The 12z GFS is in.
The storm was weaker, took longer to intensify, and was a tick east of previous model runs yesterday. We'll see if the Euro continues that trend or it remains adamant of record snow across the NY metro and New England area in just a few hours.
Steven DiMartino @nynjpaweather · 12m 12 minutes ago
Everyone asking about the GFS, upper levels looks like ECMWF, surface off. Throwing out.
Hmmm
It's pretty embarrassing when Europe is doing superior forecasting our our behalf.my understanding is that it's not just a model we can just grab and use, significant equipment upgrades are necessary to get our systems up to speed with theirs.
To do that requires funding, which isn't something the current congress has any interest in.
edit: looks like this is actually happening, thanks to hurricane sandy.
http://www.wbur.org/npr/375544023/noaa-to-upgrade-its-computer-driven-weather-forecasts
12Z NAM. Up to about 30 inches in places.
12Z NAM. Up to about 30 inches in places.
Chester County reporting in here....Yup, I thought we'd miss it but now it slowly appears we are getting hit pretty hard
Steven DiMartino @nynjpaweather · 13m 13 minutes ago
That upper level low MUST form by 3 AM Tuesday to keep the low close to the coast, the forecast busts. Simple as that.
Steven DiMartino @nynjpaweather · 12m 12 minutes ago
Overall, I like where I am in this forecast. Heaviest snow clearly will be in CT and Long Island.
I'm up here in Exton. I think I'll drive into the office today to grab some stuff since it looks like I probably won't be in until Wednesday.
The worst part about storms like these is the snow removal. I don't know about the burbs, but the city sucks at actually moving it out of the way.
I'm up here in Exton. I think I'll drive into the office today to grab some stuff since it looks like I probably won't be in until Wednesday.
Is Mully a meteorologist or something
No, but he stayed at a Holiday Inn.
Channel 5 says 22 inches over Haverhill area in Mass.
My body is ready
I don't think I ever stayed at a Holiday Inn. My family always stayed at either a Best Western or a Homewood Suites.
12Z NAM. Up to about 30 inches in places.
/ Heads up: 90th percentile (which is what that map is) is worst case scenario!
Yep. We'll see if the Euro verifies. The run has started we should see it all within the next 10 minutes.
I kinda wish i had studied meteorology in college...
i feel like a kid waiting for christmas at this point.
yeah
We haven't been hit by a good storm since '10. Miss a good snowfall
Oh god, me too. I studied history. If I could have a do-over I'd study meteorology in a heartbeat.
Euro came further west and is wetter, which puts Philly and NNJ in play for high snow totals according to the meteorologists I follow.
Will post images when I can.
Euro came further west and is wetter, which puts Philly and NNJ in play for high snow totals according to the meteorologists I follow.
Will post images when I can.
Ryan Maue @RyanMaue
ECMWF 12z model loops Nor'easter for 24-hrs just south of Long Island at maximum intensity 979 mb Enormous snowfalls
some municipalities are good, others are horrible. last year was obviously rough for everyone, but typically my area isn't horrible with the major roads. it is all of the smaller, neighborhood roads that they take forever to clean
It doesn't start til 10AM Monday morning in. The heavy stuff is not hitting the area til 7PM Monday evening. 10PM-12AM for cities further north.I'm confused by these predictions. I'll be driving home from Philly at 1130 tonight. Will I be in the thick of it or the start?
I'm confused by these predictions. I'll be driving home from Philly at 1130 tonight. Will I be in the thick of it or the start?
Yo I'm in Maryland, need me a snow day. No way I'm going in to the office on Tuesday if this shit is going all the way through Wednesday. At the very least I'll go in on Monday and see how early I have to leave depending on the accumulation.
I know this is a northeast thread but do any weathergaf gurus think Maryland will be getting a piece of this? In MD we shut down for damn near everything unlike north of here.
No, tonight is just flurries
Is there a donation page for EURO?
They're the real MVP
Expect the media to roll out the sirens within the hour.
I'm heading to Sears for snow boots right now