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Canadian General Election (OT) - #elxn42: October 19, 2015

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I like this Prime Minister Already:

http://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/elec...s-face-if-he-becomes-prime-minister-1.2607205

TORONTO -- Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau says he would tell off Russian President Vladimir Putin "directly to his face" if he becomes prime minister.

Trudeau accuses Putin of "being dangerous" in eastern Europe, "irresponsible and harmful" in the Middle East and "unduly provocative" in the Arctic.

"Canada needs to continue to stand strongly with the international community pushing back against the bully that is Vladimir Putin," he said during a campaign stop in Toronto.
Related Stories

"If I have the opportunity in the coming months to meet with Vladimir Putin, I will tell him all this directly to his face because we need to ensure that Canada continues to stand strongly for peace and justice in the world."
 

pr0cs

Member
Really though, what did Cretien or Martin do to Alberta? (not the West cuz seriously).
Chretien was involved with the NEP and had a lot of 'friction' with the provincial politicians that at that time were quite popular.
Martin.. Nothing that I can think of, he was pretty much forgettable.
 

lacinius

Member
I didn't look very hard but I couldn't find any data suggesting Alberta was ever accepting payments beyond what they put in.
I think most people in the Prairies are just tired of putting in more than their fair share but having their government being forced on them from the east.

Mention the NEP anywhere in the west and you're likely to get lynched.


When the first form of the equalisation payment program started in 1957, Alberta was on the receiving end from 1957 to 1965, nevermind all the help the province received prior to 1947 thanks to the "dust bowl" days and all that. The prairies don't put in more than their fair share, the payments are made from the federal taxes that everyone in Canada pays.

Part of the myth and general attitude toward the NEP was born out of 40 years of Alberta Conservative Government rule, as well as other political entities that latched onto it as a way to provide focus for whatever doctrine they want to spin or sell.
 

Holmes

Member
both Premiers of Ontario and Quebec see it a gigantic barganing chip.

both say "wanna reform the Senate? for losing such a huge amount of senators, we will ask for this, that, this, that, this that"
It's sad that my Liberal Premier in Ontario and the Liberal Premier in Quebec think of themselves first instead of the interests and demands of their own constituents.
 

Azih

Member
The premiers would flip if it became a campaign issue for them. Trudeau has no interest in pursuing the idea so the useless wing of the Hill is in no danger.
 
It could pretty much just be Ontario and a no-go, right?

It could be any province and be a no-go -- there's no abolishing the Senate unless all the provinces agree to it. At least the entire eastern half of the country is opposed (only Wall spoke in favour of it, in fact), so it's not going anywhere.

Which reminds me: one of the first things Trudeau will have to do is put his Senate reforms in place. None of his legislation passes through Parliament until it gets Senate approval, and there, what, two dozen seats to fill? He has to implement his non-partisan system right away, and it has to also yield enough like-minded people that he's able to get his legislation passed. It'll be interesting to see what he does, because he'll have to do it really soon.
 

maharg

idspispopd
He also technically doesn't have a government in the senate, and it's not clear how his idea for a non-partisan appointment process would even generate one.
 

Stet

Banned
Reform the senate, but don't abolish it. It's not completely useless, it's just based on an outdated system of peerage.
 
Reform the senate, but don't abolish it. It's not completely useless, it's just based on an outdated system of peerage.

Well it is kind of useless in that Parliament can also do everything it does, including oversight of bills. A possible solution would be to actually give it more power to obstruct Parliament, but then make the appointment process more like the Supreme Court: Let the PM choose, but from a small selection of candidates chosen by expert committees. For example, say that there needs to be a certain number from each region/province, and also certain fields of expertise (business, law, science, farming, industry, etc).
 

Stet

Banned
Well it is kind of useless in that Parliament can also do everything it does, including oversight of bills. A possible solution would be to actually give it more power to obstruct Parliament, but then make the appointment process more like the Supreme Court: Let the PM choose, but from a small selection of candidates chosen by expert committees. For example, say that there needs to be a certain number from each region/province, and also certain fields of expertise (business, law, science, farming, industry, etc).

It's a check and balance ON Parliament, so I don't see how Parliament can fill that role on its own. I don't mind the Supreme Court analogy for appointments though.
 
It's a check and balance ON Parliament, so I don't see how Parliament can fill that role on its own. I don't mind the Supreme Court analogy for appointments though.

Except it's not that any more. When has the Senate ever stopped a bill from passing? The most they can do is delay for a little bit. They shouldn't be able to stop bills, simply because they are unelected and unaccountable.
 

Holmes

Member
If Trudeau wants to fill those Senate vacancies and wants to seem bi(tri)partisan, why not appoint some New Democrats that are most likely to win their seats back in 2019 if they run again? Harris, Leslie, Stoffer, Nash, Cash...

Many, if not all, would decline though. Would be devious though.
 

Sean C

Member
When has the Senate ever stopped a bill from passing?
They rather famously blocked Mulroney's abortion law back in 1990 or so. The resulting legal void has endured ever since, because nobody wants to touch that issue with a ten-foot pole.

On the subject of the Senate, I'll be interested to see how the relationship between the Senate and the government works going forward. Trudeau is going to be the first PM not to appoint a Leader of the Government in the Senate, from the sound of it, meaning the senatorial Liberals are going to be expected to continue functioning as a quasi-independent group (who nevertheless, one expects, will be supporting the government's agenda).

Similarly, it will be interesting to see how many of Trudeau's new appointees joint the "Independent Liberal" caucus and how many sit as independents (crossbenchers, to use the British House of Lords term). It's funny, though, that due to Harper's intransigence on this file there are 22 seats nice and vacant for the new prime minister to fill. If the Tories had filled those seats they'd have had a supermajority in the chamber for the foreseeable future.
 
They rather famously blocked Mulroney's abortion law back in 1990 or so. The resulting legal void has endured ever since, because nobody wants to touch that issue with a ten-foot pole.

On the subject of the Senate, I'll be interested to see how the relationship between the Senate and the government works going forward. Trudeau is going to be the first PM not to appoint a Leader of the Government in the Senate, from the sound of it, meaning the senatorial Liberals are going to be expected to continue functioning as a quasi-independent group (who nevertheless, one expects, will be supporting the government's agenda).

Similarly, it will be interesting to see how many of Trudeau's new appointees joint the "Independent Liberal" caucus and how many sit as independents (crossbenchers, to use the British House of Lords term). It's funny, though, that due to Harper's intransigence on this file there are 22 seats nice and vacant for the new prime minister to fill. If the Tories had filled those seats they'd have had a supermajority in the chamber for the foreseeable future.

True (on them stopping it in 1990, as well as once earlier in the 40s), but in that case Mulroney chose not to reintroduce. If he had, he could have forced it through the second time.
 
They rather famously blocked Mulroney's abortion law back in 1990 or so. The resulting legal void has endured ever since, because nobody wants to touch that issue with a ten-foot pole.

On the subject of the Senate, I'll be interested to see how the relationship between the Senate and the government works going forward. Trudeau is going to be the first PM not to appoint a Leader of the Government in the Senate, from the sound of it, meaning the senatorial Liberals are going to be expected to continue functioning as a quasi-independent group (who nevertheless, one expects, will be supporting the government's agenda).

Similarly, it will be interesting to see how many of Trudeau's new appointees joint the "Independent Liberal" caucus and how many sit as independents (crossbenchers, to use the British House of Lords term). It's funny, though, that due to Harper's intransigence on this file there are 22 seats nice and vacant for the new prime minister to fill. If the Tories had filled those seats they'd have had a supermajority in the chamber for the foreseeable future.

I think that there is a strong possibility that the conservative senate will not pass marijuana legalization..
 

maharg

idspispopd
Can't Trudeau just appoint an equal number of Liberals senate members?

Honestly, I could see that being the absolute first thing he does after being sworn in. He was against attrition method of getting rid of the senate anyways

He's also against appointing partisans to the senate, so that'd be his first renege on a promise. Believe it or not, Trudeau's approach to the senate has its own constitutional issues.
 

Stumpokapow

listen to the mad man
I think that there is a strong possibility that the conservative senate will not pass marijuana legalization..

There are 22 vacant Senate seats and the Liberals need 19 more senators to have a majority assuming the ex-conservatives (Brazeau, Duffy, Wallin, etc.) don't vote or vote some way other than lockstep against the bill. Trudeau can also use the emergency senate seats to get an absolute majority even if the ex-conservatives try to block it. It is not likely that the Conservative senate will be able to block any party policy that doesn't also reveal deep divisions within the Liberal party.
 

Walpurgis

Banned
I think that the National Energy Program was a good idea. The good of the country comes before the good of a "province"
Agreed.
Hopefully this ends with less drone warfare.
I don't think the Canadian public would accept that. And after Trudeau's campaign, I'm not too worried about him being a murderer like Obama.
I think most people in the Prairies are just tired of putting in more than their fair share but having their government being forced on them from the east.

So, someone already made a Trudeau Promise Tracker
https://www.trudeaumetre.ca/

Mathew, save this link so it can go in the new thread when we make it
Establish an independent commission to organize leaders’ debates.
This is great. I want easily accessible debates that actually influence the polls. The obscure and buried debates where party leaders engaged in the soundbite wars (interrupting other soundbites and trying to make their own) were just sad.
I want these implemented and hopefully they happen
Indeed. Hype levels are rising.
Well it is kind of useless in that Parliament can also do everything it does, including oversight of bills. A possible solution would be to actually give it more power to obstruct Parliament, but then make the appointment process more like the Supreme Court: Let the PM choose, but from a small selection of candidates chosen by expert committees. For example, say that there needs to be a certain number from each region/province, and also certain fields of expertise (business, law, science, farming, industry, etc).
This! This is what I want. The Supreme Court is great. If we can get the senate to be like that, that would be awesome.
 

Walpurgis

Banned
"Quebec" does not oppress minorities. The Charter of Rights and Freedoms is law here too, you know. Plus we have our own Charter of Human Rights and Freedoms.

Assuming you mean France, they aren't banned from wearing headscarves, only face veils.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/quebec-will-require-bare-face-for-service-1.913095


As for France, they banned headscarves from public institutions (school, work, buses, etc.). It's also banned by some private French companies. In other words, you cannot participate in French society wearing a headscarf. The PQ tried to make Quebec the same. Thankfully that failed but I expect it to make a reappearance in the future.
 

SRG01

Member
For everyone's information regarding HoC/Senate dynamics: the HoC sends bills to the Senate for readings, and if the bill receives amendments, the bill is then passed back to the HoC. The bill only receives royal assent once both houses agree on the wording.

From here: http://sen.parl.gc.ca/portal/publications/factsheets/fs-legislation-e.htm

If a bill introduced in the House of Commons and was amended in the Senate, a message about the amendments is sent to the Commons, asking for their agreement. If the Senate and the House of Commons do not agree on the contents of a bill, they may propose amendments until they reach agreement. Once the two Houses agree on a final version, the bill is granted Royal Assent by the Queen or one of her Canadian representatives (usually the Governor General or a deputy), making it law.

(As an aside, this process is actually quite similar to the process between the HoR and the Senate in the US.)

What does partisan mean? Tried to read some definitions but don't quite understand it.

Partisan as in aligned with the party.
 

Silexx

Member
There are 22 vacant Senate seats and the Liberals need 19 more senators to have a majority assuming the ex-conservatives (Brazeau, Duffy, Wallin, etc.) don't vote or vote some way other than lockstep against the bill. Trudeau can also use the emergency senate seats to get an absolute majority even if the ex-conservatives try to block it. It is not likely that the Conservative senate will be able to block any party policy that doesn't also reveal deep divisions within the Liberal party.

There's also the fact that the Senate is not exactly popular these days. If they decided to try and block government legislation, there could be swift retribution, both public and political.

Andrew Coyne made this response to an article that suggested that the Senate could cause Trudeau trouble:

Andrew Coyne ‏@acoyne

If they truly have a death wish…

https://twitter.com/acoyne/status/657353177562525696
 

Sean C

Member
He's also against appointing partisans to the senate, so that'd be his first renege on a promise. Believe it or not, Trudeau's approach to the senate has its own constitutional issues.
Not really. The Prime Minister can solicit applications and create a review process; as long as the process doesn't purport to limit his discretion or radically alter the character of the Senate (as having them elected would be), it's not really different from the process for selecting judges.
 

maharg

idspispopd
Not really. The Prime Minister can solicit applications and create a review process; as long as the process doesn't purport to limit his discretion or radically alter the character of the Senate (as having them elected would be), it's not really different from the process for selecting judges.

... I'm not saying his appointment process has constitutional issues, I'm saying that having his senators not sit as part of a government caucus has constitutional issues (of the common law "this is how things have always worked" branch of constitutional foundation).

They aren't huge issues, but they are new issues that will have to be resolved.
 
Any chance of the NDP sneaking up to official opposition next election?

at the very least that'd probably necessitate the Conservative vote collapsing in the Prairies in favor of either the NDP or Liberals, alongside either Quebec randomly returning to 2011 form or the NDP gaining 40+ seats in Ontario

which is to say "non-zero, but very close to zero as things currently stand"
 

maharg

idspispopd
Any chance of the NDP sneaking up to official opposition next election?

About the same as the chances the NDP would be the official opposition in 2011. Or that the Liberals would win a majority in 2015. Or that the NDP would ever in a million years win a provincial election in Alberta.

That is to say, who the fuck knows.
 

Sch1sm

Member
We have our first contender: Diane Finley looking to head CPC.
On behalf of my hometown riding, CanadaPoliGAF I'm sorry.

The position of leader of the Official Opposition comes with a number of perks, including a car and driver, use of the official residence at Stornoway, and a salary bump of $80,100.

Probably why anyone's doing it, if the senate s any indication as to how much this party loves their money.
/s
 
... I'm not saying his appointment process has constitutional issues, I'm saying that having his senators not sit as part of a government caucus has constitutional issues (of the common law "this is how things have always worked" branch of constitutional foundation).

They aren't huge issues, but they are new issues that will have to be resolved.

I'm curious to see how he resolves it. As I've said before, I wouldn't mind seeing a Senate with some teeth, so having it serve as a quasi-SCC that takes a deeper look at legislation -- and maybe even improves it -- appeals to me. Reforming the Senate system is his first chance to show that he's serious about change, so I hope he sticks to what he's promised, even if it makes his life a little harder as PM.

We have our first contender: Diane Finley looking to head CPC.
On behalf of my hometown riding, CanadaPoliGAF I'm sorry.

Enh, I don't think she can do any damage to the country as interim leader. The only way she gets picked is if she gets enough of the caucus members who have legitimate leadership aspirations of their own to support her, and they'll support whoever they believe won't stand in their way of getting the big job. You have to appear competent, but unimpressive and unthreatening. I think it'll be her, Van Loan (who may be more temperamentally suited to being a short-terms opposition leader, since he's an obnoxious pest) or Nicholson.
 
About the same as the chances the NDP would be the official opposition in 2011. Or that the Liberals would win a majority in 2015. Or that the NDP would ever in a million years win a provincial election in Alberta.

That is to say, who the fuck knows.

the NDP's fortune entirely depends on the Liberal's misfortunes.

Dion transfer to Iggy up to May 2011 was the lowest point the Liberals have ever been historically while Jack Layton was conducting his charm offensive even luring in disgruntled Liberal voters

Tom Thomas did the opposite, he conducted a brash, abrasive, partisan, lawyerish campaign against Liberals to the point that it turned off Liberal voters who voted for Jack Layton in 2011.

Mulcair's worst trait was his condescension towards Justin and dismissing him on a Live stage at 4 debates.

Justin Trudeau ran a Liberal campaign that every Liberal voter hoped for. Rallying older nostalgic Liberals along with first time young voters.
 

Stet

Banned
Except it's not that any more. When has the Senate ever stopped a bill from passing? The most they can do is delay for a little bit. They shouldn't be able to stop bills, simply because they are unelected and unaccountable.

They've amended several of Harper's bills.
 

maharg

idspispopd
the NDP's fortune entirely depends on the Liberal's misfortunes.


This is basically a tautology. The fortunes of any political party relies on the misfortune of other political parties.

Dion transfer to Iggy up to May 2011 was the lowest point the Liberals have ever been historically while Jack Layton was conducting his charm offensive even luring in disgruntled Liberal voters

Tom Thomas did the opposite, he conducted a brash, abrasive, partisan, lawyerish campaign against Liberals to the point that it turned off Liberal voters who voted for Jack Layton in 2011.

I wish he actually had. What he ran was a safe, slow, false-smiley campaign. It looked nothing like what you see when you see red because someone says something mildly negative about Pierre Trudeau.

... snip sycophantic weirdness...
 
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