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[Kotaro]

I think MKW will outsell GTA6 THIS YEAR, what say you GAF??

 

[Shaki12345]

That's easy because GTA 6 won't release this year.

 

[SJRB]

If GTAVI gets delayed to 2026, then yeah sure.

 

[Blitzkrieg!]

Does GTA6 even release this year?

 

[SlimySnake]

This is what happens when you live in a bubble.

 

[clarky]

What? If GTA release does this year it will smoke Mario Kart, Switch 2 has zero install base.

 

[KyoZz]

GTA 6 will outsell every game ever released.

 

[Celcius]

Mario Kart because it will be bundled with some systems

 

[Chupanibre]

I think there will be such a disturbance in the space-time continuum that they will both cannibalize each other's sales and both end up doing negative numbers.

 

[PeteBull]

If gta6 launches in 2025 it will for sure sell 30m+ copies in launch window.
MKW will sell a lot of copies, definitely over 10m, but its tied to switch2 units sold, and its highly doubtful switch 2 will sell more than 25m units in 2025, aka impossible for mkw to beat that number too, not coz its bad game, it simply needs more time/more switch2 units.

 

[coachmcguirk91]

GTA 6 isn't coming to PC until later. GTA 6 will still sell 20mil+ copies in its opening day, easily. Switch 2 console will probably only sell 20mil for the entire calendar year

 

[kevboard]

Mario Kart 8 sold 65 million on Switch alone. not counting the Wii U sales, where it will be a combined 73 million

 

[clarky]

Mario Kart because it will be bundled with some systems

Switch sold 15 million units in 12 months. Even if Switch 2 sells that in 6 months with a 100% attach rate it still wont come close to GTA.

 

[Deerock71]

Take off the Nintendo goggles for a second and look what you typed, man! They likely won't even have that many Switch 2s out in the wild.

 

[Kacho]

One game is being bundled so that changes things dramatically.

 

[clarky]

One game is being bundled so that changes things dramatically.

Depends on how much hardware they have ready to go.

 

[graywolf323]

go touch grass OP

 

[Luminoth-4545]

Only if GTA doesn't release in 2025 otherwise zero chance of it happening, remember MK World is releasing on a system that has a current install base of 0 and GTA VI on a current install base of approximately 108M (75M PS5 and 33M XBS).

 

[ValiantInstance]

This mf including 'PC' in the GTA vote

 

[lughnasadh123]

I know some people are very, ahem, excited atm for please don't completely lose your shit please.

 

[amigastar]

Does GTA6 even release this year?

Strauss Zelnick said GTA 6 is on time for release this year.

 

[GigaBowser]

open world mario kart to compeat with gta genius my friends

 

[nial]

Mario Kart 8 sold 65 million on Switch alone. not counting the Wii U sales, where it will be a combined 73 million

GTA V sold 200 million units. What are we doing here?
Mario Kart is releasing on a console with zero install base, GTA will surpass that game's YTD sales in its first week.

 

[Xyphie]

If it was a cross-gen game I don't think this would've been too crazy of a bet, but the number of Switch 2s in the wild by 31 Dec 2025 puts an upper cap of sales around 10-20 million maybe?

 

[tr1p1ex]

I put MK World thinking GTA6 will be delayed.

Otherwise GTA6 easily wins. Those sales are going to be much more front loaded. For one there's already 100mn consoles out there that can play it not including the tens of millions of capable pcs.

 

[AJUMP23]

Silly poll. GTA6 is multi platform. will easily outsell it on day 1.

 

[analog_future]

You're insane lol. Not going to happen. This thread is going to be funny to go back to a year from now.

 

[kevboard]

GTA V sold 200 million units. What are we doing here?
Mario Kart is releasing on a console with zero install base, GTA will surpass that game's YTD sales in its first week.

GTA5 is on 7 platforms and was released before MK8. it's hard to compare these

 

[Matsuchezz]

Kids these days are the same as in the past , they think because their mommy buys the Nintendo this shit is the best in the world.
Kids!! God bless them!!

 

[nial]

GTA5 is on 7 platforms and was released before MK8. it's hard to compare these

That's literally what OP is doing. GTA VI is releasing on two platforms with established install bases, the comparison was already unfair for Mario Kart.

 

[IAmRei]

I love mk more than gta, but dude, reastically, it will be gta...

I'd love to proven wrong though... Even if it almost impossible

 

[Gamer79]

Delusional Post OP

 

[Moses85]

I think MKW will outsell GTA6 THIS YEAR, what say you GAF??

 

[Musashipan]

Gta is garbage

 

[SHAKEZ]

Are you joking? GTA6 will have a huge install base at launch, the Switch 2 will sell a lot sure, but it won't come close to what the PS5 + Xbox amount together right now.

 

[bender]

 

[yamaci17]

gta 6 of course

 

[DeepSpace5D]

Even if GTA VI were to release on December 30th, it would outsell Mario Kart with a 6 month head start.

 

[PeteBull]

Strauss Zelnick said GTA 6 is on time for release this year.

GTA6 is just as on time as his sidebitches period, its always on time till suddenly it somehow isnt

 

[kevboard]

That's literally what OP is doing. GTA VI is releasing on two platforms with established install bases, the comparison was already unfair for Mario Kart.

depends on how much the system sells.

I bet MK9 will have an attachment rate of at least 50%. that's the attachment rate of MK8 on Switch 1.

given that one of the launch bundles is with MK9, it could exceed the attachment rate of MK8 at least for a while.

so the real question is how many consoles they can sell from june to December

 

[MrJangles]

Switch 2 won't have the numbers even if Nintendo doesn't experience shortages. GTA6 has a ready made install base of just over 100m PS5 and Xbox owners to sell GTA6 to.

 

[Mortisfacio]

I would assume GTA6. Majority of people I know that play games will play GTA6. Almost none of them will buy MK for themselves. The advantage MK has is the child userbase. As an adult, most people I know that bought MK8 for example bought it for their kids, not themselves.

 

[Guardian Monkey]

depends on how much the system sells.

I bet MK9 will have an attachment rate of at least 50%. that's the attachment rate of MK8 on Switch 1.

given that one of the launch bundles is with MK9, it could exceed the attachment rate of MK8 at least for a while.

so the real question is how many consoles they can sell from june to December

It's going to have 70%+ attachment, the bundle with the game costing $50 all but secured this unless Nintendo launches a lot of core systems. But I'm expecting at 70/30 split in favor of the Mario kart bundle.

 

[nial]

depends on how much the system sells.

I bet MK9 will have an attachment rate of at least 50%. that's the attachment rate of MK8 on Switch 1.

given that one of the launch bundles is with MK9, it could exceed the attachment rate of MK8 at least for a while.

so the real question is how many consoles they can sell from june to December

That will result on 10 million units at most, GTA will surpass that in one week.
Sorry, pal, this is just not up for discussion.

 

[Bitstream]

This is the most delusional nonsense I've read in a long time

 

[Jetpac]

I think MKW will outsell GTA6 THIS YEAR, what say you GAF??

You just wanted to make a post at this post huh.

 

[Woopah]

Of course it will be GTA (unless delayed).

 

[kevboard]

That will result on 10 million units at most, GTA will surpass that in one week.
Sorry, pal, this is just not up for discussion.

I think it could be a close race since we only talking about 2025 sales. we don't even know the release day of GTA yet. if it's a December release it's gonna be close

 

[Durin]

Likely GTA6, unless they really do have the balls to go $100 for the game.

 

[Fbh]

Switch 2 will probably not even sell enough units for this to be true.
The Switch 1 sold what? Like 15 million units during it's first year?

GTA will easily sell 30 mill copies this year alone.