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Monitoring the situation in Iran

I've been hearing this for YEARS, especially after Ukraine, but doesn't seem to be happening, at least not at a level that really matters.
It's not because Russia is importing fertilizer even to the EU. France, Germany and Poland are big importers. Most countries imports of Russian fertilizer is up especially China. It didn't happen because Russian exports haven't stopped even to countries that support Ukraine because the whole thing is a clown show.
 
Omg is that your response to EVERYTHING???

"Fuel prices are rising"
"Yeah but people only bring that up because they have TDS"

"Gen Z are angry about the current financial situation"
"They have TDS"

"Some people think it's crass the white house social media is meme-ing war"
"TDS! TDS! I bet if Obama did this they'd praise it"

I swear you have TDS tourettes.

And you are deeply myopic and selfish.

The cancer that is the theocratic Iranian regime needs to be purged. Of course that comes at a cost.
 
Putin really reaping the windfall from this war.

Zero blowback from the U.S. even with claims that the Russians are providing Iran with satellite information and targeting data.
Where is Europe's blowback against Iran which has been directly helping Russia in Ukraine with drones the entire time. China is basically bankrolling Russia increasing imports several fold and ignoring every sanction. So why is every European leader sucking up to XI and having a sudden onset of amnesia conveniently forgetting that they have an entire ethnic minority in camps every time a trade deal comes. I have been really disappointed with America in this war but the EU is still buying billions of Russian exports. I don't know how people just forget it.
 


Article:
The Islamic regime has confirmed the death-sentence of 18 year old Melika Azizi was carried earlier today. Melika was arrested in January 2026 during nation-wide protests and charged with "moharebeh" (waging war against god for allegedly burning Islamic regime symbols.

In court, Melika told the judge: "You let so many young people bleed. How can I remain silent? I don't care just kill me"

She was a brave young lady!


She was reportedly tortured for 45 straight days before her court appearance.

I hate expensive gas and war. But if we ever going to have both this is when it actually makes sense and has two purposes. Eliminate a very real threat and actually help people escape genuine tyranny.
 




Then why the fuck has gas gone up more than $1 per gallon in a month's span? 🤔

Greedy oil producers. That's all to it. It is amazing windfall for them.
I have been advocating for price cap for WTI, but I think the reason for it not happening is due to it leading to an exponential price growth in Europe then.
 
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Then why the fuck has gas gone up more than $1 per gallon in a month's span? 🤔


Capitalism baby

xrd-exrd.gif


They are using this war as an excuse to raise prices (of course situation is completely different in a place that needs to import everything like Japan).
 
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That's fine but saying things like 'we haven't been affected by it' is an objectively false statement.

It's ok to acknowledge that even the US is seeing some hardships because of this and they plan to remedy it asap.
With the current media landscape the worst thing anybody can do is acknowledging anything. You have to deny everything, without giving media any angle to attack. Especially considering how incosistent gas prices across various USA states. Like, people are still blaming California gas prices on everybody except...California. Prices will go up and down eventually. Media narratives remain.
 
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With the current media landscape the worst thing anybody can do is acknowledging anything. You have to deny everything, without giving media any angle to attack. Especially considering how incosistent gas prices across various USA states. Like, people are still blaming California gas prices on everybody except...California. Prices will go up and down eventually. Media narratives remain.

Right, but anyone whose been out getting gas in the last 3 weeks can see that statement is not true. People don't generally have the object permanence of a toddler and these kind of things tend to effect polls and results.
 
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Well, even though US produces a lot of oil and net surplus producer - the type of oil from US is light oil, while the refineries they have is geared towards heavy oil.... and thus US have to import that type oil from other countries, while selling its light oil to other countries.

I believe depending on how quickly Venezuela situation is solved/handled and their facility gets updated/upgraded - (their oil is heavy type) - I think US will have very little oil issue.
 




Then why the fuck has gas gone up more than $1 per gallon in a month's span?

This is what I am trying to explain on here. Because of politics, with people just blindly believing whatever their side says, something that is very simple is now confusing. It was never true that the gas price increases during the pandemic were supply driven. From 2020 to 2025 the US has produced more oil every year. At no point did supply decrease. It was used as an excuse which makes no sense considering the US has a surplus. It is market driven in the US. It is why Trump can make it look like the war will end and all of a sudden the price of gas drops however obviously the supply hasn't changed within a day. It's amazing how we can just cap the price of Russian oil. It will blow people's mind when you realize the US can do it to itself.
 
Right, but anyone whose been out getting gas in the last 3 weeks can see that statement is not true. People don't generally have the object permanence of a toddler and these kind of things tend to effect polls and results.
It won't matter when the prices will go down in 1,2,3 months. Modern society moves on fast with swings in opinions within 1 week sometimes. It matters in the immediate vicinity, but it does not matter on a longer timeline. In fact the way people feel is kinda framed by the media - we have too many people believing everything they see on TV or online. Society has become extremely volatile and I would argue that the attension span is becoming smaller and smaller.

This is what I am trying to explain on here. Because of politics, with people just blindly believing whatever their side says, something that is very simple is now confusing. It was never true that the gas price increases during the pandemic were supply driven. From 2020 to 2025 the US has produced more oil every year. At no point did supply decrease. It was used as an excuse which makes no sense considering the US has a surplus. It is market driven in the US. It is why Trump can make it look like the war will end and all of a sudden the price of gas drops however obviously the supply hasn't changed within a day. It's amazing how we can just cap the price of Russian oil. It will blow people's mind when you realize the US can do it to itself.
Yeah. Oil market, gold market, stock market is driven by people (whales, big players, hostile players) gaming it. It is all speculative. Considering the worldwide trends, every asset will become volatile because the world will become more and more turbulent, due to a set of upcoming events.

You know times is hard when you need your human shields to put on a uniform.
The dying regime. Considering that even in Russian-Ukrainian war they haven't done that it just tells you that Iran is going down.
 
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So the "big gift" was apparently allowing 8 Pakistani owned/flagged oil tankers thru.

Not sure if Trump is aware that ships have been able to "pay a fee" to Iran in Yuan to allow for safe passage and if those 8 also had paid the fee.....

Seems like a massive amount of spin/damage control at this point.
 
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So the "big gift" was apparently allowing 8 Pakistani owned/flagged oil tankers thru.

Not sure if Trump is aware that ships have been able to "pay a fee" to Iran in Yuan to allow for safe passage and if those 8 also had paid the fee.....

Seems like a massive amount of spin/damage control at this point.
Fox has been reporting this for hours. He wasn't calling the tankers themselves the gift as I understand. He was calling the passage being allowed a gift, as proof the people they were talking to are legit, per the report I read.

I would admit all day long the guy's response to criticism often becomes the story because he's not good at taking criticism though.
 
Fox has been reporting this for hours. He wasn't calling the tankers themselves the gift as I understand. He was calling the passage being allowed a gift, as proof the people they were talking to are legit, per the report I read.

I would admit all day long the guy's response to criticism often becomes the story because he's not good at taking criticism though.
Yes sorry I wasn't suggesting he had been gifted 8 tankers of oil.
 
Why are you wishing for higher prices?

Seriously, WTF man?

Obviously not wishing for it - Trump/admin thinks current situation and prices are not that bad. I think they're high and disruptive right now. And the only reason they're not even higher are hopes of TACO (imo). He may very well send in the ground troops, eliminating all hopes of taco and then oil very well could squeeze to 150-200 overnight… I wonder if they're going for after market close this weekend.
 
Do you think more in the combat sense or more in the negotiation sense?
I think USA is buying time for something. What that something is a question though. Strikes did not stop after all. I don't think negotiations will go anywhere because the survival of the current leadership in Iran will be a big political loss for Trump and USA, unless the get something big as a trophy, which Iran (well, the leadership) would not be willing to do because it would be a political suicide for them internally too.

Personally, I think USA is allowiing the situation in Iran to brew a little bit more as Iran is not becoming stronger in any case and together with the amount of damage they get from Israel, I think they expect something to break on the iranian side. What is that is a question.
 
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Buying time... Intrigued if there are negotiations taking place rather than passing messages through Palestinian middle men, just a little doubtful. We'll see I guess...
Through the Pakistanis, not the Palestinians. The Pakistanis were already on the list of "approved" countries that could pass thru the Strait.
 
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So what's your solution to the death cult that run Iran and clearly want nuclear wepaons then?

What about the repression there? I assume you're okay with that?
You're making a rather large assumption that simply launching strikes from a distance, and chopping off the head of the snake is a solution to this problem. When all it succeeds in doing is hardening sympathisers of the regime that yet live at best, and creating new sympathisers at worst as innocent people's lives are destroyed.

I'm not so arrogant to pretend that I have all the answers or all the solutions. But at the very least consult with your allies. Come up with a plan. THINK about the consequences of what you're planning on doing, before you do it. Just look at the beginning of this fucking thread. The regime was already splintering. All that has been achieved with this strike, is strengthening the resolve of the tyranny that was teetering towards collapse of its own fucking accord. And for what?
 
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You're making a rather large assumption that simply launching strikes from a distance, and chopping off the head of the snake is a solution to this problem. When all it succeeds in doing is hardening sympathisers of the regime that yet live at best, and creating new sympathisers at worst as innocent people's lives are destroyed.

I'm not so arrogant to pretend that I have all the answers or all the solutions. But at the very least consult with your allies. Come up with a plan. THINK about the consequences of what you're planning on doing, before you do it. Just look at the beginning of this fucking thread. The regime was already splintering. All that has been achieved with this strike, is strengthening the resolve of the tyranny that was teetering towards collapse of its own fucking accord. And for what?

The regime was not splintering.

They were consolidating power and stockpiling weapons. Russia and China were shipping in weapons and Iran has weapon production facilities outside of the country.
 
Lots of talk regarding putting boots on the ground this weekend.How feasible is this for the US army?

It would be a disaster. Massive loss to human life, extremely expensive for the US government and would further fuck up the global economy. Really fucked. With the Strait of Hormuz partially choked, any move that escalates to a ground war could send oil prices to a level that would collapse the global economy before the US even reaches Tehran.

It would be a terrible and costly decision.
 
It would be a disaster. Massive loss to human life, extremely expensive for the US government and would further fuck up the global economy. Really fucked. With the Strait of Hormuz partially choked, any move that escalates to a ground war could send oil prices to a level that would collapse the global economy before the US even reaches Tehran.

It would be a terrible and costly decision.
This is what I heard being discussed earlier - that Iran don't need to negotiate because they can afford to wait this out, they have the potential for an economic victory. Trump, meanwhile, needs a way out.
 
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