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Greece Agreement Reached

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Theonik

Member
It probably won't solve anything long term. Still better than being out of the euro I guess.

The Eurozone still needs serious reforms before any of the poor countries gets any chance of growth or else we will be seeing this more and more and it's far from sustainable long term.
No it's actually much worse than being out of the Euro. And makes it much harder when they actually exit the Euro. Each bailout has made the Greek state weaker and made their negotiating position more worthless. In the end they will be thrown off the edge anyway.

They've already been paying the price of being essentially in default for 5 years and they will continue to pay it, without the debt relief of the default.
 

Shiggy

Member
Will Greek do a bank run once banks are open again? I'd surely do it.

This agreement looks to be as if all the issues will still persist in 3 years...
 

mnz

Unconfirmed Member
Stop hiding behind the 10 or 15 countries. Germany made the proposals and Germany fought for them to the end. Except for Finland's extremists, the others are just yesmen.

This is Germany's will and it's an awful deal that solves nothing but making some getting richer by buying some Greek assets for almost nothing. It will be interesting to follow on whom those will be.
So you're saying being a "yesmen" is better? I don't see that.
 

Peyotl

Neo Member
Official Statement for those with a strong stomach

"The monetization of the assets will be one source to make the scheduled repayment of the new loan of ESM and generate over the life of the new loan a targeted total of EUR 50bn of which EUR 25bn will be used for the repayment of recapitalization of banks and other assets and 50 % of every remaining euro (i.e. 50% of EUR 25bn) will be used for decreasing the debt to GDP ratio and the remaining 50 % will be used for investments."
 

persongr

Member
No it's actually much worse than being out of the Euro. And makes it much harder when they actually exit the Euro. Each bailout has made the Greek state weaker and made their negotiating position more worthless. In the end they will be thrown off the edge anyway.

They've already been paying the price of being essentially in default for 5 years and they will continue to pay it, without the debt relief of the default.

That's just nonsense.

Plus, the "deal" pretty much asks what the previous deals asked - Tsipras is forced to do in 2 days what should have been done in a period of 5 years, during the governments of Papandreou, Papademos and Samaras.
 

Theonik

Member
So you're saying being a "yesmen" is better? I don't see that.
It is not better, it illustrates how worthless democracy in the EU is. Power structures are still maintained, but the point is, that it is Germany that's pulling the shots, not some union on 15 fed up states. Germany could come out tomorrow, decide austerity was a mistake and killing these other states and they'd be met by a round of applause. Whereas anyone who disagrees with Germany's position has a much harder time being heard if at all depending on how much pressure Germany is applying at the time.

That's just nonsense.

Plus, the "deal" pretty much asks what the previous deals asked - Tsipras is forced to do in 2 days what should have been done in a period of 5 years, during the governments of Papandreou, Papademos and Samaras.
The problem is there has been no logistical preparations for a Grexit on the Greek side. And no, none of this is going to help. This is a disaster that will bring Greece back into negotiations in 3 years time but now even weaker.
 
You do know that, while prices in Greece are about 25% lower than in Germany, the average Greek earns about 40% of what the average German does? It's what tends to occur in a monetary union: prices for goods (especially those produced by trans/multinational companies) move towards parity.

Prices of goods include the salaries to produce them. So you could lower the salaries or buy from countries that have lower wages.
 

mnz

Unconfirmed Member
It is not better, it illustrates how worthless democracy in the EU is. Power structures are still maintained, but the point is, that it is Germany that's pulling the shots, not some union on 15 fed up states. Germany could come out tomorrow, decide austerity was a mistake and killing these other states and they'd be met by a round of applause. Whereas anyone who disagrees with Germany's position has a much harder time being heard if at all depending on how much pressure Germany is applying at the time.
That's populist BS. You found your easy target and now you're not better than the tabloids writing nationalist headlines.
 

Theonik

Member
Prices of goods include the salaries to produce them. So you could lower the salaries or buy from countries that have lower wages.
This is exactly the kind of thing that the Eurozone prevents.

That's populist BS. You found your easy target and now you're not better than the tabloids writing nationalist headlines.
So in your previous post you admitted that they were yesmen no? Then if it is so, how is what I wrote incorrect.
 

jimbor

Banned
Can't help but feel that they would've been better off leaving the euro. They're going to be fucked for years if they manage to get this through parliament.

Plus, I was looking forward to paying for my wedding in drachma.
 
Official Statement for those with a strong stomach

"The monetization of the assets will be one source to make the scheduled repayment of the new loan of ESM and generate over the life of the new loan a targeted total of EUR 50bn of which EUR 25bn will be used for the repayment of recapitalization of banks and other assets and 50 % of every remaining euro (i.e. 50% of EUR 25bn) will be used for decreasing the debt to GDP ratio and the remaining 50 % will be used for investments."

I think that's going to be sold as:

The fund will be fully managed by
some people in
Greece
that answer directly to us
.

This fund would be established in Greece and be managed by the Greek authorities under the supervision of the relevant European Institutions.

Ooh, almost nailed it!
 

Nikodemos

Member
It is not better, it illustrates how worthless democracy in the EU is. Power structures are still maintained, but the point is, that it is Germany that's pulling the shots, not some union on 15 fed up states. Germany could come out tomorrow, decide austerity was a mistake and killing these other states and they'd be met by a round of applause. Whereas anyone who disagrees with Germany's position has a much harder time being heard if at all depending on how much pressure Germany is applying at the time.
That tends to happen when there's no counterbalance anymore. Back in the day, Spain, Italy, UK, West Germany and France could, in various combinations, check each other's runaway ambitions. This system no longer exists, in no minor part due to the entry of the many small countries (but also because West Germany was far less economically influential than the united Republic is today).
 

KingSnake

The Birthday Skeleton
And this is why greece lost much of its trust in EU.

Your statement doesn't make any sense. Unless you assume I'm Greek and you make this personal. I'm not. Put your hate to better use. I'm talking Economics.

Portugal already applied it's austerity plan and it's now more on a safe zone. Altought we will probably fall again eventually.

If/when Italy starts needing money I hope Germany sees it as a wake up call to start changing it's policies.

Portugal debt to GDP is 130%. Exactly the ratio for Greece in 2009.

So you're saying being a "yesmen" is better? I don't see that.

No, I didn't say that. And I don't accuse the Yesmen. They just either don't have much to say in the matter or are in PPE. They are just irrelevant in the big scheme.
 

Ikael

Member
I have been saying this since the referendum was announced: Greece can either accept austerity and stay in the Euro, or reject it and get kicked out of it. There was never another third option to begin with.

Syriza's promise was dishonest as hell, since they insisted to their fellow citizens that they could get everything they wanted: Euro membership and no austerity. And Greeks actually believed it, which is the problematic part here. They either deluded theirselves or got lied to. In either case, these negotiations were handled disastrously, and the Euro referendum was dishonest as hell.

That being said, EU's have been handling this crysis horribly, managing to be far too meddling (imposing draconian conditions into Greece) and far too little meddling at the same time (not improving Greek governance nor dismantling its clientelar network), making for a truthly horrible paradox. It is creating an important problem in order to solve an urgent one, so to speak.

I strongly believe that at this point another properly made referendum ought to be made. Greeks should be able to choose whetever to stay inside the Euro with these austere conditions, or break appart from it, no fantasy "inside the euro with no austerity" option. And the EU should grow a pair of balls for once, and start to assume direct control of the anti-corruption and justice departments of its members, "national sovereignity" be damned, corrupt Southern Europe politicians spending money as they saw fit was what created this mess in the first place.
 

Kathian

Banned
The 50bn fund is actually not too bad. Sounds like ensuring Greece sets up something as a back up to any future issues and actually will give them a better position in future.

Its just tieing up assets they can't miss use and is still run by the Greeks.
 

mnz

Unconfirmed Member
So in your previous post you admitted that they were yesmen no? Then if it is so, how is what I wrote incorrect.
I didn't admit that at all, I questioned why being a yesmen is better and not a reason for boycott as well. I know there have been many many politicians throughout Europe for months now uttering their unwillingness to support Greece any further and this was all way before any new talks started or any proposals were written. I know you've read them, too.
 

KingSnake

The Birthday Skeleton
I didn't admit that at all, I questioned why being a yesmen is better and not a reason for boycott as well. I know there have been many many politicians throughout Europe for months now uttering their unwillingness to support Greece any further and this was all way before any new talks started or any proposals were written. I know you've read them, too.

Oh, I'm not talking about boycotts and such. That's emotional talking. I was talking just about the political situation.
 

darkace

Banned
Oh great, they chose to continue to destroy Greece and any chance of meaningful European integration whilst achieving nothing positive for anybody except the German export market. Fantastic negotiations guys.
 
I have been saying this since the referendum was announced: Greece can either accept austerity and stay in the Euro, or reject it and get kicked out of it. There was never another third option to begin with.

Except leaving the Euro would also mean austerity.
 

jorma

is now taking requests
No. Those are getting sold as planned. The 50bn is in additional things to be looted for the plutocrats and bankers to fuck around with knowing full well that they will be reimbursed when the 4th bailout comes.

Will be interesting to see who gets to profit from bargains that are about to be made.

But i do know who will pay when they let 20% of the staff go, raise the prices and suddenly starts to pay corporate tax from their HQ in Ireland. itsgonnahappenandeveryoneknowsit

But hey, privatisation of ultilities is always better than state owned monoliths!
 

Theonik

Member
What? You cannot buy goods from Bulgaria? Polonia? Romania? because Eurozone prevents it? How so?
You can, that's what they have been doing. But everyone is buying from these states. That's why the cost of living cannot be significantly lower within the Eurozone even if it is so.
 

EloKa

Member
Your statement doesn't make any sense. Unless you assume I'm Greek and you make this personal. I'm not. Put your hate to better use. I'm talking Economics.

You do what? Your "economics" is just "evil germany! evil! evil!". You are denying official facts and state stuff like:
"Stop hiding behind the 10 or 15 countries. Germany made the proposals and Germany fought for them to the end"

All those statements by official representative were lies then because you're the one who knows the real truth, right?
Your view on this matter is based as hell but it gives me an idea why people hang to campaigns with swastikas and "evil german nazis!" headlines
 

Nivash

Member
The Swedish daily SvD published an interview with the Swedish Financial Minister today on the agreement. I thought it could be interesting considering that Sweden is one of the non-Euro EU countries and considering that we have one of the few (supposedly) left wing governments in Europe.

Original article in Swedish, my translation below.

Financial Minister Magdalena Andersson hopes that this will be the light at the end of the tunnel for the Greeks.

- It's a very large undertaking, both in volume and in time, for the Euro countries as well as for Greece. I hope this will be a turning point for the Greek economy, Magdalena Andersson tells SvD Näringsliv.

Can the austerity measures be a turning point for the Greek economy?

- There are still many steps left. Decisions need to be made in numerous European countries, among them the Finnish parliament. The Euro countries will discuss a bridging loan later this afternoon. This is a first step and we'll see how it develops. The Greek banking system is still very fragile, Magdalena Andersson says.

Is it worthy for a sovereign state to be given an "overcoat" the way Greece has been?

- That's the lesson we learned in Sweden during the 90s. He who is in debt is never free. If you want to borrow money from other countries they will want to make sure that they get that money back. The tax payers in the other Euro countries are the ones who are paying.

Are the demands on Greece sensible?

- It's about the tax payers ensuring that they will get their money back at some point. These are large loans that we're talking about. If you're going to lend a lot of money you want substantial guarantees that you'll be getting it back.

What are the challenges for the Greek financial minister?

It's going to be rough for Greece from this point on. It will be rough regardless of if they pass it in parliament or not. It would have been rough anyway. These are difficult decisions to be made, they need to work more on administration and the tax code needs to be simplified. There are a lot of things they can get help with from the other countries in order to get a functioning tax agency and decision-making structure.

To be honest I don't find it particularly reassuring. It's basically the same opinion I had months ago, before I took a closer look at what has actually been going on in Greece, and I can't help but suspect that Andersson is similarly seeing things from the Swedish cultural and historical perspective only.
 

persongr

Member
Will be interesting to see who gets to profit from bargains that are about to be made.

But i do know who will pay when they let 20% of the staff go, raise the prices and suddenly starts to pay corporate tax from their HQ in Ireland. itsgonnahappenandeveryoneknowsit

But hey, privatisation of ultilities is always better than state owned monoliths!

This is actually a very good question. What will Greece consolidate for this fund? Ports and airports (which are not considered utilities, as far as I'm concerned, may be wrong)? Or will it be ΔΕΗ/PPC (Public Power Corporation) and other public utilities?
 
It's not about a luxurious standard of living. The Greek economy was growing at 4+% before the 2008 crisis.
That statistic is pointless since they kept their true budget deficit (which was way more than 3%) hidden since 2001.

Greece's problems have their origin in the '90's when Papandreou oversubsidized and stimulated underqualified Greek products that nobody bought.
 

KingSnake

The Birthday Skeleton
Will be interesting to see who gets to profit from bargains that are about to be made.

But i do know who will pay when they let 20% of the staff go, raise the prices and suddenly starts to pay corporate tax from their HQ in Ireland. itsgonnahappenandeveryoneknowsit

But hey, privatisation of ultilities is always better than state owned monoliths!

Yeah, seeing how this went in Eastern Europe (and not in time of deep crisys) always make me smile at the idealists who really think that privatising will bring more income for the state. Unless the company sold was producing losses, this is almost never the truth. Yes, the companies become much more profitable, but they also start buying more and more services from the new owner/ home land of the new owner.
 

Nikodemos

Member
To be honest I don't find it particularly reassuring. It's basically the same opinion I had months ago, before I took a closer look at what has actually been going on in Greece, and I can't help but suspect that Andersson is similarly seeing things from the Swedish cultural and historical perspective only.
It all tends to come back to Protestant views on labour, money, debt, etc.
 
You can, that's what they have been doing. But everyone is buying from these states. That's why the cost of living cannot be significantly lower within the Eurozone even if it is so.

So how is it then that bread in Eastern European countries is like 0.3 Euro and in Greece 0.8-1Euro? Gas, wheat, they cost about the same, so why does Greek bread cost so much if not for wages?
 

KingSnake

The Birthday Skeleton
You do what? Your "economics" is just "evil germany! evil! evil!". You are denying official facts and state stuff like:
"Stop hiding behind the 10 or 15 countries. Germany made the proposals and Germany fought for them to the end"

All those statements by official representative were lies then because you're the one who knows the real truth, right?
Your view on this matter is based as hell but it gives me an idea why people hang to campaigns with swastikas and "evil german nazis!" headlines

Calm down and quote me on evil Nazi, please.

Germany made the proposal list and fought for them to the end. There's nothing wrong in this statement. It's reported by every decent news outlet.
 

Nikodemos

Member
So how is it then that bread in Eastern European countries is like 0.3 Euro and in Greece 0.8-1Euro? Gas, wheat, they cost about the same, so why does Greek bread cost so much if not for wages?
Greece has shitty agricultural conditions for grain crops. They need to import most of the grain they use in their bakeries. Many other Eastern European countries (Bulgaria and Romania in particular) have adequate to good land for large-scale industrial agriculture.
 
The sooner the UK exits this piece of shit, morally bankrupt institution the better.

Once again the Eurocrat elite, desperate to save face, have shown utter contempt for the citizens of a member country.
 

Ensirius

Member
So in the end all the populist leftist party could do was pull down their pants and hope it doesn't hurt too much.

I very much hope we learn the lesson here in Spain.
 

Funky Papa

FUNK-Y-PPA-4
Except leaving the Euro would also mean austerity.

But at least they'd get to implement it in their own terms.

So in the end all the populist leftist party could do was pull down their pants and hope it doesn't hurt too much.

I very much hope we learn the lesson here in Spain.
I'm no fan of Pablito, but if you think that Podemos is anything like Syriza when it comes to economics, I have a bridge to sell you. Their allegiance is one of political interest over beliefs. Our economies are also massively different. That's some PP fear mongering.
 
Greece has shitty agricultural conditions for grain crops. They need to import most of the grain they use in their bakeries. Many other Eastern European countries (Bulgaria and Romania in particular) have adequate to good land for large-scale industrial agriculture.

So buy grain from Romania and Bulgaria and sell oranges/lemons/natural juices back.
Still, I don't think that wheat price is what makes the difference so big.
 

Theonik

Member
This is actually a very good question. What will Greece consolidate for this fund? Ports and airports (which are not considered utilities, as far as I'm concerned, may be wrong)? Or will it be ΔΕΗ/PPC (Public Power Corporation) and other public utilities?
It's right up there:
on energy markets, proceed with the privatisation of the electricity transmission network operator (ADMIE), unless replacement measures can be found that have equivalent effect on competition, as agreed by the Institutions;
In other words. The backbone delivery infrastructure. AKA the management of the energy market.
 

persongr

Member
But at least they'd get to implement it in their own terms.


I'm no fan of Pablito, but if you think that Podemos is anything like Syriza when it comes to economics, I have a bridge to sell you. Their allegiance is one of political interest over beliefs.

You shouldn't trust anyone in the political life of Greece to do that. This is why a Grexit was/is terrifying, our glorious politicians would be totally unable to make anything positive out of it.
 

EloKa

Member
Calm down and quote me on evil Nazi, please.

there is propably no quote from you personally (thats why: "people" hang to campaigns) but we had some of those extreme comparisons in the last thread.

But you're a part of the "Germany is evil" hype train. This and the "Greeks are lazy!" stuff are both biased, won't help anyone and are far from beeing true.
 

Theonik

Member
You shouldn't trust anyone in the political life of Greece to do that. This is why a Grexit was/is terrifying, our glorious politicians would be totally unable to make anything positive out of it.
I used to think that was the case too. But the difference is that they can still be held accountable. The EU are not accountable and do not give a rat's ass about the fate of the Greek people.
 

Madness

Member
So in the end all the populist leftist party could do was pull down their pants and hope it doesn't hurt too much.

I very much hope we learn the lesson here in Spain.

The lesson would be, walk the walk if you're going to talk the talk. In the end, it seems Greece is going to be even worse off than if they accepted the deal of the referendum. Now, there's going to be a political crisis in Greece.
 

Nikodemos

Member
So buy grain from Romania and Bulgaria and sell oranges/lemons/natural juices back.
It doesn't work that way. You can't sign bilateral treaties like that anymore, it's one large common market where Greek goods compete with those from other countries. I remember seeing oranges from freaking Zimbabwe last time I went to a local supermarket. Bloody Zimbabwe, where a wad of cash is best used as bog roll. How does one compete with that?

Greece is a small country with small, fragmented patches of land which cause relatively high production costs due to distance.

Still, I don't think that wheat price is what makes the difference so big.
It doesn when you factor in all the transportation costs, especially since they tend to be over road, due to Greece's terrain not being very conducive to rail building.

To their praise, however, the Greeks have gone pretty strong into diversification. All the kiwis (the fruit, not the bird or the Australian neighbour) I see in grocer's are from Greece.
 

Funky Papa

FUNK-Y-PPA-4
You shouldn't trust anyone in the political life of Greece to do that. This is why a Grexit was/is terrifying, our glorious politicians would be totally unable to make anything positive out of it.

I'm trying to be positive and picture a scenario where the anal pounding at hand would include a modicum amount of lube.

After seeing Syriza's adventures in governance, I have the tiniest of the expectations. It seems to me that Greece is fucked either way.
 
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