i hope many conservatives think this is easily in the bag and they don't even need to vote at all.
Early voting in Texas is breaking records in their top 10 counties
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Aaronrules380
Member
why would this apply to voting, but not anonymous polling? Any good poll won't give away your identity, so nobody knows who you support in the polls. If you think the polls are significantly wrong this time but never before please provide evidence. Stuff like Brexit happens when polls are close, not far
Raven117
Member
Without a party breakdown these numbers don't mean a whole lot.
For an idea of how close they could be, or not, here's how they went in 2012.
Thank you. This is what actually matters.
Most of those counties (and by FAR the biggest in population) are democrat.
Harris (Houston), Dallas (Dallas), Bexar (San Antonio), Hildalgo (the valley...almost 100% Hispanic and democrat), Travis (Austin).
Also, in the metro counties, you are more than likely to find college educated voters, whom Trump is losing ground with.
So yeah. It is more than likely that more votes are being cast for Democrats than Republicans.
GiantEnemyGoomba
Member
The UT Austin polling place took about 45 minutes for me. Nice to see lots of other students in line since this place is anti-Trump
Took me and the wife an hour to vote yesterday in Bexar. Great turn out lots of younger voters late 20's and early 30's crowd. Quite a few people waiting in line with their kids myself included. One came out of the building fist pumping the air saying "I'm with her! I'm with her!" Was nice to see.
whyamihere
Banned
Cross posting from PoliGAF:
I don't want to believe, but...
I don't want to believe, but...
PeakPointMatrix
Member
I really believe Trump has awoken a sleeping giant with Texas' Hispanic population.
Fuck him up, hermanos.
Fuck him up, hermanos.
Extra Sauce
Member
How about we give it a rest on November ninth.
Is it still in Jester?
my name is ed
Banned
I'll counter his anecdotal evidence with mine.
I see very little support for Trump here. W, McCain, and Romney had a lot of support here in the outskirts of Austin. I've seen more Clinton signs than Trump signs outside the city.
My personal opinion is that Texas Republicans really don't like Trump while the demographics that vote Democrat have grows and are much more engaged this election cycle
What I am fearful about is a silent majority with questionable values previously hidden by the population. If Trump does better than projected, which I hope he won't, that'd be what I'm talking about.
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Ah, just seen the county breakdown. Good stuff.
valkillmore
Member
Everything I've heard & read this cycle has said that when voter turnout is high, the trend is towards the democrats. So hopefully this is a very good sign.
Nasty Pete Wilson 2.0
nah they need a really shitty governor for that. although with conservatives going crazy i wouldn't doubt texas electing a pete wilson type.
toddhunter
Member
Unless Republicans are going to all vote 100 times each and make the election a complete farce to stop Trump losing.
Mental Atrophy
Banned
r/the_donald is frothing at the mouth again, claiming mass voter fraud in Texas because a handful of people can't admit to human error.
SerArthurDayne
Member
Can confirm record turnouts in my county as well. Probably a half hour wait versus no eair in past elections. Comal. My anecdotal evidence for anyone who cares is overwhelmingly older white people. But my county is smaller (if growing), more rural, and deep red territory. It has also been a high growth area, so I can't hazard a guess as to motivation versus population expansion.
Colonel Nasty
Member
Here in El Paso I haven't seen a single Trump sign. Might be a good idea considering his remarks on hispanics. I mean there's a military base here, you'd think I'd see one.
Early voting is open for 2 weeks Oct 24 to Nov 4. Hours vary Monday Oct 24 thru Friday Oct 28 polls are opened 8am to 6pm. Oct 29 Saturday 8-8 Oct 30 noon to 6pm and Oct 31 Friday 8am to 6pm. After that you have to wait till the general.
ancedotal and all that. But given the polls all have it in the margin of error and a "normal" republican would likely be up by 10 points on clinton, yes Texas does in fact have a chance to go blue.
i've seen all of two trump bumber stickers. No yard signs at all. I live in Fort Bend soutwest of houston. I saw a Hillary Kaine yard sign on hwy6 near 288.
Za-Neen-Jya
Member
I'm seeing that on my Facebook page right now. Someone in Houston didn't know how to properly use a voting machine, alerted the media, now every Trump supporter is pissing their pants.
yea but i read it on hannity.com it must be true.
Mental Atrophy
Banned
davepoobond
you can't put a price on sparks
If Texas somehow goes blue just for this election it would be amazing
SlipperyFishes
Banned
Please stop. You let Trump get this close to the Presidency.
I think the voters in Texas who won't vote for Trump mostly hate Clinton too (like, Republicans who have been stranded by their party but still absolutely despise Clinton), and therefore I think won't bother to vote (privileged white people who would rather stay home than vote Hillary to protect minorities and nuclear disaster, like my stepdad).
So I think in Texas it'll come down to mostly fervent Hillary voters versus fervent Trump voters, and I think the Trump ones will win out.
So I think in Texas it'll come down to mostly fervent Hillary voters versus fervent Trump voters, and I think the Trump ones will win out.
KuwabaraTheMan
Banned
Something something Brexit, something something rally sizes, something something Trump's polling will somehow go up as a result of this, something something complacent voters, something something they're all just lying to pollsters.
It's happening.
Shame Denton isn't higher. Liberal college town, but back when I lived there and voted, it felt like I was the only one under the age of 60 at the polling station.
Yes. Mine had a touch screen.
erotic grandpa
Member
Williamson county here. Was in and out of the court house in about five minutes.
Saw people of all ages in there, but Williamson is usually about as red as they come. No armed goons on patrol, thankfully.
Saw people of all ages in there, but Williamson is usually about as red as they come. No armed goons on patrol, thankfully.
30yearsofhurt
Member
How d you say 'Don't mess with Texas' in Spanish?
thestopsign
Member
Just over 4% of our country voted for Donald in the Republican primaries, which is how he became the Republican nominee. He isn't really that close at this point either.
Closer to 7% of the eligible voting population if you want to be technical.
Zoe
Member
No, they're not going to release that until the election is over.
Also Dallas County, which I believe is the bluest other than Travis, is only a percent or two off from that top five voter surge list. And some further factoids, for people looking to get their hopes up:
1. We don't have super accurate party numbers for the people who have turned out, but we can look at whether or not they previously voted in the Republican or Democratic primaries. Currently, the early vote is comprised of roughly equal numbers of D and R primary voters (slight edge to the Rs). This is despite the fact that there are twice as many people who have voted in R primaries as D ones, meaning that D primary voters are currently twice as likely to have turned out.
https://twitter.com/ericagrieder/status/790983939892482048
2. The early vote is so far disproportionately female by a 12 point margin.
https://twitter.com/scottbraddock/status/790977626869334016
Sadly, the UNT population doesn't put much of a dent in the otherwise super conservative rest of the county. If you want a D win, Denton is a place you probably want lower turnout.
Denton the city is liberal, Denton the county is another story.
To be fair though, I haven't seen a ton of Trump signs/stickers here (Lewisvillian reporting in). It's nothing compared to the ubiquitous Romney/McCain/Dubya merch of previous elections.
Not that I'm implying no one will vote Trump here, I just get the vibe that even those that will vote for him don't really want to show support.
I have a guy at the end of my block with six Trump signs and six Hillary signs with giant red X's through them. But he's the only one on the block with a Trump sign, which is not too surprising given the high Hispanic demographic of my neighborhood.
Cindi Mayweather
Member
Early voting tomorrow! Fuck Trump!
No one has Trump signs here except one house. Most of the black people I know (I am black so that's a lot) are voting early to vote a straight blue ticket. I'm doing the same.
No one has Trump signs here except one house. Most of the black people I know (I am black so that's a lot) are voting early to vote a straight blue ticket. I'm doing the same.
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