear cut but there are obvious battlegrounds that are plain as day where mobilizing voter turnout... and in the proper direction... is so critical as we enter into these final two weeks of the campaign.
 
The Star has put together their election aggregator, and it shows predictions on a riding-by-riding basis. Say, how's that whole "Trudeau might lose his own riding" thing looking?



So...much less likely.

Outremont, though, that looks like a close race. Say, who's the MP for Outremont?

Mulcair himself is the MP of Outremont

I am more concerned for my riding of Laurier-Ste-Marie. I don't want Duceppe back as my MP

*edit, LOL I didn't notice the blue link
 

Mailbox

Member
The prairies are gonna be the end of us aren't they?


I'm pretty ignorant on this matter, but why are they so overwhelmingly conservative?
 

Sean C

Member
Take the results from outremont with a grain of salt in this poll. 308 puts Mulcair 15 percent ahead of the Liberal candidate if I recall. I don't know if any riding polls have been done on that riding, but I just don't think it's realistic that mulcair is one point ahead of the liberal candidate.Quebec has to collapse very severely for the NDP for mulcair to be in danger and that looks very unlikely now.
Yeah, I can't see Mulcair losing his own riding, no matter if his campaign has faltered. He's won it with the NDP at lower levels of support than they're polling now, and party leaders rarely lose (the voters tend to get that it's good to have such a high-profile MP).
 

UberTag

Member
The prairies are gonna be the end of us aren't they?

I'm pretty ignorant on this matter, but why are they so overwhelmingly conservative?
Farmers. They're pretty ignorant on this matter, too. But there's one thing that they love and it's the status quo. They also love to vote to keep the status quo.
 

lupinko

Member
Yeah, I can't see Mulcair losing his own riding, no matter if his campaign has faltered. He's won it with the NDP at lower levels of support than they're polling now, and party leaders rarely lose (the voters tend to get that it's good to have such a high-profile MP).

Ignatieff lost his seat last time.
 
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