Do you think the Switch 2 will reach the success of the Switch?

Is the Switch 2 going to sell as much as the Switch?

  • Yes

  • No

Results are only viewable after voting.
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In regards to exclusive games, I'm suspecting Switch 2 will have one of the best launch windows in gaming history. I feel like Nintendo is holding alot of cards close to its chest. We'll see.
 
It will sell shitloads, but i'd be suprised if it reach Switch numbers.
A lot more competition in the handheld space now, and will definitely continue to be.
Quite a few people who was there day 1 with the Switch will probably have moved on to Steam Decks or Rog Allys etc, and might not feel the need a new Nintendo hybrid because of that. Then again.. the power of Nintendo's exclusives is pretty heavy.

I will of course get one for a few of the Nintendo exclusives like Metroid, Mario and Zelda. And I bet many who now actually prefer PC handhelds (like me) will get one on the side because of those titles.
 
No. Even though Wii U had a bigger problem than just its name, the massive hype over something new like the Wii would not carry on to a successor that is trying to do the same thing pretty muhc. Switch 2 is well....evolved Switch. The removable joycons, dock it anywhere etc is not a novelty anymore. It all depends on software but also HW as more and more are pushing towards U5 and I bet my left nutsack, Switch 2 will barely scratch PS4 levels of HW capability. Third party will continue to deliver gimped versions of their games or they might like with the WiiU just drop the console.
 
From my selfish pov: i voted yes, hoping its gonna be even more succesfull actually, coz that would mean its better console/handheld from og switch with more vast library of amazing games, including first, 2nd and third party games, they all are very important.
That hopefully puts more preasure on sony(we know microsoft with its xbox cant anymore and for a while didnt).
 
I hope it bombs so I can watch Nintendo fans turn themselves into a pretzels trying to explain why calling it Switch 2 or being backwards compatible confused consumers.
I don't think it'll reach the same success as Switch, but it should do 40M+ easy.
 
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I have doubts, for several reasons.
The main ace up its sleeve is the fact that high-end gaming has become too expensive for most people. In a market of compromises, a competent Switch 2 can still find its place. But a lot hinges on its MSRP.
I don't think it will come close to the sales of Switch 1, though.
 
No, because based on everything we know Nintendo is too scared of taking risks with this one and is making a super safe upgrade.
But while this will avoid a Wii U scenario it will also prevent to reach certain peaks that are only possible when something completely fresh takes off.
Also Nintendo's target audience isn't particularly receptive to hardware power since that has not been the selling point of their systems for 20 years at this point.
And as final note the Switch success was artificially boosted and prolonged by the pandemic.

For all these reasons I think Switch->Switch 2 will be another DS ->3DS situation. But of course it's just a guess, everything could happen.
 
The Switch is likely to go on to be the most successful console ever if Nintendo allow that. The Switch 2 will hopefully be a good upgrade and sell loads but who knows how behind the tech it is in 5 or 6 years.
 
NeoIkaruGAF said:
But a lot hinges on its MSRP.
I don't think it will come close to the sales of Switch 1, though.
Click to expand...

This, and also the cost of the games.

Nintendo will struggle to sell a console to the masses that's £499 and has £70 games.

I'm expecting the games to increase to maybe £50, but the console shouldn't be over £400. Maybe £379 is the sweet spot.
 
A new pandemic might be beneficial to Switch 2, but I think it'll do great numbers anyway. Nintendo are coming from a really strong spot with a good momentum. If they can just bring the games and have 3rd parties on board then it'll be an awesome gen for them.
 
Switch was the different thing nobody had at home. If Switch 2 is a pricey version of Switch a lot of casual which bought it because of novelty will keep old console because they already have something like this
 
No, it'll confuse the fuck out of non-ITK parents, grandparents etc - and some kids for that matter.

I know some parents that have bought their 2 year old a Switch Lite this Christmas. I don't think they'll be buying it a Switch 2.

Plus if Nintendo do Nintendo and release remasters of Switch game at full whack that's gonna piss a lot of people off.
 
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I voted Yes but then read the thread and there are some pretty good arguments for why it may not happen. I was only thinking about what happens if they nail backwards compatibility and what their studios could do with PS4-PS4 Pro levels of hardware. Remember this thing will have DLSS, there is a good chance it ends up having cleaner IQ than the bigger home consoles, that will generate a lot of hype imo.
 
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I think it's going to be the PS2 from PS1 type situation where we get the actual realization and potential of this system. This is the second round of this concept and they're going to knock it out of the park. The gaming market is bigger and yes, there's going to be more players in the portable space but there are not Nintendo.

It's also going to be further emboldened by the fact that they are investing in their properties in many other ways. Movies, theme parks, merchandise.... Nintendo is going to re-enter the cultural Zeitgeist with even more fervor than ever before.
 
I can see it being not far behind, it should have a long life with how tricky game dev time and costs are and possibly exceed Switch. This machine could be really important in terms of Japan and the rest of gaming world being closer aligned with a good enough tech baseline.
 
Well, considering Nintendo has never matched their previous success with an iterative successor, I doubt they're going to break that curse this time. Not without a pandemic and, especially, if the thing ends up costing ~$500.
 
The biggest reason I will say no is. The demographic doesn't seem to be there with the kids. Sure they will come back around when X Y Z game comes out but these same tweens and teens seem to have migrated over to Roblox. Perhaps since there hasn't been any real compelling content for them to get into. ( I own 5 Switches and no one has asked me for a new switch game in years)

Also , no iterative Nintendo Console has ever sold more more than the predecessor it was based on, so Switch 2 basically being the same as a Switch OG will do great but I don't think it will sell historically well. Plus say in 3 years we will have "PSP 5" and Xbox Series Go…who knows if those consoles create market share or cannibalize it.

However, if the big boy publishers (Rockstar, EA Sports, Ubisoft, Call of Duty, FromSoftware) are able to bring the multi platform games to SW2 day and date with the 5 and X/S and depend how Microsoft plays out over the next few years there might be surprises tet to be had.


Things never happen the same way twice.
 
Sintoid said:
Switch was the different thing nobody had at home. If Switch 2 is a pricey version of Switch a lot of casual which bought it because of novelty will keep old console because they already have something like this
Click to expand...
What do you expect this audience to do when games stop coming to Switch but are coming to Switch 2?
 
It will do ok. But no. I don't expect a WiiU level catastrophy though.

I'm guessing probably Nes to SNES kind of jump. So around 100 million units. Which is still phenomenal.
 
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No, but Nintendo consoles are difficult to admit.

I didn't think the console after the Wii would sell only 13.5 million.

I didn't think the console after the Wii U would become the second best selling console of all-time.
 
Nah, it'll still be successful but definitely not as successful as Switch. A few reasons.

1. Switch benefitted from the pandemic gaming bubble

2. Switch used to be the only game in town for portable gaming. Switch 2 will be competing against Steam Deck, Xbox handheld, and the other portable gaming PCs that all seem to be rapidly growing in popularity

3. I think there's some phenomenon where gamers get their fill of Nintendo and need a break, then they start to miss it and want it back again. I think there some subset of gamers who have played e.g. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe for the majority of their lifetimes, and they aren't necessarily hyped up for some slightly evolved version of the same franchise.
 
No, and for several reasons. Similar devices have entered the market since the Switch released and others are rumored to be on the way. There is no pandemic to inflate sales. If Xbox continues on its trajectory, PlayStation will become the undisputed default for big third-party games in the console space. Which will mean more marketing for it overall. The price will almost certainly be higher, which may disrupt the value proposition people saw in the Switch. Yes, prices will likely be higher on later competing platforms, but we're probably still 3 or 4 years away from the next generation of high-end consoles. Meaning, for the time being, you'll have to convince someone that a $400-$500 Switch 2 is worth it compared to the PS5 and PS5 Pro now. Especially if they're not terribly interested in portability.

I don't insist that this is all a sure thing and there are other variables. Like how good the launch lineup is, how powerful the console is, what the market atmosphere was at the time of release, if their marketing nailed it or dropped the ball, etc. But at the moment I'm just not seeing a path for Switch 2 that mirrors the path the Switch had to get where it is. Nor do I see a path that would allow the Switch 2 to surpass its predecessor. I think it can do well but I don't think lightning is going to strike twice. I don't think the conditions are what they need to be this time.
 
Sintoid said:
Buying some different things they don't have at home
Lots of them bought it for trend not for gaming love, so it was for Wii
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Wii owners bought quite a few games, so the number who only bought it just for the trend will be quite low.

Looking at the top selling Wii first party software and top selling Switch first party software, it certainly looks like a lot of Wii owners bought the Switch.
 
DonkeyPunchJr said:
Nah, it'll still be successful but definitely not as successful as Switch. A few reasons.

1. Switch benefitted from the pandemic gaming bubble

2. Switch used to be the only game in town for portable gaming. Switch 2 will be competing against Steam Deck, Xbox handheld, and the other portable gaming PCs that all seem to be rapidly growing in popularity

3. I think there's some phenomenon where gamers get their fill of Nintendo and need a break, then they start to miss it and want it back again. I think there some subset of gamers who have played e.g. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe for the majority of their lifetimes, and they aren't necessarily hyped up for some slightly evolved version of the same franchise.
Click to expand...
I would add market disruption from the PC space not only from hardware, but large quantities of cheap or even free games flooding the market along with Game Pass.
 
Woopah said:
Wii owners bought quite a few games, so the number who only bought it just for the trend will be quite low.

Looking at the top selling Wii first party software and top selling Switch first party software, it certainly looks like a lot of Wii owners bought the Switch.
Click to expand...
Cause it was different from Wii

This will not be the same difference and it will make an "You already have one" effect that new software will ease only partly
 
playbignbox said:
Nintendo Switch is about to become the best-selling console of all time. While I think its successor will be successful, it's unlikely to surpass.
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where is the switch at now in consoles sold? I doubt it will pass ps2. if they are releasing the switch 2 next year sales will slow down and i dont see it having legs.
 
Syphon Filter said:
where is the switch at now in consoles sold? I doubt it will pass ps2. if they are releasing the switch 2 next year sales will slow down and i dont see it having legs.
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146M as of September and estimated to be at 154M by March 2025.

The 3DS managed to sell another 10M after the Switch had released, so if they keep support going and cut the price it should be pretty easy to blast past 160M by 2026/2027.
 
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this depends on the generational leap.
If the games on the new Switch are cartoon, cel shading, then calling the console '2' won't cut it, people will continue with the Switch 1.
 
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