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How many players will Veilguard see on Steam? How many will equate to a success?
- Thread starter cormack12
- Start date
adamsapple
Or is it just one of Phil's balls in my throat?
69.
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I don't think it's, by any metric, going to have bad numbers. The general public it's not going to see it in such a bad light as your average news-seeking, woke-adverse gaffer. If the game really strikes a nerve or if it's actually bad we'll see a fast decline but opening numbers are going to be OK or good.
Angry_Megalodon
Member
Steam CCU daily check... here we go!!!!
Hawk The Slayer
Member
Around 100k or more.
Don't like anything from it but don't think it'll do bad since a lot of people are going to be into high budget open world games especially since it's not a new title but rather a old popular one like dragon age.
Don't like anything from it but don't think it'll do bad since a lot of people are going to be into high budget open world games especially since it's not a new title but rather a old popular one like dragon age.
PeteBull
Member
Even assuming avg budget for western AAA game, say 200m usd, game has to sell 4,5m copies to break even/start making profit, but who knows what was game's budget here, we know its predecessor sold 12m copies so EA's expectactions are as massive as avg black porn actor's anaconda 
We know xbox players barely buy any games nowadays, 10% or less, so lets say its 50/50 with pc and ps5, aka we will need 2m players on steam for game to be success(not concurent users, total sales).
If u asking for ccu- absolutely no clue but total owners on steam- yup if it reaches 2m or around that amount relatively quickly(launch window so full price point)u can be sure game broke even and makes profit for the publisher from that point on.
We know xbox players barely buy any games nowadays, 10% or less, so lets say its 50/50 with pc and ps5, aka we will need 2m players on steam for game to be success(not concurent users, total sales).
If u asking for ccu- absolutely no clue but total owners on steam- yup if it reaches 2m or around that amount relatively quickly(launch window so full price point)u can be sure game broke even and makes profit for the publisher from that point on.
Magic Carpet
Gold Member
Neogaf needs a plug in that just runs steam game numbers up top where all that blank space between New and user name.
Fbh
Member
Some all time peak numbers for references:
DA Inquisition had : 4.964 (did this originally launch on Origin?)
Dragons Dogma 2 had: 228.585
Baldur's Gate 3 had: 875.343
Starfield had: 330.723
The Witcher 3 had: 103.292
Cyberpunk had: 1.054.388
I would guess around 60-80K? maybe 100k?
Moderately successful but not a smash hit.
DA Inquisition had : 4.964 (did this originally launch on Origin?)
Dragons Dogma 2 had: 228.585
Baldur's Gate 3 had: 875.343
Starfield had: 330.723
The Witcher 3 had: 103.292
Cyberpunk had: 1.054.388
I would guess around 60-80K? maybe 100k?
Moderately successful but not a smash hit.
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Dusktildawn48
Member
67089
The Cockatrice
I'm retarded?
At least 1, me.
RJMacready73
Banned
I dunno man, every kid, teen or person that games is perpetually online these days and the controversy (deservedly so) around this game is everywhere plus the fact that very few people drop £70 on a game without at least reading a view reviews/YouTube and the majority is overwhelmingly negative
RCX
Member
There's a whole lot I don't like about it but from a technical perspective I want it to succeed on PC.
No DRM, no EA launcher and an apparently well made port. If it flops EA will look at all 3 of these things as being a waste of time for any of their future games.
A question though, for a single player game what number of concurrents qualifies as a sign of success?
No DRM, no EA launcher and an apparently well made port. If it flops EA will look at all 3 of these things as being a waste of time for any of their future games.
A question though, for a single player game what number of concurrents qualifies as a sign of success?
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Danny Dudekisser
I paid good money for this Dynex!
I think it'll do pretty well. Not a runaway success, not a catastrophic failure. Not every game of this ilk is going to fail, and that's okay. That said, I do wonder about the long-term success of it, once the initial batch of players get their hands on it and more people see some of the less endearing aspects. I can imagine that the narrative most reviews are giving us is going to change quickly tomorrow.
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DeepEnigma
Gold Member
Gorilla Shark
Member
Whatever the number is, it should just identify as being 10,000,000. That will ensure the game is a financial success.
Mister Wolf
Member
We would only know it's a success based on how much they spent making it.
Bonfires Down
Member
150k peak I’d say. Hard to say how good that would be. For example Dragon’s Dogma 2 had more but sales seem to have fallen off quickly in that case.
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CliffBronger
Member
Less than 10,000 is my guess.
recursive
Member
Are you saying 100k total or concurrent?
Hawk The Slayer
Member
Concurrent.
Maybe you're right! But in the age of the pecho chamber I'm unsure if I can have a pulse on the general vive around something since everyone is personally catered to. Maybe all the criticism you're seeing is all the criticism there is.
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Thebonehead
Gold Member
00100101.
Oh wait. I should have gone for a non-binary number.
Oh wait. I should have gone for a non-binary number.
FunkMiller
Member
It’ll do good numbers to start with. Anyone hoping for some kind of near Concord like disaster are going to be extremely disappointed. Highest concurrent will be tens of thousands over launch period.
But I also think it’ll die off quickly. I also think user reviews will be terrible.
But I also think it’ll die off quickly. I also think user reviews will be terrible.
Zathalus
Member
I’ve been checking every so often since the reviews dropped, it was always top 5 from what I could see. It’s still number 4 right now.
Maybe 60k is on the high side, but mid tens of thousands (40-60) seems likely. Not that that’s enough to be a sales success at all.
captainnapalm
Member
This has zero chance of being a big hit if you ask me - games that get clowned like this before release don't do well - in fact they do very badly. Dragon Age does have a built-in audience so it won't be a Concord-like failure, but it will sell well below expectations.
vaibhavpisal
Member
I think best case scenario for this game would be not to loose 100s of millions of $.
Tens of millions loss would be a success in my books.
Tens of millions loss would be a success in my books.