A stealthy stimulus: How boosting the minimum wage is helping to stimulate the economy said:
In 2007, Congress passed a three-step federal minimum wage increase. The first two increases took effect inJuly 2007 and July 2008, and the final will take effect in July 2009. These increases boost consumer spending and stimulate the economy in the following ways:
The first two increases
• Will have generated an estimated $4.9 billion of spending by July 2009, precisely when our economy needed it the most.
• The final increase in July 2009 is expected to generate another $5.5 billion over the following year.
• The increase to $9.50 by 2011 that President Obama promised during the campaign would generate an estimated $60 billion of additional spending over a two-year period.
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This stimulative effect may help explain why studies of the minimum wage rarely find that an increase leads to higher unemployment. One common misconception about the minimum wage is that increases in the wage will result in businesses hiring fewer people, and thus, more unemployment. However, recent studies (Card and Krueger (1995); Baiman et al. (2003); FPI (2006); and Wolfson (2006)) have failed to find a significant impact on unemployment from raising the minimum wage. There are several potential explanations for this, including increased productivity and morale along with reduced turnover and absenteeism (for details, see Bernstein and Schmitt (1998); Card and Krueger (1995)). In addition to these explanations, the stimulative effect may play a role. If raising the minimum wage leads to millions of families spending billions of more dollars, then this spending creates jobs for other workers and helps offset the theoretically negative impact on employment. Another common misconception about the minimum wage is that these workers are mostly teenagers in welloff families. This study, like the study by Aaronson et al. (2008), intentionally excludes such workers and still finds a large effect. In fact, when considering all minimum wage workers (including teenagers), the vast majority are adults. Using the most recent data available (from the increase in 2008 to $6.55), close to 70% of the 2 million affected workers are at least 20 years old, and over 60% come from families earning less than $35,000 per year. Furthermore, more than 520,000 affected workers support at least one child.
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Conclusion
These results demonstrate that an increase in the minimum wage would not only benefit low-income working families, but it would also provide a boost to consumer spending and the broader economy. Increasing the minimum wage is an effective stimulus that helps workers who need it the most and supports the economy.