Support NeoGAF

[Mr Cola]

Some fantastic names in Tooting

 

[SuperSah]

Tootin, Labour won by 2k, Con just behind.

 

[Captain Smirk]

YES TOOTING nice hold

 

[fenners]

Tom Clarke has lost Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill. It was close for a bit, but when the Bellshill and Viewpark numbers started to come in the SNP shot up. Not surprising as Clarke's power base was the north of Coatbridge and Chryston.

My seat btw!

And was the safest Labour seat in the mid-2000s election. Amazing turnaround by the SNP. Biggest swing ever, if they get this seat.

 

[pashmilla]

So what's going on now exactly, is it a dead cert that Tories have 'won'?

Quite new to all this.

Basically, no one has a fucking clue right now ¯\_(&#12484_/¯

 

[Deleted member 231381]

So what's going on now exactly, is it a dead cert that Tories have 'won'?

Quite new to all this.

Not dead cert but strongly likely. Basically, the Liberal Democrats have collapsed hard to the Conservatives.

 

[SymbiantXenos]

Rooting for tooting

 

[Stinkles]

We (Londoners) call it "Narnia" because it's impossible to get to.

I know. I lived there briefly in the 90s. Was OK in daylight but getting home from the city at night was basically super expensive cab or nothing.

 

[QuicheFontaine]

"Commonly known as Dan Watkins"?

Call me Dan?

 

[Delusibeta]

So what's going on now exactly, is it a dead cert that Tories have 'won'?

Quite new to all this.

Mainly exit polls, but the Tories have been doing better than expected in their seats and Labour hasn't.

 

[GazzaScotland]

Another lost deposit!

 

[Empty]

pretty amazing work by the tories given the polling and negativity around their campaign. guess crosby was working out for them after all.

 

[Visualante2]

4% for the Lib Dems in Tooting, another £500 down the toilet.

5/7 lost.

 

[kmag]

So what's going on now exactly, is it a dead cert that Tories have 'won'?

Quite new to all this.

They've probably not WON, but they've almost certainly won. They almost certainly won't get a majority but they should be able construct a majority. If they drop below 305 then they'll struggle to get any of their manifesto through.

 

[MrRoflWaffles]

In Tooting, Labour up 4%, Lib Dems down 11%.

Really not looking good for the LDs.

 

[Cygnus X-1]

Their 0.4% vote is testament to that fact

Tooting:

UKIP: 1537
Labour: 25,263
Lib Dem: 2107
Greens: 2201
Tory: 22,421

Boom.

Was expecting labour to win there.

 

[OneTwoTee]

Clegg won't be able to leave his house without people laughing at him.

 

[Dr Zhivago]

Tories will be biggest party, might not be able to form a functioning majority.

 

[Raist]

Some fantastic names in Tooting

De Scuba Swwzyzywwkzwyzxxk something.

 

[giant_frying_pan]

Tom Clarke has lost Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill. It was close for a bit, but when the Bellshill and Viewpark numbers started to come in the SNP shot up. Not surprising as Clarke's power base was the north of Coatbridge and Chryston.

My seat btw!

He should have pledged to have the Time Capsule expanded (again).

 

[Masquerader]

So what's going on now exactly, is it a dead cert that Tories have 'won'?

Quite new to all this.

Yeah, they probably won. The question is by how much, though. If they SMASH it out of the park, they're in government by themselves (a real possibility). If not, they'll have to form a coalition with another party to get the required number of votes. What matters in that case is whether or not the DUP get their seats in~

Spoiler

Sorry if that was too simple or complex, I'm not sure how much you know about it yet.

 

[Audioboxer]

Lib Dems have been absolutely destroyed.

 

[kmag]

Mark Mardell @BBCMarkMardell · 8m 8 minutes ago
SNP claim they have 54% in Ruthglen and Hamilton West and have beaten Tom Greatrex - Labour very downbeat. GE2015

 

[Deleted member 231381]

If the Cons get ~300, we'll probably see a second election quite quickly when the Conservatives realize they can't actually pass much.

 

[CoolOff]

The Swing in Tooting!

 

[Mr Git]

Some fantastic names in Tooting

So true. Brilliant. As well as Tooting. I'm now tooting for Tooting.

Aw tiny swing says David. :3

 

[Bumhead]

I know it's only relative to the Lib Dems at this point, but the Greens seem to be doing OK vote wise.

They're at least holding their own as a part of the discussion.

 

[Kinky John]

Just a wee reminder: Ed Miliband (Labour) would rather have a Conservative government than work with the SNP.

 

[kmag]

There's been almost no swing to Labour.

 

[Keyser Soze]

Alastair Campbell got destroyed by Paxman on C4

 

[Pankratous]

Just a wee reminder: Ed Miliband (Labour) would rather have a Conservative government than work with the SNP.

Which is utterly ridiculous. I can't fathom his reasoning.

 

[kmag]

Labour claiming they could lose North Ayrshire & Arran by as much as 12,000 votes

It had a majority of 9,895

 

[MrS]

hope you feel warm and safe when your favourite homophobes are pushing a prejudiced agenda

Like I said to you earlier, it doesn't affect me and it would simply be a pragmatic move by Conservatives. Hopefully Cons can get a majority and won't need them.

 

[CyclopsRock]

You can't stop me, Kinnock:

 

[Par Score]

This is looking really bad for Labour, these swings in London are pitiful.

Depending how Nuneaton goes, we're really looking at a possible Conservative majority.

 

[Zoibie]

So with these exit polls, what are the chances that we'll get another election in another few months? Why were the opinion polls prior to the exit polls seemingly so wrong?

 

[DECK'ARD]

If the Cons get ~300, we'll probably see a second election quite quickly when the Conservatives realize they can't actually pass much.

It's going to higher than that, they could get close to a majority.

 

[faridmon]

Putney:

Labour: 12,838
Animal Welfare Party: 184
Tory: 23,018
Lib Dem: 2717
Green: 2067
UKIP: 1989

Con 54%
Lab 30%
Lib Dem 6%

I used to live there.
Not surprised about the outcome!

 

[Roland_Gunner]

The 538 forecast is holding relatively steady at around 285 seats for the Tories. Even if thats a bit low 300 is probably the max. With the Liberal Dems being vaporized from space not sure how they get to a majority. So minority government or re-vote?

 

[nOoblet16]

So with these exit polls, what are the chances that we'll get another election in another few months? Why were the opinion polls prior to the exit polls seemingly so wrong?

If they form a minority government and can't pass jackshit then maybe it could happen.

 

[Ghost_Messiah]

So if I'm reading this correctly (I'll be honest; I'm a complete idiot when it comes to politics) it's looking like the Tories have the most seats so have technically "won" the election by virtue of mathematics but because they failed to reach a majority they're forced to form a coalition again to get anything done in Parliament? So basically like last time then? Also you can tell I know nothing because I was telling my Sister last week that Labour were destined to win due to all of the anti-Conservative sentiment I've been seeing over the last few years. My God by the looks of it I couldn't have been more wrong lol. So am I anywhere near correct in my prognosis?

Could someone who knows more explain the situation? It'd be appreciated.

 

[RedShift]

Probably going to stay up until Nuneaton then go to bed.

Ps I will likely be a very bad loser about this election.

 

[Heartfyre]

Just a wee reminder: Ed Miliband (Labour) would rather have a Conservative government than work with the SNP.

While true, the SNP will never support a Tory minority government with David Cameron as PM. The margin between Labour and Conservatives this morning will be vital.

 

[Mr Cola]

"Hes done very well"

Clearly he has not

What margin of success is losing seats?

 

[Kiever Sher]

Feeling a lot like this tonight

 

[Empty]

So with these exit polls, what are the chances that we'll get another election in another few months? Why were the opinion polls prior to the exit polls seemingly so wrong?

how does that even work when labour, lib dems and ukip all need leadership elections

 

[QuicheFontaine]

Kinnock's heart wasn't in that "he's done very well". The buck stops with the leader - Ed's dead baby

 

[BlazingDarkness]

So if I'm reading this correctly (I'll be honest; I'm a complete idiot when it comes to politics) it's looking like the Tories have the most seats so have technically "won" the election by virtue of mathematics but because they failed to reach a majority they're forced to form a coalition again to get anything done in Parliament? So basically like last time then? Also you can tell I know nothing but I was telling my Sister last week that Labour were destined to win due to all of the anti-Conservative sentiment I've been seeing over the last few years. My God by the looks of it I couldn't have been more wrong lol. So am I anywhere near correct in my prognosis?

Could someone who knows more explain the situation? It'd be appreciated.

That's the gist of it, yeah.

 

[Deleted member 231381]

The 538 forecast is holding relatively steady at around 285 seats for the Tories. Even if thats a bit low 300 is probably the max. With the Liberal Dems being vaporized from space not sure how they get to a majority. So minority government or re-vote?

The 538 forecast has barely had enough new data to adjust. Expect it to go upwards. 300 Con probably means a second election; it's too small for a stable minority but implies that the Liberal Democrats are wiped out and there are no real potential coalition partners. 310+ is stable-ish Conservative minority.

 

[DECK'ARD]

Labour doing worse than the exit poll.

Christ.