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[DontBeThatGuy]

Why not take this seriously? I know dude is team Trump, but this is very likely. He has the gift of gab with a certain subset.

Like everyone is saying worry after the debates. Romney had a lead over Obama and he got obliterated in November.

Romney got obliterated because you can't win on the white vote alone, and now consider that the only demographic that Trump has in the bag is uneducated white males, because he's losing everywhere else, by a lot.

Trump's chances rely on low Democratic turn out in the swing states for some reason, and/or Johnson/Stein becoming spoilers, which is unlikely, but perhaps more likely than most elections. You can't discount either of those, but Trump's path to victory is still more difficult than Romney's was.

Still, Hillary isn't Obama, and her favorables are Trump levels at this point, so the Clinton coalition better be on their a-game from here on out.

 

[Lord Frieza]

I mean, honestly, low Democratic turnout will probably be countered pretty well by Republicans who probably aren't going to go out and vote for Trump. There's more of them out there, I think, than most probably realize. The minority voters, I think, are really going to come out in droves. I think Trump has really energized them against him with his bullshit. There was the article about young blacks not wanting to vote for Clinton, but I got the feeling they weren't very politically active to begin with, and the pool of that article was relatively small. I honestly won't be surprised at all if this ends up being some kind of record-breaking turnout for minorities. I don't think I've seen a group so against a candidate before. It's almost a rival to level they were for Obama in '08.

 

[wumster3000]

Uh, this is very much not likely. A tie is rarer than a blowout, it's borderline fantasy to be completely honest.

I guess not a tie. You are right, but I think Trump can pull it off if enough people by on his pivots and fear mongering.

 

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