I'm not usually wrong, I treat the history of consoles, hardware, and business strategy like a science. If I said it has already failed and even pointed out a better strategy, then you can believe that's the truth and that it will happen.
But you've proven nothing to back up your idea that it's "already failed". Reception so far has been very strong, and the device hasn't even launched yet. Rather dumb to try proclaiming it's failed when neither of those have occurred.
Just like the people who were trying to say the Switch 2 failed prior to launch, just because it was priced higher than they would've liked. And look where we are today; it's even dominating the NA market which was
NOT on people's bingo cards, I can assure you.
So, if Xbox sold 30 million Magnus units you'd expect Valve to sell 120 million GabeCubes, despite Magnus being dramatically more powerful, with full Xbox backwards compatibility, and full-fat Windows? I'm out. Speak to me when you've re-joined reality.
Magnus isn't going to sell 30 million units, it'll be far less. Not just because of what specs they're aiming for in combination with likely price, but because so far they have shown
NOTHING in their strategy or planning that shows they've learned a single meaningful lesson from the failure of Series S & X. So, even if they were going to go for the traditional console business model again, they'd be lucky to hit 20 million lifetime and that'd only assume a pricing strategy similar to what they had early this gen, so a cheaper and weaker SKU Xbox Magnus device would be a must.
Beyond that, let me iterate, some of you have no idea how badly damaged the name "Xbox" is among the gaming space outside of pockets of fanboy extremists bubbles online, or delusional access media shills. Trust in the brand name insofar as hardware is, generally speaking, as badly off as it was with SEGA at the end of the Saturn heading into Dreamcast. An argument could be made it could end up being
worst by the time Magnus launches, we'll just have to see what happens.
Compared to that, Valve & Steam's brand names immediately conjure extremely positive connotations with many people in the gaming space, as well as a
lot more confidence in delivering a product which actually lives up to the claims. As it should, because Valve have already done this with Steam Deck. That type of goodwill and rapport matters, and it's what other hardware vendors like Sony/SIE and Nintendo have benefitted so much from. Past successes endear people to your future endeavors; past failures make them weary and increasingly indifferent/distrusting.
Microsoft are in the camp of the latter when it comes to gaming hardware, and this isn't anywhere near a hot take. Their best days in hardware are 15 years behind them and it's been a mounting avalanche of a decline ever since.